高技术制造业宏观周报 国信周频高技术制造业扩散指数连续三周回升 国信周频高技术制造业扩散指数连续三周回升。截至 2025 年 9 月 6 日当周， 国信周频高技术制造业扩散指数 A 录得 0.2；国信周频高技术制造业扩 散指数 B 为 52.4，连续三周回升。从分项看，六氟磷酸锂、丙烯腈价格 上升，新能源、航空航天行业景气度上升；动态随机存储器价格下降， 半导体行业景气度下降；6-氨基青霉烷酸、中关村电子产品价格指数不 变，医药、计算机行业景气度不变。 高技术产业跟踪方面： 高技术制造业高频数据跟踪上，6-氨基青霉烷酸价格 190 元/千克，与 上周持平；丙烯腈价格 8500 元/吨，较上周上升 250 元/吨；动态随机 存储器（DRAM）价格 1.9070 美元，较上周下降 0.013 美元；晶圆（Wafer） 价格最新一期报 2.80 美元/片，与上周持平；六氟磷酸锂价格 5.65 万 元/吨，较上周上升 0.07 万元/吨；中关村电子产品价格指数:液晶显示 器最新一期报 91.04，与上周持平。 高技术制造业政策动向上，9 月 9 日，市场监管总局消息，我国人工智 能国家标准已经发布 30 项，正在制定 ...

Group 1: High-tech Manufacturing Index - The Guosen weekly high-tech manufacturing diffusion index A recorded 0.2, while index B was 52.2, continuing to rise from the previous week[1] - The semiconductor industry shows improved prosperity, with dynamic random access memory (DRAM) prices increasing by $0.033 to $1.9200[2] - Prices for lithium hexafluorophosphate, acrylonitrile, and 6-amino penicillanic acid remained unchanged, indicating stable conditions in these sectors[1] Group 2: Price Tracking and Policy Developments - The price of 6-amino penicillanic acid is stable at 190 RMB/kg, and acrylonitrile remains at 8,250 RMB/ton[2] - The National Standardization Administration and the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology announced a plan to establish a high-quality standard system for industrial mother machines by 2026[2] - The Chengdu production base for solid-state batteries by EVE Energy is expected to achieve an annual capacity of nearly 500,000 cells, with the first phase completed by December 2025[3] Group 3: Economic Indicators - Fixed asset investment year-on-year growth is at 1.60%, while retail sales growth is at 3.70%[5] - Monthly export growth stands at 7.20%, and M2 growth is at 8.80%[5] Group 4: Risks and Challenges - Potential risks include indicators failing due to structural adjustments in high-tech manufacturing and economic policy interventions[4] - Economic growth slowdown poses a significant risk to the sector's performance[4]

Group 1: High-tech Manufacturing Index - The Guosen weekly high-tech manufacturing diffusion index A recorded 0.6, while index B was at 52.0, showing a significant rebound compared to the previous week[1] - Key sectors such as lithium hexafluorophosphate, dynamic random access memory, and 6-amino penicillanic acid saw price increases, indicating rising industry prosperity in new energy, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals[1] - Prices for acrylonitrile and the Zhongguancun electronic product price index remained unchanged, with aerospace and computer industries showing stable conditions[1] Group 2: Price Tracking and Policy Directions - The price of 6-amino penicillanic acid increased to 190 RMB/kg, up by 10 RMB/kg from last week; acrylonitrile remained at 8,250 RMB/ton[2] - Dynamic random access memory (DRAM) price rose to $1.8870, an increase of $0.073; wafer prices decreased to $2.80, down by $0.01[2] - The State Council's "Artificial Intelligence +" action plan aims for over 70% application penetration in six key areas by 2027 and over 90% by 2030, promoting rapid growth in the smart economy[2] Group 3: Company Performance - Cambricon Technologies (688256) reported a revenue of 2.881 billion RMB for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 4,347.82%[3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 1.038 billion RMB, with a non-recurring net profit of 913 million RMB, marking a significant turnaround to profitability[3] Group 4: Economic Indicators - Fixed asset investment cumulative year-on-year growth stands at 1.60%[5] - Retail sales growth for the month is at 3.70%, while exports show a year-on-year increase of 7.20%[5] - M2 money supply growth is reported at 8.80%[5]

