摘要 ► 本 周数据： ► 投资建议 2025年7月第1周（6.30-7.6）乘用车销量40.5万辆，同比+18.7%，环比-29.9%；新能源乘用车销量21.5万辆，同比+25.6%，环比-27.8%；新能源渗透率 53.1%，环比+1.5pct。 ► 本周行情 ： 汽车板块本周表现弱于市场 本周（7月7日-7月11日）A股汽车板块下降0.26%，在申万子行业中排名第30位，表现弱于沪深300（+1.15%）。细分板块中，汽车服务、汽车零部件上涨 3.52%、0.33%，商用载货车、乘用车、摩托车及其他、商用载客车下跌0.25%、1.16%、1.32%、1.78%。 ► 本周观点： 本月建议关注核心组合【吉利汽车、比亚迪、理想汽车、小鹏汽车、小米集团、伯特利、拓普集团、新泉股份、沪光股份、春风动力】。 ► 工信部倡导汽车行业反内卷 利好乘用车基本面 近期工信部倡导汽车行业反内卷，提出1）账期缩短：17家主流车企承诺供应商账期控制在60天内，缓解供应链资金压力；2）价格管控：依法治理低价倾销，禁止车 企以低于成本价销售；3）质量强化：加强产品一致性抽查，重点监管舆论关注度高及存在安全隐患车型，违规者暂停新产品 ...

汽车和汽车零部件行业周报 20250713 ➢ 本周行情：汽车板块本周表现弱于市场。本周（7 月 7 日-7 月 11 日）A 股 汽车板块下降 0.26%，在申万子行业中排名第 30 位，表现弱于沪深 300 （+1.15%）。细分板块中，汽车服务、汽车零部件上涨 3.52%、0.33%，商用 载货车、乘用车、摩托车及其他、商用载客车下跌 0.25%、1.16%、1.32%、1.78%。 ➢ 本周观点：本月建议关注核心组合【吉利汽车、比亚迪、理想汽车、小鹏汽 车、小米集团、伯特利、拓普集团、新泉股份、沪光股份、春风动力】。 ➢ 工信部倡导汽车行业反内卷 利好乘用车基本面。近期工信部倡导汽车行业 反内卷，提出 1）账期缩短：17 家主流车企承诺供应商账期控制在 60 天内，缓 解供应链资金压力；2）价格管控：依法治理低价倾销，禁止车企以低于成本价 销售；3）质量强化：加强产品一致性抽查，重点监管舆论关注度高及存在安全 隐患车型，违规者暂停新产品申报。我们认为，反内卷政策有助于减轻零部件现 金流压力，提升产业链协同效率；同时抑制恶性降价，推动竞争从价格战转向价 值战，优化产能结构，看好反内卷大背景下汽车行业恶性 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Geely Galaxy A7 has officially started pre-sales, positioning itself as a new benchmark for global family sedans with advanced features and competitive pricing [1][5][19] Pricing and Pre-Sale Details - The Geely Galaxy A7 offers five variants with pre-sale prices ranging from 103,800 to 133,800 yuan [1] - Customers can place orders through various official channels and enjoy benefits such as discounts and free upgrades [3] Technological Innovations - The vehicle is built on the GEA global intelligent new energy architecture and features the Thunder AI Hybrid 2.0 system, achieving a fuel consumption rate of 2L and a range exceeding 2100km [5][7] - It incorporates advanced AI capabilities, including the Star Smart Power 2.0 system, which boasts a thermal efficiency of 47.26% [7][19] Performance Metrics - The A7 has achieved a record low fuel consumption of 2.47L per 100km during a live challenge in Tokyo, surpassing the previous record held by the Toyota Prius [7][10] - The vehicle can charge from 30% to 80% in just 18 minutes, alleviating range anxiety for users [10] Space and Comfort - With a wheelbase of 2845mm and a total length of 4918mm, the A7 offers the largest interior space in its class, providing a spacious and comfortable experience [12] - It features unique luxury configurations such as a 10-layer cotton candy SPA seat and a 14-point massage system, comparable to high-end luxury vehicles [12] Design Aesthetics - The A7 continues the "Galaxy Ripple" design philosophy, blending traditional Chinese aesthetics with modern luxury [14] - The vehicle's aerodynamic design achieves a drag coefficient of Cd 0.229, the lowest in its class, enhancing fuel efficiency and range [14] Safety Features - The A7 is designed with a focus on safety, featuring a robust battery safety system and high-strength body structure [19] - It includes advanced safety technologies that exceed national standards, ensuring comprehensive protection for users [19] Market Positioning - The Geely Galaxy A7 aims to establish itself as a leading product in the mainstream family sedan market, leveraging its energy efficiency, range, spaciousness, and advanced technology to attract consumers [19]

