依托技术驱动、链条完整、国际布局三大核心优势，高能环境正加速完成从"环保服务商"到"资源价值 创造者"的深度战略跃升。其发展路径与固废资源化产业升级趋势高度同频，凭借这一转型势能，公司 有望在万亿级循环经济赛道中持续领跑，为我国资源安全保障与循环经济高质量发展注入关键动能。 作为固废危废资源化领域领军企业，高能环境（603588.SH）凭借全链条布局与技术优势，成为政策落 地的核心践行者。公司旗下高能鹏富、珠海新虹等项目产出的合金产品直供江西鑫科深度处理，中间品 再输送至金昌高能进行高值化提炼，形成协同高效的梯次利用体系；目前已建成含铜、含铅、含镍工业 废料三条独立且联动的金属资源化回收链，显著提升资源回收效率与盈利水平。 国务院近期印发《固体废物综合治理行动计划》（以下简称《行动计划》），明确2030年重点领域固废 专项整治见效、历史堆存量有效管控等核心目标，提出大宗固体废弃物年综合利用量45亿吨、主要再生 资源年循环利用量5.1亿吨的量化指标，为固废治理行业划定发展航向，推动产业进入政策红利期。行 业基础数据显示，2024年我国大宗固废综合利用率达59%，再生铜、再生铝国内原料供应占比分别为 58.4%和 ...

铅反弹动力不足，或继续震荡 基本面变化 加工费：2025年中国进口铅精矿11.0万吨实物量，同比上升15.8%，环比上升11.7%，进口量位于在近年来均值水平。国内冬季 铅精矿市场需求高涨，国内矿端紧张格局紧张加剧，SMM显示国内外铅精矿加工费低位进一步下滑。12月国内月度加工费200- 400元/吨，月度环比下降50元；进口月度加工费位-160--130美元/干吨，月度环比下降20美元。现货加工费方面，国内铅矿周 度加工费为250-350元/吨，周度环比持平；进口周度加工费为-150--120美元/干吨，周度环比持平。 供应：SMM显示11月全国电解铅产量小幅上升，环比增加0.49个百分点，较去年同期下降1.61个百分点；11月再生精铅产量环比 上升8.5%，同比去年增加10.13%。上周SMM三省原生铅冶炼厂开工率67.35%，环比增长1.82%。河南、湖南地区开工率维持稳定， 部分湖南地区冶炼厂提及环保督察影响粗铅开工，但上周电解量尚可维持稳定生产，预计本周电解铅产量或小幅下滑。云南地 区某中大规模冶炼厂检修结束后上周继续提产，另一小规模冶炼厂生产恢复小幅提产。其他地区冶炼厂维持正常开华东地区此 前停产 ...

铅周报：供需双弱 铅价区间震荡 第二章 原料端 第三章 冶炼端 第四章 需求端 研究员：陈寒松 期货从业证号： F03129697 投资咨询证号： Z0020351 目录 第一章 行情与逻辑 1.1 交易逻辑与策略 ◼ 产业供需： 2 GALAXY FUTURES 227/82/4 228/210/172 181/181/181 87/87/87 文 字 色 1.2 期货价格 基 础 色 辅 助 色 137/137/137 246/206/207 68/84/105 210/10/16 221/221/221 208/218/234 ➢ 供应端，本周国产铅精矿加工费至300元/金属吨，SMM进口铅精矿周度加工费至-135美元/干吨。临近年底，国内部分企业提前关账，铅精矿市场成交仍然清淡。进口矿方面，少量 进口矿招投标报价报 出-200美元/干吨的价格，但国内冶炼厂观望居多，仅少量刚需成交。国产矿方面，目前的加工费报价多为2026年预售报价，12月铅精矿加工费整体维持稳定。 河南、内蒙古等地冶炼厂进口矿长单仍有持续到厂预 期，江西、湖南、云南等地南方地区冶炼厂以银铅矿原料为主，这类主流原料的加工费仍以负加工费为 ...