每日经济新闻 国信证券指出，截至2025年7月26日当周，国信周频高技术制造业扩散指数A录得0.4，指数B为 50.8，显示行业景气度走强。从分项看，动态随机存储器（DRAM）价格较上周上升0.049美元至1.6180 美元，晶圆价格上升0.03美元至2.70美元/片，六氟磷酸锂价格上升0.02万元至4.95万元/吨，反应行业景 气度上升；而丙烯腈、6-氨基青霉烷酸及液晶显示器价格持平，对应航空航天、计算机、医药行业景气 度稳定。政策方面，中国光伏行业协会强调将市场化推进结构调整。前沿动态上，2025世界人工智能大 会签约31个项目，涉及智能驾驶、机器人等领域，投资额超150亿元，显示人工智能领域需求旺盛。 （责任编辑：董萍萍 ） 信创ETF（159537）跟踪的是国证信创指数（CN5075），该指数聚焦于信息技术创新领域，从国 内市场中选取涉及软件开发、网络安全、云计算等业务的上市公司证券作为指数样本，强调科技创新和 自主可控能力，以反映信息技术创新相关上市公司证券的整体表现。 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提 ...

Group 1: High-Tech Manufacturing Index - The Guosen weekly high-tech manufacturing diffusion index A recorded -0.2, while index B was at 50.4, indicating a narrowing decline compared to the previous period[1] - The semiconductor industry shows improved prosperity with rising dynamic random access memory (DRAM) prices[1] - Prices for acrylonitrile and lithium hexafluorophosphate have decreased, reflecting a downturn in the aerospace and new energy sectors[1] Group 2: Price Tracking and Policy Developments - The price of 6-amino penicillanic acid remained stable at 220 RMB/kg, while acrylonitrile decreased by 100 RMB/ton to 8050 RMB/ton[2] - DRAM prices increased by 0.061 USD to 1.5690 USD, whereas wafer prices fell by 0.01 USD to 2.67 USD[2] - A draft amendment to the pricing law was released for public consultation, focusing on government pricing and standards for identifying unfair pricing behavior[2] Group 3: Industry Dynamics and Risks - The establishment of China Fusion Energy Company aims to advance fusion engineering and commercialization in Shanghai[3] - Risks include potential indicator failures due to structural adjustments in high-tech manufacturing and economic policy interventions[4] - Economic growth slowdown poses additional risks to the high-tech manufacturing sector[4]

Group 1: High-tech Manufacturing Index - The Guosen weekly high-tech manufacturing diffusion index A recorded -0.4, indicating a weakening trend[1] - The diffusion index B stood at 50.6, showing a decline from the previous period[1] - The semiconductor sector's prosperity increased, while aerospace, new energy, and pharmaceutical industries saw a downturn[1] Group 2: Price Trends - The price of 6-amino penicillanic acid decreased to 220 RMB/kg, down by 10 RMB/kg from last week[2] - The price of acrylonitrile fell to 8,150 RMB/ton, a decrease of 50 RMB/ton[2] - The price of dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) rose to $1.5080, an increase of $0.059[2] - The price of lithium hexafluorophosphate dropped to 49,800 RMB/ton, down by 80 RMB/ton[2] Group 3: Policy and Industry Developments - Shanghai issued a plan to build a world-class modern shipbuilding base by 2027, targeting an industry scale exceeding 120 billion RMB[2] - NVIDIA's CEO Jensen Huang visited China for the third time this year, announcing the re-approval of the H20 chip for sale[2] Group 4: Economic Indicators - Fixed asset investment cumulative year-on-year growth is at 2.80%[5] - Retail sales year-on-year growth for the month is at 4.80%[5] - Monthly export year-on-year growth is at 5.80%[5] - M2 money supply growth stands at 8.30%[5] Group 5: Risk Factors - Development and structural adjustments in high-tech manufacturing may lead to indicator failures[3] - Economic policies and industrial policy interventions pose risks[3] - Economic growth slowdown is a potential concern[3]

Macro and Strategy - The high-tech manufacturing macro report indicates a slight recovery in the National Securities weekly high-tech manufacturing diffusion index, with Index A at 0.2 and Index B at 50.8, showing improvement from the previous period [3][9] - The macroeconomic report highlights a seasonal increase in high-frequency indicators, with the National Securities high-frequency macro diffusion index A turning positive and index B showing a rebound, indicating improved domestic economic growth momentum [8][10] Industry and Company - The electric power equipment and new energy industry report notes that the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology held a meeting with photovoltaic companies to discuss competition governance and the exit of backward production capacity [20] - The report on the overseas market for the Hong Kong Stock Connect technology ETF (159262) emphasizes the investment value of the technology sector amid the AI innovation wave, predicting significant returns for the next 3-4 years [21][22] - The analysis of the banking industry highlights the operational landscape of 64 asset management companies (AMCs), revealing an overall diluted ROE of 3.4% for the AMC industry, indicating general profitability concerns [31] - The communication industry report mentions the deployment of NVIDIA's GB300 AI systems, reflecting high demand for AI computing infrastructure, with the global server market expected to reach $366 billion, growing by 44.6% year-on-year [32][33]

