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【固收】二级市场价格有所修复,周度连续下跌行情暂缓——REITs周度观察(20251222-20251226)(张旭/秦方好)
光大证券研究· 2025-12-28 00:20
特别申明: 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写,仅面向光大证券专业投资者客 户,用作新媒体形势下研究信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户,请勿 订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号难以设置访问权限,若给您造成不便, 敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相关人员为光大 证券的客户。 报告摘要 1、二级市场 2025年12月22日-2025年12月26日(以下简称"本周"),我国已上市公募REITs二级市场价格整体波浪式修 复,结束了连续5周的下跌行情:中证REITs(收盘)和中证REITs全收益指数分别收于783.86和1014.8, 本周回报率分别为1.39%和1.56%。与其他主流大类资产相比,回报率由高至低排序分别为:黄金>原油>A 股>可转债>REITs>美股>纯债。 点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 从单只REIT层面来看,本周单只REIT成交规模和换手率方面表现延续分化。成交量方面,周内成交量前 三的是中金湖北科投光谷REIT/华夏安博仓储REIT/银华绍兴原水水利REIT;成交额方面,周内成交额前 三的是华夏华润商业REIT/华夏安 ...
一REITs,发售火爆!
中国基金报· 2025-12-26 14:10
Core Viewpoint - Over 80% of public REITs products experienced an increase this week, with the China Securities REITs Total Return Index rising by 1.56% from December 22 to 26, 2023 [2][5] Market Performance - The China Securities REITs Total Return Index saw a slight decline of 0.18% on December 26, closing at 1014.80 points. During the week, 67 out of 79 listed public REITs recorded a rise, with the highest increase being 7.86% for the Zhongjin Chongqing Liangjiang REIT [5][6] - The top-performing REITs included Zhongjin Chongqing Liangjiang REIT (7.86%), Huaxia Fund Huayun REIT (5.99%), and Bosera Jinkai Industrial Park REIT (5.94%). Conversely, 10 products experienced declines, with one falling over 5% [5][6] New Developments - The highly anticipated Xinjiang first hydropower REIT, Huaxia Zhongke Clean Energy REIT, successfully concluded its issuance, attracting over 1616 billion yuan in subscription funds, with a public investor subscription multiple of approximately 392 times [3][8][9] - The underlying asset of Huaxia Zhongke Clean Energy REIT is the Bopona Hydropower Station, the largest in the Hotan region, which has maintained stable revenue and power generation for over 14 years [9] Market Insights - Analysts suggest that the recent price fluctuations in the public REITs market are largely unrelated to the underlying fundamentals, but rather influenced by discussions surrounding the accounting treatment of OCI principal and interest [5][7] - The market is still in a policy dividend period, and it is recommended to gradually focus on low-priced opportunities in relatively stable projects [7]
复盘2025!公募REITs震荡中突显韧性,2026年配置瞄准景气赛道与超跌机会
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-26 01:45
每经记者|李蕾 每经编辑|叶峰 2025年是公募REITs(公开募集基础设施证券投资基金)迎来快速发展的一年。Wind数据显示,截至2025年12月中旬,我国公募REITs已发行产品达到近80 只,总市值突破2200亿元,资产类型涵盖园区、消费、交通、能源等十大领域,预计可带动新项目总投资超过1万亿元。 综观公募REITs二级市场全年的表现,呈现鲜明的"先扬后抑"特征。上半年受益于低利率与"资产荒"行情,中证REITs全收益指数累计涨幅达14.2%;下半年 受长端利率上行、解禁压力等因素影响,又出现明显回调。一级市场发行方面,资产扩容与机制完善成为核心驱动力,全年诞生了首批数据中心REITs、首 单市政基础设施REIT等多个标杆项目。 展望2026年,公募REITs市场将迎来规模与质量的双重提升。专业投资机构怎么看待明年的景气度?又会推荐怎样的配置方案?《每日经济新闻》记者就此 采访了多家公募基金和第三方机构。 2025年消费类REITs表现亮眼,产业园区REITs承压 华西证券数据显示,截至2025年11月末,我国基础设施公募REITs已经发行78只,共发售基金2095亿元,资产类型涉及园区、消费、交通、能 ...
