文章来源：用益研究 撕掉旧标签 信托何以"无可替代"？ 2026年我们或许会见证"温和的分流"：普通投资者将更审慎地选择信托产品，把注意力转向其他资管渠 道；信托公司将一头扎进专业的深水区，用硬核服务能力换取高净值客户的长期托付。 业内观点： 1、现在独立研究、依据市场口碑作出选择的客户占据主流，理财顾问的作用变得很有限。客户的产品 筛选标准已变得极致严苛，对任何负面舆情都会"一票否决"。 2、专业、合规将是2026年行业发展的关键词。本源业务发展逻辑与传统放贷模式完全不同。行业现在 缺的不是项目，而是能搞定这些复杂事务的专业人才。未来，谁能真正为高净值客户解决复杂的法律、 税务、传承等综合性问题，谁才可能建立护城河。 3、对于投资者而言，2026年需要更新认知：信托或许正在撕掉"大众理财产品"的旧标签，转而锚定综 合金融解决方案提供者的新定位。2026年，若为博取收益，可选的优秀资管产品有很多；若投资者有财 富传承等综合性金融需求，信托凭借其制度优势，依然无可替代。 481只去年收益告负基金年内业绩转正 Wind资讯数据显示，截至2月23日，今年以来已有481只去年收益告负的基金实现净值增长率转正，其 中1 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is expected to experience a recovery post-Spring Festival, driven by three main investment themes that are supported by policy, demand recovery, and performance realization [1][8]. Group 1: Market Overview - Historical data indicates that the probability of the A-share market initiating a spring rally after the Spring Festival exceeds 70%, with an expected increase in market risk appetite due to policy expectations from the March Two Sessions [1]. - This year's market is anticipated to be structurally strong rather than a broad-based rally, focusing on specific investment themes that align with policy support and demand recovery [1]. Group 2: Investment Themes - **Theme 1: New Productive Forces (AI, High-end Manufacturing, Semiconductors)** - This theme is emphasized by regulatory bodies and is a key focus in brokerage reports, with high-tech manufacturing PMI remaining in the expansion zone and a significant increase in orders related to new productive forces [4]. - The theme combines policy support, technological implementation, and capital concentration, with a strong rebound expected post-holiday [4]. - **Theme 2: Consumption Recovery (Home Appliance Replacement, Cultural Tourism, Dining)** - The consumption recovery is evidenced by increased sales of smart wearable devices and green home appliances during the Spring Festival, with retail sales in related categories showing double-digit growth [6]. - The ongoing "old-for-new" policy in home appliances further strengthens the certainty of performance in this sector, making it a defensive investment option [6]. - **Theme 3: High Prosperity in New Energy (Photovoltaics, Energy Storage)** - The new energy sector, a core part of the national energy strategy, has seen its valuations return to reasonable levels after adjustments, with domestic photovoltaic installations and energy storage projects exceeding expectations [7]. - The sector is expected to experience valuation recovery as industry chain prices stabilize and performance reports are released, particularly for leading companies with robust cash flows [7]. Group 3: Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to focus on the identified main themes and avoid frequent stock changes, as patience and the right selection are crucial for capitalizing on post-holiday market opportunities [8].

Core Viewpoint - Zhanjiang's business development has shown resilience and growth, with significant achievements in 2025, setting a strong foundation for the upcoming "15th Five-Year Plan" period [1][3]. Group 1: Consumption Market Performance - In 2025, Zhanjiang's total retail sales of social consumer goods reached 162.06 billion yuan, growing by 2.8%, maintaining its position among the top six in the province for five consecutive years [6]. - The "old-for-new" policy directly boosted sales by approximately 4.67 billion yuan, with retail sales of furniture and home appliances increasing by over 500% and 286% respectively [6]. - Online retail sales grew by 16.4%, ranking fifth in the province, indicating sustained consumer vitality [6]. Group 2: Foreign Trade and Investment - In 2025, the total import and export volume reached 62.86 billion yuan, with an average annual growth of 7.5% during the "14th Five-Year Plan," surpassing the provincial average [8]. - Actual foreign investment during the "14th Five-Year Plan" totaled 15.58 billion yuan, ranking first in the northern and western regions of Guangdong, reflecting a steady improvement in the level of openness [8]. Group 3: Collaborative Development and Trade Facilitation - Zhanjiang Comprehensive Bonded Zone has achieved over 8 billion yuan in cumulative import and export volume since its operation, showcasing effective collaboration and innovation [9]. - The number of open berths at Zhanjiang Port has increased to 58, leading the northern and western regions of Guangdong, with the implementation of a "parallel port" smart logistics model significantly enhancing shipping efficiency [12]. Group 4: County-Level Commercial Upgrades and Cultural Tourism - New counties, including Xiamen and Wuchuan, have been selected for national-level county commercial construction actions, indicating a focus on upgrading local commerce [13]. - The integration of cultural tourism and dining has been exemplified by the selection of Lianjiang's Anpu Food Town as a provincial-level typical case, enhancing local economic vitality [13]. Group 5: Strategic Focus for 2026 - In 2026, Zhanjiang's business system will focus on five key areas to achieve a strong start for the "15th Five-Year Plan," aiming to boost consumption and attract investment [15]. - Initiatives will include promoting local products nationally, enhancing cross-border e-commerce, and expanding international cooperation through participation in key trade fairs [21][23]. - Efforts will be made to ensure a stable supply of essential goods and maintain price stability, contributing to a secure market environment [29].