Core Insights - The domestic automotive market is experiencing significant changes, with BYD and SAIC leading traditional automakers with over 2 million units sold, while Geely shows a remarkable growth rate of 47% [1][2] - New energy vehicle (NEV) sales are driving growth, with companies like Leap Motor and Xiaomi making notable gains, while NIO and Lantu face sales pressures [1][2][3] - The second half of the year is expected to see intensified competition across various dimensions, including product offerings, technology, cost control, and supply chain resilience [1] Group 1: Traditional Automakers - BYD leads the market with 2.146 million units sold in the first half of 2025, with 470,000 units coming from overseas, marking a 132% year-on-year increase [2] - SAIC follows closely with 2.053 million units sold, achieving a 21.1% year-on-year growth in its domestic brand sales [2] - Geely's total sales reached 1.409 million units, with NEV sales contributing significantly, totaling 725,200 units, a 126% increase year-on-year [2] Group 2: New Energy Vehicle Makers - Leap Motor emerged as a dark horse with a 221.6% year-on-year increase, delivering 221,700 units in the first half of 2025 [1][3] - Xiaomi's SU7 achieved over 150,000 deliveries, with the new YU7 model receiving over 200,000 orders within three minutes of its launch [3] - NIO's sales were only 114,000 units, with Lantu and other brands struggling to meet sales targets, indicating a growing divide in the new energy vehicle sector [3] Group 3: Market Trends and Future Outlook - The automotive market is benefiting from government subsidies, with over 4.12 million applications for vehicle trade-in subsidies, of which over 53% are for NEVs [4] - A total of 138 billion yuan in central funding will be distributed in the second half of the year to support the market [4] - New models are set to launch in July, including vehicles from XPeng, Chery, and others, as companies aim to meet their annual sales targets [4] - The industry forecast for 2025 has been revised upward, predicting retail sales of 24.05 million passenger vehicles, a 5% year-on-year increase [5]

《汽车智能驾驶技术及产业发展白皮书》发布 7月8日，由中国汽车技术研究中心牵头、清华大学与华为参与撰写的《汽车智能驾驶技术及产业发展白皮书》正式联合发 布。该白皮书以宏观角度系统阐述智能驾驶产业未来发展图景，涵盖智能驾驶相关概念、技术演进路径、产业化实现方案、多 元化应用场景、全维度安全体系构建、产业生态协同发展及未来趋势研判，覆盖GB/T40429-2021标准定义的L0-L5驾驶自动化全 场景功能体系。 乘联分会：6月新能源乘用车国内零售销量达111万辆，同比增长29.7% 7月8日消息，乘联分会数据显示，6月新能源乘用车国内零售销量达111.1万辆，同比增长29.7%；1-6月累计零售546.8万 辆，同比增长33.3%。 四部门：加强运输途中意外伤亡货车司机帮扶救助 国内新闻 中国乘用车企业平均燃料消耗量同比下降12.4% 工业和信息化部近日公告2024年度中国乘用车企业平均燃料消耗量与新能源汽车积分情况。2024年度，中国境内117家乘用 车企业共生产/进口乘用车2318.9万辆（含新能源乘用车，不含出口乘用车），WLTC工况下行业平均燃料消耗量为3.31升/100公 里，同比下降12.4%。 铃木 ...

