Global AI Application Commercialization - OpenAI leads the global AI market with an ARR of $10 billion, with over 60% of its revenue coming from the consumer product ChatGPT, and a projected CAGR of 260% from 2023 to 2025 [1] - Approximately 15 AI companies have an ARR exceeding $100 million, with strong revenue growth observed in both OpenAI and Anthropic, the latter primarily focusing on B-end API revenue [1] - Vertical applications such as AI programming, multimodal, and search are rapidly achieving commercialization, with companies like Figma and Cursor demonstrating significant cost reduction and efficiency improvements [1] Valuation Insights - Valuation multiples for large models and AI programming remain relatively stable at around 30x and 20x respectively, while AI search and multimodal applications command higher valuations [2] Domestic AI Application Progress - Multimodal applications are leading revenue contributions, with Keling achieving an ARR of $170 million in May, primarily from overseas and consumer subscriptions [3] - Domestic general-purpose agents have begun monetization but have not yet generated significant revenue, while niche agents are achieving tens of millions in revenue through existing industry knowledge [3] - AI companionship products like Talkie and Xingye have reached tens of millions in revenue, driven by innovative gameplay and character reserves [3] AI Application Usage Trends - The token consumption for AI applications has seen significant growth, with AI programming and search being the largest consumers, aligning with ARR performance [4] - In 2023, the monthly token consumption for Gemini reached 960 trillion, doubling from previous months, while domestic Doubao's daily consumption grew by 310% since the end of last year [4] - AI search contributed over 70% of token consumption for Gemini, with AI tools seeing a 717% increase in usage [4]

Group 1 - The report highlights two main investment themes for 2025: 1) Accelerated AI application deployment and the continuous expansion of Agent capabilities, impacting industries such as marketing, e-commerce, education, film, and gaming, while also focusing on opportunities in AI toys and hardware [4][12] - The IP derivative products sector is entering a high-speed development phase, with spiritual and self-consumption becoming long-term growth points for consumption. The report is optimistic about high-quality domestic IPs expanding online content and offline physical derivatives to enhance their influence and open up commercialization opportunities [4][12] Group 2 - In the AI sector, the report notes that the application capabilities of Agents are continuously expanding, with significant advancements in model performance and multi-modal capabilities. OpenAI's o3 model and Google's Veo3 are leading the way in this evolution, while domestic models are narrowing the gap with international leaders [10][17][19] - The report emphasizes the rise of spiritual consumption and the expansion of the IP derivative products market, with companies like Pop Mart and MiHoYo successfully leveraging their IPs for international expansion and revenue growth [11][54][60] Group 3 - The report identifies key companies to watch, including Pop Mart, Light Media, Giant Network, Kunlun Wanwei, and others, which are expected to benefit from the trends in AI applications and IP derivatives [12] - The report also discusses the increasing commercialization of AI applications, with companies like Kuaishou's Keling and Meitu seeing significant revenue growth driven by their AI capabilities [44][47] Group 4 - The report outlines the importance of IP as a new production factor, reshaping the consumer sector and enabling companies to expand their revenue streams through effective IP management and commercialization strategies [52][60] - The analysis indicates that the market for IP derivative products is expected to grow significantly, with projections for the Chinese pan-entertainment product market reaching 335.8 billion yuan by 2029 [54][59]

Core Viewpoint - The summer gaming season has begun, with the gaming ETF (516010) rising over 1% and experiencing nearly 300 million yuan in net inflows over the past five days [1] Company Performance - G-bits' new game "Zhang Jian Chuan Shuo" has shown excellent performance in its first month, with an estimated download volume of over 980,000 and projected revenue of over 12.16 million USD [1] - Giant Network's new game "Supernatural Action Group" is performing well, with a rapidly increasing user base and strong short-term growth potential [1] - ST Huatuo's subsidiary, Diandian Interactive, reports stable monthly revenue of over 300 million yuan for the small game "Endless Winter," with strong certainty for future performance [1] - The new game "Kingshot" from Diandian Interactive ranks in the top 3 for overseas mobile game revenue in June, with expectations of reaching a monthly revenue level of 100 million USD in Q3, and a domestic launch anticipated after mid-year reports [1] - 37 Interactive's "Douluo Dalu: Hunting Soul World" is set to launch on July 11, following the successful release of its predecessor, which generated over 700 million yuan in its first month [1] - Perfect World’s open-world RPG "Yihuan" and Kaiying Network's 3D AI companion application "EVE" are also showing promising performance in their respective tests [1] Industry Overview - The gaming ETF (516010) tracks the animation and gaming index, which is compiled by China Securities Index Co., Ltd. It selects listed companies from the A-share market involved in animation, gaming, and related industries to reflect the overall performance of these sectors [1] - This index is characterized by distinct industry features and style configurations, serving as an important indicator of the development of China's animation and gaming industry [1]

Core Insights - The launch of the "Companions" feature by Musk's xAI company for the Grok AI model has generated significant buzz in the tech industry, surpassing the initial excitement when Grok was first introduced [1][5] - The feature allows users to interact with AI companions like a blonde girl named "Ani" and a cartoon panda named "Bad Rudy," leading to a surge in app downloads and user engagement [3][7] User Engagement and Market Response - Following the launch, Grok quickly climbed to the top of the iOS free app charts in Japan and Hong Kong, and ranked fifth in the U.S. [7] - The "Companions" feature is currently available only to SuperGrok subscribers, priced at $30 per month, yet Ani has become a trending topic in AI chat products due to her interactive nature [9][11] Interaction Features - Ani's design incorporates a system that allows users to increase their affection through interactions, featuring 3D animations and voice capabilities in multiple languages, although the voice quality, especially in Chinese, has received criticism [11][16] - Users have noted that while Ani's interactions can become increasingly intimate, the overall functionality of the feature is still considered basic, with limitations in character interaction and movement [18][20] Industry Trends - The success of Ani highlights a growing demand for AI companions that incorporate voice interaction and light flirtation, indicating a potential new trend in the internet industry [13][20] - Other products like "EVE" and "Whispers from the Star" are also emerging, showcasing different approaches to AI companionship, with a focus on personalized interaction and emotional engagement [22][25] Future Outlook - The development of AI companions like Ani, Stella, and Aven suggests a shift in the gaming and AI interaction landscape, with potential for innovative applications in emotional support and personalized experiences [31]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the AI game "Whispers from the Star," highlighting its narrative-driven gameplay and the limitations of its AI interaction, suggesting that while it aims for high player engagement, it ultimately falls short in providing meaningful choices and freedom [5][35][82]. Summary by Sections Game Overview - "Whispers" is an AI-driven adventure survival game where players guide the protagonist, Stella, through voice dialogue [5][6]. - The game was first revealed four months prior and underwent a closed iOS test before the Steam demo release [3][5]. Gameplay Experience - The demo lasts approximately 30 minutes, starting with a video call from Stella, who is stranded on a planet called Gaia [8][10]. - Players must engage in multiple dialogues to uncover the story, which involves helping Stella escape her predicament [15][20]. - The game features a linear narrative structure, with limited player agency in advancing the plot, leading to a sense of frustration [25][35]. AI Interaction - Stella exhibits a complex personality, allowing for a range of conversational topics, but the gameplay mechanics restrict meaningful player choices [29][31]. - The AI's responses are designed to feel personal and engaging, yet the linearity of the gameplay undermines the potential for deeper interaction [35][54]. Technical Aspects - The demo showcases high-quality graphics and character modeling, with a focus on realistic dialogue and emotional depth [35][68]. - The integration of various AI technologies enhances the interaction, making Stella's responses feel more lifelike compared to traditional AI characters [66][71]. Comparison with Other Games - The game draws comparisons to "Lifeline," a text-based adventure game, but aims to innovate within the AI gaming space by offering a deeper RPG experience [40][53]. - Other games in the genre have explored different mechanics, but "Whispers" seeks to create a unique narrative-driven experience [45][80]. Future Potential - The article suggests that "Whispers" is still in its early stages, with potential for growth and improvement in gameplay mechanics and narrative depth [38][87]. - The development team is focused on refining the AI's capabilities and expanding the game's content to enhance player engagement [82][87].

