标:安安期货客户中的专业投资者，请勿同读、订阅或接收任何相关信息。本内容不拘成具体业务的排价，亦不应被视为任何投资、法律、会计或税务建议，且本公司不会因装放人以到 体内容而规具为客户。本内容的信息来源于公开资料，本公司对这些信息的准朝性、完整性及未来变更的可能往不作任何保证。请您根据自身的风险承受微力作出投资决定并自主承担 投资风险、不应凭借本内容进行具体操作、本公司不对目使用本内容而造成的损失承担任何责任、除非劳有说职。本公司拥有本内容的组织和/流英地相关知识产权。 法坚本公司事先 书面许可。任何单位或个人不得以任何方式复制、转载、引用、刊登、发表、发行、修改、翻译此报告的全部或部分内容。 | 有色及贵金属日度数据简报 | 2026/2/6 | 李先飞 | 王蓉 | 刘雨萱 | Z0012691 | Z0020476 | Z0002529 | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 国泰君安期货研究所有 | jixia ...

齐鲁晚报·齐鲁壹点 李楠楠 吕奇 闫丽君 于洋 王琳 编者按： 2026年是"十五五"规划的开局之年，今年烟台两会期间，齐鲁晚报·齐鲁壹点烟台融媒中心特别策划推 出《关键之为·焦点圆桌》栏目，邀请代表委员针对政府工作报告中2026年的重点工作，解读开局之年 的"关键之为"。 今年政府工作报告中，构建"三级五集群"产业新格局引发广泛关注。什么是三级五集群？新产业 （300832）布局背后藏着怎样的战略考量？三级五集群又将如何精准发力，重塑烟台产业竞争新优势？ 今年两会期间，代表委员热议烟台产业升级的新路径。 他们眼中的"三级五集群"不再是抽象概念，而是烟台在"十五五"开局之年的关键落子。这一新格局的提 出，标志着烟台产业政策从粗放式布局转向精准化分层施治，针对不同发展阶段的产业集群实施差异化 策略，试图通过产业结构系统性重构，培育新质生产力。 战略框架：三级梯队瞄准产业跃迁 以上三重瓶颈，分别从集群生态、企业能力、产业基础三个层面，系统性地揭示了构建"三级五集群"产 业格局在实施中必须精准破解的深层障碍。 突破路径：系统施策推动产业升级 "烟台'三级五集群'产业新格局是'十五五'期间的核心战略布局。"烟台市政协 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - For stocks, with the entry of incremental funds at the beginning of the year, the financing scale has increased significantly, and the market trading volume has rapidly expanded. In the long - term, the policy support for the capital market remains unchanged. Strategically, the idea of buying on dips is recommended [4]. - For bonds, the improvement of economic expectations may put pressure on the bond market, but the sustainability of economic recovery momentum needs to be observed. The central bank's attitude of caring for funds remains, and the bond market is expected to be volatile and weak [8]. - For precious metals, if the silver price stabilizes, it will continue a new upward trend, and the driving force for the gold price remains strong. It is recommended to pay attention to the support of gold and silver prices around the BCOM and tariff adjustment nodes and buy on dips after short - term negative factors end [10]. - For non - ferrous metals, most metal prices are expected to be volatile. For example, copper prices are expected to fluctuate and consolidate in the short term; aluminum prices are expected to remain high; zinc and lead prices are expected to fluctuate widely following the sentiment of the non - ferrous sector [13][15][18]. - For black building materials, steel prices are expected to continue to fluctuate at the bottom; iron ore prices are expected to fluctuate at a relatively high level; glass and soda ash markets are generally weak; coking coal and coke prices are expected to fluctuate in a range [32][34][37]. - For energy and chemicals, different products have different trends. For example, rubber is recommended to be treated neutrally; the valuation of heavy - quality oil products is raised; methanol has the feasibility of buying on dips; urea is recommended to take profits on rallies [55][57][59]. - For agricultural products, the short - term trend of hog prices is expected to be stable or slightly rising, and different trading strategies are recommended for different contract periods; egg prices are expected to be stable or rising, and different strategies are also recommended for different contract periods [79][80][81]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Macro - financial 3.1.1 Stock Index - **Market Information**: China Chamber of Commerce for Import and Export of Machinery and Electronic Products promoted a "soft landing" of the EU's anti - subsidy case on electric vehicles; Lihong No.1 completed its first sub - orbital flight test; Brain - Machine Haihe Laboratory completed the first "space brain - machine interface experiment"; prices of multiple non - ferrous and precious metal futures reached new highs [2]. - **Basis Ratio of Stock Index Futures**: Different ratios are provided for IF, IC, IM, and IH contracts in different periods [3]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: With incremental funds entering at the beginning of the year, the financing scale has increased significantly, and the market trading volume has rapidly expanded. In the long - term, the policy support for the capital market remains unchanged. Strategically, the idea of buying on dips is recommended [4]. 3.1.2 Treasury Bonds - **Market Information**: On Monday, the closing prices of TL, T, TF, and TS main contracts changed by 0.30%, 0.07%, 0.05%, and 0.00% respectively. The Canadian Prime Minister will visit China, and the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments issued relevant policies on government investment funds [5]. - **Liquidity**: The central bank conducted 861 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations on Monday, with a net investment of 361 billion yuan [6][7]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The improvement of economic expectations may put pressure on the bond market, but the sustainability of economic recovery momentum needs to be observed. The central bank's attitude of caring for funds remains, and the bond market is expected to be volatile and weak [8]. 3.1.3 Precious Metals - **Market Information**: Shanghai gold rose 1.31%, and Shanghai silver rose 7.23%. The US federal prosecutor launched a criminal investigation into Fed Chairman Powell, which impacted the Fed's independence [9]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: If the silver price stabilizes, it will continue a new upward trend, and the driving force for the gold price remains strong. It is recommended to pay attention to the support of gold and silver prices around the BCOM and tariff adjustment nodes and buy on dips after short - term negative factors end [10]. 