Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Report's Core View The report presents the average prices and price changes of various non - ferrous metals and related products, including copper, aluminum, lead, zinc, tin, nickel, silicon, and lithium carbonate, along with the corresponding升贴水 and their changes [1]. 3. Summary by Related Catalog Copper - SMM 1 electrolytic copper average price is 78,615, with a price increase of 195; SMM flat - water copper升贴水 is 110, down 45 [1]. Aluminum - SMM A00 aluminum average price is 20,520, up 40; SMM A00 aluminum升贴水 is - 40, down 10. Alumina (Shanxi) average price is 3,240, unchanged; Australian alumina FOB average price is 375 dollars, down 2 dollars [1]. Lead - SMM 1 lead ingot average price is 16,600, down 100; SMM 1 lead ingot升贴水 to the current - month futures at 10:15 is - 30, up 20. Recycled refined lead average price is 16,600, down 125; the refined - scrap price difference is 0, up 25 [1]. Zinc - SMM 0 zinc ingot average price is 22,300, up 130; SMM 0 zinc ingot升贴水 to the current - month futures at 10:15 is 35, up 20 [1]. Tin - SMM 1 tin average price is 267,000, up 1,200; SMM 1 tin升贴水 to the current - month futures at 10:15 is 550, down 80. 40% tin concentrate (Yunnan) average price is 255,000, up 1,200; the ratio of 40% tin concentrate (Yunnan) to SMM 1 tin is 95.51% [1]. Nickel - 1 imported nickel average price is 121,100, up 600; 1 imported nickel升贴水 to the Shanghai nickel contract average price is 350, unchanged. 1 Jinchuan nickel average price is 123,000, up 500; 1 Jinchuan nickel升贴水 to the Shanghai nickel contract average price is 2,250, down 100 [1]. Silicon - Oxygen - passing 553 (Xinjiang) average price plus 800 is 9,550, down 250; 553 spot升贴水 to the current - month futures at 10:15 is 1,180, down 205. 421 silicon (Kunming) average price is 10,000, polysilicon dense material average price is 0, granular silicon average price is 0, and N - type polysilicon material average price is 47 [1]. Lithium Carbonate - Battery - grade lithium carbonate average price is 71,200, down 150; battery - grade lithium carbonate升贴水 to the current - month futures at 10:15 is 1,560, down 350. Industrial - grade lithium carbonate average price is 69,100, the battery - industrial carbon price difference is 2,100, with no change [1].

Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating is provided in the document. 2. Core View - The document presents the average prices, price changes, and spot premium/discount data of various non - ferrous metals and related products on July 28, 2025 [1]. 3. Summary by Metal Copper - The average price of SMM 1 electrolytic copper is 79,075, with a decrease of 375. The SMM flat - water copper premium/discount is 65, down 20 [1]. Aluminum - The average price of SMM A00 aluminum is 20,660, a decrease of 120. The SMM A00 aluminum premium/discount is 0, down 10. The average price of alumina in Shanxi is 3,240 with no change, and the FOB average price of Australian alumina is 380 dollars with no change [1]. Lead - The average price of SMM 1 lead ingot is 16,775, an increase of 25. The SMM 1 lead ingot premium/discount to the current - month futures at 10:15 is - 135 with no change. The average price of recycled refined lead is 16,750 with no change, and the refined - scrap price difference is 25, up 25 [1]. Zinc - The average price of SMM 0 zinc ingot is 22,650, a decrease of 120. The SMM 0 zinc ingot premium/discount to the current - month futures at 10:15 is 0, up 20 [1]. Tin - The average price of SMM 1 tin is 268,800, a decrease of 2,300. The SMM 1 tin premium/discount to the current - month futures at 10:15 is 410, up 510. The average price of 40% tin concentrate in Yunnan is 256,800, a decrease of 2,300, and the ratio of 40% tin concentrate in Yunnan to SMM 1 tin is 95.54% [1]. Nickel - The average price of 1 imported nickel is 122,500, a decrease of 1,550. The average premium/discount of 1 imported nickel to the SHFE nickel contract is 400 with no change. The average price of 1 Jinchuan nickel is 124,250, a decrease of 1,400, and the average premium/discount of 1 Jinchuan nickel to the SHFE nickel contract is 2,150, up 150 [1]. Silicon - The average price of oxygen - passing 553 silicon in Xinjiang is 10,350, a decrease of 150. The 553 silicon spot premium/discount to the current - month futures at 10:15 is 1,440, up 640. The average price of 421 silicon in Kunming is 10,200. The average price of polysilicon dense material is 0, the average price of granular silicon is 0, and the average price of N - type polysilicon material is 46.5 [1]. Lithium - The average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate is 73,900, an increase of 1,000. The battery - grade lithium carbonate premium/discount to the current - month futures at 10:15 is 2,280, up 8,780. The average price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 71,700, and the difference between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 2,200 with no change [1].