Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent release of January CPI and PPI data by the National Bureau of Statistics, highlighting the importance of the five-year base period rotation and the transparency of data publication, which reflects changes in consumer spending patterns and impacts residents' perceptions of prices [5][6]. Group 1: CPI and PPI Data Analysis - In January 2026, the CPI increased by 0.2% year-on-year, a decrease of 0.6 percentage points from the previous month, primarily due to the timing of the Spring Festival [15]. - The PPI in January 2026 was -1.4%, an increase of 0.5 percentage points from the previous month, driven by rising international prices of non-ferrous metals due to investment in emerging industries like artificial intelligence [16]. - The article emphasizes the need for a combined analysis of January and February CPI data due to the Spring Festival's impact on price fluctuations [15]. Group 2: Changes in CPI Weighting - The CPI's weighting system underwent a significant adjustment, with the new base period starting in 2025, reflecting changes in consumer behavior and the introduction of new categories such as internet medical services and elderly products [8][11]. - The weight of food and beverages, clothing, housing, and other categories has been adjusted, with food and beverage weights decreasing while service weights have increased, indicating a shift in consumer spending patterns [8][20]. - The average impact of the base period rotation on monthly CPI year-on-year indices is estimated to be approximately 0.06 percentage points [8]. Group 3: Economic Implications and Policy Recommendations - The article highlights the ongoing issue of low prices in the Chinese economy, with the GDP deflator index negative for 11 consecutive quarters and PPI negative for 40 months, necessitating stronger measures to promote reasonable price recovery [20]. - Current macroeconomic policies are aimed at boosting domestic demand and supporting price recovery through fiscal measures and adjustments in monetary policy [21]. - Long-term price recovery will depend on effectively addressing supply-demand imbalances, including wage growth mechanisms and optimizing income distribution [22].

校对： 冉燕青 版权声明 证券时报各平台所有原创内容，未经书面授权，任何单位及个人不得转载。我社保留追 究相关 行 为主体 法律责任的权利。 转载与合作可联系证券时报小助理，微信ID：SecuritiesTimes CPI基期轮换的核心目的是让调查的"固定篮子"反映消费结构的实际变化，通常选取一定时期内 居民经常消费、对居民生活影响较大、有代表性的一组商品和服务作为"固定篮子"，用它们的价 格变化来代表全社会所有商品和服务的价格变化。此次调查分类目录等调整清晰勾勒出中国式现 代化进程中的消费新图景，如新增车用电力、医美服务等反映消费新内容的商品和服务分类，进 一步扩大新经济新领域覆盖面；增加会员制超市等新式零售场所、闪购等新兴即时零售平台等调 查网点；新增智能无人机等代表规格品。 国家统计局首次公布了CPI基期轮换后各主要分项的权重，这体现出数据公布透明度的进一步提 升，有助于公众和专业机构更准确地理解数据变化。此外，权重结构的优化更是反映了消费新特 征。本轮调整中，CPI中消费品权数有所下降，特别是食品烟酒等传统刚需权重持续下调，而服 务权数有所上升，并新增出行服务价格指数，补齐服务消费的统计短板。这些变化 ...

国家统计局首次公布了CPI基期轮换后各主要分项的权重，这体现出数据公布透明度的进一步提升，有助于公众和 专业机构更准确地理解数据变化。此外，权重结构的优化更是反映了消费新特征。本轮调整中，CPI中消费品权数 有所下降，特别是食品烟酒等传统刚需权重持续下调，而服务权数有所上升，并新增出行服务价格指数，补齐服 务消费的统计短板。这些变化并非简单的数字调整，而是对居民支出结构的真实还原。 CPI基期轮换，记载着居民消费结构的变迁，也捕捉了中国消费升级的"新脉搏"。相信这把"新标尺"不仅能更准确 地衡量物价水平，更能生动记录中国经济转型、消费升级的坚实步伐。未来，随着统计体系持续完善，相关数据 将更好地连接宏观与微观，为推动高质量发展、增进民生福祉提供更有力的支撑。 证券时报记者 江聃 居民消费价格指数（CPI）是观察宏观经济与民生消费变化的重要参照。2026年开始，我国编制和发布以2025年为 基期的CPI数据，每五年一次的常规调整，不仅是国际通行的统计惯例，更深刻反映了我国消费结构从"生存 型"向"发展型"转变迈出新步伐，并将为宏观决策与民生感知提供更科学、更贴近现实的"度量衡"。 CPI基期轮换的核心目的是让调 ...

