这数据放以前想都不敢想，为啥储能突然这么火？关键是驱动逻辑变了。 以前各地搞储能，多少带点行政命令的意思，比如光伏项目必须配多少储能，不然不让并网。 文|有风 编辑|有风 2026年的中国新能源产业，已经悄悄换了赛道。 以前拼规模、抢装机的日子过去了，现在大家都在琢磨怎么把"高质量"这三个字落到实处。 全球能源转型的大背景下，"双碳"目标和新型电力系统建设就像两只大手，把能源结构往清洁化、低碳 化的方向猛推。 这时候，风电、光伏、储能这老三样，突然有了新故事。 第一个要说的，就得是今年存在感拉满的储能。 前几年提起储能，大家都觉得它是光伏、风电的"小跟班"，主要任务就是帮忙调调峰、填填谷。 但今年不一样了，2026年全球储能新增装机直接干到438GWh，同比增长62%，咱们中国更猛，预计能 到250GWh。 现在不一样，市场自己就催着储能发展。 你想啊，电力现货市场一放开，峰谷价差有时候能差好几倍，储能充谷放峰，中间的利润空间可不小。 再加上辅助服务、容量补偿这些收益渠道，储能已经从"成本项"变成了"收益项"。 光有收益还不够，技术创新才是硬道理。 锂电池今年又进步了，能量密度高了不少，成本反而降了点，这直接 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that while solid-state batteries are still in the experimental phase and facing capital speculation, semi-solid batteries are emerging as a practical choice for automakers and battery manufacturers due to their "safety, controllability, and acceptable costs" [2][4]. Industry Insights - Recent discussions at battery industry conferences highlight the overhyped capital interest in solid-state batteries, with industry leaders advocating for semi-solid batteries as a more realistic option for mass production [2]. - Industry experts predict that semi-solid batteries will become mainstream in the ternary battery sector, with companies like Honeycomb Energy and Ganfeng Lithium already achieving mass production [2][4]. - The semi-solid battery technology offers a balance between safety and performance by incorporating solid electrolytes while retaining some liquid electrolytes, making it compatible with existing production processes [4]. Production and Capacity - The production capacity for semi-solid batteries is rapidly increasing, with major companies establishing approximately 5GWh of dedicated production lines, expected to rise to over 20GWh next year [8]. - The cost of retrofitting existing production lines for semi-solid batteries is estimated to be only 30% to 40% of the cost of building new solid-state battery lines, making it a more economically viable option [4]. Market Trends - The China Automotive Engineering Society forecasts that by 2026, the adoption of semi-solid batteries will reach a scale of 100,000 units, indicating a shift from demonstration to large-scale application [7]. - The semi-solid battery market is expected to initially penetrate the high-end vehicle segment priced above 300,000 yuan, gradually moving into the mid-range market [8]. Safety and Application - Safety remains a critical focus in battery technology development, with semi-solid batteries reducing risks associated with liquid electrolytes, thus enhancing overall safety [11]. - The expansion of application scenarios, such as in low-altitude economic sectors, aligns well with the advantages of semi-solid batteries, which meet stringent performance requirements for emerging technologies like flying vehicles [12]. Industry Perspective - Industry leaders call for a rational approach to battery technology development, emphasizing the need for a balanced focus on safety, cost reduction, and efficiency rather than chasing speculative trends [11][9]. - China's position in the semi-solid battery sector is seen as advantageous compared to traditional battery powerhouses like Japan and South Korea, which are more cautious in their approach to commercialization [9].

