Group 1: Market Overview - Gold prices rose last Friday, hovering near historical highs, marking the seventh consecutive week of increases due to growing concerns over the economic impact of the U.S. government shutdown and expectations of interest rate cuts [1] - The U.S. federal government shutdown has entered its second week, creating a stalemate with no strong pressure to resolve the situation, which raises economic concerns such as interruptions in federal employee salaries and project funding freezes [1] - If the shutdown extends to mid-October, the impact may worsen, potentially leading to broader risk aversion and pushing gold prices above $4,000, while a quick bipartisan compromise could see prices retreat to around $3,850 [1] Group 2: Technical Analysis - The key strength and weakness points for gold this week are at $3,820 and $3,750, respectively, indicating that as long as $3,820 holds, a strong upward trend is expected [4] - Gold has broken the $3,900 high, with expectations to reach $4,000, although this is based on market sentiment rather than specific reasons [2] - For silver, the international market saw significant adjustments, with a recent high of $48.3, maintaining a bullish outlook with targets of $49 and $50, while key support levels are at $46 and $45 [4] Group 3: Futures Market - Domestic gold futures (Shanghai Gold) experienced a decline before the National Day holiday, dropping from 873 to 855, but the trend remains bullish as it has rebounded to around 870 [5] - The silver futures market (2512 contract) closed at 10,920, with no night trading reflecting the recent downward movement, leading to a cautious stance until further analysis post-holiday [5]

Core Viewpoint - The recent Federal Reserve interest rate cut, supported by new board member Milan, is expected to put short-term pressure on the US dollar, benefiting gold prices. Technical indicators suggest potential upward movement in gold prices, with key support and resistance levels identified [1]. Technical Analysis - Daily Level: The price is above the 50-day EMA, with strong support at $3650 and key resistance at $3750. A breakthrough could lead to historical highs. The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, and the MACD shows a bullish crossover, while the RSI indicates an overbought condition [1]. - 4-Hour Level: The price is near the upper Bollinger Band, with a bullish MACD and an overbought RSI, indicating caution for potential price pullbacks [1]. - 1-Hour Level: The price is below the upper Bollinger Band, with a bullish MACD and an overbought RSI, suggesting a slowdown in upward momentum and caution for potential declines [1]. Future Trading Outlook - Long Positions: Aggressive traders may consider entering long positions near the $3600 support level, while conservative traders may wait for a bounce at $3500 [3]. - Short Positions: Aggressive traders may look to short near the $3750 resistance, while conservative traders may consider shorting at $3800 [3]. - Futures and Gold Trading Suggestions: - Shanghai Gold Futures: A potential long position may be considered near ¥840 per gram, with attention to macroeconomic data [3]. - RFT Gold: A long position may be viable near ¥825 per gram, with a focus on global economic data [3]. - Accumulated Gold: Long-term investment is encouraged, with buying opportunities near ¥830 per gram [3]. - Gold T+D: A long position may be considered near ¥825 per gram, with caution for resistance at ¥840 [3].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that gold prices are supported by a weakening US dollar, declining US Treasury yields, and expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, maintaining a strong position [1] - Technical analysis shows that on the daily chart, the Bollinger Bands are expanding, with gold prices near the upper band, and the MACD indicator is in a bullish crossover while the RSI is in an overbought state, suggesting a potential pullback [1] - On the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, with gold prices below the upper band, and the MACD is showing a narrowing bullish crossover, while the RSI indicates a pullback from overbought conditions [1] Group 2 - For future trading strategies, aggressive traders can consider buying near the support level of $3350 per ounce, while conservative traders may wait for a more stable support at $3300 per ounce [3] - For short positions, aggressive traders can look to sell near the resistance level of $3700 per ounce, while conservative traders may consider selling at $3750 per ounce [3] - Specific recommendations for various gold trading instruments include buying opportunities in Shanghai gold futures if prices pull back to 830-831 CNY per gram, and similar strategies for other gold products based on their respective price levels [3]

Group 1: Core Insights - The recent upward trend in gold prices is attributed to rising expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, a weakening dollar, and increased geopolitical risks, which have heightened safe-haven demand [2] - Institutional investors are optimistic about the future of gold, as evidenced by continuous increases in gold ETF holdings, contributing to the price rise [2] Group 2: Technical Analysis - On the daily chart, the Bollinger Bands are expanding, with gold prices trading above the upper band; MACD shows a bullish crossover, while RSI indicates an overbought condition, suggesting a potential pullback [3] - The 4-hour chart also shows expanding Bollinger Bands, with prices near the upper band; MACD remains bullish, and RSI is in an overbought state [3] - The 1-hour chart indicates expanding Bollinger Bands, with prices below the upper band; MACD shows a narrowing bullish crossover, and RSI remains overbought, signaling a potential slowdown in upward momentum [3] Group 3: Future Trading Strategies - For aggressive traders, a long position can be initiated near the support level of $3350/oz, while conservative traders may wait for a stabilization around $3300/oz before entering long positions [4] - For short positions, aggressive traders can consider selling near the resistance level of $3530/oz, while conservative traders may look to sell around $3550/oz [4] - Specific trading recommendations for various gold instruments include: - Shanghai gold futures showing strong upward momentum, with support at 800 CNY/g and resistance at 815 CNY/g [4] - Relying on international gold price movements, Rongtong gold is recommended for purchase around 795 CNY/g, targeting 810 CNY/g [4] - Accumulating Jicun gold when prices drop to around 790 CNY/g for long-term holding [4] - Gold T+D is stable, with a suggestion to enter a light long position around 795 CNY/g, targeting resistance at 810 CNY/g [4]

