2026 年 1 月 5 日 总量研究 被动资金显著加仓周期主题 ETF，国防军工主题基金表现占优 ——基金市场与 ESG 产品周报 20260105 要点 市场表现综述：大类资产方面，本周（下文如无特殊说明，本周均指代 2025.12.29-2025.12.31）黄金价格下跌，国内权益市场指数震荡分化。行业 方面，本周石油石化、国防军工、传媒行业涨幅居前，公用事业、食品饮 料、电力设备行业跌幅居前。基金市场方面，本周股混基金净值回撤，流动 性资产维持正收益。 基金产品表现跟踪：长期行业主题基金指数表现来看，本周国防军工主题基 金净值上涨，其余主题基金净值均呈现回调，周期主题基金净值相对抗跌。 截至 2025 年 12 月 31 日，国防军工主题基金本周净值上涨 0.93%；周期、 TMT、金融地产、行业轮动、行业均衡、消费、新能源、医药基金本周净值 分别下跌 0.16%、0.29%、0.60%、0.61%、0.69%、1.14%、2.27%、 2.59%。 ETF 市场跟踪：本周股票型 ETF 资金流向转为净流出，资金减仓大盘宽基 ETF，明显加仓周期主题 ETF。 股票型 ETF 本周收益中位数为-0.4 ...

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 市场表现综述： 大类资产方面，本周（下文如无特殊说明，本周均指代2025.12.22-2025.12.26）权益市场指数集体上涨， 中证500上涨4.03%。行业方面，本周有色金属、国防军工、电力设备行业涨幅居前，美容护理、社会服 务、银行行业跌幅居前。基金市场方面，本周各类基金净值均呈现上涨，股混基金表现占优。 基金产品发行情况： 长期行业主题基金指数表现来看，本周国防军工主题基金净值显著上涨，医药、消费主题基金净值回调。 截至2025年12月26日，国防军工、新能源、TMT、行业均衡、行业轮动、周期、金融地产、消费、医药 主题基金本周净值涨跌幅分别为6.62%、6.34%、4.15%、3.08%、2.63%、2.63%、 ...

2025 年 12 月 30 日 总量研究 国防军工主题基金净值显著上涨，大盘宽基 ETF 资金大幅净流入 ——基金市场与 ESG 产品周报 20251230 要点 市场表现综述：大类资产方面，本周（下文如无特殊说明，本周均指代 2025.12.22-2025.12.26）权益市场指数集体上涨，中证 500 上涨 4.03%。 行业方面，本周有色金属、国防军工、电力设备行业涨幅居前，美容护理、 社会服务、银行行业跌幅居前。基金市场方面，本周各类基金净值均呈现上 涨，股混基金表现占优。 基金产品发行情况：本周国内市场新成立基金 65 只，合计发行份额为 278.94 亿份。其中债券型基金 19 只、股票型基金 18 只、混合型基金 18 只、FOF 基金 6 只、REITs1 只、货币市场型基金 3 只。全市场新发行基金 23 只，从类型来看，混合型基金 8 只、股票型基金 8 只、债券型基金 5 只、FOF 基金 1 只、REITs1 只。 基金产品表现跟踪：长期行业主题基金指数表现来看，本周国防军工主题基 金净值显著上涨，医药、消费主题基金净值回调。截至 2025 年 12 月 26 日，国防军工、新能源、 ...

