3. 实体店服装销售额下滑。 4. 传统银行网点业务办理人数减少。 5. 纸质书销量降低。 6. 有线电视机顶盒用户数量减少。 大胆预测：明年将现"六降六升"态势。 六降： 1. 房价下降。 2. 煤炭价格下跌。 7. 人工智能产业产值增长。 8. 在线教育用户数量上升。 9. 绿色能源发电量上涨。 10. 电商直播销售额提高。 11. 智能家居市场规模扩大。 12. 医疗科技研发投入增加。 特别声明：以上文章内容仅代表作者本人观点，不代表新浪网观点或立场。如有关于作品内容、版权或其它问 题请于作品发表后的30日内与新浪网联系。 六升： ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - The "peak season" before the 2025 National Day Golden Week was lackluster. Ship operators withdrew an additional 544,000 TEU from the US and European routes in the past month, and the suspension of sailings by alliances increased significantly from W40 to W43, leading to an overall decline in shipping capacity [4]. - In the long run, when ship operators' stock prices fall from their highs, adjustments in operating strategies may make route layouts more complex and variable. A decline in the comprehensive profitability of routes will definitely prompt ship operators to change their operating strategies [4]. - The profitability of ship operators continued to deteriorate in the second quarter of 2025, which may affect their route capacity layout and thus freight rates [41]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1. Research Summary and Market Outlook 3.1.1. Research Summary - A cross - border e - commerce enterprise in South China has more than 50% of its cargo volume in the European and American regions. The impact of US tariffs on its exports is not significant. Before and after Trump's potential presidency, the enterprise increased inventory in advance, with a significant increase in shipping volume. Currently, the long - term agreement price is higher than the spot freight rate. The enterprise plans to transfer 30% of its remaining exports to Vietnam by the end of the year, with a total of 90% of its goods exported from Vietnam [2]. - A freight forwarding enterprise in South China mainly operates Southeast Asian and West African routes. Since 2025, the company's shipping volume has increased by 30% year - on - year, but due to overcapacity and falling freight rates, its revenue has only increased by 10%. The company uses a "30% direct shipping + 70% transshipment" model for exports to the US [3]. - A port in South China has seen an increase in the number of US routes after the US imposed tariffs, bringing an increase in shipping volume. The shipping capacity of Southeast Asian and West African routes has also increased significantly. In the first eight months, the port's container throughput exceeded 2000 TEU, with more than half being ocean - going container transportation [3]. 3.1.2. Market Outlook - In the long run, the adjustment of ship operators' operating strategies may make route layouts more complex. The profitability of a single European route has limited decisive influence on ship operators' profitability. Even if the price drops, it may not change the overcapacity situation, but a decline in comprehensive route profitability will prompt ship operators to change strategies [4]. 3.2. Research Background - As of August 12, 2025, Trump extended the China - US tariff truce period by 90 days to November 10. Currently, the US has a 30% tariff cap on Chinese imports, and China has a 10% tariff cap on US goods. The two sides continue to negotiate [5]. - In 2025, there were multiple rounds of trade negotiations between China and the US on various topics such as soybean purchases, Boeing parts purchases, and restrictions on technology product sales [5]. 3.3. Research Objects and Conclusions 3.3.1. A Large Cross - border E - commerce Enterprise in South China - Before the National Day, the enterprise's inventory situation was similar to the previous two years. Affected by tariff policies, the enterprise stocked up in advance, and the procurement volume in August was normal [22]. - The enterprise builds factories in Vietnam and Thailand to avoid US tariffs. It is expected that 90% of US orders will be produced in Vietnam by the end of the year. The production cost in Vietnam is 6% - 7% higher than in China [23]. - The European market accounts for 20% - 30% of the enterprise's sales, with the German market growing rapidly. The enterprise has increased advertising and marketing investment in the European market [24]. - The freight rate of European routes has been continuously falling, with the price of small containers dropping to over $1000 and large containers below $2000 [25]. 3.3.2. A Freight Enterprise in South China - The enterprise is a leading freight forwarder in South China, mainly focusing on Southeast Asian routes. It has a long - term contract with shipping companies, with advantages in guaranteed cabin space and stable prices [27]. - The enterprise uses a combination of long - term agreement and spot prices for booking, with the long - term agreement price accounting for 50%. Its sales increased by about 10% this year, lower than the expected 20% [29]. - The uncertainty of China - US trade is the biggest pain point. Global freight rates are generally falling, and the profit margin of the freight forwarding industry is extremely low [30]. - The enterprise's Southeast Asian cargo volume has increased by 30% - 40% this year, mainly due to the rise of cross - border e - commerce, industrial transfer, and increased domestic demand in Southeast Asia [31]. 3.3.3. A Port in South China - The port's overall performance is stable. Last year, it completed a total cargo throughput of about 592 million tons, with foreign trade throughput of about 150 million tons, a year - on - year increase of about 5.5%. The container throughput exceeded 25 million TEU, with foreign trade container volume of about 11.8 million TEU [36]. - The port's traditional advantageous routes are Southeast Asian and African routes. The Southeast Asian route has seen significant cargo volume growth this year, and the US route has also increased in both cargo volume and the number of routes [37]. - The port has advantages in location, facilities, and cooperation with shipping companies. It has a mature process for route opening, a clear fee structure, and a high - planned operation [38][39]. 3.4. Ship Operators' Profitability and Operating Strategies - In the second quarter of 2025, the total EBIT of major ship operators was $2.73 billion, lower than the same period from 2021 - 2024 and slightly higher than the same period in 2020. The operating profitability of most ship operators has weakened since 2021 [41]. - The "peak season" during the National Day Golden Week in 2025 was lackluster. Ship operators withdrew additional capacity from US and European routes, and the suspension of sailings by alliances increased significantly from W40 to W43 [4][41].