复盘2025:公募REITs震荡中突显韧性
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-25 14:55
Core Viewpoint - The public REITs market in China is expected to experience rapid growth in 2025, with nearly 80 products issued and a total market value exceeding 220 billion yuan, potentially driving over 1 trillion yuan in new project investments [1] Group 1: Market Performance - In 2025, the secondary market for public REITs showed a "rise then fall" pattern, with the CSI REITs total return index increasing by 14.2% in the first half of the year, followed by a noticeable decline in the second half due to rising long-term interest rates and unlocking pressures [1] - By December 10, 2025, 61 out of 77 listed public REITs had increased in value, representing nearly 80% of the total, while 16 products saw declines [2] - The top-performing public REITs included 25 products with gains exceeding 20%, and 15 of those had gains over 30%, with the highest being the E Fund Huawai Market REIT, which saw a rise of over 70% before a temporary suspension [2][3] Group 2: Asset Class Performance - Consumer REITs performed particularly well, with four out of the top ten products in terms of growth being from this category, while industrial park REITs faced significant pressure, with the largest decline being 22.57% for the Zhongjin Hubei Ketiang REIT [3] - The Jinan Energy Heating REIT, launched in February 2025, achieved a notable increase of 66.81% during the year, indicating strong market interest [3] Group 3: Future Outlook - Experts predict that the public REITs market will see both scale and quality improvements in 2026, with a more mature and deeper market expected to emerge [4] - The overall market sentiment is optimistic, driven by macroeconomic conditions and ongoing policy support, although individual REIT performance may vary significantly [5] - Investment opportunities are anticipated in sectors with stable cash flows and strong policy backing, particularly in areas like consumer infrastructure and public utilities [5][6]
C-REITs周报:二级震荡,商务部等九部门支持社区商业等发行REITs-20250921
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-09-21 13:03
Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Increase" for the industry [6] Core Views - The C-REITs market is expected to benefit from a low interest rate environment in 2025, presenting investment opportunities [4] - The report emphasizes three main investment strategies: focusing on policy-driven projects with recovery potential, recognizing the market's acknowledgment of weak-cycle assets, and monitoring the expansion of REITs alongside new issuances [4] REITs Index Performance - The CSI REITs total return index increased by 0.12% this week, while the CSI REITs closing index decreased by 0.20%, closing at 838.3 points [10] - Year-to-date, the CSI REITs total return index has risen by 10.69%, ranking fourth among various indices [2][10] REITs Secondary Market Performance - The C-REITs secondary market exhibited a volatile trend, with data center and municipal water sectors performing well, while ecological and energy infrastructure sectors saw price declines [12] - As of September 19, the total market capitalization of listed REITs is approximately 221.21 billion yuan, with an average market cap of about 3 billion yuan per REIT [12] REITs Valuation Performance - The internal rate of return (IRR) for listed REITs shows significant differentiation, with the top three being: China Communications Construction REIT (9.6%), Ping An Guangzhou Guanghe REIT (9%), and CICC Hubei Keti Guanggu REIT (7.7%) [3] - The price-to-net asset value (P/NAV) ratio for listed REITs ranges from 0.7 to 1.8, with the highest being E Fund Huawai Agricultural Market REIT at 1.8 [3]
公募REITs市场回暖 长期配置价值凸显
Core Viewpoint - The public REITs market has shown signs of recovery after a period of decline, with several funds experiencing significant gains, indicating a potential for further market stabilization and investment opportunities [1][2][5]. Market Performance - On September 4, the CSI REITs All Return Index increased by 0.42%, with multiple public REITs rising over 2%, notably the招商基金蛇口租赁住房REIT which rose by 3.1% [1][2]. - From August 25 to August 29, the CSI REITs All Return Index recorded a gain of 1.06%, outperforming the CSI Dividend Index by 2.16 percentage points [1][2]. - As of September 4, among the 58 REITs listed before January 1, 2025, 54 have achieved positive returns this year, with 40 REITs increasing by over 10% [3]. Sector Analysis - There is a noticeable differentiation within public REITs, with property-type REITs rising by 1.55% and concession-type REITs by 0.87% last week [2]. - Sectors such as consumption, affordable housing, warehousing logistics, and data centers have shown relatively strong performance [2][4]. Financial Metrics - The overall revenue of REITs in the first half of 2025 saw a slight increase of 0.6% year-on-year, while net profit decreased by 7.5% [4]. - The distributable income decreased by 4.3%, and the actual dividend amount dropped by 26%, leading to an average cash distribution rate of 2.36%, down 50 basis points year-on-year [4]. Investment Strategy - The market sentiment indicates a potential for further recovery in the REITs sector, especially if investor risk appetite continues to contract [5][6]. - Investment opportunities are suggested in high-quality projects, particularly in sectors with strong fundamental expectations such as affordable housing and consumption [6]. - Long-term holding and reasonable allocation are emphasized as strategies for achieving better investment returns in public REITs [1][6].
