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曾金策7月10日:黄金价格会持续下跌吗?黄金行情走势分析及操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-09 22:03
黄金行情回顾: 周三现货黄金价格交投于 3309.89 美元 / 盎司,较前值上涨 8.60 美元,涨幅 0.26% 。 消息面上:特靠谱宣布 8 月 1 日起对 14 国加征关税,虽 "对等关税" 暂缓期延至 8 月 1 日,但仍引发市场对经济和通胀担忧,影响黄金走势。美 元指数受非农数据提振走强,美债收益率攀升,增加黄金持有成本。而央行购金虽长期利好,可短期黄金 ETF 出现减持。 从技术面来上看: ❶:日线级别上:布林带开口微张,金价受布林带下轨支撑反弹运行中,多头初现锋芒。3350 美元/盎司遇阻,3280 美元/盎司为关键支撑。MACD 指标死叉收口运行绿柱有所收敛,RSI 指标超卖反弹在 51-40 区间运行,多头动能偏强,超卖反弹需求明显。 ❷:4小时级别上:布林带开口扩大微收,显示金价存在一定的波动需求,金价受布林带下轨支撑反弹运行;MACD 技术指标连续死叉收口运行 中,绿柱收窄,金价反弹需求明显,RSI 技术指标超卖反弹至 51-44 区间运行,多头反弹需求明显,后市关注 3280 支撑与 3350 阻力 黄金市场呈现出不同态势。期货沪金主力合约夜盘先抑后扬 ,日内曾触及 767.08 元 ...
江沐洋:7.2黄金欧盘行情走势分析操作建议,积存金购买指导
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-02 08:58
Group 1 - Gold prices are stabilizing after two days of rebound, hovering below a one-week high, influenced by a slight recovery in the dollar and improved market risk appetite, but limited by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts and trade uncertainties [1] - The international gold market shows a bullish sentiment with a long upper shadow in the monthly candlestick, indicating significant selling pressure above, while the market is closely watching for U.S. data and comments from President Trump regarding rate cuts [2] - Short-term resistance for gold is identified in the 3355-3360 range, with potential upward targets of 3375-3380 and 3400, while support is seen at the 3315 level, below which further declines could occur [4] Group 2 - The domestic gold market, including Shanghai gold and other products, has seen a recent increase, with significant profits noted from previous bottom-buying strategies, although a temporary pullback is expected [4] - Support levels for Shanghai gold are around 775, while for other products, it is at 766, with expectations of continued upward movement after the current adjustment phase [4] - The overall bullish trend remains intact, with targets set at 795 for Shanghai gold and 790 for other products, indicating a need for patience among investors [4]
江沐洋:6.27国际金价震荡偏空,今日黄金走势分析操作思路
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-27 04:33
周四,国际黄金价格维持稳定,收报3327.60美元/盎司,跌幅约0.13%,盘中早些时候曾涨至3350关口附近。尽管价格 表面看似平静,但市场情绪却因多重因素而波澜起伏。中东地缘紧张局势的缓解削弱了黄金作为避险资产的吸引力, 导致金价在过去几个交易日出现回落。然而,投资者并未因此完全撤离金市,而是将目光转向即将于周五公布的美国 个人消费支出(PCE)物价指数数据。这份数据被视为美联储货币政策路径的关键指引,可能直接影响黄金的短期走 势。美联储鲍威尔在国会听证会上重申了观望立场,强调需等待关税对通胀影响明朗化。里奇蒙联储总裁巴尔金和旧 金山联储总裁戴利均表示,关税效应可能为秋季降息提供理由,但7月降息为时尚早。芝商所FedWatch工具显示,市 场预计9月降息概率超过90%,而7月降息概率仅为20%。这种分歧使得PCE数据的重要性进一步凸显,可能成为金价 短期波动的关键催化剂。 现货黄金: 昨日黄金先涨后跌,日内最高上涨3350附近,这个价位符合预期,但美盘主力度是下跌,最低在3310附近,虽然力度 不大,但来回震荡的走势很难拿住大利润,也很难拿单,昨天白天多空来回节奏很稳,只是晚间稍微有点乱延续性不 足,给的 ...
江沐洋:6.23国际黄金走势探底回升彰显强势,今晚黄金操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-23 15:57
国际黄金: 期货沪金,积存金,融通金: 技术面,从大级别上来看,周线仍然是处于上升趋势中的高位震荡,整理结束还是要看涨,就目前的结构来看,整理 还没有运行完,上周周线收阴,若按循环来看,本周收阳的概率大,周线依托5ma,10ma支撑看震荡上涨,日线连续 三个交易日向下刺破中轨形成探底回升,说明中轨支撑较强,重点是等哪天收盘价有效站上5均线,那么后续就该持 续发力上攻,去试探通道上轨,随时间周期指向基本会靠拢3490-3500; 国内金价上周整体出现回落,下跌的空间也不容疏忽,虽然长期看涨金价,但不要追多,等待回落做多。沪金上周最 低在780附近,积存金、融通金上周最低在774附近,江沐洋在下跌中分别提示了做多的策略,当前开盘,沪金收盘在 786,积存金、融通金收盘在780,多单暂时还有利润,虽然本周暂时看不出多头趋势,但大方向,大周期多头趋势不 变,只是缺少市场刺激,所以,本周国内金的策略还是继续持有多单,等待多头爆发,如果本周多头趋势走出来,沪 金或看涨到800,积存金、融通金如果看到795,所以,周期内,沪金,融通金还是要保持低多,做回落多单。 消息面,当前黄金市场呈现出明显的"分裂式情绪":一方面,地缘 ...
江沐洋:6.10黄金美盘看二次上涨冲高,今晚黄金走势分析预测
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-10 15:25
Group 1 - The current gold price is stabilizing around the mid-line trend support of 3500-3438, while facing resistance below the 5-day moving average, indicating ongoing consolidation between bulls and bears [1] - A breakthrough above the 5-day moving average could signal a potential low point for the week at 3293, while failure to maintain above this average may lead to further sideways movement and a possible final dip before a rebound [1] - The 4-hour chart shows that the price is testing the mid-line, with resistance around the 3340-39 range, which is close to yesterday's high; a sustained move above this mid-line could lead to further upward momentum [1] Group 2 - In the hourly chart, gold faced pressure at 3328, dropping to a low of 3302, effectively breaking below the descending flag pattern; the 3317-18 range was a confirmed resistance point [3] - A V-shaped recovery occurred, pushing the price to 3342 before the US market opened, indicating strong upward momentum; key support levels to watch are 3322-24 and 3318, with potential for further upward movement if these levels hold [3] - Domestic gold prices followed international trends, with significant gains observed; the targets for this week are 795 for Shanghai gold and 785 for both Rongtong gold and Jicun gold, suggesting continued bullish sentiment in the market [3]