世界贸易组织近日发布的《2025世界贸易报告》预测，在正确的政策支持下，到2040年人工智能的 应用有望推动全球贸易增长近40%，全球GDP将增长12%至13%。这一预测不仅彰显了人工智能技术的 巨大潜力，更为全球贸易发展描绘了令人振奋的前景。 在当前全球经济复苏乏力、贸易增长动能不足的背景下，人工智能正在成为推动全球贸易转型升 级、实现可持续增长的重要力量，通过多重路径赋能全球贸易发展。 极大降低贸易成本。在传统国际贸易中，信息搜寻、合同签订、跨境支付、物流运输等环节都存在 大量交易成本，人工智能可以通过智能匹配、自动化流程、优化决策等显著提高贸易效率。相关研究表 明，智能报关系统可缩短70%的通关时间，人工智能驱动的供应链管理可降低20%至30%的物流成本。 推动建立开放、包容、非歧视的人工智能贸易政策环境。各国应避免采取不必要的贸易限制措施， 通过世贸组织等多边平台加强对话协调，制定人工智能相关产品的标准互认机制，降低贸易壁垒。同 时，在数据跨境流动、隐私保护、数字税收等关键问题上寻求国际共识，为人工智能赋能贸易创造可预 测的政策环境。 加强人工智能领域的能力建设和人才培养合作。发达国家应通过技术转让、 ...