Core Viewpoint - Recent lead prices have shown a slight recovery, influenced by inventory levels, cost factors, and macroeconomic conditions [1] Inventory Factors - As of December 2, the average spot price for lead was 17,000 yuan/ton, with a month-on-month increase of 50 yuan/ton (0.29%) and a year-on-year decrease of 125 yuan/ton (0.73%) [1] - Downstream demand has led to a reduction in domestic warehouse receipts, with current lead ingot warehouse receipts on the Shanghai Futures Exchange being less than 20,000 tons, which has provided some support for lead prices [1] Cost Factors - The price of recycled batteries had previously faced downward pressure, making it difficult for recyclers to purchase at low prices, but there has been a slight recovery in battery prices, which has supported the bottom line for lead prices [1] Macroeconomic Factors - Expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December have increased, leading to a weaker US dollar, which has generally supported the performance of non-ferrous metals [1] - However, there are short-term expectations of weakening demand, which may limit the upward potential for lead prices [1]

Economic Development - The GDP of Geermu City is projected to increase from 36.714 billion yuan in 2021 to 45.519 billion yuan in 2024, indicating a steady upward trend in economic development [4] - The city aims to establish a high-quality development benchmark in the western region by focusing on innovation, structural optimization, and urban-rural integration [4] Industrial Growth - Geermu is enhancing its modern industrial system by focusing on the "magnesium-lithium-potassium salt" industry, with a target of achieving an industrial output value exceeding 34 billion yuan by 2024 [5][6] - The city has established significant production capacities, including 8 million tons of potassium fertilizer, 106,000 tons of lithium carbonate, and 100,000 tons of metallic magnesium [6] Renewable Energy - Geermu has a total installed power capacity of 12.1131 million kilowatts, with renewable energy accounting for 91% of this capacity, solidifying its position in clean energy generation [7] - The city is developing the world's largest liquid air energy storage project, which will have a power output of 60,000 kilowatts and an annual transmission capacity of approximately 180 million kilowatt-hours [8] Tourism and Culture - The city received 17.4669 million tourists and generated a total tourism revenue of 10.072 billion yuan, with a significant increase in visitor numbers and revenue in 2025 [9] - Geermu has developed 56 key cultural tourism projects with a total investment of 1.825 billion yuan, enhancing its tourism infrastructure [9] Agricultural Development - Geermu has successfully developed 103,000 acres of goji berry cultivation, generating an annual output value of 799 million yuan, transforming previously barren land into a recognized quality production area [11][12] - The goji berry industry has created over a thousand direct jobs and indirectly benefited more than ten thousand people, contributing to rural revitalization [12] Innovation and Technology - The city has established 11 national and provincial R&D platforms and has invested 2.789 billion yuan in R&D, accounting for 6.13% of its GDP [13] - Geermu has implemented over 260 policies to support enterprises, significantly improving its business environment and facilitating digital reforms [13]

沪铅弱势难改 基本面变化 加工费：2025年10月铅精矿进口量为98342吨实物量，环比下降34.69%，进口量跌至中等均值水平。国内冬季铅精矿市场需求高 涨，国内矿端紧张格局紧张加剧，SMM显示国内外铅精矿加工费低位进一步下滑。11月国内月度加工费250-350元/吨，月度环比 下降50元；进口月度加工费位-150--100美元/干吨，月度环比下降10美元。现货加工费方面，国内铅矿周度加工费为250-350元 /吨，周度环比持平；进口周度加工费为-150--120美元/干吨，周度环比持平。 供应：SMM显示10月全国电解铅产量小幅下滑，环比减少0.56%，环比上升2.66%；10月再生铅产量明显上升，环比增加9.24%， 同比去年增加11.86%。上周SMM三省原生铅冶炼厂的平均开工率为67.7%，环比增加0.13%。上周河南地区原生铅冶炼厂产量边际 波动带来小幅增量；此前检修计划原定于11月底的华东地区某冶炼厂本周将进入常规检修，但对电解铅产线影响相对有限，或 将小幅减产。原料端压力凸显，后期原生铅开工率变化不大。SMM再生铅四省周度开工率为50.52%，环比减少2.28%。安徽地区 再生铅周度开工率变化 ...