Market Performance Overview - The domestic equity market showed mixed performance during the week of December 8 to December 12, 2025, with the ChiNext Index rising by 2.74% [4] - In terms of sectors, telecommunications, national defense and military industry, and electronics sectors led the gains, while coal, oil and petrochemicals, and steel sectors experienced the largest declines [4] Fund Product Issuance - A total of 28 new funds were established in the domestic market this week, with a combined issuance of 18.218 billion units. This includes 9 bond funds, 10 stock funds, 4 FOF funds, 3 mixed funds, 1 international (QDII) fund, and 1 money market fund [5] - Overall, 38 new funds were issued across the market, categorized as 13 stock funds, 8 FOF funds, 8 bond funds, 8 mixed funds, and 1 international (QDII) fund [5] Fund Product Performance Tracking - The defense and military industry theme funds outperformed this week, while cyclical theme funds saw a net value correction. As of December 12, 2025, the net value changes for various theme funds were as follows: defense and military industry (3.39%), TMT (3.17%), industry balanced (1.08%), industry rotation (0.50%), new energy (0.12%), pharmaceuticals (-0.42%), financial real estate (-0.66%), consumption (-0.67%), and cyclical (-1.12%) [6] ETF Market Tracking - Stock ETFs experienced a slight outflow of funds this week, primarily from TMT, financial real estate, and ChiNext theme ETFs, while large-cap broad-based ETFs saw significant inflows from passive funds. Hong Kong stock ETFs also experienced notable inflows [7] - The median return for stock ETFs this week was 0.19%, with a net outflow of 2.974 billion yuan. In contrast, Hong Kong stock ETFs had a median return of -1.42% and a net inflow of 8.865 billion yuan. Cross-border ETFs had a median return of -0.11% with a net inflow of 1.115 billion yuan, while commodity ETFs had a median return of 0.81% and a net inflow of 241 million yuan [7] Broad-based ETF Insights - Broad-based ETFs saw a significant net inflow of 9.058 billion yuan this week. Additionally, the new energy theme ETFs also experienced notable net inflows totaling 778 million yuan [8] ESG Financial Products Tracking - This week, 28 new green bonds were issued, with a total issuance scale of 29.152 billion yuan. The domestic green bond market has steadily developed, with a cumulative issuance scale of 5.12 trillion yuan and a total of 4,396 bonds issued as of December 12, 2025 [8] - As of December 12, 2025, there were 211 ESG funds in the domestic market, with a total scale of 150.981 billion yuan. The median net value changes for various ESG fund types this week were as follows: active equity funds (0.60%), passive stock index funds (-0.01%), and bond funds (0.05%). Funds focused on low-carbon economy, carbon neutrality, and social responsibility performed well [8]

Market Performance Overview - The domestic equity market indices continued to rise, with the ChiNext Index leading the gains. The communication, pharmaceutical, and automotive sectors showed the highest increases, while media, real estate, and public utilities sectors experienced the largest declines [2] - Equity funds performed well, with mixed equity funds rising by 3.06% during the week [2] Fund Product Issuance - A total of 35 new funds were established this week, with a combined issuance of 21.485 billion units. This included 20 equity funds, 3 bond funds, 7 mixed funds, 4 REITs, and 1 FOF fund [3] - Overall, 33 new funds were issued, comprising 18 equity funds, 8 mixed funds, 3 bond funds, 2 REITs, 1 FOF fund, and 1 international (QDII) fund [3] Fund Product Performance Tracking - The net value of long-term thematic funds increased, with the pharmaceutical theme fund showing significant performance advantages. As of July 18, 2025, the weekly performance of various thematic funds was as follows: pharmaceutical (8.38%), TMT (3.91%), defense and military industry (3.44%), and others [4] - Passive index funds in the Hong Kong market, particularly in pharmaceuticals and communications, performed well [5] ETF Market Tracking - Domestic equity ETFs saw profit-taking, with passive funds reducing their positions in broad-based ETFs. However, there was significant inflow into financial real estate and dividend-themed ETFs. The median return for domestic equity ETFs was 1.38%, with a net outflow of 15.043 billion yuan [7] - Hong Kong ETFs had a median return of 5.53%, with a net inflow of 5.289 billion yuan [7] - Themed ETFs related to the Sci-Tech Innovation Board saw a net inflow of 392 million yuan, while financial real estate themed ETFs had a notable net inflow of 4.211 billion yuan [8] Fund Position High-Frequency Monitoring - The estimated position of actively managed equity funds increased by 0.65 percentage points compared to the previous week. Funds were allocated more towards communication, household appliances, and machinery equipment, while electronic, non-ferrous metals, and food and beverage sectors saw reductions [9] ESG Financial Product Tracking - The issuance of green bonds was subdued, with 9 new green bonds issued, totaling 7.079 billion yuan. The cumulative issuance of green bonds reached 4.67 trillion yuan, with 3,992 bonds issued [10] - The median net value changes for various ESG funds were as follows: actively managed equity ESG funds (2.20%), passive equity index ESG funds (0.80%), and bond ESG funds (0.07%). Funds focused on low-carbon economy, carbon neutrality, and sustainable development showed significant performance advantages [10]