Core Viewpoint - The discussion around solid-state battery commercialization is heating up, with mixed solid-liquid batteries being viewed as a more practical choice by automakers and battery manufacturers, despite the hype surrounding all-solid-state batteries [2][3]. Group 1: Industry Perspectives - Hive Energy's chairman, Yang Hongxin, believes that the hype around all-solid-state batteries is excessive and that mixed solid-liquid batteries will become the mainstream technology in the ternary field [2]. - Ganfeng Lithium's chairman, Li Liangbin, announced that they have achieved large-scale production of mixed solid-liquid batteries with an energy density of approximately 300Wh/kg and a production line capacity of 4GWh [2]. - The industry is adopting a rational attitude towards solid-state battery technology, with mixed solid-liquid batteries being seen as a safe and cost-effective option [2]. Group 2: Technical Developments - The current lithium battery industry faces a contradiction: mainstream liquid lithium batteries are nearing their theoretical energy density limit of 300Wh/kg, while all-solid-state batteries, despite their potential, face numerous challenges [3]. - The mixed solid-liquid battery technology offers a balance between safety and performance by incorporating solid electrolytes while retaining some liquid electrolytes for ionic conductivity [3]. - The cost of retrofitting existing production lines for mixed solid-liquid batteries is estimated to be only 30% to 40% of the cost of building new all-solid-state battery production lines [3]. Group 3: Market Trends - The China Automotive Engineering Society predicts that by 2026, the number of vehicles equipped with mixed solid-liquid batteries will reach 100,000, indicating a shift from demonstration to large-scale application [5]. - Major battery companies in China have established approximately 5GWh of dedicated production lines for mixed solid-liquid batteries, with plans to increase capacity to over 20GWh next year [6]. - The initial application of mixed solid-liquid batteries will be in high-end models priced above 300,000 yuan, gradually expanding to the mid-range market [6]. Group 4: Safety and Applications - The mixed solid-liquid battery technology has shown significant advancements in user experience, with electric vehicles achieving a range of 800 to 1,000 kilometers and fast-charging capabilities [4]. - Safety remains a core focus in battery technology development, with mixed solid-liquid batteries offering inherent safety advantages by reducing the amount of liquid electrolyte, thus lowering risks of leakage and thermal runaway [8]. - The expansion of application scenarios, such as in the low-altitude economy, aligns well with the technical advantages of mixed solid-liquid batteries, which meet stringent requirements for energy density, power density, and safety [9].

Group 1: Industry Standards and Regulations - The "Automotive Data Export Security Assessment Method" group standard has been officially approved and will be implemented from the date of publication, filling a gap in the automotive industry's data export security assessment standards [1] - The standard was drafted by the China Entry-Exit Inspection and Quarantine Association's Comprehensive Quality Service Standardization Technical Committee, with contributions from 25 leading companies including BYD and China First Automobile [1] Group 2: Consumer Incentives and Market Trends - Jiangsu Province has increased its automotive consumption subsidy to a maximum of 10,000 yuan, up from 8,000 yuan, to stimulate consumer demand and enhance automotive consumption benefits [3] - The subsidy program is available on a first-come, first-served basis and applies to consumers who submitted applications since the program's launch on September 5 [3] Group 3: Market Performance Insights - The overall automotive market in China showed strong performance in October, driven by national consumption promotion policies, with notable recovery in the truck and bus markets [4] - Despite a decline in retail sales of passenger vehicles, manufacturers' sales growth remained strong due to exports and inventory increases [4] Group 4: Strategic Collaborations - Dongfeng Motor announced a new automotive brand in collaboration with Huawei, set to be unveiled on November 20, marking a significant partnership in the automotive sector [5] - The collaboration is part of a project initiated in 2023, indicating a strategic move towards innovation and technology integration in automotive development [5] Group 5: Technological Advancements - The adoption of solid-liquid hybrid batteries is expected to reach a scale of 100,000 units by 2026, highlighting a critical commercialization window for this technology [9] - The development of solid-state batteries, while promising, faces challenges and is projected to take 3-5 years for large-scale production [9] Group 6: Investment Plans - Hyundai Motor Group plans to invest approximately 862 billion USD in South Korea from 2026 to 2030, significantly exceeding previous investment levels [10] - The investment will focus on artificial intelligence, software-defined vehicles, electrification, robotics, and hydrogen energy, aiming to double the export volume of electric and hybrid vehicles by 2030 [10]

Core Insights - The Chinese chemical and physical power source industry is experiencing a transformative leap in new energy battery technology, moving from a parallel development phase to a leading position driven by innovation [1] Industry Summary - Current new energy battery technology is in a critical exploration phase, with solid progress in liquid battery foundations and breakthroughs in solid-state battery research [1] - Innovation is identified as the core driver to address resource constraints, safety challenges, and cost pressures within the industry [1] - The acceleration of mainstream technology iteration is evident, with the next breakthrough focusing on solid-state battery technology, and the large-scale deployment of hybrid solid-liquid batteries is imminent [1] - The industry is evolving from a singular focus on automotive power applications to a multi-scenario energy carrier approach, necessitating global collaboration across the supply chain for significant breakthroughs [1]