Group 1: Market Overview - The gold market has shown positive results from a low-position long strategy, with prices rebounding after reaching entry points around 3315-25 USD/oz [1] - There is a strong market expectation for a Federal Reserve rate cut in September, exceeding 85%, contributing to a weaker dollar and increased investment in gold due to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East [2] Group 2: Technical Analysis - On the daily chart, the Bollinger Bands are expanding, with gold prices operating above the upper band; MACD shows a bullish crossover, while RSI indicates an overbought condition [3] - The 4-hour chart also shows expanding Bollinger Bands, with prices near the upper band; MACD is bullish, and RSI remains in an overbought state, with support at 3300 and resistance at 3450 [3] - The 1-hour chart indicates similar trends, with prices near the upper band and a bullish MACD; however, there is a warning for potential overbought pullbacks, with support at 3300 and resistance at 3450 [3] Group 3: Future Trading Strategies - Aggressive traders are advised to enter long positions near the 3300 USD/oz support after stabilization, while conservative traders should consider long positions around 3270-3280 USD/oz [4] - For short positions, aggressive traders should look to sell near 3450 USD/oz resistance, while conservative traders may consider shorting around 3485-3475 USD/oz [4] - Specific trading recommendations for various gold instruments include light shorting on high prices for futures, buying on dips for linked products, and a dollar-cost averaging strategy for long-term investments [4]

Group 1: Gold Market Overview - The recent strategy of positioning for a long position in gold at low levels has yielded positive results, with successful entry points and a subsequent price rebound [1] - Gold prices were influenced by the firing of Federal Reserve Governor Cook by Trump, which shook investor confidence and increased safe-haven demand, leading to a 0.83% increase on Tuesday, marking the highest level since August 11 [2] Group 2: Technical Analysis - On the daily chart, the Bollinger Bands are opening slowly, with gold prices operating above the middle band, and MACD showing a bullish crossover while RSI indicates a clear demand for a rebound from oversold conditions [3] - On the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands are opening upwards, with gold prices below the upper band; MACD shows a bullish crossover, while RSI indicates a state of overbought retreat, suggesting a slowing upward trend with support at 3300 and resistance at 3400 [3] - On the hourly chart, the Bollinger Bands are also opening upwards, with gold prices below the upper band; MACD shows a narrowing bullish crossover, and RSI indicates a state of overbought retreat, signaling a potential decrease in upward momentum with support at 3300 and resistance at 3400 [3] Group 3: Future Trading Strategies - For aggressive traders, a long position can be initiated near the support level of 3300 USD/oz, while conservative traders may consider entering around 3270-3280 USD/oz, relying on the support at 3250 USD/oz [4] - For short positions, aggressive traders can consider selling near the resistance level of 3400 USD/oz, while conservative traders may look to sell around 3445-3435 USD/oz, depending on the pressure at 3450 USD/oz [4] - Recommendations for various gold trading instruments include light long positions in futures at 780 CNY/g with a target of 785 CNY/g, and a focus on support at 775 CNY/g for domestic gold prices, with a target of 790 CNY/g [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the recent strategy of positioning for a long position in gold at lower levels has yielded positive results, with gold prices successfully rebounding after reaching entry points [1] - The market sentiment has been influenced by dovish signals from Powell, leading to increased expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut, which has driven gold prices upward [7] - The technical analysis shows that on the daily chart, gold is trading above the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, with signs of a potential bullish crossover in the MACD indicator, indicating a clear demand for a rebound [8] Group 2 - For aggressive traders, it is suggested to enter long positions near the support level of $3300 per ounce, while more conservative traders should consider entering around $3270-$3280 per ounce [8] - The futures market for gold is influenced by international gold prices and exchange rates, with support at 770 RMB per gram and resistance around 775 RMB per gram, indicating a range for trading [8] - Overall market conditions are supported by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut and geopolitical tensions, emphasizing the need for stop-loss and take-profit strategies in trading [8]