3.2 Non - ferrous Metals 3.2.1 Copper - **Market Information**: Silver prices were strong, and the domestic equity market strengthened, driving copper prices to rise. LME copper inventory decreased, and domestic electrolytic copper social inventory increased [12]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The Fed's interest - rate cut expectation has weakened, and short - term sentiment may cool down. The copper mine supply is in a tight pattern, and copper prices are expected to fluctuate and consolidate in the short term [13]. 3.2.2 Aluminum - **Market Information**: The general atmosphere of bulk commodities was strong, and aluminum prices fluctuated and rose. LME aluminum inventory decreased, and domestic aluminum ingot and aluminum rod social inventories increased [14]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The high - level fluctuations of precious metals and non - ferrous metals have increased, and short - term sentiment may cool down. Aluminum prices are expected to remain high [15]. 3.2.3 Zinc - **Market Information**: The Shanghai zinc index rose, and LME zinc also increased. Zinc ingot social inventory decreased slightly [16][17]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The zinc price has a large room for catch - up compared with copper and aluminum. It is expected to fluctuate widely following the sentiment of the non - ferrous sector [18]. 3.2.4 Lead - **Market Information**: The Shanghai lead index rose, and LME lead also increased. Lead ingot social inventory increased [19]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The lead price is approaching the upper edge of the long - term oscillation range, and it is expected to fluctuate widely following the sentiment of the non - ferrous sector [19]. 3.2.5 Nickel - **Market Information**: Nickel prices rebounded, and the prices of nickel ore and nickel iron also changed accordingly [20]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The oversupply pressure of nickel is still large, and it is expected to fluctuate widely in the short term. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term [20][21]. 3.2.6 Tin - **Market Information**: Tin prices rose significantly. The supply in Myanmar is gradually recovering, and the demand is mainly for rigid needs [22]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The tin market demand is weak, and the supply is expected to improve. It is recommended to wait and see. The price is expected to fluctuate following the market risk preference [22]. 3.2.7 Carbonate Lithium - **Market Information**: The spot index of carbonate lithium rose, and the futures price also increased [23]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The "rush to export" effect has increased the demand expectation, but the rapid rise may increase the callback risk. It is recommended to wait and see or try with a light position [23]. 3.2.8 Alumina - **Market Information**: The alumina index rose, and the inventory continued to accumulate [24]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The mine price is expected to decline, and the alumina market continues to face over - capacity. It is recommended to wait and see and consider shorting on rallies [25]. 3.2.9 Stainless Steel - **Market Information**: The stainless steel main contract price was stable, and the social inventory decreased [26]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The optimistic expectation of Indonesia's RKAB supports the price. The price is expected to remain high and volatile in the short term [27]. 3.2.10 Casting Aluminum Alloy - **Market Information**: The price of casting aluminum alloy rose, and the inventory increased slightly [28]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The cost is strong, and the supply is disturbed. The price is expected to remain high in the short term [29]. 3.3 Black Building Materials 3.3.1 Steel - **Market Information**: The prices of rebar and hot - rolled coil increased, and the inventory of rebar increased slightly while that of hot - rolled coil decreased slightly [31]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The steel price is expected to continue to fluctuate at the bottom. It is necessary to pay attention to the de - stocking of hot - rolled coil and relevant policies [32]. 3.3.2 Iron Ore - **Market Information**: The iron ore main contract price rose, and the port inventory continued to accumulate [33]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The overseas iron ore shipment is in the off - season, and the iron ore price is expected to fluctuate at a relatively high level. It is necessary to pay attention to the steel mill's replenishment and iron - making rhythm [34]. 3.3.3 Glass and Soda Ash - **Market Information**: The glass main contract price decreased slightly, and the inventory decreased. The soda ash main contract price increased, and the inventory increased [35][37]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The glass price is expected to fluctuate, and it is recommended to wait and see. The soda ash market is generally weak [36][37]. 3.3.4 Coking Coal and Coke - **Market Information**: The prices of coking coal and coke rose. The spot prices of coking coal and coke also changed [38]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The commodity market sentiment is positive, but the fundamental support for the price is limited. The price is expected to fluctuate in a range [40][41]. 3.3.5 Manganese Silicon and Ferrosilicon - **Market Information**: The prices of manganese silicon and ferrosilicon rose. The spot prices also changed [42]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The future market trend is mainly affected by the overall market sentiment and cost factors. It is recommended to pay attention to manganese ore and "dual - carbon" policies [45]. 