Core Viewpoint - Recent announcements of share reduction plans by major shareholders of Hunan Silver indicate a strategic move following a significant increase in the company's stock price, which has risen over 100% this year [1][6] Shareholder Reduction Plans - China Great Wall Asset Management Co., Ltd. (Great Wall Asset) plans to reduce its holdings by up to 55 million shares, accounting for 1.95% of Hunan Silver's total share capital, from December 11, 2025, to March 10, 2026 [1][2] - The second largest shareholder, Chenzhou State-owned Capital Holding Group Co., Ltd. (Chenzhou Guokong), announced a plan to reduce its holdings by up to 56.46 million shares, representing 2% of the total share capital, from November 10, 2025, to February 9, 2026 [2][3] Shareholding Background - Both Great Wall Asset and Chenzhou Guokong acquired their shares through Hunan Silver's 2020 restructuring plan, with Chenzhou Guokong holding 210 million shares and Great Wall Asset holding 159 million shares [3][4] - The investment amounts for the restructuring were approximately 266.7 million yuan for Chenzhou Guokong and 146.05 million yuan for Great Wall Asset [4] Financial Performance - As of November 19, 2025, Hunan Silver's closing price was 6.34 yuan, with a market capitalization exceeding 17 billion yuan [5] - Chenzhou Guokong's shares are valued at approximately 1.33 billion yuan, about five times its investment, while Great Wall Asset's shares are valued at around 729 million yuan, also about five times its investment [5] - If both shareholders proceed with their planned reductions at the current price, they would realize cash amounts of approximately 358 million yuan and 348.7 million yuan, respectively [5] Business Overview - Hunan Silver's main business includes the smelting and sales of non-ferrous and precious metals such as silver, electrolytic lead, gold, and copper products [6] - The company has seen rapid growth in performance this year, with a revenue of 8.594 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 59.56%, and a net profit of 159 million yuan, up 28.44% [6] - The company adjusted its share repurchase price limit from 5 yuan to 8 yuan per share due to the rising stock price [6]

Core Viewpoint - Hunan Silver's stock has shown strong performance this year, with a maximum increase of over 100%, prompting major shareholders to announce share reduction plans [2][6]. Group 1: Shareholder Reduction Plans - China Great Wall Asset Management Co., Ltd. (Great Wall Asset Management), the fourth largest shareholder, plans to reduce its holdings by up to 55 million shares, accounting for 1.95% of Hunan Silver's total share capital, between December 11, 2025, and March 10, 2026 [2][3]. - The second largest shareholder, Chenzhou State-owned Capital Holding Group Co., Ltd. (Chenzhou State Control), announced a plan to reduce its holdings by up to 56.46 million shares, representing 2% of the total share capital, from November 10, 2025, to February 9, 2026 [3][4]. Group 2: Shareholding Background - Both Great Wall Asset Management and Chenzhou State Control acquired their shares through Hunan Silver's 2020 restructuring plan, with Chenzhou State Control holding 210 million shares and Great Wall Asset Management holding 159 million shares [4][5]. - The restructuring involved a court ruling in November 2020, allowing these entities to acquire shares as part of the capital reserve adjustment process, with Chenzhou State Control investing 266.7 million yuan and Great Wall Asset Management investing 146.05 million yuan [5]. Group 3: Financial Performance - As of November 19, 2025, Hunan Silver's closing price was 6.34 yuan, giving it a market capitalization of over 17 billion yuan [5]. - Chenzhou State Control's 210 million shares are valued at approximately 1.3314 billion yuan, about five times its investment, while Great Wall Asset Management's 115 million shares are valued at approximately 729.1 million yuan, also about five times its investment [5]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, Hunan Silver reported revenue of 8.594 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 59.56%, and a net profit of 159 million yuan, up 28.44% [6].

