相关机构表示，政策端，6月版号数量创近年新高，共158款游戏获批，共147款国产网络游戏、11款进 口网络游戏获批，供给端改善提振市场信心。国信证券指出，传媒板块25年Q1业绩拐点显现，中长期 受益于AI应用与IP潮玩的高景气。游戏板块在版号常态化发放下新品表现良好，5月国内游戏市场收入 同比增长10%，移动游戏增长12%。 AI技术持续赋能，东方证券指出，在AI助力下，投放素材生成速度加快，老游戏版更速度加速使得老 游戏留存和生命周期延长，同时大模型推理成本指数级下降推动AI+游戏逐步进入落地期。 暑期是游戏行业流量与付费的高峰期，用户活跃度显著提升，高频数据推动估值修复。同时恰逢中腰部 公司的新游周期，集中释放储备项目，市场反映良好，带动基本面持续向好，游戏板块估值仍具有向上 弹性。 游戏ETF（516010）跟踪中证动漫游戏指数（930901）。此外，游戏ETF（516010）覆盖动画、漫画、 游戏研发及硬件设备全产业链，同时重仓巨人网络、恺英网络、三七互娱等绩优龙头公司。巨人网络 《超自然行动组》7月4日版本更新，成功跻身 iOS 畅销榜前十，三七互娱《斗罗大陆：猎魂世界》锁 定7月11日公测档期；恺 ...

7月7日，游戏板块反复活跃，游戏ETF（159869）早盘表现较为震荡，现小幅微跌，持仓股涨跌互现， 冰川网络、神州泰岳、星辉娱乐等领涨，吉比特、恺英网络、巨人网络等跌幅居前。游戏板块正迎 来"基本面持续改善+政策面边际宽松+值修复空间显著+AI技术创新驱动"四重逻辑加持，临近暑期档， 游戏板块回暖复苏动能强劲。 上市游戏公司多款新游表现强势，暑期档游戏赛道有望持续高景气度，AI+游戏持续迎积极进展。巨人 网络《超自然行动组》7月4日的版本更新和新时装上架带动游戏进入iOS畅销榜Top10；吉比特新游 《杖剑传说》5月29日上线以来排名稳定在Top30，小游戏《道友来挖宝》5月发布以来排名迅速提升， 6月获得微信小游戏畅销榜第5名。 AI+游戏方面，恺英投资的全球首款3D-AI智能陪伴应用EVE近期开启内测，计划2025年内上线；公司 开发的AI游戏全流程开发平台《SOON》预计7月30日开放。展望后续，重点游戏厂商储备丰富，三七 互娱《斗罗大陆：猎魂世界》定档7.11上线；恺英网络有《盗墓笔记：启程》《斗罗大陆诛邪传说》 《三国：天下归心》等多款自研产品待上线；完美世界《异环》6月底开启二测。 新游周期或带 ...

丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_Summary] 中国游戏市场保持较高速增长态势，多款新游表现贡献增量。《Kingshot》等自研游戏出海表现 亮眼，游戏出海仍具有较高景气度。上市游戏公司新游产品周期陆续开启，6 月吉比特《杖剑 传说》、巨人网络《超自然行动组》等多款新游表现持续强势。6 月游戏行业支持政策陆续推出， 版号发放创近年新高，再次释放积极信号。恺英网络等 AI+游戏布局亦迎积极进展。展望后续， 暑期新游周期或带动游戏板块基本面持续向好。新游周期、政策趋势及 AI 催化共同作用下，游 戏板块估值仍具有向上弹性，建议继续关注游戏板块相关投资机会。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 行业研究丨点评报告丨媒体Ⅱ [Table_Title] 游戏产业跟踪（12）：新游表现持续强势，暑期 档游戏赛道有望延续高景气 报告要点 高超 杨云祺 SAC：S0490516080001 SAC：S0490524090002 SFC：BUX177 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title 游戏产业跟踪（2] 12）：新游表现持续强势 ...

恺英网络最近几年的业绩十分亮眼。 公司的营收自2020年重新恢复增长，并于去年首次跻身50亿级行列。净利润也自2020年扭亏为盈后持续攀升，已连续三年突破10亿元大关。 这家公司在过去经历了创始人因操纵证券市场罪入狱、组织架构大调整、传奇IP诉讼等变故，一度亏损接近19亿元。原以为会一蹶不振，没想到却上演了 逆势翻盘的戏码。 随着曾经埋下的隐患被逐一化解，加上资金也宽裕了许多，恺英得以腾出手不断梳理整体业务。 近年来，其产品发布节奏明显加快，投资动作也较为频繁，同时大量引入IP且愈发注重品宣，甚至今年罕见地举办了成立以来首个年度产品发布会（此举 多见于腾讯、网易等大厂）。如今恺英在努力摆脱外界对其「传奇大厂」的固有印象。除了传统品类（「传奇」「奇迹」），公司的版图已逐步拓展到更 多品类。 当然就目前来说，「传奇」「奇迹」依旧构成了恺英的收入基本盘。财报中将它们归为「复古情怀类游戏」。 去年公司的营收同比增长了19%来到51亿元。其中，自营收入和联营收入均属大头，合占公司总营收的63%。贡献主力便包括《原始传奇》《热血合击》 《天使之战》《永恒联盟》等复古情怀类游戏。 另有一项信息服务的收入增长也比较快，约占总 ...