3.3.6 Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon - **Market Information**: The price of industrial silicon rose slightly, and the price of polysilicon decreased. The inventory of industrial silicon may increase, and the supply of polysilicon may be adjusted [46][48]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: Industrial silicon is expected to face inventory pressure, and polysilicon is expected to be weak and volatile. It is necessary to pay attention to relevant policies and production plans [47][49]. 3.4 Energy and Chemicals 3.4.1 Rubber - **Market Information**: The rubber price fluctuated and rebounded. The tire start - up rate had marginal fluctuations, and the inventory increased [51][53]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The overall commodity atmosphere is positive, but the rubber seasonality is weak. A neutral strategy is recommended, and short - selling can be considered if the price falls below a certain level [55]. 3.4.2 Crude Oil - **Market Information**: The main contract price of INE crude oil rose, and the inventories of refined oil products changed [56]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The Latin American geopolitical situation does not have enough positive impact on the overall oil price, but the valuation of heavy - quality oil products is raised [57]. 3.4.3 Methanol - **Market Information**: The regional spot prices of methanol changed, and the main contract price decreased [58]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The current valuation of methanol is low, and it has the feasibility of buying on dips [59]. 3.4.4 Urea - **Market Information**: The regional spot prices of urea changed slightly, and the main contract price increased [60]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The import window has opened, and it is recommended to take profits on rallies [62]. 3.4.5 Pure Benzene and Styrene - **Market Information**: The prices of pure benzene and styrene rose. The inventory of pure benzene increased, and the inventory of styrene decreased [63]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The non - integrated profit of styrene can be long - bought before the first quarter [64]. 3.4.6 PVC - **Market Information**: The PVC main contract price rose, and the inventory increased [65]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The domestic PVC market has a pattern of strong supply and weak demand. It is recommended to short on rallies [66]. 3.4.7 Ethylene Glycol - **Market Information**: The ethylene glycol main contract price rose, and the inventory increased [67]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The ethylene glycol market needs to increase production cuts to improve the supply - demand pattern. It is necessary to beware of rebound risks [68]. 3.4.8 PTA - **Market Information**: The PTA main contract price rose, and the inventory decreased [69]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The PTA is expected to enter the Spring Festival inventory - accumulation stage. It is recommended to pay attention to long - buying opportunities on dips [70]. 3.4.9 p - Xylene - **Market Information**: The p - xylene main contract price rose, and the inventory decreased [71][72]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The p - xylene load is high, and it is recommended to pay attention to long - buying opportunities following the crude oil price [73]. 3.4.10 Polyethylene (PE) - **Market Information**: The PE main contract price rose, and the inventory increased [74]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The PE price may be supported, and it is recommended to long - buy the LL5 - 9 spread on dips [75]. 3.4.11 Polypropylene (PP) - **Market Information**: The PP main contract price rose, and the inventory situation was complex [76]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The PP price may bottom out in the first quarter of next year [77]. 3.5 Agricultural Products 3.5.1 Hogs - **Market Information**: The domestic hog price was mixed, and the price may stabilize or rise slightly [79]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The short - term hog price may support the futures price, but in the medium - term, supply pressure exists. Different trading strategies are recommended for different contract periods [80]. 3.5.2 Eggs - **Market Information**: The national egg price mostly rose, and the price is expected to be stable or rise [81]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The short - term egg price may support the futures price, but in the medium - term, supply pressure exists. Different trading strategies are recommended for different contract periods [82]. 3.5.3 Soybean and Rapeseed Meal - **Market Information**: The protein meal futures price fluctuated. The import cost of soybeans may have a bottom, but the fundamental situation is weak [83][84]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: It is recommended to wait and see in the short term due to the combination of long - and short - term factors [84]. 3.5.4 Oils and Fats - **Market Information**: The oil futures price fluctuated. The palm oil inventory in Malaysia increased, and the domestic three - major oil inventories were at a relatively high level [85][86]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The current fundamental situation is weak, but the long - term expectation is optimistic. The oil price may be close to the bottom [86]. 3.5.5 Sugar - **Market Information**: The Zhengzhou sugar futures price fluctuated. The spot price of sugar decreased slightly [87]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The international sugar price may rebound after February, and it is recommended to wait and see in the short term [89]. 3.5.6 Cotton - **Market Information**: The Zhengzhou cotton futures price decreased. The cotton supply and demand situation changed [90]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The cotton price may fluctuate after rising. It is recommended to wait for a callback to buy [91].