"1月份物价运行呈现低位温和回升态势。"民生银行首席经济学家温彬分析称，CPI方面，虽然春节错月 影响下同比涨幅回落较多，但居民消费需求持续恢复，核心CPI温和上涨的态势没有改变；同时，PPI环 比连续第4个月上涨，同比降幅连续第2个月收窄，价格逐步企稳。 从走势来看，1月物价数据和去年12月相比出现了明显变化，由去年12月的CPI同比涨幅扩大、PPI降幅 收窄，转变为CPI同比涨幅有所回落、PPI降幅继续收窄。"但总体上看，物价温和回升的势头并没有发 生根本变化。"东方金诚研究发展部执行总监冯琳分析称。 1月CPI同比涨幅有所回落，主要涉及两方面原因。一是春节错月影响。上年1月份为春节月份，食品和 部分服务价格上涨较多，导致上年同期对比基数较高，带动本月同比涨幅回落较多。二是国际油价变动 导致能源价格降幅扩大。1月份能源价格下降5.0%，影响CPI同比下降约0.34个百分点，其中汽油价格同 比下降11.4%，降幅比上月扩大3.0个百分点。 不过，伴随居民消费需求持续恢复，核心CPI温和上涨的态势没有改变。1月份扣除食品和能源价格的 核心CPI环比上涨0.3%，为近6个月最高。 2月11日，国家统计局发布最新 ...

Group 1 - In January, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.2% month-on-month and year-on-year, while the core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 0.8% year-on-year [1][2] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) rose by 0.4% month-on-month, marking the fourth consecutive month of increase, with a year-on-year decline of 1.4%, although the decline has narrowed compared to the previous month [1][3] - The increase in consumer demand is attributed to the ongoing construction of a unified national market and rising demand in certain industries, leading to price increases in sectors such as cement manufacturing and lithium-ion battery production [3] Group 2 - The January CPI was influenced by a "Spring Festival misalignment," which affected the year-on-year comparison, as January 2025 was a month with significant price increases due to the holiday [2] - Food prices decreased by 0.7% year-on-year, contributing to a 0.11 percentage point decline in the CPI, while service prices increased by 0.1%, contributing a 0.05 percentage point increase [1][2] - The energy prices saw a significant drop of 5.0% in January, with gasoline prices falling by 11.4% year-on-year, which had a larger downward impact on the CPI compared to the previous month [2] Group 3 - The core CPI continues to show a moderate upward trend, with a month-on-month increase of 0.3%, the highest in the past six months [2] - The PPI's year-on-year decline is narrowing due to improvements in supply-demand structures in key industries, with non-metallic mineral products and black metal smelting showing reduced price declines [3] - The new CPI and PPI data, based on a 2025 benchmark, reflect changes in consumer behavior and include new categories such as housing security equipment and internet medical services [4][5]

Core Viewpoint - The update of China's Consumer Price Index (CPI) "basket" reflects new consumption trends and changes among Chinese residents, aiming to provide a more accurate representation of price movements in the consumer market [1][2]. Group 1: CPI and PPI Update - The CPI and Producer Price Index (PPI) undergo a base period rotation every five years, with the latest data based on 2025 as the new base year [1]. - The National Bureau of Statistics has released the first data following this base period rotation, indicating a new "price coordinate system" is in place [1]. Group 2: Changes in Consumption Patterns - The CPI basket has been updated to include new categories reflecting changes in consumer preferences, such as electric vehicle charging, home security devices, and internet medical services [2]. - The updated CPI basket now includes 268 basic classifications across eight major categories, maintaining the overall number while adjusting specific classifications to better capture new economic trends [2]. Group 3: Weight Adjustments - The weight adjustments in the CPI reflect the proportion of spending on various categories, with food, housing, and transportation being the largest components [3]. - The weight for services has increased while the weight for consumer goods has decreased, aligning with the trend of consumers shifting from purchasing goods to services [3]. - The impact of the base period rotation on the CPI and PPI monthly year-on-year indices is estimated to be minimal, averaging about 0.06 and 0.08 percentage points respectively [3]. Group 4: Recent CPI Data - In January, the CPI year-on-year growth rate fell to 0.2%, influenced by the timing of the Spring Festival, while the core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 0.8%, indicating a continued recovery in consumer demand [3].

Group 1: Consumer Price Index (CPI) Insights - In January, the CPI increased by 0.2% month-on-month and year-on-year, with the core CPI (excluding food and energy) rising by 0.8% year-on-year, indicating a continued recovery in consumer demand [1][3] - The CPI's month-on-month increase was driven by a 0.2% rise in both urban and rural areas, with non-food prices also increasing by 0.2% [3] - The core CPI's month-on-month increase of 0.3% is the highest in six months, influenced by rising prices for air tickets and travel agency fees, which increased by 5.7% and 2.0% respectively [3] Group 2: Producer Price Index (PPI) Insights - The PPI increased by 0.4% month-on-month in January but decreased by 1.4% year-on-year, marking the second consecutive month of narrowing decline [1][5] - Key factors for the PPI increase include the ongoing construction of a unified national market and rising demand in certain sectors, such as artificial intelligence and digital technologies, which led to price increases in electronic semiconductor materials and external storage devices by 5.9% and 4.0% respectively [5] - The month-on-month increase in industrial purchase prices was 0.5%, with a year-on-year decline of 1.4%, indicating a narrowing of the decline by 0.7 percentage points compared to the previous month [6] Group 3: CPI and PPI Base Period Rotation - The January CPI and PPI data represent the first release after the base period rotation, which is conducted every five years to ensure the price index reflects current consumer behavior [8][9] - The rotation includes adjustments to the "fixed basket" of goods and services, incorporating new categories such as electric vehicle power and internet medical services to better represent current consumption patterns [9][11] - The average impact of the base period rotation on the month-on-month CPI and PPI indices is approximately 0.06 and 0.08 percentage points, respectively, indicating a relatively minor effect [11]

