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曾金策8月27日:今日黄金会再创新高吗,黄金走势分析操作指南
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-27 01:54
黄金行情回顾: 上周提前布局黄金低位做多策略收获良好成果:提前布局——3315-25 美元/盎司参与做空,多次触发抵 达进场的点位,进场后成功筑底反弹,金价成功持续拉升,后续仍要留意市场消息 。 从消息面上看,金价此前受特朗普解雇美联储理事库克影响,投资者信心动摇,避险需求提振金价,周 二上涨 0.83%,创 8 月 11 日以来新高,同时美联储 9 月降息预期也对金价形成支撑。 稳妥者依托 3450 美元/盎司强压力位,在 3445-3435 美元/盎司附近做空 从技术面来上看: ❶:日线级别上:布林带开口平缓,金价在布林带中轨上方运行,MACD 技术指标金叉运行中,RSI 技 术指标超卖反弹运行中,金价触底反弹需求明显; 下方多单:激进者依托 3300 美元/盎司支撑位,企稳后在 3315-3325 美元/盎司附近参与做多; 稳妥者依托 3250 美元/盎司支撑位,在 3270-3280 美元/盎司再参与做多; 黄金消息面: 上方空单:激进者依托 3400 美元/盎司压制,承压后在3395-3385美元/盎司参与做空; ❷:4小时级别上:布林带开口向上,金价在布林带上轨下方运行;MACD 技术指标金叉运行 ...
曾金策8月8日:黄金走势还看涨吗?今日黄金行情走势分析及操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-07 15:37
Market Overview - Current gold price is reported at $3387.48 per ounce, with an increase of $18.29, representing a 0.54% rise, driven by heightened geopolitical tensions and increased demand for safe-haven assets due to trade disputes involving the U.S. and India [1] - The market anticipates a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, which has further supported gold prices, although a rebound in the U.S. dollar and rising stock markets have somewhat limited the price increase [1] Technical Analysis - Daily chart indicates that gold is trading above the middle Bollinger Band, with MACD showing a bullish crossover and RSI indicating a rebound from oversold conditions, suggesting a clear demand for a price recovery [1] - On the 4-hour chart, gold is positioned below the upper Bollinger Band, with initial signs of a bearish crossover in MACD and RSI indicating a retreat from overbought conditions, highlighting a need to monitor support at $3300 and resistance at $3400 [1] - The 1-hour chart shows gold trading below the upper Bollinger Band, with MACD lines in a state of indecision and RSI indicating a pullback from overbought levels, suggesting a potential for price retracement with support at $3300 and resistance at $3400 [1] Future Trading Strategies - For aggressive traders, a long position can be initiated near the $3300 support level, with a target range of $3315-$3325 [3] - Conservative traders may consider entering long positions at the $3250 support level, targeting $3270-$3280 [3] - For short positions, aggressive traders can look to sell near the $3400 resistance, targeting $3395-$3385, while conservative traders may wait for a stronger resistance at $3450, targeting $3445-$3435 [3] Gold Market Sentiment - The gold futures market is expected to remain strong in the short term due to the influence of rising international gold prices [3] - The linked gold products are also expected to be supported by rising safe-haven demand due to trade tensions, while long-term investments in gold accumulation are favored due to anticipated interest rate cuts [3] - Overall, the gold market is supported by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut and ongoing trade tensions, but future price movements will depend on subsequent developments in the news [3]
曾金策7月26日:下周黄金走势分析行情预测,黄金积存金操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-26 12:55