Group 1: Market Overview - The domestic equity market continues to rise, with various fund indices achieving positive returns, particularly in the healthcare sector, which saw the highest net value increase among thematic funds [3] - Stock ETFs experienced a net outflow of 20.817 billion yuan, while Hong Kong stock ETFs saw a significant inflow of 7.821 billion yuan [3] Group 2: Financial Data Insights - In June, the expected increase in RMB loans is projected to be between 2.3 to 2.5 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 200 to 400 billion yuan [4] - Social financing is expected to remain stable, supported by steady credit and government bond issuance, leading to an anticipated increase in social financing growth rate [4] Group 3: Industry Developments - The Central Economic Committee emphasized the need to strengthen market mechanisms to eliminate inefficient production capacity and prevent "involution" in competition, which may optimize the photovoltaic materials industry [5] - The National Medical Products Administration announced measures to support the innovation and commercialization of high-end medical devices, which is expected to benefit leading companies with strong R&D capabilities and international strategies [6] Group 4: Company Performance - China Hongqiao is expected to see a 35% increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, reaching approximately 12.36 billion yuan, supported by lower costs and stable aluminum prices [6] - Yanjing Beer anticipates a net profit of 1.062 to 1.137 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 40% to 50%, driven by cost reduction and efficiency improvements [6]

Market Overview - In the week from May 6 to May 9, 2025, oil prices surged, domestic equity market indices generally rose, while US stocks experienced a pullback [3] - All primary industries in the Shenwan classification saw an increase, with defense, military industry, telecommunications, and electric equipment sectors leading the gains [3] Fund Issuance - A total of 15 new funds were established in the domestic market this week, with a combined issuance of 6.345 billion units. This included 13 equity funds, 1 bond fund, and 1 mixed fund [4] - Overall, 27 new funds were issued across the market, comprising 18 equity funds, 6 bond funds, and 3 mixed funds [4] Fund Performance Tracking - The defense and military industry theme fund performed notably well, rising by 4.46%, while the pharmaceutical theme fund saw a decline [5] - As of May 9, 2025, the weekly performance of various theme funds was as follows: defense and military (4.46%), financial real estate (2.54%), new energy (2.27%), cyclical (1.30%), industry rotation (1.25%), consumption (1.23%), industry balance (1.20%), TMT (-0.28%), and pharmaceuticals (-1.45%) [5] ETF Market Tracking - This week, equity ETFs experienced a net outflow of 8.514 billion yuan, with broad-based ETFs being the primary direction of outflow. In contrast, commodity ETFs, represented by gold ETFs, saw continued inflows [6] - The median return for equity ETFs was 1.86%, while Hong Kong stock ETFs had a median return of 2.19% with a net outflow of 1.683 billion yuan [6] - The median return for cross-border ETFs was 2.12%, with a net outflow of 1.009 billion yuan, while commodity ETFs had a median return of 0.67% and a net inflow of 2.025 billion yuan [6] Fund Positioning - The estimated position of actively managed equity funds decreased by 0.50 percentage points compared to the previous week (as of April 30, 2025) [8] - In terms of industry allocation, sectors such as electronics, computers, and pharmaceuticals received increased funding, while telecommunications, defense, military, and electric equipment sectors faced reductions [8] ESG Financial Products Tracking - The green bond market saw a slowdown this week, with 6 new green bonds issued, totaling 6.641 billion yuan. Cumulatively, the green bond market has issued 4.43 trillion yuan across 3,822 bonds as of May 9, 2025 [9] - In terms of fund performance, the median return for actively managed equity, passive equity index, and bond ESG funds was 1.54%, 2.04%, and 0.14%, respectively, with low-carbon, sustainable development, and environmental governance themes performing particularly well [9] - As of May 9, 2025, there were 287 existing bank ESG wealth management products, with 2 new fixed-income ESG products launched this week, characterized by lower risk levels [9]