Core Insights - Yantai aims to become a model city for green, low-carbon, and high-quality development, showcasing significant achievements in the economy and people's livelihoods by 2025 [1] Economic Growth - In 2023, Yantai became the first city in northern China to surpass a GDP of 1 trillion yuan, with a GDP growth of 6.4% in the first three quarters of 2025, leading among 27 trillion-yuan cities nationwide and 16 cities in the province [1] - From January to October, the city's industrial added value increased by 13.9%, and industrial technological transformation investment grew by 29.1%, indicating a simultaneous renewal of both incremental and stock growth [2] Industrial Transformation - Yantai has established a modern industrial structure categorized into three levels: - Level one focuses on optimizing five leading industry clusters: green chemicals, non-ferrous and precious metals, equipment manufacturing, deep processing of food, and modern services - Level two aims to cultivate five emerging industry clusters: electronic information, advanced structural materials, biomedicine, clean energy, and commercial aerospace - Level three anticipates future industry clusters in intelligent robotics, smart connected vehicles, low-altitude intelligent navigation, cell and gene therapy, and comprehensive utilization of hydrogen energy and LNG [2] Innovation Ecosystem - The transformation speed from laboratory to production line is a key measure of the effectiveness of Yantai's innovation ecosystem, exemplified by the Shandong Provincial Laboratory for Advanced Materials and Green Manufacturing, which has generated a sales increase of 1 billion yuan for partner companies and attracted 11 incubated companies [3] Green Development - Yantai has achieved a 20.9% cumulative reduction in energy intensity over the past three years and has met energy-saving and carbon reduction targets for 19 consecutive years [4] - The city has made significant strides in clean energy, being the first in Shandong to generate nuclear power and offshore wind power, and has established the largest tidal flat solar storage power station in the country [4] Social Impact - The integration of green low-carbon transformation with improvements in living standards has been a focus, with projects like the Haiyang nuclear heating project providing zero-carbon heating to hundreds of thousands of households [4] - The city has enhanced green travel and digital living, with smart city initiatives making services more accessible and improving commuting efficiency [4] Overall Transformation - The new quality productivity has led to a comprehensive, deep, and systematic evolution of Yantai, characterized by innovation-driven, green low-carbon, and people-centered development paths [5] - This transformation has resulted in higher development quality, better industrial structure, improved ecological environment, and enhanced public welfare, positioning Yantai as a more creative, competitive, and happier city [5]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the document Core Viewpoints - Not provided in the document Summary by Metals Gold (AU) - On December 11, 2025, the closing price of Shanghai Gold's main contract was 957.90 yuan/gram, down 3.32 yuan from the previous trading day, up 1.50 yuan from last month, and up 1.50 yuan from last week [1] - The closing price of COMEX gold's main contract was 4258.30 US dollars/ounce, up 21.70 US dollars from the previous trading day, up 19.60 US dollars from last week [1] - The spot price of London gold was 4195.78 US dollars/ounce, down 19.20 US dollars from the previous trading day, down 9.82 US dollars from last month, and down 5.65 US dollars from last week [1] Silver (AG) - On December 11, 2025, the closing price of Shanghai Silver's main contract was 115 yuan/kilogram, with a previous trading - day value of 14488 yuan/kilogram, up 1.064 yuan from last week, and up 1.900 yuan from last month [1] - The closing price of COMEX silver's main contract was 9.97 US dollars/ounce, up 1.04 US dollars from the previous trading day, up 62.20 US dollars from last month, and up 4.67 US dollars from last week [1] - The spot price of London silver was 2.41 US dollars/ounce, up 2.67 US dollars from the previous trading day, up 9.50 US dollars from last month, and up 61.04 US dollars from last week [1] Copper (CU, BC) - On December 11, 2025, the closing price of Shanghai Copper's main contract was 92210 yuan/ton, up 1.230 yuan from the previous trading day, up 360 yuan from last month, and up 4.660 yuan from last week [1] - The closing price of LME copper 3M (at 15:00) was 11619.00 US dollars/ton, up 143.00 US dollars from last month, and up 655.00 US dollars from last week [1] - The inventory of Shanghai Copper's warehouse receipts was 31461 tons, down 2,530 tons from the previous trading day, down 678 tons from last month, and down 12,496 tons from last week [1] Aluminum and Alumina (AL, AO) - On December 11, 2025, the closing price of Shanghai Aluminum's main contract was 21970 yuan/ton, down 90 yuan from the previous trading day, down 80 yuan from last week, and up 35 yuan from last month [1] - The closing price of Alumina's main contract was 2469 yuan/ton, down 8 yuan from last week [1] - The closing price of LME aluminum 3M (at 15:00) was 