Core Insights - The overall revenue of mobile games in China has decreased by 7% month-on-month, impacting both the new game market and the performance of existing titles [1] - The overseas mobile game market is also experiencing a downturn, with a significant drop in new game releases and revenue [1] Domestic Market Summary - In July, three new games were released, but their performance did not show significant growth over an extended period [3] - Notable new releases in August include: - "Ling Beast Adventure" by NetEase, with over 990,000 downloads and estimated revenue of $4.44 million [2] - "Fearless Contract: Source Action" by Tencent, achieving over 12.43 million downloads and estimated revenue of $9.23 million (approximately RMB 65.97 million) within two weeks [11] - "Clockwork Mobilization" by Mutong, which features a retro American art style and has potential for future performance [14] - The game "Ninja Storm: Leaf Master" by Zhongyou and "Mimi Mima" by Tiandi Network have shown a noticeable decline in data despite promotional efforts [5] Overseas Market Summary - The number of new game releases in the overseas market has decreased significantly, with only nine new titles launched last month [18] - Key overseas releases include: - "BRAVE FRONTIER LEGION" by GrandSoft, with over 220,000 downloads and estimated revenue of $2.52 million [19] - "Fate War" by IGG, which has shown promising performance in T1 markets [29] - "Destiny: Rising" by NetEase, which has garnered over 10 million pre-registrations prior to its international launch [31] - The overall performance of overseas new games has declined, with no titles exceeding $1 million in estimated revenue this month [25]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Tencent, NetEase, and Bilibili, with target price adjustments reflecting positive growth expectations [5][12]. Core Insights - The Chinese gaming market experienced strong growth in the first half of 2025, driven by new products, AI integration, and refined operations, with Tencent, NetEase, and Bilibili outperforming their peers [1][36]. - The report anticipates continued revenue growth for Tencent, NetEase, and Bilibili in Q2 2025, with expected year-on-year increases of 15%, 17.7%, and 60% in gaming revenue respectively [2][3][4]. - AI applications are becoming increasingly prevalent in the gaming industry, with approximately 60% of game companies utilizing AI to enhance content production efficiency by 30%-50% [1][39]. Summary by Company Tencent - Expected Q2 2025 total revenue growth of 11%, with gaming revenue up 15% and advertising revenue up 19% [2]. - Key game reserves include "Honor of Kings World," "Valorant: Source Action," and "Fate Trigger," with a target price raised to 670 HKD, corresponding to a 23/20 times P/E ratio for FY25/26 [2][47]. NetEase - Anticipated Q2 2025 revenue growth of 12.6%, with gaming revenue expected to rise by 17.7%, primarily driven by strong growth in PC games [3]. - Target price adjusted to 166 USD, reflecting an 18.2/17.1 times P/E ratio for FY25/26 [3][47]. Bilibili - Projected Q2 2025 revenue growth of 20%, with gaming revenue expected to increase by 60% [4]. - Target price increased to 28 USD, corresponding to a 38/26 times P/E ratio for FY25/26 [4][47]. Industry Trends - The Chinese gaming market saw a 17% year-on-year growth in the first five months of 2025, with mobile games growing by 20% [1][36]. - Policy support for high-quality game development has intensified, with 991 game licenses approved in 2025, up from 857 in the previous year [1][36]. - The average operational lifespan of top 100 games in China has increased, indicating a shift towards long-term game management strategies [1][36].

Group 1 - The National Press and Publication Administration issued 130 domestic game approvals in May 2025, with a notable increase in monthly approvals, reaching a new high this month [1][3] - Among the approved domestic games, 76 are mobile games, 54 are mobile-casual puzzle games, 6 are client games, and 1 is for the PS5 console, with some games receiving multiple platform approvals [1][5] - A total of 610 domestic game approvals have been issued this year, indicating a continuous upward trend in the approval rate [1][3] Group 2 - The number of imported game approvals has shifted from bi-monthly to monthly, with a consistent increase in the number of approvals each month [3] - In the latest batch of imported game approvals, 14 mobile games were granted licenses, with some receiving approvals for multiple platforms [1][5] - Notable titles among the newly approved games include Tencent's "Secret Realm Knife Boy," Perfect World's "Different Ring," and NetEase's "Fate: Stars" [5][15]