连跌3周后,REITs市场终反弹
Feng Huang Wang· 2025-08-28 08:43
Core Viewpoint - The REITs market shows signs of stabilization after three weeks of decline, with the CSI REITs Total Return Index rising by 1.49% this week, potentially ending the downward trend [1][3] Market Performance - The REITs market experienced a significant adjustment in August, with the CSI REITs Total Return Index declining by 3.53% in the first three weeks [1] - The decline was primarily driven by high market valuations and fluctuations in long-term interest rates, leading to profit-taking transactions [1][3] - The correlation between the CSI REITs Total Return Index and the China Government Bond Wealth Index reached 0.64 since the peak on June 23, indicating a strong relationship between REITs and bond yields [1] Sector Analysis - The guaranteed rental housing sector, which is highly correlated with government bond yields, led the market decline in August, with some projects, like the Zhongjin Xiamen Anju REIT, dropping over 10% [1][3] - The consumer infrastructure sector showed strong performance this week, with the Huashang Bailian Consumer REIT leading the rebound after experiencing a share lock-up release [4][6] Upcoming Events - A significant share lock-up release is expected at the end of August for several projects, including the Huashang Shichuang Aolai REIT, which will release 328 million shares, accounting for 41% of the fund's total shares [3] - The market is currently in a performance vacuum between the second and third quarter reports, with short-term influences primarily from long-term interest rate fluctuations [7]
公募REITs陆续上新 机构提示把握优质项目配置机遇
Core Viewpoint - The public REITs market in China is experiencing significant growth with multiple "first" products being launched, indicating a positive trend in capital market support for energy transition and infrastructure investment [1][2]. Group 1: Recent Developments - The first central enterprise natural gas power public REIT, Huaxia Huadian Clean Energy REIT, was successfully listed on August 1, marking a milestone in capital market support for energy transition [2]. - The first central enterprise warehousing logistics REIT, Bank of China Zhongwaiyun Warehousing Logistics REIT, was listed on July 29, with underlying assets comprising six logistics projects [2]. - The Chuangjin Hexin Shounong REIT was listed on July 25, attracting a total subscription amount of 231.6 billion yuan, setting a new record for public REITs issuance in Beijing [2]. Group 2: Market Performance - As of August 1, the CSI REITs All-Return Index has increased by over 13% this year, outperforming major A-share indices such as the CSI 300 and CSI 500 [4]. - Despite some recent market fluctuations, with certain products experiencing declines, the overall performance of public REITs remains strong, with only 2 out of over 70 listed products showing negative returns this year [4]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The strong performance of public REITs in the first half of the year is attributed to factors such as declining interest rates, increased market sentiment, and heightened institutional demand [5]. - Future investment strategies should focus on stable cash flow "debt-like" products and high-potential assets with expected fundamental reversals, particularly in sectors like municipal environmental projects and energy [6]. - The public REITs market is expected to continue expanding, with more "first" projects from various sectors anticipated to enter the market under a normalized issuance mechanism [6].