2873.00 US dollars/ton, up 5.00 US dollars from the previous trading day, down 29.00 US dollars from last week, and down 25.00 US dollars from last month [1] Zinc (ZN) - On December 11, 2025, the closing price of Shanghai Zinc's main contract was 22995 yuan/ton, up 255 yuan from last month, up 130 yuan from last week, and down 80 yuan from the previous trading day [1] - The closing price of LME zinc 3M (at 15:00) was 3088 US dollars/ton, up 27 US dollars from last week, and down 16 US dollars from last month [1] - The inventory of Shanghai Zinc's warehouse receipts was 52802 tons, down 9,226 tons from the previous trading day, down 19,350 tons from last week, and down 1,968 tons from last month [1] Lead (PB) - On December 11, 2025, the closing price of Shanghai Lead's main contract was 17155 yuan/ton, down 90 yuan from the previous trading day, down 495 yuan from last week, and up 40 yuan from last month [1] - The closing price of LME lead 3M (at 15:00) was 1990.00 US dollars/ton, down 15.00 US dollars from last week, and down 98.50 US dollars from last month [1] - The inventory of Shanghai Lead's warehouse receipts was 2.282 tons, down 8,113 tons from last week, and up 1.158 tons from last month [1] Nickel and Stainless Steel (NI, SS) - On December 11, 2025, the closing price of Shanghai Nickel's main contract was 115870 yuan/ton, down 1,220 yuan from the previous trading day, down 1,890 yuan from last week, and down 3,060 yuan from last month [1] - The closing price of Stainless Steel's main contract was 12500 yuan/ton, up 25 yuan from the previous trading day, up 12500 yuan from last month, and up 75 yuan from last week [1] - The closing price of LME nickel 3M (at 15:00) was 14645 US dollars/ton, down 245 US dollars from the previous trading day, down 145 US dollars from last week, and down 410 US dollars from last month [1] Tin (SN) - On December 11, 2025, the closing price of Shanghai Tin's main contract was 320600 yuan/ton, down 2,030 yuan from the previous trading day, up 4.370 yuan from last week, and up 22,460 yuan from last month [1] - The closing price of LME tin 3M (at 15:00) was 40435 US dollars/ton, down 345 US dollars from the previous trading day, up 225 US dollars from last week, and up 2.845 US dollars from last month [1] - The inventory of Shanghai Tin's warehouse receipts was 7024 tons, down 127 tons from the previous trading day, up 448 tons from last week, and up 1.326 tons from last month [1]

Group 1: Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Group 2: Core View - No explicit core view presented in the report. It mainly provides day - to - day data on various non - ferrous and precious metals. Group 3: Summary by Metal Categories Gold (AU) - **Prices**: On 2025/9/24, the closing price of SHFE gold main contract was 5.28 yuan/gram lower than before, at 854.72 yuan/gram. COMEX gold main contract closed at 3768.50 dollars/ounce. London gold spot price was 362.08 dollars/ounce on 2025/9/24 [1] - **Basis**: Domestic basis (gold T + D - main contract) was - 850.99 yuan/gram, and overseas basis (LBMA gold spot - COMEX AU01) was 19.80 dollars/ounce on 2025/9/24 [1] Silver (AG) - **Prices**: On 2025/9/25, the closing price of SHFE silver main contract was 10411 yuan/kilogram. COMEX silver main contract closed at 2.02 dollars/ounce. London silver spot price was 2.61 dollars/ounce [1] - **Basis**: Domestic basis (AG(T + D)-main contract) was - 20 yuan/gram, and overseas basis (LBMA silver spot - COMEX AG01) was 0.74 dollars/ounce on 2025/9/25 [1] Copper (CU, BC) - **Prices**: On 2025/9/25, the closing price of SHFE copper main contract was 82710 yuan/ton, and that of international copper main contract was 73450 yuan/ton. LME copper 3M closed at 522.00 dollars/ton [1] - **Spreads and Premiums**: SHFE copper monthly spread (CU00 - CU01) was - 90 yuan/ton. LME copper 0 - 3 spread was - 31.37 dollars/ton. SMM1 electrolytic copper price changes were also provided, and various regional and spot premiums were detailed [1] - **Inventories**: SHFE copper warehouse receipts inventory was 27419 tons on 2025/9/25. LME copper warehouse receipts inventory was 144775 tons, with a decrease [1] - **Import Profits and Losses**: Copper spot import profit and loss was - 310.51 yuan/ton, and 3M import profit and loss was - 335.51 yuan/ton [1] Aluminum and Alumina (AL, AO) - **Prices**: On 2025/9/25, the closing price of SHFE aluminum main contract was 20765 yuan/ton, and that of alumina main contract was 2942 yuan/ton. LME aluminum 3M closed at 2647.50 dollars/ton [1] - **Spreads and Premiums**: SHFE aluminum monthly spread (AL00 - AL01) was - 5 yuan/ton. LME aluminum 0 - 3 spread was - 3 dollars/ton. Regional spot premiums for electrolytic aluminum and alumina were provided [1] - **Inventories**: SHFE aluminum warehouse receipts inventory was 67736 tons on 2025/9/25. Alumina warehouse receipts inventory was 149211 tons [1] - **Profits**: Alumina plant profit was - 214.07 yuan/ton, and electrolytic aluminum plant smelting profit was 99.86 yuan/ton [1] Zinc (ZN) - **Prices**: On 2025/9/25, the closing price of SHFE zinc main contract was 22045 yuan/ton. LME zinc 3M closed at 2925 dollars/ton [1] - **Spreads and Premiums**: SHFE zinc monthly spread (ZN00 - ZN01) was - 5 yuan/ton. LME zinc 0 - 3 spread was 47.37 dollars/ton. Regional