评论： [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万) | 5,118 | 6,046 | 6,902 | 7,692 | | 同比增速(%) | 19.2% | 18.1% | 14.2% | 11.4% | | 归母净利润(百万) | 1,628 | 2,015 | 2,378 | 2,660 | | 同比增速(%) | 11.4% | 23.7% | 18.0% | 11.9% | | 每股盈利(元) | 0.76 | 0.94 | 1.11 | 1.25 | | 市盈率(倍) | 22 | 18 | 15 | 14 | | 市净率(倍) | 5.5 | 4.1 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 公司研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 恺英网络（002517）2024 年报和 2025 年一季报点评 推荐（维持） Q4 符合、Q1 超预期，产品储备丰富，关注 AI 应用上线进度 事项： 事件：24Q4 符合预期，25Q1 大超预期。公司发布 24 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 5.118 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 19.16%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.628 billion yuan, up 11.41% year-on-year. The growth was primarily driven by the robust performance of mobile gaming, which generated 4.055 billion yuan in revenue (up 13.39% year-on-year), and a significant increase in information services revenue, which reached 941 million yuan (up 41.62% year-on-year) [3][4] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.353 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.46% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13.62%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 518 million yuan, up 21.57% year-on-year and 48.71% quarter-on-quarter, driven by effective cost control measures [3][4] - The company has a strong pipeline of new games, including titles like "Dragon Valley World" and "Douluo Continent: The Legend of Exorcism," which have performed well since their launch. The expansion of the product line is expected to continue driving growth [4][5] Financial Summary - The company forecasts revenues of 6.342 billion yuan, 7.086 billion yuan, and 7.876 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 23.9%, 11.7%, and 11.1% [7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 2.167 billion yuan, 2.401 billion yuan, and 2.649 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 33.1%, 10.8%, and 10.3% [7] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 1.01 yuan, 1.12 yuan, and 1.24 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 16.5, 14.9, and 13.5 [7]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 5.118 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-over-year increase of 19.16%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.628 billion yuan, up 11.41% year-over-year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.353 billion yuan, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 3.46% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 13.62% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1 2025 was 518 million yuan, showing a year-over-year growth of 21.57% and a quarter-over-quarter growth of 48.71% [1] - The company’s gross margin for 2024 and Q1 2025 was 81.28% and 83.57% respectively, with a slight year-over-year decrease of 2.19 percentage points for 2024 but an increase of 1.53 percentage points for Q1 2025 [3] Group 2: Product Development and Market Position - The new product "Dragon Valley World," co-published with Shengqu Games, topped the App Store game rankings on its first day and generated over 20 million yuan in revenue within five days of its launch [2] - The company has a strong pipeline of self-developed projects, including "Tomb Raider: Journey" and "Douluo Continent: Legend of the Evil," which are expected to drive future growth [2] - The company’s overseas revenue reached 375 million yuan in 2024, marking a significant year-over-year increase of 221.48% [2] Group 3: Strategic Outlook and Valuation - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to 2.04 billion yuan and 2.41 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a downward adjustment of 9% and 7% due to delays in product launches [4] - The target price for the company is set at 23.88 yuan, based on a 25X PE for 2025, which is an increase from the previous target of 20.81 yuan [4] - The company maintains a "buy" rating, supported by a rich product pipeline and successful overseas expansion [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a significant price increase over the next 6-12 months [6]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 5.12 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.2%, and a net profit of 1.63 billion yuan, up 11.4% year-on-year. For Q1 2025, revenue was 1.35 billion yuan, a 3.5% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 520 million yuan, reflecting a 21.6% year-on-year growth [2][6]. - The company has a strong product pipeline, with several new games set to launch, including "Digimon: Source Code" and "Tomb Raider: Journey" [5]. - The integration of AI technologies is enhancing the company's capabilities in game development, with applications in animation and story generation [5]. Revenue Analysis - The company's revenue for 2024 was driven by significant growth in mobile gaming and information services, with mobile game revenue reaching 4.06 billion yuan, up 13.4% year-on-year, and information services revenue at 940 million yuan, up 41.6% year-on-year [3]. - The Q4 2024 revenue was 1.19 billion yuan, showing a decline due to the natural decline of older products, while Q1 2025 saw a recovery with new game contributions [3]. Profitability Analysis - The company's net profit margin improved in Q1 2025, attributed to a rise in gross margin and reductions in management and R&D expense ratios [4]. - The net profit margin for Q1 2025 was 29.3%, an increase of 5.7 percentage points year-on-year, driven by changes in revenue structure [4]. Financial Forecast - The company is expected to receive a non-operating income of 224.5 million yuan from a legal arbitration case, which will positively impact the net profit forecasts for 2025-2027, with projected net profits of 2.18 billion yuan, 2.36 billion yuan, and 2.63 billion yuan respectively [6].