Group 1: High-Tech Manufacturing Index - The Guosen weekly high-tech manufacturing diffusion index A recorded 0.2, while index B was 50.8, showing slight recovery compared to the previous period[1] - The semiconductor and aerospace industries showed improved sentiment, while the pharmaceutical sector experienced a decline in sentiment[1] - Prices for dynamic random access memory (DRAM) and acrylonitrile increased, while the price of 6-amino penicillanic acid decreased[2] Group 2: Price Tracking and Policy Developments - The price of 6-amino penicillanic acid was 180 RMB/kg, down 40 RMB/kg from last week; acrylonitrile was 8200 RMB/ton, up 50 RMB/ton[2] - DRAM prices rose to 1.4180 USD, an increase of 0.027 USD, while wafer prices fell to 2.68 USD, down 0.01 USD[2] - On June 30, the National Healthcare Security Administration and the National Health Commission issued measures to support the high-quality development of innovative drugs, proposing 16 measures across five areas[2] Group 3: Risks and Economic Indicators - Risks include potential indicator failures due to structural adjustments in high-tech manufacturing and economic policy interventions[3] - Fixed asset investment cumulative year-on-year growth was 3.70%, while retail sales and exports showed year-on-year growth of 6.40% and 4.80%, respectively[4]

Economic Indicators - The Guosen Weekly High-Tech Manufacturing Diffusion Index A recorded -0.2, while Index B was at 50.6, indicating a slight weakening compared to the previous period[1] - Fixed asset investment cumulative year-on-year growth is at 3.70%[4] - Retail sales year-on-year growth for the month is at 6.40%[4] - Monthly export year-on-year growth stands at 4.80%[4] - M2 money supply growth is at 7.90%[4] Price Trends - The price of 6-Aminopenicillanic Acid remains stable at 260 RMB/kg[2] - The price of Acrylonitrile decreased by 50 RMB/ton to 8150 RMB/ton[2] - Dynamic Random Access Memory (DRAM) price increased by 0.061 USD to 1.3910 USD[2] - Wafer price remains unchanged at 2.73 USD per piece[2] - Lithium Hexafluorophosphate price decreased by 0.05 RMB/ton to 51,700 RMB/ton[2] Industry Insights - The semiconductor industry shows improved sentiment, while the new energy and aerospace sectors are experiencing a downturn[1] - QuantumScape announced a significant advancement in solid-state battery technology, improving production speed by approximately 25 times[2] - A national standard for non-invasive brain-machine interface medical devices is open for public consultation, focusing on performance indicators and testing methods[2] Risk Factors - Potential for indicator failure due to structural adjustments in high-tech manufacturing[3] - Economic policy and industrial policy interventions may impact the sector[3] - Economic growth slowdown poses risks to the industry[3]

Group 1: High-tech Manufacturing Index - The Guosen weekly high-tech manufacturing diffusion index A recorded 0, while index B remained at 50.8, unchanged from the previous period[1] - The price of dynamic random access memory (DRAM) increased to $1.3300, up by $0.112 from last week[2] - The price of acrylonitrile decreased to ¥8200 per ton, down by ¥100 from last week, impacting the aerospace industry's performance[2] Group 2: Price Trends and Industry Insights - The price of 6-amino penicillanic acid remained stable at ¥260 per kilogram[2] - The price of lithium hexafluorophosphate remained unchanged at ¥52,200 per ton[2] - The price index for electronic products in Zhongguancun, specifically liquid crystal displays, reported a stable value of 91.04[2] Group 3: Policy and Market Developments - The 2025 New Energy Vehicle initiative launched on June 15, featuring 124 models, significantly increasing the variety available to consumers[2] - AI unicorn MiniMax is considering an IPO in Hong Kong, currently in preliminary preparation stages[2] Group 4: Economic Indicators - Fixed asset investment cumulative year-on-year growth stands at 3.70%[4] - Retail sales growth for the month is at 6.40% year-on-year[4] - Monthly export growth is recorded at 4.80% year-on-year[4] - M2 money supply growth is at 7.90%[4]