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the innovative green financial services provided by Jiangsu Bank, which support the recycling and utilization of waste lead-acid batteries, transforming pollution into valuable resources through a closed-loop system [1][2][3]. Group 1: Jiangsu Haibao New Energy Project - Jiangsu Haibao New Energy has established a waste battery disposal base capable of processing 600,000 tons of waste lead-acid batteries annually, producing 680,000 tons of regenerated lead and other products [1]. - The project employs advanced automation and environmental protection equipment, enhancing the transition from "harmless treatment" to "high-value utilization," thereby improving both economic and ecological benefits [1]. Group 2: Jiangsu Bank's Green Financial Services - Jiangsu Bank has developed a comprehensive "energy finance" service system, supporting various renewable energy sectors and the circular economy, particularly in waste battery recycling [2]. - The bank provided a credit facility of 470 million yuan to support the waste battery recycling project, demonstrating its commitment to promoting resource recycling and utilization [2]. Group 3: Jiangsu Bank's Green Finance Strategy - As a globally recognized bank, Jiangsu Bank prioritizes green finance as a key strategy for transformation, aiming to build a leading and influential green finance brand [3]. - The bank's green financing balance has exceeded 700 billion yuan, serving over 12,000 green enterprises, with a significant proportion of green loans among the 24 banks directly managed by the People's Bank of China [3].

Report Summary 1. Core View - The downside of lead may be relatively limited [1] 2. Fundamental Data - **Futures Prices**: The closing price of the main Shanghai lead futures contract was 16,930 yuan/ton, down 0.91% from the previous day, and the closing price of the LME 3M electronic lead contract was 2,005 dollars/ton, down 0.59% [1] - **Trading Volume**: The trading volume of the main Shanghai lead futures contract was 33,602 lots, an increase of 2,046 lots, and the trading volume of LME lead was 6,877 lots, an increase of 500 lots [1] - **Open Interest**: The open interest of the main Shanghai lead futures contract was 52,667 lots, an increase of 223 lots, and the open interest of LME lead was 142,147 lots, a decrease of 2,744 lots [1] - **Premium and Discount**: The premium of Shanghai 1 lead was -30 yuan/ton, a decrease of 10 yuan/ton, and the LME CASH - 3M premium was -32.78 dollars/ton, an increase of 0.84 dollars/ton [1] - **Inventory**: The inventory of Shanghai lead futures was 58,768 tons, an increase of 3,638 tons, and the LME lead inventory was 271,075 tons, an increase of 10,125 tons [1] 3. News - The US core CPI in June increased by 2.9% year - on - year and 0.2% month - on - month, falling short of expectations for five consecutive months. The "New Fed Wire" said that the June CPI data would not change the Fed's decision [2] 4. Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of lead is 0, indicating a neutral trend [2]

Group 1: Report Title and Investment Rating - Report Title: "Shanghai Lead May Face Adjustment" [1] - Investment Rating: Not provided Group 2: Core View - The supply of primary and recycled lead is increasing, but the peak - season demand has not started yet. The supply - demand situation of lead is weakening marginally. With the loosening of waste battery costs, the pressure on high lead prices is increasing, and lead prices may face adjustment. Attention should be paid to the possibility of further improvement in demand later [7] Group 3: Fundamental Changes Processing Fees - In May 2025, China imported 103,900 tons of lead concentrates, a 6% month - on - month decrease. The domestic lead concentrate imports continued to decline month - on - month but remained at a moderately high level. The supply of domestic concentrates became more tense, and the processing fees of domestic and foreign lead concentrates continued to decline at a low level. In July, the domestic monthly processing fee was 400 - 700 yuan/ton, a month - on - month decrease of 50 yuan; the imported monthly processing fee was - 60 - - 30 US dollars/dry ton, a month - on - month decrease of 15 US dollars. The domestic weekly processing fee for lead ore was 400 - 700 yuan/ton, remaining flat week - on - week; the imported weekly processing fee was - 70 - - 40 US dollars/dry ton, also remaining flat week - on - week [3] Supply - In May 2025, the electrolytic lead output was 331,200 tons, a 3.53% month - on - month increase and a 14.7% year - on - year increase. In June (regular maintenance season), most enterprises planned to start maintenance after mid - June, and the reduction was obvious in late June. The