Group 1 - The article discusses the recent performance of gold prices, highlighting a successful short-selling strategy implemented at levels of $3445-3535 per ounce, followed by a significant drop in prices after reaching overbought conditions [1] - The article notes that the recent fluctuations in trade tensions have cooled due to agreements between Japan and the US, which has reduced safe-haven demand for gold [1] - Technical analysis indicates that on the daily chart, gold is trading near the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, with MACD showing a bullish crossover and RSI indicating overbought conditions [1] Group 2 - The outlook for gold trading suggests aggressive traders should consider buying near the support level of $3300 per ounce, while more cautious traders may wait for a confirmation at $3250 [3] - For short positions, aggressive traders are advised to sell near the resistance level of $3400, while conservative traders should look to sell at $3450 [3] - Overall, the article emphasizes that the movements in the dollar and changes in trade dynamics significantly impact market sentiment towards gold prices, with future attention on Federal Reserve policies and trade agreements [3]
曾金策7.25黄金最新价格走向预测,现货黄金,积存金在线指导
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-25 00:41
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates a successful short strategy in gold trading, with specific price levels for entering short positions and market observations leading to profitable outcomes [1][10]. - The current spot gold price is reported at 3369.49 USD/ounce, showing a slight year-on-year increase of 1.60 USD, or 0.05% [7]. - Factors influencing gold prices include weakened expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, a strengthening dollar, and reduced geopolitical risks, which collectively exert downward pressure on gold prices [7]. Group 2 - Technical analysis reveals that on the daily chart, gold is trading above the middle Bollinger Band, with MACD indicators showing a bullish crossover, while RSI indicates overbought conditions [7]. - On the 4-hour chart, gold is positioned above the lower Bollinger Band, with MACD showing a bearish crossover and RSI indicating oversold conditions, suggesting strong bearish momentum [8]. - Short-term trading strategies suggest aggressive traders should consider long positions near 3315-3325 USD/ounce and short positions near 3385-3375 USD/ounce, while conservative traders should look for long entries around 3265-3275 USD/ounce and short entries around 3445-3435 USD/ounce [10].
曾金策7月10日:黄金价格会持续下跌吗?黄金行情走势分析及操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-09 22:03
黄金行情回顾: 周三现货黄金价格交投于 3309.89 美元 / 盎司,较前值上涨 8.60 美元,涨幅 0.26% 。 消息面上:特靠谱宣布 8 月 1 日起对 14 国加征关税,虽 "对等关税" 暂缓期延至 8 月 1 日,但仍引发市场对经济和通胀担忧,影响黄金走势。美 元指数受非农数据提振走强,美债收益率攀升,增加黄金持有成本。而央行购金虽长期利好,可短期黄金 ETF 出现减持。 从技术面来上看: ❶:日线级别上:布林带开口微张,金价受布林带下轨支撑反弹运行中,多头初现锋芒。3350 美元/盎司遇阻,3280 美元/盎司为关键支撑。MACD 指标死叉收口运行绿柱有所收敛,RSI 指标超卖反弹在 51-40 区间运行,多头动能偏强,超卖反弹需求明显。 ❷:4小时级别上:布林带开口扩大微收,显示金价存在一定的波动需求,金价受布林带下轨支撑反弹运行;MACD 技术指标连续死叉收口运行 中,绿柱收窄,金价反弹需求明显,RSI 技术指标超卖反弹至 51-44 区间运行,多头反弹需求明显,后市关注 3280 支撑与 3350 阻力 黄金市场呈现出不同态势。期货沪金主力合约夜盘先抑后扬 ,日内曾触及 767.08 元 ...