公募REITs陆续上新机构提示把握优质项目配置机遇
Core Viewpoint - The public REITs market in China is experiencing significant growth with multiple "first" products being launched, indicating a positive trend in capital market support for energy transition and infrastructure investment [1][2][3] Group 1: Market Performance - As of August 1, the CSI REITs All-Return Index has increased by over 13% this year, outperforming major A-share indices such as the CSI 300 and CSI 500 [3] - Among the more than 70 listed public REITs, only 2 have reported negative returns this year, showcasing the overall strong performance of the sector [3] - The public REITs market's total market capitalization surpassed 200 billion yuan by the end of June, covering various asset types including industrial parks, logistics, data centers, and energy infrastructure [3] Group 2: Recent Listings - The first central enterprise natural gas power public REIT, Huaxia Huadian Clean Energy REIT, was successfully listed on August 1, marking a milestone in capital market support for energy transition [1] - The first central enterprise logistics REIT, Bank of China Zhongwaiyun Logistics REIT, was listed on July 29, with its underlying assets consisting of six logistics projects [1] - On July 25, Chuangjin Hexin Shounong REIT was listed, achieving a record subscription amount of 231.6 billion yuan, indicating strong market interest [2] Group 3: Investment Strategies - Analysts suggest that the recent valuation adjustments in public REITs present new investment opportunities, particularly in cash flow stable "debt-like" products and high-yield potential assets [4] - The focus should be on projects with stable cash flows, strong support from original rights holders, and stable lease agreements, especially in municipal environmental and energy sectors [4] - The normalization of public REITs issuance is expected to enhance market ecology and diversify asset types available for investment [4]
公募REITs周报(第26期):指数小幅收跌,各板块涨跌分化-20250720
Guoxin Securities· 2025-07-20 13:55
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - This week, the China Securities REITs Index closed lower, with property - type REITs outperforming concession - type REITs. The average weekly price changes of property - type and concession - type REITs were +0.3% and - 0.5% respectively. The weekly price change ranking of major indices was: CSI 300 > China Securities Convertible Bond Index > China Securities All - Bond Index > China Securities REITs Index. The average daily turnover rate of REITs for the whole week decreased slightly compared with the previous week. Different types of REITs in the market showed divergent price movements, with municipal, park, and consumer - type REITs having the largest price increases. As of July 18, the average annualized cash distribution rate of public - offering REITs was 6.3%, significantly higher than the current static yields of mainstream fixed - income assets. The dividend yield of property - type REITs was 154 basis points lower than the average dividend yield of CSI Dividend stocks, and the spread between the average internal rate of return of concession - type REITs and the 10 - year Treasury yield was 192 basis points. Two data center REITs were successfully issued, and the market subscription was enthusiastic [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Secondary Market Trends - **Index Performance**: As of July 18, 2025, the closing price of the China Securities REITs (closing) Index was 875.82 points, with a weekly price change of - 0.09%, performing worse than the China Securities Convertible Bond Index (+0.67%), the CSI 300 Index (+1.09%), and the China Securities All - Bond Index (+0.11%). Year - to - date, the price change ranking of major indices was: China Securities REITs (+10.9%) > China Securities Convertible Bond Index (+9.5%) > CSI 300 (+3.1%) > China Securities All - Bond Index (+1.4%). In the past year, the return rate of the China Securities REITs Index was 11.2%, with a volatility of 7.0%. Its return rate was lower than that of the CSI 300 Index and the China Securities Convertible Bond Index but higher than that of the China Securities All - Bond Index; its volatility was lower than that of the CSI 300 Index and the China Securities Convertible Bond Index but higher than that of the China Securities All - Bond Index [2][8][12]. - **Market Capitalization and Turnover Rate**: The total market capitalization of REITs decreased to 204.6 billion yuan on July 18, a decrease of 600 million yuan from the previous week. The average daily turnover rate for the whole week was 0.55%, a decrease of 0.04 percentage points from the previous week [2][12]. - **Divergent Performance of Different Types of REITs**: From the perspective of project attributes, the average weekly price changes of property - type and concession - type REITs were +0.3% and - 0.5% respectively. From the perspective of project types, all types of REITs had price changes, with the three project types with the largest average price increases being municipal facilities (+1.2%), park infrastructure (+0.5%), and consumer infrastructure (+0.4%). The top three REITs in terms of weekly price increases were China Merchants Science and Technology Innovation REIT (+3.05%), Huaxia JINMAO Commercial REIT (+2.24%), and CICC Hubei KeTou Optics Valley REIT (+2.08%) [3][18][22]. - **Trading Activity**: Among different project types, ecological and environmental protection - type REITs were the most actively traded this week, and park infrastructure - type REITs had the highest proportion of trading volume. The former had an average daily turnover rate of 1.2% during the period, accounting for 4.3% of the total REITs trading volume, while the latter had an average daily turnover rate of 0.7%, accounting for 22.8% of the total REITs trading volume. In terms of the capital flow of different REIT products this week, the top three in terms of net inflow of main funds were CICC China Green Development Commercial REIT (11.56 million yuan), Huaxia Beijing Affordable Housing REIT (7.29 million yuan), and CITIC Construction Investment SPIC New Energy REIT (7.26 million yuan) [3][24][25]. 