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5月物价数据解读:能源价格是主要拖累
CAITONG SECURITIES· 2025-06-09 08:32
Group 1: CPI and Core CPI Trends - In May, the CPI decreased by 0.1% year-on-year, maintaining the same decline as the previous month[10] - The core CPI year-on-year growth rate recorded 0.6%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points from last month[10] - The CPI month-on-month growth rate turned negative at -0.2%, a decrease of 0.3 percentage points from the previous month[10] Group 2: Energy Prices Impact - Energy prices fell by 1.7% month-on-month and decreased by 6.1% year-on-year, contributing approximately 0.13 and 0.47 percentage points to the CPI decline, respectively[10] - The oil and gas extraction industry saw prices drop by 5.6%, while refined petroleum product manufacturing prices fell by 3.5%[28] - The coal mining industry experienced a price decline of 3.0%, with coal processing prices down by 1.1%[28] Group 3: PPI Trends - The PPI year-on-year growth rate recorded -3.3%, with a decline of 0.6 percentage points compared to last month[24] - The PPI month-on-month decline remained at -0.4%, consistent with the previous month[26] - Production material prices decreased by 4.0% year-on-year, while living material prices saw a decline of 1.4%[24] Group 4: Consumer Demand and Price Changes - Consumer demand showed marginal improvement, with seven major categories of prices rising, except for transportation and communication, which fell by 4.3%[10] - Food prices decreased by 0.4% year-on-year, with fresh vegetables and eggs contributing to the decline[17] - Hotel accommodation and tourism prices increased by 4.6% and 0.8%, respectively, exceeding seasonal levels[20]
国家统计局城市司首席统计师董莉娟解读2025年5月份CPI和PPI数据
Guo Jia Tong Ji Ju· 2025-06-09 01:44
Group 1: CPI Analysis - In May, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreased by 0.2% month-on-month and by 0.1% year-on-year, while the core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased by 0.6%, with the growth rate expanding by 0.1 percentage points compared to the previous month [1][2][3] - The month-on-month decline in CPI was primarily driven by a 1.7% decrease in energy prices, which accounted for approximately 70% of the total decline in CPI [2] - Food prices fell by 0.2%, with seasonal vegetables seeing a 5.9% price drop, while prices for eggs, pork, and poultry slightly decreased by 0.3% to 1.0% [2][3] Group 2: PPI Analysis - The Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 0.4% month-on-month and by 3.3% year-on-year, with the year-on-year decline expanding by 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous month [1][4][5] - The month-on-month PPI decline was influenced by international factors, including a 5.6% drop in oil and gas extraction prices and a 3.5% decrease in refined oil product manufacturing prices [4] - Some sectors showed marginal price improvements, with consumer demand policies positively impacting prices in certain industries, such as a 12.8% increase in the price of arts and crafts and a 0.8% rise in footwear manufacturing [5]