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Group 2: Core Views of the Report - The supply of electrolytic lead and recycled lead is expected to increase in November, with electrolytic lead supply rising to 33.47 tons and recycled refined lead supply increasing to 28.58 tons. However, the import window for lead ingots is closed, and battery consumption remains resilient. As a result, social inventory is expected to rise slightly, and the lead price is likely to remain in a high - level oscillatory pattern in November [2][70] Group 3: Summary by Directory I. Lead Market Review - In October, the main contract price of Shanghai lead futures fluctuated strongly, reaching a mid - month high of 17,660 yuan/ton and finally closing at 17,390 yuan/ton, with a monthly increase of 2.66%. London lead continued to oscillate widely, closing at 2,025 US dollars/ton at the end of October, with a monthly increase of 1.96% [7] II. Lead Fundamental Analysis 2.1 Lead Ore Supply Situation - **Global lead concentrate supply is slowly recovering**: From January to August 2025, the global lead concentrate output was 295.6 tons, with a cumulative year - on - year increase of 1.29%. It is predicted that global lead mine supply will grow by 0.7% to 457 tons in 2025 and 2.2% to 467 tons in 2026. In China, the lead concentrate output from January to September was 124.91 tons, with a cumulative year - on - year increase of 11.54%. With the cold weather, the monthly output is expected to decline month - on - month but remain positive year - on - year [10][11] - **Lead concentrate processing fees remain low, and silver concentrate imports decline month - on - month**: In November, the average domestic lead concentrate processing fee was 350 yuan/metal ton, down 50 yuan/metal ton month - on - month. The average import processing fee decreased as well. In September, lead concentrate imports increased month - on - month but decreased year - on - year. Silver concentrate imports in September decreased both year - on - year and month - on - month, and future imports are expected to be under pressure [17][18] 2.2 Refined Lead Supply Situation - **Global refined lead supply growth is slow**: From January to August 2025, global refined lead output was 881.3 tons, with a cumulative year - on - year increase of 2.31%. It is predicted that global refined lead output will increase by 2% to 1,334 tons in 2025 and 0.98% to 1,347.2 tons in 2026 [22] - **Refineries are in a state of reduction and resumption, and the monthly supply of electrolytic lead continues to rise**: In October, electrolytic lead output was 32.6 tons. In November, with the resumption of production in multiple regions, the output is expected to increase to 33.47 tons [27] - **The price of waste batteries is stable with a slight increase, and the supply of recycled lead increases marginally**: In October, the average price of waste batteries increased slightly. The output of recycled refined lead in October was 27.29 tons. In November, with the resumption of production of refineries and the output of new capacities, the output is expected to increase to 28.58 tons [33][34] 2.3 Refined Lead Demand Situation - **Global refined lead demand situation**: From January to August 2025, global refined lead consumption was 875.6 tons, with a cumulative year - on - year increase of 2.2%. It is predicted that global refined lead demand will grow by 1.8% to 1,325 tons in 2025 and 0.9% to 1,337 tons in 2026. The overseas lead - acid battery market has some resilience but is difficult to improve significantly [45][46] - **At the end of the month, battery enterprises cut production, and the operating rate of lead - acid battery enterprises declined**: In October, the operating rate of battery enterprises first rose and then fell. In November, it is expected to rise slightly but not significantly [48][49] - **The Shanghai - London ratio is favorable for lead product imports, and high overseas tariffs and anti - dumping measures put pressure on battery exports**: In September, lead exports decreased month - on - month, and imports increased. Battery exports decreased. It is expected that lead exports will remain low in October, and imports will increase significantly [50][51] - **Terminal growth is slow, and energy storage performs well**: In the automotive sector, production and sales are growing well. In the electric bicycle sector, the new national standard is expected to increase lead consumption. The energy storage battery market continues to grow [58][60] 2.4 Global Visible Inventory Drops from High Levels - In October, LME inventory first increased and then decreased, and the end - of - year high - inventory pressure is difficult to relieve significantly. Social inventory continued to decline in October and is expected to stop falling and rise in November [64] III. Summary and Future Outlook - The supply of electrolytic lead and recycled lead is expected to increase in November, but the import window for lead ingots is closed. Battery consumption remains resilient. Social inventory is expected to rise slightly, and the lead price is likely to remain in a high - level oscillatory pattern in November [70]

Core Viewpoint - Hunan Silver has seen a significant stock price increase of 137% this year, but its second-largest shareholder, Chenzhou State-owned Assets Holding Group, plans to reduce its stake by up to 56.46 million shares, representing 2.00% of the total share capital [1][2]. Group 1: Shareholder Actions - Chenzhou State-owned Assets Holding Group intends to reduce its holdings between November 10, 2025, and February 9, 2026, through centralized bidding and block trading [1]. - The total market value of the shares to be sold, based on the closing price of CNY 8.04 per share on October 17, is approximately CNY 450 million [1]. Group 2: Company Performance - Hunan Silver, originally known as Chenzhou Jingu Silver Industry Co., Ltd., was established in 2004 and listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in 2014, focusing on the smelting and sales of precious and non-ferrous metals [3]. - The company has experienced significant fluctuations in performance, reporting losses in 2022 and 2023, but is projected to recover in 2024 with revenue and net profit expected to grow by 61.76% and 205.65%, respectively [3]. - In the first half of 2025, Hunan Silver reported total revenue of CNY 4.529 billion, a year-on-year increase of 35.59%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of CNY 62.2 million, up 7.01% year-on-year [3].