3.2 Primary Market Issuance As of July 18, 2025, there were 2 REIT products in the "inquiry" stage on the exchange, 7 products in the "feedback" stage, 7 products that had passed the review and were waiting to be listed, and 5 first - issued products that had passed the review and were already listed [27]. 3.3 Valuation Tracking - **Debt - like Aspect**: Due to the constraint of mandatory high - dividend distribution, the annualized cash distribution rate of REITs is concerned. As of July 18, the average annualized cash distribution rate of public - offering REITs was 6.3%, significantly higher than the current static yields of mainstream fixed - income assets [29]. - **Equity - like Aspect**: The valuation of REITs is judged through relative net asset value premium/discount rate, IRR, and P/FFO. The relative net asset value premium/discount rate reflects the relationship between the market value and fair value of the fund, similar to the PB indicator of stocks; IRR is the internal rate of return calculated using the discounted cash flow method; P/FFO is the current price divided by the cash flow generated from operations. The relative net asset value premium/discount rate is a long - term perspective, evaluating the secondary - market valuation level from the valuation of underlying assets, while P/FFO is a short - term perspective, valuing the distributable cash flow based on the recent operating conditions of assets and judging the current investment return rate [29]. - **Comparison of Different Types of REITs**: Property - type REITs focus on dividend yield, and concession - type REITs focus on internal rate of return. As of July 18, 2025, the dividend yield of property - type REITs was 154 basis points lower than the average dividend yield of CSI Dividend stocks, and the spread between the average internal rate of return of concession - type REITs and the 10 - year Treasury yield was 192 basis points [30]. 3.4 Industry News - On July 14, the fund contract of Chuangjin Hexin Shounong REIT came into effect. During the public offering period (July 7 - 8), it raised 3.685 billion yuan and confirmed 1 billion shares, including 700 million shares (70%) for strategic placement, 210 million shares (21%) for offline investors, and 90 million shares (9%) for the public. The underlying assets are mature industrial supporting facilities in Beijing Shounong Information Industry Park. The fund is expected to have a total distributable amount of over 500 million yuan in the second half of 2025 and 2026, with a calculated distribution rate of approximately 6.9% - 6.85%, providing stable cash flow and expansion funds for industrial park - type assets [37]. - On July 16, Southern Runze Technology Data Center REIT announced the subscription confirmation results, and the market subscription was enthusiastic. Public investors effectively subscribed for 28.616 billion shares, with a confirmation ratio of only 0.3145%, over - subscribed by 317.95 times; the confirmation ratio for offline investors was 0.5992%. The fund issued a total of 1 billion shares to strategic, offline, and public investors. The underlying asset of this REIT is the International Information Cloud Aggregation Core Port A - 18 Data Center of Runze Technology in Langfang, Hebei, with 5,897 cabinets, a rack - up rate of over 99%, a PUE of 1.276 in 2024, and it was included in the list of national green data centers [37]. - On July 16, Southern Wanguo Data Center REIT completed its public offering and announced the placement results. Public investors effectively subscribed for 32.914 billion shares, with a confirmation ratio of 0.2198%, over - subscribed by 455.03 times; the confirmation ratio for offline investors was 0.6064%. This offering raised 800 million shares and 2.4 billion yuan in funds. The underlying asset is the Guojin Cloud Computing Data Center of Wanguo Data in Huaqiao Town, Kunshan, Jiangsu, with 4,192 cabinets, a power capacity of 29,044 kW, a PUE of 1.24 in 2024, and an average signing rate of 100% in the past three years [37]. - On July 16, Nanjing Electromechanical Industry (Group) Co., Ltd. publicly tendered for the fund management service of Xin Gong Industrial Park Infrastructure Public - Offering REITs, planning to select a manager to undertake issuance guidance and post - issuance management. The planned initial application scale is not less than 1 billion yuan. The proposed assets in the pool are industrial park properties under the group, with a leasable construction area of 388,000 square meters, a land reserve of 616,000 square meters, and total assets of 4.7 billion yuan, covering industries such as equipment manufacturing and industry - education integration [37].