2月11日，国家统计局数据显示，今年1月，全国居民消费价格同比上涨0.2%，扣除食品和能源价格的核心CPI同比上涨0.8%。国家统计局城市司首席统计师 董莉娟表示，1月CPI同比涨幅有所回落，主要原因为春节错月影响和国际油价变动导致的能源价格降幅扩大。值得注意的是，国家统计局发布以2025年为 基期的全国居民消费价格指数（CPI）和工业生产者出厂价格指数（PPI）数据，这是本次基期轮换后的首次数据发布。国家统计局城市司相关负责人表示， 本次基期轮换对CPI和PPI各月同比指数的影响平均约为0.06和0.08个百分点，总体较小。 核心CPI保持温和上涨 数据显示，今年1月，全国居民消费价格同比上涨0.2%。其中，城市上涨0.2%，农村上涨0.1%；食品价格下降0.7%，非食品价格上涨0.4%；消费品价格上涨 0.3%，服务价格上涨0.1%。环比来看，1月，全国居民消费价格上涨0.2%。其中，城市上涨0.2%，农村上涨0.2%；食品价格持平，非食品价格上涨0.2%；消 费品价格上涨0.2%，服务价格上涨0.2%。 董莉娟表示，CPI同比涨幅有所回落，主要受春节错月影响和国际油价变动导致能源价格降幅扩大的影响。具体 ...

新华社北京2月11日电 题：CPI进行新一轮基期轮换，有哪些新变化？ 新华社记者王雨萧 2月11日，国家统计局发布了以2025年为基期的全国居民消费价格指数（CPI）和工业生产者出厂价格 指数（PPI）数据，这是本次基期轮换后的首次数据发布。为什么要开展价格指数基期轮换？本轮基期 轮换涉及哪些新变化？记者采访了国家统计局城市司负责人。 问：为什么要开展价格指数基期轮换？ 答：基期轮换是价格指数编制的重要基础性工作，也是国际惯例和通行做法。按照统计制度安排，目前 我国CPI和PPI每五年进行一次基期轮换，2026年开始编制和发布以2025年为基期的价格指数。 CPI是综合反映一定时期内居民消费的商品和服务价格水平变动情况的相对数。由于居民消费的类别和 品种成千上万，通常选取一定时期内居民经常消费、对居民生活影响较大、有代表性的一组商品和服务 作为"固定篮子"，用它们的价格变化来代表全社会所有商品和服务的价格变化。随着经济社会发展，居 民消费结构也在发生变化，需要及时调整CPI调查的"固定篮子"。例如，随着我国居民越来越多地购买 新能源小汽车，车用电力作为交通工具用能源需及时纳入CPI调查范围。CPI基期轮换就是 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) data for January, marking the first data release based on the new 2025 benchmark, indicating a slight overall impact from the benchmark rotation on the indices [1][3]. Group 1: CPI Analysis - In January, the CPI increased by 0.2% month-on-month and year-on-year, with core CPI (excluding food and energy) showing a moderate increase [1][8]. - The CPI's year-on-year growth was affected by the Spring Festival's timing and international oil price fluctuations, with food prices decreasing by 0.7%, impacting the CPI by approximately 0.11 percentage points [8]. - The core CPI rose by 0.8% year-on-year, indicating a continued recovery in consumer demand, with a month-on-month increase of 0.3%, the highest in six months [8]. Group 2: PPI Analysis - The PPI rose by 0.4% month-on-month, marking the fourth consecutive month of increase, while the year-on-year decline narrowed to 1.4% [10]. - The increase in PPI is attributed to the ongoing construction of a unified national market, which has led to price increases in certain industries, such as cement and lithium-ion battery manufacturing [10][11]. - Input factors, including international metal prices, have influenced domestic prices, with significant increases in the prices of silver, copper, and aluminum [11]. Group 3: Benchmark Rotation Changes - The benchmark rotation introduced new categories reflecting modern consumption trends, such as home security devices and internet medical services, expanding the coverage of new economic sectors [3][4]. - The number of CPI survey points increased to approximately 120,000, covering around 620,000 specifications, which is a significant expansion compared to the previous benchmark [3]. - The new weightings in the CPI are more aligned with current consumer spending patterns, with an increase in the service category's weight and a decrease in consumer goods [5][6].