spot premiums and import premiums were provided [1] - **Inventories**: SHFE zinc warehouse receipts inventory was 21320 tons on 2025/9/25. LME zinc warehouse receipts inventory decreased [1] - **Profits and Losses**: Refined zinc spot import profit and loss was - 2837.92 yuan/ton, and 3M import profit and loss was - 2324.93 yuan/ton. Refined zinc plant smelting profit was - 112.00 yuan/ton [1] Lead (PB) - **Prices**: On 2025/9/25, the closing price of SHFE lead main contract was 17090 yuan/ton. LME lead 3M closed at 2004.00 dollars/ton [1] - **Spreads and Premiums**: SHFE lead monthly spread (PB00 - PB01) was - 10 yuan/ton. LME lead 0 - 3 spread was 2.05 dollars/ton. Refined lead Shanghai premium was - 10 yuan/ton [1] - **Inventories**: SHFE lead warehouse receipts inventory decreased, and LME lead warehouse receipts inventory also decreased [1] - **Profits and Losses**: Refined lead spot import profit and loss was - 96.35 yuan/ton, and 3M import profit and loss was - 32.22 yuan/ton. Regenerated lead plant smelting profit was - 71.20 yuan/ton [1] Nickel and Stainless Steel (NI, SS) - **Prices**: On 2025/9/25, the closing price of SHFE nickel main contract was 122990 yuan/ton, and that of stainless steel main contract was 12930 yuan/ton. LME nickel 3M closed at 15445 dollars/ton [1] - **Spreads and Premiums**: SHFE nickel monthly spread (NI00 - NI01) was - 90 yuan/ton. Stainless steel monthly spread (SS00 - SS01) was - 125 yuan/ton. Regional spot premiums for nickel were provided [1] - **Inventories**: SHFE nickel warehouse receipts inventory was 24971 tons on 2025/9/25. Stainless steel warehouse receipts inventory decreased [1] - **Profits and Losses**: Refined nickel spot import profit and loss was - 332.17 yuan/ton, and 3M import profit and loss was - 92.25 yuan/ton [1] Tin (SN) - **Prices**: On 2025/9/25, the closing price of SHFE tin main contract was 273710 yuan/ton. LME tin 3M closed at - 160 dollars/ton [1] - **Spreads and Premiums**: SHFE tin monthly spread (SNOO - SN01) was - 390 yuan/ton. LME tin 0 - 3 spread was - 33 dollars/ton. Regional spot premium in Shanghai was - 200 yuan/ton [1] - **Inventories**: SHFE tin warehouse receipts inventory decreased, and LME tin warehouse receipts inventory was 2695 tons [1] - **Profits and Losses**: Refined tin spot import profit and loss was - 1031.35 yuan/ton, and tin ore processing fee was 12000 yuan/ton [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report. 2. Core View of the Report - Not provided in the report. 3. Summary by Related Categories Gold (AU) - On August 7, 2025, the closing price of SHFE gold main contract was 785.02 yuan/gram, with a change of 1.34 yuan compared to the previous trading day [1]. - The closing price of COMEX gold main contract was 3431.80 US dollars/ounce, down 3.20 US dollars from the previous day [1]. - The spot price of London gold was -1.93 US dollars/ounce, and the spot price of SGE gold was 779.52 yuan/gram, down 1.44 yuan [1]. Silver (AG) - On August 7, 2025, the closing price of SHFE silver main contract was 9258 yuan/kilogram, up 76 yuan from the previous trading day [1]. - The closing price of COMEX silver main contract was 0.10 US dollars/ounce, and the spot price of London silver was 37.78 US dollars/ounce, up 0.43 US dollars [1]. - The spot price of SGE silver was 96 yuan/kilogram, and the domestic basis (AG(T+D) - main contract) was -11 yuan/gram [1]. Copper (CU, BC) - On August 7, 2025, the closing price of SHFE copper (CU) main contract was 78460 yuan/ton, up 180 yuan from the previous trading day [1]. - The closing price of international copper (BC) main contract was 69630 yuan/ton, up 160 yuan [1]. - The closing price of LME copper 3M (15:00) was 9701.50 US dollars/ton, up 34.00 US dollars [1]. Aluminum and Alumina (AL, AO) - On August 7, 2025, the closing price of SHFE aluminum (AL) main contract was 20750 yuan/ton, up 100 yuan from the previous trading day [1]. - The closing price of alumina (AO) main contract was 3211 yuan/ton, down 30 yuan [1]. - The closing price of LME aluminum 3M (15:00) was 2631.00 US dollars/ton, up 56.00 US dollars [1]. Zinc (ZN) - On August 7, 2025, the closing price of SHFE zinc (ZN) main contract was 22580 yuan/ton, up 200 yuan from the previous trading day [1]. - The LME zinc 0 - 3 spread was -20.97 US dollars/ton, and the domestic regional spot premiums varied in different areas [1]. - The SHFE zinc warehouse receipt inventory was 13822 tons, down 553 tons [1]. Lead (PB) - On August 7, 2025, the closing price of SHFE lead (PB) main contract was 16875 yuan/ton, up 20 yuan from the previous trading day [1]. - The refined lead spot import profit and loss was -524.20 yuan/ton, and the recycled lead smelting profit was 73.50 yuan/ton [1]. Nickel and Stainless Steel (NI, SS) - On August 7, 2025, the closing price of SHFE nickel (NI) main contract was 121850 yuan/ton, up 780 yuan from the previous trading day [1]. - The closing price of stainless steel (SS) main contract was 13000 yuan/ton, up 65 yuan [1]. - The LME nickel 3M closing price (15:00) was 15230 US dollars/ton [1]. Tin (SN) - On August 7, 2025, the closing price of SHFE tin (SN) main contract was 267940 yuan/ton, up 1000 yuan from the previous trading day [1]. - The LME tin 3M closing price (15:00) was 33565 US dollars/ton, up 180 US dollars [1]. - The SHFE tin warehouse receipt inventory was 7332 tons, down 26 tons [1].