output of recycled refined lead in May was 223,500 tons, significantly lower than expected, a 36.4% month - on - month decrease and a 16.5% year - on - year decrease. In June, the price of waste batteries rebounded, but the profit of recycled lead enterprises did not improve, and the scale of production reduction of recycled lead was still large. Last week, the operating rate of primary lead in three provinces decreased by 3.78 percentage points to 66.21% week - on - week. In July, some primary lead enterprises resumed production after maintenance, and the operating rate rebounded significantly this week. Last week, the weekly operating rate of recycled lead in four provinces was 34.62%, a 4.96 - percentage - point decrease week - on - week. Last week, the price of waste batteries increased with the rising lead price, and the profit of recycled lead improved. This week, the price of waste batteries fluctuated slightly downward, and the profit of recycled lead continued to recover. Some recycled lead enterprises were more willing to resume production, and the supply of recycled lead was expected to gradually increase. Recently, the internal - external price ratio fluctuated at a low level, and the lead ingot import window remained closed [4] Consumption - Last week, the weekly comprehensive operating rate of lead - acid battery enterprises in five provinces decreased week - on - week. At the end of the year, many large enterprises closed their accounts and reduced or stopped production. The willingness of dealers to take delivery was average during the week. Battery factories actively reduced prices to destock, but the effect was not good. The operating rate of large lead - acid battery enterprises was 63%, slightly lower than the previous week. The inventory of finished batteries was 30 days, and the inventory of raw material lead ingots was 4 days. The operating rate of small and medium - sized battery factories was 60 - 65%, the inventory of finished batteries was 21 days, and the raw material inventory was 4 days. This week, the rainy season ended in many places, and battery enterprises that reduced production at the end of the year resumed production. However, it was currently in the transition period between the off - season and the peak - season, and the peak - season demand had not started yet. Market dealers reported that orders were poor and the willingness to replenish inventory was low [5] Spot and Inventory - As of the week ending June 27, the premium of the domestic lead spot to the active month's contract decreased, and the premium was 35 yuan at the weekend. The discount of the LME lead spot narrowed slightly, and the discount was 22.14 US dollars at the end of last week. As of the week ending June 27, the weekly inventory of LME lead decreased by 10,650 tons to 273,400 tons. Although the inventory decreased significantly from a high level, it was still at an absolute high level in the past five years. The weekly inventory of SHFE lead increased by 638 tons to 51,900 tons. As of June 30, the domestic social inventory was 52,300 tons, and the inventory was gradually accumulating. Currently, the social inventory was at a moderately low level [6] Group 4: Market Outlook and Strategy - Last week, the LME lead inventory decreased significantly from a high level but remained at an absolute high level in the past five years. The spot discount narrowed slightly, and the supply - demand of overseas lead remained relatively loose. In May, the import volume of lead concentrates continued to decline month - on - month but was still higher than the same period in previous years. The monthly processing fees of domestic and foreign lead ores further declined at a low level, and the expectation of tight supply of lead concentrates intensified. In July, many primary lead enterprises resumed production after maintenance. The price of waste batteries loosened, the profit of recycled lead enterprises was recovering, and the willingness of recycled lead enterprises to resume production was high. It was expected that the short - term tight supply situation of lead would ease. This week, the rainy season ended in many places, and battery enterprises that reduced production at the end of the year resumed production. However, it was currently in the transition period between the off - season and the peak - season, and the peak - season demand had not started yet. Market dealers reported that orders were poor and the willingness to replenish inventory was low, and the spot was quoted at a discount. Overall, the supply of primary and recycled lead increased, the peak - season demand had not started yet, the supply - demand situation of lead weakened marginally, and with the loosening of waste battery costs, the pressure on high lead prices increased, and lead prices may face adjustment. Attention should be paid to the possibility of further improvement in demand later [7]

