Core Insights - Multiple paper companies have announced price increases, with some raising prices up to four times in the past month [1] - The price increase for corrugated paper and recycled kraft paper has reached 30-50 yuan per ton [1] - The primary reason for this round of price hikes is the rising cost of raw materials, particularly the rebound in waste paper prices [1] Industry Summary - Several paper enterprises have recently issued announcements regarding price hikes, indicating a trend in the industry [1] - The price of waste yellow board paper has gradually rebounded after hitting a nearly six-year low in February, reaching 1567 yuan per ton by the end of July, with a monthly increase of 6.74% in July [1]

Core Viewpoint - The packaging paper industry is experiencing a price increase, with major companies like Nine Dragons Paper and Lee & Man Paper announcing a price hike of 30 yuan/ton for corrugated paper and recycled kraft paper starting August 1, driven by rising raw material costs and tightening supply [1][2]. Group 1: Price Trends - July has seen the fourth round of price increases in the paper industry, with a consistent rise in various types of raw paper prices, each time by 30 yuan/ton [1]. - As of July 21, the market price for waste yellow board paper reached 1475 yuan/ton, an increase of 15 yuan/ton compared to June 30 [1]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The increase in waste yellow board paper prices is attributed to overall limited supply and heavy rainfall affecting local waste paper trading, leading to a decrease in market supply [2]. - Major paper companies have been steadily raising their procurement prices for waste yellow board paper, which has contributed to a bullish sentiment in the waste paper market and provided cost support for finished paper price increases [2]. Group 3: Industry Performance - In the first half of the year, the corrugated and box board paper markets continued to experience a supply-demand imbalance, with average prices declining: corrugated paper at 2682 yuan/ton (down 2.44% year-on-year) and box board paper at 3616 yuan/ton (down 3.42% year-on-year) [3]. - The gross profit margins for the corrugated paper industry and box board paper industry were 9.97% and 18.96%, respectively, both showing a decline compared to the previous year [3]. - The overall profitability of the industry remains under pressure due to the supply exceeding demand, with expectations of a price recovery in the second half of the year, although it may not fully offset the declines seen in the first half [3].

大宗商品研究所 农产品研发报告 瓦楞纸日报 2025 年 5 月 22 日 第二部分 行情研判 瓦楞及箱板纸市场主流持稳，部分上调。中国 AA 级 120g 瓦楞纸市场日均价为 2540 元/ 吨，环比上一工作日上涨 0.22%；中国箱板纸市场均价 3524.4 元/吨，环比上涨 0.15%。 市场情绪：市场多数持稳，个别上行。规模纸厂报价上行，带动局部地区价格上调，目 前下游订单暂时未见明显改善，部分下游拿货节奏有所放缓，纸厂库存压力较前期有所减轻， 开工多是正常。 山东市场：废黄板纸市场价格上涨。全国均价为 1452 元/吨，上涨 7 元/吨。打包站回 收量一般，出货意向稳定，局部废黄板纸供应偏少。纸厂采购意向偏强，龙头纸企采购价格 有所上涨，部分纸厂跟涨，整体呈现南涨北稳趋势。（卓创） $$\mathbf{1}\;\;/\;\;\mathbf{4}$$ 研究员：朱四祥 F03127108 投资咨询证号： Z0020124 联系方式： : zhusixiang_qh@chinastock.com.cn 期货从业证号： 瓦楞纸日报 第一部分 数据分析 大宗商品研究所 农产品研发报告 【逻辑分析】 近期纸企集 ...