Core Viewpoint - The "Jiang Shanshan" cultural tourism food truck is introduced as an innovative project to promote Xinjiang's culinary culture and enhance cultural exchange in the Greater Bay Area [5][18]. Group 1: Project Introduction - The "Jiang Shanshan" food truck serves as a cultural ambassador, showcasing Xinjiang's unique culinary offerings such as grilled meat, steamed buns, and milk tea [8][9]. - The project aims to integrate food experience, cultural dissemination, and urban empowerment, highlighting the authentic flavors of Xinjiang [9][10]. Group 2: Event Highlights - During the "Jiang Products Southward, Cantonese Products Northward" event in Guangzhou, consumers eagerly lined up to taste Xinjiang's authentic dishes [12][13]. - Feedback from attendees indicates a strong appreciation for the food, with specific mentions of the crispy outer layer of the buns and the nostalgic aroma of Xinjiang milk tea [14][15]. Group 3: Market Expansion - The food truck has successfully launched in multiple cities, including Shenzhen and Shanghai, establishing itself as a vital link between Xinjiang and the provinces supporting it [21][24]. - There is significant interest from buyers in further collaboration with the Xinjiang cultural tourism company to explore innovative marketing strategies for Xinjiang products in the Greater Bay Area [28][29].

Core Insights - The Ministry of Commerce and other departments have issued a notification outlining 19 measures to expand service consumption, indicating a shift from strategic positioning to practical implementation [1] - The measures include exploring the establishment of spring and autumn breaks for primary and secondary schools, increasing service consumption time for tourism, and supporting cross-industry IP cooperation and the introduction of foreign sports events [1] - Analysts believe that the combination of clear subsidy directions and financial support will stimulate the IP economy, event economy, and AI+ consumption, while also providing subsidies to residents from the demand side and reducing costs and improving efficiency from the supply side [1] Industry Analysis - The CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumption Theme Index includes a range of new consumption leaders, with service-oriented consumption accounting for over 50%, covering sectors such as cultural tourism, dining, sports goods, medical beauty, and freshly brewed tea [1] - The current rolling price-to-earnings ratio of the index is 22 times, positioned at the 24.5% percentile since its launch in 2020, indicating emerging investment value [1] - The E Fund Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumption ETF (513070) has the lowest management fee rate of 0.15% per year among stock ETFs and supports T+0 trading, providing investors with opportunities to capitalize on service consumption investments [1]

Group 1 - The positive changes in the consumption market will benefit the valuation recovery of the consumption sector, enhancing performance growth expectations for companies supported by policy and market demand [1] - The investment attractiveness of the consumption sector is expected to increase further, boosting investor confidence and attracting more capital inflow [1] Group 2 - In July, the PPI decline in industries such as coal, steel, cement, photovoltaic, and lithium batteries has narrowed, while CPI for fuel and new energy vehicles has stabilized after several months of decline [2] - To consolidate the foundation for moderate price recovery, it is necessary to strengthen policy coordination on both supply and demand sides, promoting industrial upgrades and demand creation [2] - On the supply side, improving standards for technology, energy consumption, and emissions is essential to phase out outdated capacity and replace it with high-quality capacity [2] Group 3 - The new consumption sector is expected to further contribute to domestic demand, particularly through the acceleration of service consumption potential, innovation in consumption scenarios and channels, and the emergence of the emotional economy [3] - The "self-care economy" trend is driving growth in new sectors such as light luxury, trendy toys, pet care, and fitness, becoming new engines for industrial upgrades and economic growth [3] Group 4 - The implementation of policies like "old for new" has led to positive changes in the consumption market, with suggestions to expand subsidy coverage to essential goods and services [4] - The focus should also be on balancing the pace of subsidy distribution to ensure policy continuity and optimize financial support and tax incentives [4] - The emotional economy-related sectors in the A-share market have shown active performance, indicating high market recognition of their growth potential [4] Group 5 - The younger consumer group increasingly values "emotional value" and "cultural identity," making "emotional price ratio" a significant factor in their purchasing decisions [5] - The rise of national brands and cultural exports is driving high growth in sectors like trendy toys and IP derivatives, with companies that possess brand advantages and innovation capabilities standing out [5]