采编：互联网的一些事（imyixieshi） 9 月 16 日,全球路由器市场领军企业 TP-Link (普联技术)的芯片事业部 已全员裁撤。此次裁员距 6 月其外销主体联洲国际位于上海张江的 WiFi 芯 片部门闪电裁员仅数月之隔，目赔偿方案依旧维持 N+3 标准。 脉脉 脉脉 脉脉 脉 图片 令人诧异的是，公司自研的略由器芯片已有两颗成功流片，本可按计划迈入 量产阶段。 脉脉 球隊 脉脉 更值得关注的是，此次裁员中不乏仅入职两个月的应届生，目前这些新人已 加入求职大军，而 TP-Link 内部与芯片相关的工作岗位也已全面关闭，标志 着其芯片自研业务暂告段落。 8-3K B2K 近日，据业内人士爆料，网络设备巨头TP-Link被曝出芯片团队全员裁撤。据多位业内人士证实，TP-Link旗下芯片事业部已全面解散，涉及算法、设计、 测试等核心岗位。此次裁员动作迅速，从通知到离职手续办理完成，仅耗时半天。 脉脉 品牌 9 tp-link芯片事业部解散!赔偿N+3 突发！网友爆料TP-Link 芯片事业部全员裁撤 早在今年 6 月 12 日，联洲国际上海 WiFi 芯片部门就率先拉开裁员序幕, 算法、验证、设计等关键 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has initiated a collection of typical application scenarios for AI empowerment of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) for the year 2025, aiming to accelerate innovation and development through AI technology [1]. Group 1: AI Empowerment for Innovation - The first focus area is on "innovative products and services," where SMEs are encouraged to leverage AI for breakthrough innovations, developing forward-looking new products and services that fundamentally upgrade business models and open new commercial spaces [2]. - Examples of innovative products include intelligent industrial robots, smart inspection vehicles, smart logistics equipment, smart home devices, wearable smart devices, and AI-driven software and tools [2]. Group 2: AI Empowerment for Business Process Optimization - The second focus area is on "optimizing business processes," where SMEs can apply AI technology in various operational aspects such as R&D design, production control, quality inspection, equipment maintenance, and supply chain management to significantly enhance efficiency and resilience [3]. - Specific applications include intelligent design in product development, AI-driven production operations, and smart management practices that automate and enhance business processes [3]. Group 3: Additional Application Paths - In addition to the two main focus areas, applicants are encouraged to summarize and propose other innovative paths and models for utilizing AI technology in their specific contexts [4].

Core Insights - The consumer electronics industry is showing signs of recovery, with 80 out of 101 companies reporting revenue growth year-on-year, and 35 companies achieving over 20% growth [1] - Industrial Fulian leads the sector with significant revenue and profit growth, achieving 360.76 billion yuan in revenue and 12.11 billion yuan in net profit for the first half of 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 35.58% and 38.61% respectively [2] - The emergence of "dark horse" companies is notable, with several firms reporting revenue growth exceeding 50%, particularly those focused on AI applications [4] Industry Performance - The consumer electronics sector has 22 companies with revenues exceeding 10 billion yuan, with notable performances from companies like Luxshare Precision and Hikvision, which reported revenues of 124.50 billion yuan and 41.82 billion yuan respectively [3] - A total of 14 companies reported net profit growth exceeding 100%, with Qianfang Technology and Silan Micro achieving remarkable increases of 1287.12% and 1162.42% in net profit [5] AI Impact - AI technology is driving new growth points in the consumer electronics industry, with products like AI smartphones and smart home devices gaining traction [6] - The short-term effects of AI-related investments are evident, particularly for companies that have early adopted AI technologies [6] Market Disparities - Despite the overall recovery, there is a clear divergence within the industry, with 16 companies reporting a decline in net profit exceeding 30% [7] - Companies like AOC Technology and OFILM have reported losses, with AOC's net profit dropping to -0.49 billion yuan from a profit of 0.05 billion yuan in the previous year [7] Competitive Landscape - The competitive environment is intense, with leading companies capturing a significant market share, making it challenging for smaller firms to compete effectively [8]

Policy Perspective - The National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Finance announced a policy to expand the categories of household appliance subsidies from 8 to 12 by early 2025, aiming to stimulate consumption in the home appliance and home sectors through equipment updates and recycling initiatives [2] Technology Perspective - Advancements in IoT, artificial intelligence, machine learning, and big data analysis are broadening the application boundaries and interaction depth of smart home devices, establishing a solid technological foundation for the smart home industry, which is expected to generate more high-value innovative products and services to meet diverse consumer needs [3] Demand Perspective - The easing of the US-China tariff conflict is likely to benefit Chinese home appliance companies in their overseas expansion. Additionally, the rising living standards and technological proliferation, coupled with the accelerated aging population leading to increased demand for home care, are expected to drive continuous upgrades in the smart home industry [4] Conclusion - The entire smart home industry chain, including upstream and downstream sectors, is expected to benefit from these developments, maintaining a "recommended" rating [5]