Group 1 - The mainstream ex-factory price of recycled refined lead is stable against the average price of SMM 1 lead, with some traders quoting a discount of around 50 yuan/ton [1] - As of June 16, the prices for 1 lead ingots in various markets are as follows: Shanghai Huaton at 16,850 yuan/ton, Shanghai Youse at 16,750 yuan/ton, and Guangdong Nanchu at 16,775 yuan/ton [2] - The Shanghai Futures Exchange's lead futures main contract closed at 16,980.00 yuan/ton on June 16, with a slight increase of 0.18% [2] Group 2 - On June 16, the London Metal Exchange reported lead registered warrants at 186,525 tons and canceled warrants at 76,950 tons, a decrease of 1,500 tons; total lead inventory is at 263,475 tons, also down by 1,500 tons [3] - A lead smelter in Central China is currently out of operation due to equipment failure, while high prices for recycled lead in East China are reported, with some downstream stating that prices are 100 yuan/ton higher than recycled lead [3] - According to a report from Galaxy Futures, recent increases in silver prices have improved the smelting profits for primary lead, leading to a slight increase in operational sentiment; however, recycled lead smelting plants are still facing losses, limiting operational rates [4]

Report Summary Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Core Viewpoint - Lead is expected to operate within a range [1] Detailed Summary Fundamental Tracking - **Price**: The closing price of the Shanghai lead main contract was 16,570 yuan/ton, down 0.30%, and the closing price of the LME lead 3M electronic disk was 1,986 dollars/ton, up 0.25% [1] - **Volume and Open Interest**: The trading volume of the Shanghai lead main contract was 28,541 lots, a decrease of 24,390 lots, and the open interest was 55,547 lots, an increase of 2,217 lots. The trading volume of LME lead was 4,836 lots, an increase of 97 lots, and the open interest was 143,238 lots, a decrease of 1,723 lots [1] - **Premium and Discount**: The premium of Shanghai 1 lead was -20 yuan/ton, unchanged, and the LME CASH - 3M premium was -19.72 dollars/ton, up 2.45 dollars/ton [1] - **Inventory**: The inventory of Shanghai lead futures was 40,316 tons, an increase of 897 tons, and the LME lead inventory was 283,150 tons, a decrease of 1,000 tons. The LME lead cancelled warrants were 49,425 tons, a decrease of 1,000 tons [1] - **Other Indicators**: The spot import profit and loss of lead ingots was -891.91 yuan/ton, a decrease of 116.74 yuan/ton, and the import profit and loss of Shanghai lead continuous three contracts was -795.02 yuan/ton, a decrease of 157.38 yuan/ton [1] News - Trump announced on June 4 that steel and aluminum tariffs would be raised to 50%, while tariffs on steel and aluminum imported from the UK would remain at 25%. The White House confirmed sending letters to trade negotiation partners to "submit plans." Media previously reported that Trump issued an ultimatum, hoping that countries would provide their "best trade plans" by Wednesday [2] Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of lead is 0, indicating a neutral outlook [2]

Core Viewpoint - Lead prices experienced a rise followed by a decline, with the Shanghai lead index closing up 0.08% at 16,944 CNY/ton [1] Market Performance - As of last Friday, the London lead price increased by 12.5 to 1,950.5 USD/ton, with total positions at 148,500 lots [1] - The average price of SMM1 lead ingots was 16,875 CNY/ton, while recycled refined lead averaged 16,850 CNY/ton, resulting in a price difference of 25 CNY/ton [1] - The average price of waste electric vehicle batteries was 10,400 CNY/ton [1] Inventory and Supply - The Shanghai Futures Exchange recorded lead ingot futures inventory at 38,000 tons, while domestic social inventory decreased to 48,800 tons [1] - LME lead ingot inventory stood at 277,900 tons, with 161,300 tons in canceled warrants [1] - The cash-3S contract basis was -21.19 USD/ton, and the 3-15 price difference was -70.3 USD/ton [1] Production and Demand - The primary smelting operating rate was recorded at 66.23%, with primary ingot factory inventory at 13,000 tons [1] - Recycled lead inventory was 76,000 tons, with weekly production of recycled lead ingots at 38,000 tons and factory inventory at 19,000 tons [1] - The operating rate of lead-acid batteries was 73.56% [1] Market Outlook - Overall, lead ore inventory is increasing, primary production remains high, and scrap inventory is limited, leading to pressure on recycling profits and some reduction in output from recycling plants [1] - The lead ingot factory inventory accumulation is faster than previous years due to extended holidays [1] - The mid-term outlook for the Shanghai lead index is expected to fluctuate within the range of 16,300 to 17,800, with short-term lead prices showing a weak oscillation [1]