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Yantai's industrial economy has shown a strong upward trend in the first half of the year, characterized by rapid growth, stable industries, and robust momentum [1][2] - Yantai's industrial added value for enterprises above designated size increased by 13.4% year-on-year, outperforming the national and provincial averages by 7 and 5.7 percentage points respectively, and ranking first among national trillion-yuan cities [1] - The industrial electricity consumption in Yantai grew by 13.9% year-on-year, leading the province [1] Group 2 - The output value of six major trillion-yuan industries in Yantai increased by 13.9% year-on-year, with a 1.1 percentage point acceleration compared to the first quarter [2] - Key industries such as green petrochemicals, non-ferrous and precious metals, and electronic information maintained growth rates above 10% [2] - The industrial added value of the petroleum, coal, and other fuel processing industries, chemical raw materials and products manufacturing, computer communication and other electronic equipment manufacturing, and non-ferrous metal smelting and rolling industries grew by 7916.8%, 40.7%, 15.7%, and 5.7% respectively, collectively contributing 12.2 percentage points to the overall industrial added value growth [2] Group 3 - Yantai's leading enterprises are experiencing strong growth due to favorable factors such as project launches, capacity releases, and sufficient orders [2] - The city has successfully implemented 100 key technological transformation projects, completing an investment of 13.24 billion yuan, achieving 60.2% of the annual target [2] - Yantai has been recognized as a national pilot city for new-type technological transformation in manufacturing [2]

Group 1: Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. Group 2: Core Views - No core views are presented in the report. Group 3: Summary by Metal Types Gold (AU) - On July 14, 2025, the closing price of SHFE gold's main contract was 780.40 yuan/gram, a decrease of 1.00 yuan compared to the previous day [1]. - The closing price of COMEX gold's main contract was 3352.10 dollars/ounce, a decrease of 18.20 dollars compared to the previous day [1]. - The spot price of London gold was 3357.35 dollars/ounce, an increase of 13.27 dollars compared to the previous day [1]. Silver (AG) - On July 15, 2025, the closing price of SHFE silver's main contract was 9225 yuan/kilogram, an increase of 272 yuan compared to the previous week [1]. - The closing price of COMEX silver's main contract was 38.41 dollars/ounce, a decrease of 0.67 dollars compared to the previous day [1]. - The spot price of London silver was 2.75 dollars/ounce, an increase of 0.13 dollars compared to the previous day [1]. Copper (CU, BC) - On July 15, 2025, the closing price of SHFE copper's main contract was 78090 yuan/ton, a decrease of 310 yuan compared to the previous day [1]. - The closing price of LME copper 3M was 9646.00 dollars/ton, a decrease of 27.00 dollars compared to the previous day [1]. - The inventory of SHFE copper's warehouse receipts was 50133 tons, a decrease of 4408 tons compared to the previous day [1]. Aluminum and Alumina (AL, AO) - On July 15, 2025, the closing price of SHFE aluminum's main contract was 20430 yuan/ton, a decrease of 95 yuan compared to the previous day [1]. - The closing price of alumina's main contract was 3165 yuan/ton, an increase of 305 yuan compared to the previous day [1]. - The inventory of SHFE aluminum's warehouse receipts was 22610 tons, a decrease of 69828 tons compared to the previous day [1]. Zinc (ZN) - On July 15, 2025, the closing price of SHFE zinc's main contract was 22085 yuan/ton, an increase of 35 yuan compared to the previous day [1]. - The closing price of LME zinc 3M was 2712 dollars/ton, a decrease of 28 dollars compared to the previous day [1]. - The inventory of SHFE zinc's warehouse receipts was 11184 tons, an increase of 3235 tons compared to the previous day [1]. Lead (PB) - On July 15, 2025, the closing price of SHFE lead's main contract was 16930 yuan/ton, a decrease of 230 yuan compared to the previous day [1]. - The closing price of LME lead 3M was 1988.50 dollars/ton, a decrease of 59.00 dollars compared to the previous day [1]. - The inventory of SHFE lead's warehouse receipts was 13265 tons, a decrease of 58768 tons compared to the previous day [1]. Nickel and Stainless Steel (NI, SS) - On July 15, 2025, the closing price of SHFE nickel's main contract was 119380 yuan/ton, a decrease of 990 yuan compared to the previous day [1]. - The closing price of stainless steel's main contract was 12695 yuan/ton, an increase of 215 yuan compared to the previous day [1]. - The inventory of SHFE nickel's warehouse receipts was 722 tons, a decrease of 686 tons compared to the previous day [1]. Tin (SN) - On July 15, 2025, the closing price of SHFE tin's main contract was 263240 yuan/ton, a decrease of 3480 yuan compared to the previous day [1]. - The closing price of LME tin 3M was 33350 dollars/ton, a decrease of 350 dollars compared to the previous day [1]. - The inventory of SHFE tin's warehouse receipts was 242 tons, a decrease of 185 tons compared to the previous day [1].