Group 1 - Xiaomi has opened its first official store in Germany, located in Essen, North Rhine-Westphalia, which is currently in a trial operation phase [1][2] - The grand opening ceremony is scheduled for September 26 [2][3] - The store offers a wide range of Xiaomi products, including smartphones, wearables, smart home devices, and e-scooters [1][2] Group 2 - A special promotion is available for customers until the end of August, where they can receive a free screen protector installation when purchasing a product in-store and sharing their visit on social media [1][2]

Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "Outperform" [1][9] Core Insights - Edge AI is reshaping the traditional cloud computing landscape, transitioning from a cloud-centric model to a hybrid architecture involving cloud, edge, and terminal collaboration [3][23] - The edge AI industry is experiencing exponential growth, with a market size projected to exceed 1.9 trillion yuan by 2028, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 58% from 2023 to 2028 [36][40] - The complete edge AI industry chain has formed, with significant contributions from chip manufacturers, algorithm optimizers, and application developers [4][26] Summary by Sections 1. Edge AI as a New Engine for IoT - Edge AI is becoming a critical component in the evolution of intelligent terminal devices, enabling real-time data processing and decision-making [3][5] - The market for edge AI is expanding rapidly, with 22.8 billion consumer devices expected by 2023, including smartphones (29.8%), smart home devices (26.3%), and PCs/PADs (17.6%) [4][36] 2. Growth Drivers for Edge AI - Hardware performance breakthroughs are anticipated, with flagship smartphones expected to reach 100 TOPS of NPU computing power by 2025 [40] - The penetration rate of AI smartphones is projected to reach 38% by 2025, with significant growth in industrial and smart city applications [40] 3. Edge AI Industry Chain - The edge AI industry encompasses a complete ecosystem, from hardware components like AI chips and sensors to software solutions for diverse applications [26] - Key players in the industry include companies like Guanghe Tong, Lexin Technology, and Rockchip, which are positioned to benefit from the growth of edge AI [6][5] 4. Applications of Edge AI - Edge AI is transforming various sectors, including consumer electronics, automotive, industrial applications, and smart home devices [5][32] - In the automotive sector, edge AI supports autonomous driving systems and enhances user experience through intelligent cockpit features [29][30] 5. Financial Data of Key Companies - Guanghe Tong: Current price 28.06, EPS forecast for 2025 is 0.89, PE ratio for 2025E is 31.46, rated as "Buy" [6] - Lexin Technology: Current price 161.26, EPS forecast for 2025 is 4.13, PE ratio for 2025E is 39.05, rated as "Hold" [6] - Rockchip: Current price 177.88, EPS forecast for 2025 is 2.37, PE ratio for 2025E is 75.02, rated as "Buy" [6]

Core Insights - The Southeast Asian market has become saturated, with no significant arbitrage opportunities remaining for new entrants [1][2] - Successful entrepreneurship in Southeast Asia requires a deep understanding of local culture and evolving consumer demands [9][44] Market Dynamics - Various industries, including e-commerce, food and beverage, and technology, are seeing increased competition as many companies enter the market [3][4] - The introduction of new technologies, such as 5G in Vietnam, is driving demand for smart home devices [7] Consumer Preferences - Local cultural factors significantly influence consumer behavior, such as preferences for specific flavors in e-cigarettes and cosmetics tailored to religious practices [10][11] - The popularity of Japanese cuisine over Korean food in Southeast Asia highlights the importance of cultural trends [12] Entrepreneurial Strategies - Successful entrepreneurs often take a hands-on approach, actively engaging in business operations rather than delegating responsibilities [14][15] - Avoiding overextension into multiple sectors is crucial; focusing on a single industry or market can lead to better outcomes [21][22] Market Entry Considerations - New entrants should aim for average market performance rather than attempting to dominate the market immediately [34][35] - Understanding local market conditions, even if they appear outdated, can reveal hidden opportunities for business success [36][38] Cultural Understanding - Cultural barriers can hinder effective business execution, even among individuals who share a language [45][46] - Local business models can be replicated, but the nuances of cultural understanding are often the most challenging aspect to navigate [44][45]