江沐洋:7.2黄金欧盘行情走势分析操作建议,积存金购买指导
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-02 08:58
Group 1 - Gold prices are stabilizing after two days of rebound, hovering below a one-week high, influenced by a slight recovery in the dollar and improved market risk appetite, but limited by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts and trade uncertainties [1] - The international gold market shows a bullish sentiment with a long upper shadow in the monthly candlestick, indicating significant selling pressure above, while the market is closely watching for U.S. data and comments from President Trump regarding rate cuts [2] - Short-term resistance for gold is identified in the 3355-3360 range, with potential upward targets of 3375-3380 and 3400, while support is seen at the 3315 level, below which further declines could occur [4] Group 2 - The domestic gold market, including Shanghai gold and other products, has seen a recent increase, with significant profits noted from previous bottom-buying strategies, although a temporary pullback is expected [4] - Support levels for Shanghai gold are around 775, while for other products, it is at 766, with expectations of continued upward movement after the current adjustment phase [4] - The overall bullish trend remains intact, with targets set at 795 for Shanghai gold and 790 for other products, indicating a need for patience among investors [4]
江沐洋:6.27国际金价震荡偏空,今日黄金走势分析操作思路
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-27 04:33
Group 1 - International gold prices remained stable, closing at $3327.60 per ounce, with a slight decline of approximately 0.13% [1] - The easing of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East has reduced gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset, contributing to a price pullback in recent trading days [1] - Investors are focusing on the upcoming U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index data, which is seen as a key indicator for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy direction [1] Group 2 - The gold market experienced fluctuations, with prices reaching a high of around $3350 before dropping to a low of approximately $3310, indicating a choppy trading environment [2] - The technical outlook suggests a bearish trend in the short term, but the long-term bullish trend remains intact as long as gold does not fall below $3280 [2] - Key price levels to watch include $3355 for resistance and $3300 for support, with a focus on the impact of PCE data on market movements [4] Group 3 - Domestic gold prices showed little movement, fluctuating between gains and losses, with the Shanghai gold price around 775 and other gold products at approximately 768 [5] - There is an expectation for a potential bullish reversal in the gold market, with targets set at 795 for Shanghai gold and 785 for other gold products, contingent on maintaining the bullish trend [5]
江沐洋:6.23国际黄金走势探底回升彰显强势,今晚黄金操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-23 15:57
Market Sentiment - The current gold market exhibits a "divided sentiment," where geopolitical tensions should typically drive gold prices up, but the strong U.S. dollar and Federal Reserve policy outlook are suppressing this reaction [1] - Overall market risk sentiment is cautious, indicating traders are hesitant about the geopolitical risk premium and are more inclined towards short-term trading driven by economic data [1] Technical Analysis - From a larger perspective, the weekly chart shows gold is in a high-level consolidation within an upward trend, with the current structure suggesting that the consolidation phase is not yet complete [2] - The weekly closing last week was bearish, but there is a high probability of a bullish close this week, supported by the 5-day and 10-day moving averages [2] - On the daily chart, gold has shown a strong rebound after piercing the middle band for three consecutive trading days, indicating strong support at this level [2] Key Levels and Strategies - The critical resistance level is at 3405; if this level is broken and sustained, significant pullbacks are unlikely [4] - If gold fails to break above 3405, traders should avoid chasing prices and instead look for support around 3360-65 and 3355-50 to continue buying on dips [4] - In the domestic market, gold prices experienced a decline last week, but the long-term bullish outlook remains intact; traders are advised to wait for pullbacks to enter long positions [4] - Current prices for domestic gold are around 786 for Shanghai gold and 780 for accumulated and financing gold, with potential targets of 800 and 795 respectively if a bullish trend emerges this week [4]
江沐洋:6.10黄金美盘看二次上涨冲高,今晚黄金走势分析预测
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-10 15:25
Group 1 - The current gold price is stabilizing around the mid-line trend support of 3500-3438, while facing resistance below the 5-day moving average, indicating ongoing consolidation between bulls and bears [1] - A breakthrough above the 5-day moving average could signal a potential low point for the week at 3293, while failure to maintain above this average may lead to further sideways movement and a possible final dip before a rebound [1] - The 4-hour chart shows that the price is testing the mid-line, with resistance around the 3340-39 range, which is close to yesterday's high; a sustained move above this mid-line could lead to further upward momentum [1] Group 2 - In the hourly chart, gold faced pressure at 3328, dropping to a low of 3302, effectively breaking below the descending flag pattern; the 3317-18 range was a confirmed resistance point [3] - A V-shaped recovery occurred, pushing the price to 3342 before the US market opened, indicating strong upward momentum; key support levels to watch are 3322-24 and 3318, with potential for further upward movement if these levels hold [3] - Domestic gold prices followed international trends, with significant gains observed; the targets for this week are 795 for Shanghai gold and 785 for both Rongtong gold and Jicun gold, suggesting continued bullish sentiment in the market [3]