Core Viewpoint - The recent developments in the AI sector, particularly the release of the Kimi K2 model and the performance of the Sci-Tech AI ETF, indicate a growing interest and investment in AI technologies, with significant market movements and positive feedback from industry leaders [3][4]. Group 1: AI Model Developments - The Kimi K2 model, released by 月之暗面, features a MoE architecture with a total of 1 trillion parameters and 32 billion active parameters, achieving top performance in various benchmark tests [3]. - Elon Musk's xAI has also launched the Grok4 model, which has shown strong performance in multiple tests, highlighting the intensifying competition in the global AI model landscape [4]. Group 2: ETF Performance and Metrics - The Sci-Tech AI ETF has reached a new high in scale at 4.51 billion, ranking first among comparable funds [5]. - In the past week, the ETF's shares increased by 30 million, placing it second in terms of new shares among comparable funds [6]. - The ETF has seen a net inflow of 65.07 million over the last five trading days, with an average daily net inflow of 13.01 million [6]. Group 3: Financial Performance and Returns - The Sci-Tech AI ETF has achieved a net value increase of 12.93% over the past six months, with a maximum monthly return of 15.59% since its inception [6]. - The ETF's tracking error over the past six months is 0.030%, the highest precision among comparable funds [7]. - The current price-to-book ratio of the underlying index is 7.59, indicating a valuation that is lower than 89.55% of the time since the index's inception, suggesting attractive valuation [7]. Group 4: Industry Outlook - The AI companionship products, such as EVE, are entering beta testing and showing promising results, indicating a potential surge in demand for AI applications [4]. - Companies like 恺英网络, 盛天网络, 快手-W, and 美图公司 are recommended for their advantages in technology and application scenarios within the AI sector [4].

Core Insights - The report highlights a positive outlook for MEMS inertial navigation, X-ray detection, and the export of air separation equipment, driven by growth in downstream applications such as low-altitude economy, autonomous driving, and robotics [3][6] - The industrial X-ray detection market is expected to experience structural growth due to strong demand from the electronics and semiconductor industries, as well as recovery in the lithium battery sector [3][6] - The air separation equipment market, primarily used in coal chemical, petrochemical, metallurgy, and nuclear power industries, has a market space exceeding 100 billion yuan, with increasing export activities under the Belt and Road Initiative [3][6] Industry Performance - The report notes that the new housing transaction area has increased month-on-month, while year-on-year comparisons show a decline in 20 cities for second-hand housing transactions [5][14] - The land transaction area has decreased year-on-year, but the premium rate has increased month-on-month, indicating a competitive land market in certain regions like Tianjin [5][14][16] - The issuance of domestic credit bonds has increased significantly, with a year-on-year rise of 606% and a month-on-month increase of 63%, reflecting improved market conditions [17] Market Trends - The gaming industry is expected to benefit from innovative gameplay and a surge in demand for new titles, with the monthly issuance of game licenses projected to reach 135 in the first half of 2025 [11][12] - The report emphasizes the potential for AI virtual social applications, particularly with the development of AI companions, which could lead to significant commercial opportunities [12] - The three-dimensional visual digitization market is projected to reach 40.01 billion yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of 26.6%, driven by the shift from 2D to 3D applications in various industries [8]

Fixed Income - The overall credit spread across various industries has compressed, with the AA agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector experiencing a significant reduction of 9 basis points [2][9] - The issuance rates for AA-rated industrial bonds and AAA-rated financial bonds have decreased significantly, while the issuance rate for AA-rated urban investment bonds has increased [7] - The market is optimistic about credit bonds yielding over 2%, suggesting investors should consider extending duration and exploring opportunities in the newly approved science and technology innovation bond ETFs [10] Maternal and Infant Industry - Recent government policies aimed at encouraging childbirth, such as childcare subsidies and housing benefits, are expected to stimulate the maternal and infant industry [12] - The maternal and infant consumption market in China is projected to reach 762.99 billion yuan in 2024, with a steady growth trend from 2018 to 2024 [12] - The market for maternal and infant chain stores is growing, with a compound annual growth rate of 9.1% expected from 2019 to 2024, indicating significant room for growth in lower-tier cities [12][13] Transportation Industry - The Southeast Asian e-commerce sector, particularly TikTok Shop, has shown substantial growth, benefiting logistics companies in the region [16][17] - The civil aviation sector is entering a peak travel season, with domestic flight bookings exceeding 21.01 million in the first month of the summer travel period [19] - The introduction