Core Insights - In the first half of 2025, eight major automotive groups reported a total sales volume of 11.18 million vehicles, all achieving year-on-year growth [1][2] - BYD maintained its leading position with over 2.14 million units sold, followed closely by SAIC Motor with over 2.05 million units [1][3] - Geely adjusted its annual sales target upward by 11% after achieving a 47% completion rate in the first half [1][6] Group Performance - **BYD**: Sold 2.146 million vehicles, a 33% increase year-on-year, with overseas sales reaching 472,000 units, up 132% [3][4] - **SAIC Motor**: Achieved sales of 2.053 million vehicles, a 12.4% increase, with a retail delivery of 2.207 million units [4][5] - **China FAW**: Reported sales of 1.57 million vehicles, a 6.1% increase, with a 46% target completion rate [6][10] - **Geely**: Sold 1.409 million vehicles, a 47% increase, with a significant rise in new energy vehicle sales [6][7] - **Changan**: Achieved sales of 1.355 million vehicles, marking a historical high, with new energy vehicle sales growing by 48.8% [8][9] - **Chery**: Sold 1.26 million vehicles, a 14.5% increase, with a strong export performance [9][10] - **BAIC Group**: Reported sales of 817,000 vehicles, a 6% increase, with a notable growth in its own brand sales [10] - **Great Wall Motors**: Achieved sales of 570,000 vehicles, a slight increase of 1.8%, but faced a decline in overseas sales [10] Target Achievement Rates - **Geely**: Highest target completion rate at 47% after adjusting its annual target [6][7] - **China FAW and SAIC Motor**: Both achieved a target completion rate of 46% [1][6] - **Changan**: Completed 45% of its sales target [1][8] - **Chery**: Achieved a target completion rate of 40% [1][9] - **BYD**: Completed 39% of its annual target [1][3]

01 事件概述 公司发布6月销量公告，6月批发总销量23.6万辆，同比+42.1%，环比+0.4%；1-6月批发总销量140.9万辆， 同比+47.4%。其中，6月新能源销量122,367辆，同比+85.5%，环比-11.3%，渗透率51.8%；1-6月新能源累 计72.5万辆，同比+126.5%。分品牌看：吉利品牌6月销量19.3万辆（银河90,222辆（含几何））；极氪6月 销量16,702辆；领克6月销量26,310辆。 02 分析判断 ► 1-6月新能源销量同比大增 全年销量300万辆 6月公司总批发销量23.6万辆，同比+42.1%，环比+0.4%；出口方面，公司6月出口销量4.0万辆，环比实现增 长，表现亮眼。展望后续，吉利银河A7预计2025Q3上市，定位10-13万元插混家轿，搭载新一代混动系统， 实测满油满电综合续航约2,100公里，轴距2.85米，续航、空间表现优异。吉利银河M9预计在2025Q3上市， 定位为大型六座插电混动SUV，除空间、续航之外，搭载千里浩瀚H5辅助驾驶系统，支持高速自动紧急刹车和 无图城市导航辅助驾驶。因上半年超预期表现，集团将原目标271万辆上调约11%至300万 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong sales growth in June and the first half of the year, particularly in the new energy vehicle segment, leading to an upward revision of annual sales targets to 3 million units [1][2]. Sales Performance - In June, total wholesale sales reached 236,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 42.1% and a month-on-month increase of 0.4% [1][2]. - Cumulative wholesale sales for the first half of the year were 1.409 million units, up 47.4% year-on-year [1]. - New energy vehicle sales in June were 122,367 units, representing an 85.5% year-on-year increase but a 11.3% decrease month-on-month, with a penetration rate of 51.8% [1][2]. - Total new energy vehicle sales for the first half of the year reached 725,000 units, a significant increase of 126.5% year-on-year [1]. Product Launches and Future Outlook - The company plans to launch the Galaxy A7 and M9 models in Q3 2025, targeting the hybrid sedan and large six-seat hybrid SUV markets, respectively [2][3]. - The Galaxy A7 will feature a new hybrid system with a comprehensive range of approximately 2,100 kilometers, while the M9 will include advanced driving assistance features [2]. - The company aims for total sales of 710,000 units in 2025, with specific targets for the Zeekr and Lynk brands [3]. Strategic Moves - The company is considering the privatization of Zeekr to consolidate resources and enhance operational efficiency, aligning with its strategic focus on high-end electric vehicles [3]. - The proposed acquisition price for Zeekr shares is $2.566 or 1.23 newly issued shares for each Zeekr share [3]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 404.78 billion, 489.69 billion, and 572.83 billion yuan, with net profits of 16.21 billion, 22.09 billion, and 25.98 billion yuan, respectively [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted at 1.61, 2.19, and 2.58 yuan for the same period, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 9, 7, and 6 times based on the closing price of 16.32 HKD on July 2 [4].