Core Viewpoint - The focus of the industry is shifting back to "traditional" liquid batteries, particularly lithium iron phosphate (LFP) batteries, despite the anticipated breakthroughs in solid-state battery technology. This shift is driven by the need for immediate profitability and the growing demand for energy storage solutions, which LFP batteries can effectively meet [1][9]. Group 1: Solid-State Battery Developments - The solid-state battery sector has seen significant stock price increases for companies like Sandi Intelligent and Yiwei Lithium Energy, indicating a market reevaluation [1]. - At the 2025 World Power Battery Conference, industry leaders discussed the challenges and timelines for solid-state battery commercialization, with estimates ranging from 2027 for small-scale demonstrations to 2035 for widespread adoption [6][11]. - Industry experts caution against overhyping minor advancements in solid-state technology, emphasizing the need for a realistic timeline and a conducive environment for research and development [4][5]. Group 2: Liquid Battery Resurgence - The LFP battery technology, which has been around for about 20 years, is experiencing renewed interest due to its cost-effectiveness and maturity in the market [3][9]. - LFP batteries are noted for their high safety, low cost, and long cycle life, making them suitable for current energy storage demands [9][12]. - The market for LFP batteries is projected to grow significantly, with estimates indicating that by 2024, LFP will account for over 80% of the combined power and storage applications [12]. Group 3: Industry Dynamics and Future Outlook - The recent actions of leading companies like CATL signal a strategic focus on both solid-state and LFP technologies, indicating a balanced approach to innovation and market needs [10][11]. - The energy storage market is expected to reach a trillion-yuan scale, driven by the increasing demand for new energy storage solutions [12]. - The industry is witnessing a shift in focus from solid-state to liquid batteries, as the latter continues to meet immediate market needs effectively [1][12].

Core Insights - The 2025 World Power Battery Conference opened in Yibin, Sichuan, showcasing significant advancements in the battery industry, including ten innovative achievements and eight development trends [1][5]. Group 1: Innovative Achievements - The ten innovative achievements highlight a comprehensive breakthrough in the power battery industry, focusing on stable global supply chains for key materials like cathodes and anodes, the establishment of zero-carbon factories, and improved recycling systems for low-carbon development throughout the entire lifecycle [1]. - A regulatory framework covering the entire lifecycle of batteries has been established, promoting mutual recognition of standards domestically and internationally, and enhancing international trust through tools like battery passports [1]. Group 2: Development Trends - The eight development trends indicate that material innovation will drive power batteries towards higher energy density and cost-effectiveness, with solid-liquid hybrid batteries transitioning from small-scale applications to market commercialization [5]. - All-solid-state batteries are achieving technological breakthroughs and are beginning industrial demonstration [5]. Group 3: Industry Positioning - The Chinese battery industry has transitioned from a position of catching up with foreign counterparts to leading the global market, supported by hundreds of achievements and thousands of foreign patents [3]. - The lithium battery industry is expected to expand significantly into sectors such as energy storage, shipping, AI, and low-altitude economy, indicating a broad future outlook [3].

Core Insights - The future of the power battery industry is focused on technological evolution, safety challenges, and global strategies, as discussed at the 2025 World Power Battery Conference [1][3]. Group 1: Technological Development - The current battery technology is rapidly evolving, with semi-solid batteries becoming a key choice for mid-to-high-end models, showing over 300% year-on-year growth in installation volume in the first half of 2025 [4]. - Full-solid batteries face significant challenges and are expected to achieve commercial application around 2032-2033, while semi-solid batteries are seen as a practical transitional technology with a 5-7 year window [4]. - Liquid batteries still hold potential for upgrades through solid-liquid hybrid technology, suggesting a need for a rational approach to technology routes [4]. Group 2: Safety, Performance, and Cost - The industry faces three main challenges: safety, performance, and cost, with increasing demands from manufacturers and consumers [5]. - Innovations in materials, structures, and manufacturing processes are essential for enhancing battery safety [5]. - China's power battery energy density has improved from 130Wh/kg to 200Wh/kg over five years, with costs reduced to one-fourth of previous levels, indicating a strong potential for technological advancement [5]. Group 3: Global Expansion - China's power battery industry has established a significant global presence, with exports reaching 130GWh in the first three quarters of 2025, a 32.7% increase year-on-year [8]. - Companies are adopting a "technology export" model to navigate challenges such as policy differences and supply chain localization [8]. - The production capacity in Sichuan Province reached 168.1GWh in the first nine months of 2025, with a projected annual output exceeding 200GWh, highlighting the region's growing importance in the industry [8]. Group 4: Industry Transformation - The power battery industry is transitioning from "scale competition" to "ecosystem competition," facing challenges in technological innovation, system construction, and international cooperation [9]. - The conference aims to contribute to global green and low-carbon transformation through breakthroughs in technology and global strategies [9].