of autonomous delivery vehicles by companies like Shentong and JD Logistics is expected to enhance delivery efficiency and reduce costs significantly [18][29] Deep Sea Economy - The deep-sea economy is gaining attention, with the national marine production value projected to reach 10.54 trillion yuan in 2024, growing at a rate of 5.9% [34] - The marine engineering equipment manufacturing sector is experiencing rapid growth, with an expected increase in value added from 1,032 billion yuan in 2024 to 1,126 billion yuan in 2025 [34] - There are 11 companies listed on the North Exchange involved in the deep-sea economy, indicating a growing interest in this sector [34][35] AI Applications - The AI companionship product "EVE" has begun testing, highlighting the advancement of AI applications in various sectors such as e-commerce, gaming, and education [12] - Major tech companies like Tencent, Alibaba, and ByteDance are continuously iterating on foundational technologies and products, indicating a competitive landscape in AI development [12] Shipping and Logistics - The shipping industry is expected to benefit from OPEC+'s production increase, which may enhance the demand for oil transportation [23][31] - The logistics sector is seeing a shift towards more efficient operations, with companies like Shenzhen International and DeBang Logistics poised for growth due to strategic transformations [30] - The overall shipping market is recovering, with environmental regulations driving the retirement of older vessels, thus improving market conditions [31][32]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [2] Core Viewpoints - The gaming sector is expected to benefit from emotional consumption needs among young users, with an average of 118 and 135 game licenses issued monthly in 2024 and the first half of 2025, respectively, indicating a potential acceleration into a prosperous phase [3] - The report emphasizes the importance of innovative gameplay and new content releases in driving growth across gaming, film, and entertainment sectors, with specific recommendations for companies like Xindong Company, Giant Network, and Shanghai Film [3][4] Industry Data Overview - The game "Paper Wedding 8: Qianzi Tree" ranked first on the iOS free chart, while "Honor of Kings" topped the iOS revenue chart as of July 5, 2025 [10] - The film "Jurassic World: Rebirth" achieved a weekly box office of 236 million yuan, leading the box office rankings [25] - The report highlights significant advancements in AI and IP integration, with ongoing product launches in gaming and film sectors [34] Sector Performance Summary - The A-share media sector outperformed major indices in the 27th week of 2025, with the gaming sector showing particularly strong performance [3] - The report notes that the summer entertainment IP consumption is expected to continue to rise, driven by new game releases and film launches [3][4] Company Recommendations - For the gaming sector, companies such as Xindong Company, Giant Network, and Perfect World are recommended based on their innovative gameplay and new product cycles [3] - In the film sector, Shanghai Film is highlighted as a key player, with potential beneficiaries including Chinese Online [3] - The concert segment recommends Fengshang Culture, with beneficiaries including Damai Entertainment and Borui Communication [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the internet media industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector's performance relative to the overall market [2]. Core Insights - The report highlights four key growth drivers for the gaming sector: 1. Demand from younger generations (post-90s and post-00s) and overseas markets, with AI potentially creating new gameplay experiences. 2. Companies that have focused on project development and improved their R&D capabilities over the past five years are now better positioned to create high-quality products. 3. Competition in gaming is shifting towards differentiation rather than price competition. 4. Despite product cycles, improvements in industrial processes can lead to sustained growth [2]. Summary by Sections Gaming Sector - The report identifies several companies with promising new products that could drive mid-term growth, including: - Giant Network's "Supernatural Action" and Century Huatong's "Whiteout Survival" and "Kingshot" [2]. - Companies like 37 Interactive Entertainment and Kying Network are noted for their strong new game reserves and AI strategies [2]. AI Applications - The report emphasizes the commercial potential of AI applications, citing successful products like Kuaishou's AI video tools and Meitu's consumer-focused AI offerings [2]. - AI's impact on advertising revenue for companies like Tencent and Bilibili is highlighted as an area of growth [2]. Entertainment and Consumer Trends - The report recommends companies involved in trendy consumer products, music, and live events, such as Pop Mart and NetEase Cloud Music, which are benefiting from increased engagement from younger audiences [2]. - The integration of media networks with platforms like Alipay is expected to enhance the value of companies like Focus Media [2]. Valuation Metrics - A detailed valuation table is provided, showing projected revenues and profits for key companies in the gaming and entertainment sectors, with Tencent's market cap at 41,505 million RMB and a projected PE ratio of 16 for 2025 [4].