吉利汽车（0175.HK）系列点评二十九 新能源持续亮眼 全年销量目标 300 万辆 2025 年 07 月 02 日 ➢ 事件概述： 公司发布 6 月销量公告，6 月批发总销量 23.6 万辆，同比+42.1%，环比+0.4%； 1-6 月批发总销量 140.9 万辆，同比+47.4%。其中，6 月新能源销量 122,367 辆，同比+85.5%，环比-11.3%，渗透率 51.8%；1-6 月新能源累计 72.5 万辆， 同比+126.5%。分品牌看：吉利品牌 6 月销量 19.3 万辆（银河 90,222 辆（含 几何））；极氪 6 月销量 16,702 辆；领克 6 月销量 26,310 辆。 ➢ 1-6 月新能源销量同比大增 全年销量 300 万辆。6 月公司总批发销量 23.6 万辆，同比+42.1%，环比+0.4%；出口方面，公司 6 月出口销量 4.0 万辆，环 比实现增长，表现亮眼。展望后续，吉利银河 A7 预计 2025Q3 上市，定位 10- 13 万元插混家轿，搭载新一代混动系统，实测满油满电综合续航约 2,100 公里， 轴距 2.85 米，续航、空间表现优异。吉利银河 M9 预计在 ...

证券研究报告 汽车 政策托底、淡季不淡，去伪存真投龙头 华泰研究 2025 年 6 月 30 日│中国内地 中期策略 25H2：自主持续进击，出海迈向兑现期，智能与机器人渐次开花 乘用车：Q3 有望淡季不淡，看好具有爆款车型的龙头企业，推荐吉利/小鹏 /理想/比亚迪等。摩托和两轮：摩托关注品类齐全、渠道广的龙头企业，电 两轮 Q3 迎来旺季，关注将受益于新国标下马太效应显现，且单车盈利向上 的龙头企业爱玛/雅迪。零部件：关税加速汽零企业深度全球化布局，"Robo X"产业落地提速，推荐核心运营平台以及高成长性零部件供应商。机器人: 推荐关注国产链进展、边际变化大的个股、以及迭代的新技术方向如灵巧手。 乘用车: Q3 预计淡季不淡，继续看好自主替代和出海扩张 25H1"两新政策"快速衔接下市场维持高景气，自主新能源持续替代合资 车份额。展望 25Q3，小米 YU7/小鹏 G7/理想 i8/吉利银河 A7 等重磅新车上 市交付；年末叠加 26 年购置税政策退坡抢装，我们预计 25H2 批售 1625 万，同/环比+5%/21%，新能源销售及出口量分别为 930/295 万，同比 +23%/13%，环比+42%/+ ...