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the provided content Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The fundamentals of the non - ferrous metals sector are strengthening. It is recommended to have more long - positions in copper and aluminum and short - positions in zinc, nickel, and tin [173][202] - In the second half of 2025, copper and aluminum are expected to be relatively strong, lead to fluctuate, and zinc, nickel, and tin to be weak [173] Group 3: Summary by Directory 01. Review of the Non - Ferrous Metals Sector in the First Half of the Year - Since the beginning of 2025, the trends of CRB metal and the composite index are similar, with narrowing volatility. The domestic and international prices of non - ferrous and precious metals are also similar. After adjusting for exchange rates, the prices of LME copper and SHFE copper show the same trend [7] - The price fluctuations of non - ferrous and precious metals vary. As of June 20, the order from strong to weak is: gold > silver > tin > copper > lead > aluminum > nickel > zinc, with gold rising by 28% and zinc falling by 11.38% [7] - Macroeconomic factors still have a strong impact on prices. The consumption of non - ferrous metals is highly positively correlated with the economic cycle [14][26] - The relationship between overseas inventories of non - ferrous metals and prices is negative. Different metals show different price and inventory change characteristics [34] - There are correlations between the prices of mining ends and the overall metal prices, as well as between processing fees and prices for different metals [60] 02. Outlook on Allocation Strategies - Volatility indicators of gold, aluminum, tin, etc. provide trading opportunities. Different metals have different volatility trends, such as the volatility of COMEX gold falling but remaining at a high level, and the volatility of COMEX silver rising rapidly [74][86] - Through term spreads, it is found that gold and silver may follow macro - logic, while copper, aluminum and other varieties follow fundamental logic. Different metals have different price change rates, positive - spread annualized returns, and logical points [92] - The uncertainty of the US economy and tariff policies has not strongly influenced prices yet. The US economic data shows mixed signals, and tariff policies affect the export of non - ferrous metal - related products [95][107] - The consumption potential of South Asia, Southeast Asia and other regions is being released. Although affected by US tariff policies, some countries in these regions are implementing economic stimulus measures, and the copper consumption in some countries is increasing [115][123] - The domestic demand for non - ferrous metals is distributed in construction, power, transportation, home appliances, etc. Different metals have different end - use distributions [124][125] - In terms of power grid investment, the policy supports the development of the power grid, with increasing investment growth rates. Power investment is inclined towards the power grid, especially the distribution network [127][132] - In terms of durable goods consumption, policies support home appliance replacement and new - energy vehicle sales. The sales of traditional fuel vehicles are declining, while the sales of air - conditioners are expected to maintain growth [139][147] - The real estate market in China is showing signs of stabilization. Although still in a downward trend, the decline rates of investment, construction area, and completion area are narrowing [148] 03. Conclusions and Recommendations - The fundamentals of the non - ferrous metals sector are strengthening. It is recommended to have more long - positions in copper and aluminum and short - positions in zinc, nickel, and tin [173][202] - In the second half of 2025, copper and aluminum are expected to be relatively strong, lead to fluctuate, and zinc, nickel, and tin to be weak. Specific trading ideas and driving logics are provided for each metal [173] - The simulated yield curves of non - ferrous metal prices show different trends for different metals. Copper and aluminum are in a large Back structure, which is beneficial for long - position roll - overs [174][176] - For copper, in 2025, the global copper mine supply shortage is expected to intensify, and the refined copper supply may have a shortage in the second half of the year. The market trading atmosphere is still bullish, and inventories are at a relatively low level [189][192]