Core Insights - The concept of all-solid-state batteries is facing cautious responses from industry experts and entrepreneurs despite being popular in the capital market [1][3] - China's power battery industry has maintained its position as the world's largest for eight consecutive years, with significant sales and export growth [3] - The commercialization timeline for all-solid-state batteries is projected to be longer than anticipated, with estimates ranging from 2027 for small-scale demonstrations to as late as 2035 for large-scale commercialization [4][5] Industry Developments - In the first three quarters of this year, China's power battery sales reached 786 GWh, with exports exceeding 129 GWh, marking year-on-year growth of 48.9% and 32.75% respectively [3] - The industry is experiencing rapid technological advancements, with key innovations such as module-free battery packs and integrated battery chassis entering the market [3] - The focus on all-solid-state batteries is accompanied by the ongoing development of semi-solid batteries, which are expected to see increased application in the next 3-5 years [5] Expert Opinions - Industry leaders emphasize the need for a realistic perspective on the challenges facing all-solid-state batteries, including scientific, engineering, and cost-related hurdles [4][5] - There is a call for the industry to explore next-generation battery technologies rather than solely focusing on all-solid-state batteries, as the ultimate form of battery technology remains uncertain [5][6] - The potential of liquid batteries is still significant, with ongoing innovations expected to enhance their performance [5][6] Future Trends - A report presented at the conference outlines seven major trends in battery development, highlighting the rapid marketization of semi-solid batteries and the need for breakthroughs in all-solid-state battery technology [6] - By 2030, semi-solid batteries are expected to achieve a capacity density of over 450 Wh/kg, meeting high-performance automotive requirements [6] - The overall landscape for all-solid-state batteries is currently in a critical phase of scientific and industrial development, with expectations for pilot testing and small-scale applications by around 2030 [6][7] Conference Highlights - The 2025 World Power Battery Conference featured discussions on various industry topics, including battery recycling, quality enhancement, and international supply chain development [7] - The conference has become a significant platform for international collaboration in the battery and new energy vehicle sectors, with over 600 new technologies and products released in previous editions [7] - A total of 180 projects were signed at the conference, amounting to 861.3 billion yuan, covering key areas in green energy [7]

Core Insights - The 2025 World Power Battery Conference commenced in Yibin, Sichuan, with 180 signed projects totaling 86.13 billion RMB, focusing on key areas in green energy such as power batteries, new energy storage, photovoltaics, and digital economy [1][2] - The conference aims to promote opportunity sharing, complementary advantages, and win-win cooperation under the theme "New Vision, New Ecology, New Opportunities" [1] Industry Overview - China's power battery industry has maintained its leading position globally for eight consecutive years, with significant technological breakthroughs in areas such as module-free battery packs and integrated battery chassis entering market applications [1] - In the first three quarters of this year, China's power battery sales reached 786 GWh, with exports exceeding 129 GWh [1] Technological Developments - The conference highlighted major achievements in power batteries from 2020 to 2025, including innovations in material systems, improvements in battery performance, and the extension of application boundaries [2] - Future trends for global power battery development by 2030 were discussed, emphasizing material innovation for high energy density and cost-effectiveness, rapid marketization of solid-liquid hybrid batteries, and breakthroughs in all-solid-state battery technology [2] - The integration of AI in power battery manufacturing is expected to lead to digitalization, intelligence, and flexibility, while recycling and reuse of power batteries will shift from end-of-life management to full-chain collaboration [2] Conference Structure - The conference spans two days, featuring an opening ceremony, a general assembly, six thematic meetings, and multiple exhibition displays [2] - Thematic meetings will cover topics such as forward-looking technologies, new energy storage, recycling, innovative applications, logistics supply chain, and quality enhancement [2]