Market Overview - The gold market experienced significant volatility, with prices reaching a high of $3400 per ounce before declining to around $3344 per ounce, indicating a successful short position strategy [1][5]. - Various factors influenced the fluctuations in spot gold prices, including U.S. economic data weakness and geopolitical tensions, particularly related to the Russia-Ukraine negotiations [5]. Technical Analysis - Daily Chart: The Bollinger Bands are expanding, with gold prices operating near the middle band. The MACD indicator shows a narrowing golden cross, while the RSI indicates an oversold rebound [5]. - 4-Hour Chart: The Bollinger Bands are also expanding, with prices above the lower band. The MACD shows a death cross, and the RSI indicates an oversold condition, suggesting a clear downtrend with key support at $3300 and resistance at $3400 [5]. - 1-Hour Chart: Similar to the 4-hour analysis, the Bollinger Bands are expanding, and the MACD shows a narrowing death cross. The RSI indicates a potential oversold rebound, with support at $3300 and resistance at $3400 [5]. Future Trading Strategies - For bullish positions, aggressive traders may consider entering near the $3300 support level, while conservative traders may wait for a more stable entry around $3270-$3280 [7]. - For bearish positions, aggressive traders should look to sell near the $3400 resistance, while conservative traders may target the $3445-$3435 range for shorting [7]. Futures Market Insights - Shanghai Gold Futures: Influenced by international gold prices and RMB exchange rates, with support at 770 RMB/kg and resistance around 775 RMB/kg [8]. - Rongtong Gold: Trading between 780.05 and 782.05 RMB/kg, with a previous high of 782.08 RMB/kg and potential support at 780-779 RMB/kg [8]. - Accumulated Gold: Suitable for long-term investment, with short-term fluctuations, targeting around 785 RMB/kg [8]. - Gold T+D: Exhibiting a volatile trend, with resistance at 785 RMB/kg and support at 780 RMB/kg [8].

Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The latest US non-farm payroll report for July indicates a weakening labor market, leading to increased bets on the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates, which typically supports gold prices by lowering real interest rates and enhancing gold's appeal [1] - Gold has shown resilience, rebounding strongly from the 200-period moving average, with current prices approaching the key level of $3410. A successful breakout could lead to a short-term upward trend targeting $3420 - $3422, with strong resistance around $3434 - $3435, and a potential historical high of $3500 if surpassed [1] - Daily analysis suggests that gold prices reached a high of around $3409, with a potential breakout above $3408-10 leading to further gains towards $3428. A buy recommendation is suggested at $3380 with a stop loss at $3370 and a target of $3400-3405 [3] Group 2: Futures and Investment Recommendations - Futures for Shanghai gold are expected to remain strong in the short term due to rising international gold prices. The linked products like Rongtong gold are also supported by trade tensions and increased risk aversion [4] - Accumulated gold investments are supported by long-term expectations of interest rate cuts, making them suitable for long-term investment despite short-term market fluctuations. Gold T+D is currently in a volatile state [4] Group 3: Silver Market Analysis - Silver is supported by the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and geopolitical tensions, but its upward movement depends on maintaining the critical support level of $37.87. A daily close below the 50-day moving average could signal a weakening bullish trend [6] - Current trading recommendations suggest buying at $38.00 with a stop loss at $37.80 and targets set at $38.50-38.70, with further potential if the price breaks above $39.00-39.20 [6]

Market Overview - Current gold price is reported at $3387.48 per ounce, with an increase of $18.29, representing a 0.54% rise, driven by heightened geopolitical tensions and increased demand for safe-haven assets due to trade disputes involving the U.S. and India [1] - The market anticipates a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, which has further supported gold prices, although a rebound in the U.S. dollar and rising stock markets have somewhat limited the price increase [1] Technical Analysis - Daily chart indicates that gold is trading above the middle Bollinger Band, with MACD showing a bullish crossover and RSI indicating a rebound from oversold conditions, suggesting a clear demand for a price recovery [1] - On the 4-hour chart, gold is positioned below the upper Bollinger Band, with initial signs of a bearish crossover in MACD and RSI indicating a retreat from overbought conditions, highlighting a need to monitor support at $3300 and resistance at $3400 [1] - The 1-hour chart shows gold trading below the upper Bollinger Band, with MACD lines in a state of indecision and RSI indicating a pullback from overbought levels, suggesting a potential for price retracement with support at $3300 and resistance at $3400 [1] Future Trading Strategies - For aggressive traders, a long position can be initiated near the $3300 support level, with a target range of $3315-$3325 [3] - Conservative traders may consider entering long positions at the $3250 support level, targeting $3270-$3280 [3] - For short positions, aggressive traders can look to sell near the $3400 resistance, targeting $3395-$3385, while conservative traders may wait for a stronger resistance at $3450, targeting $3445-$3435 [3] Gold Market Sentiment - The gold futures market is expected to remain strong in the short term due to the influence of rising international gold prices [3] - The linked gold products are also expected to be supported by rising safe-haven demand due to trade tensions, while long-term investments in gold accumulation are favored due to anticipated interest rate cuts [3] - Overall, the gold market is supported by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut and ongoing trade tensions, but future price movements will depend on subsequent developments in the news [3]