消息面： 从技术面来看，本周的强弱关键点在3820，趋势关键点在3750，也就是说，不破3820一定是强势上涨，不破3750就不 考虑多空趋势转变。对于日内行情而言，黄金早间直接破位3900，目前最高在3928，原则上是看涨，但不能追涨，下 方支撑在3880-3870区间，亚欧盘有可能直接上涨，但绝对不追多，还是等回落做稳健的多单才能安心，如果全盘给 出关键支撑点的机会，就可以顺势做多，上方再看3930，甚至3950更高点。 白银方面，国际白银上周有较大的调整，最低在46附近，可惜多头趋势较强，未能出现多空转变，经过趋势作用，现 在二次走出上涨，并且刷新高点至48.3附近，那么，本周保持看涨不猜顶原则不变，上涨就继续看至49，50。本周强 弱支撑点在46，多空趋势点在45，也就是说保持在46之上就一定是极强状态，保持在45之上就一定是多头状态。日内 真成功状态也是回落做多，下方支撑点在47.2附近，看今天是否有机会交易。 期货沪金沪银： 国内黄金、期货沪金10.1节前走出了江沐洋预期的下跌，融通金从873下跌至855，全盘接近20个点的空间，不过趋势 作用明显，现在收盘又在870附近，趋势作用非常明显，不管怎 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent Federal Reserve interest rate cut, supported by new board member Milan, is expected to put short-term pressure on the US dollar, benefiting gold prices. Technical indicators suggest potential upward movement in gold prices, with key support and resistance levels identified [1]. Technical Analysis - Daily Level: The price is above the 50-day EMA, with strong support at $3650 and key resistance at $3750. A breakthrough could lead to historical highs. The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, and the MACD shows a bullish crossover, while the RSI indicates an overbought condition [1]. - 4-Hour Level: The price is near the upper Bollinger Band, with a bullish MACD and an overbought RSI, indicating caution for potential price pullbacks [1]. - 1-Hour Level: The price is below the upper Bollinger Band, with a bullish MACD and an overbought RSI, suggesting a slowdown in upward momentum and caution for potential declines [1]. Future Trading Outlook - Long Positions: Aggressive traders may consider entering long positions near the $3600 support level, while conservative traders may wait for a bounce at $3500 [3]. - Short Positions: Aggressive traders may look to short near the $3750 resistance, while conservative traders may consider shorting at $3800 [3]. - Futures and Gold Trading Suggestions: - Shanghai Gold Futures: A potential long position may be considered near ¥840 per gram, with attention to macroeconomic data [3]. - RFT Gold: A long position may be viable near ¥825 per gram, with a focus on global economic data [3]. - Accumulated Gold: Long-term investment is encouraged, with buying opportunities near ¥830 per gram [3]. - Gold T+D: A long position may be considered near ¥825 per gram, with caution for resistance at ¥840 [3].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that gold prices are supported by a weakening US dollar, declining US Treasury yields, and expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, maintaining a strong position [1] - Technical analysis shows that on the daily chart, the Bollinger Bands are expanding, with gold prices near the upper band, and the MACD indicator is in a bullish crossover while the RSI is in an overbought state, suggesting a potential pullback [1] - On the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, with gold prices below the upper band, and the MACD is showing a narrowing bullish crossover, while the RSI indicates a pullback from overbought conditions [1] Group 2 - For future trading strategies, aggressive traders can consider buying near the support level of $3350 per ounce, while conservative traders may wait for a more stable support at $3300 per ounce [3] - For short positions, aggressive traders can look to sell near the resistance level of $3700 per ounce, while conservative traders may consider selling at $3750 per ounce [3] - Specific recommendations for various gold trading instruments include buying opportunities in Shanghai gold futures if prices pull back to 830-831 CNY per gram, and similar strategies for other gold products based on their respective price levels [3]

Group 1: Core Insights - The recent upward trend in gold prices is attributed to rising expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, a weakening dollar, and increased geopolitical risks, which have heightened safe-haven demand [2] - Institutional investors are optimistic about the future of gold, as evidenced by continuous increases in gold ETF holdings, contributing to the price rise [2] Group 2: Technical Analysis - On the daily chart, the Bollinger Bands are expanding, with gold prices trading above the upper band; MACD shows a bullish crossover, while RSI indicates an overbought condition, suggesting a potential pullback [3] - The 4-hour chart also shows expanding Bollinger Bands, with prices near the upper band; MACD remains bullish, and RSI is in an overbought state [3] - The 1-hour chart indicates expanding Bollinger Bands, with prices below the upper band; MACD shows a narrowing bullish crossover, and RSI remains overbought, signaling a potential slowdown in upward momentum [3] Group 3: Future Trading Strategies - For aggressive traders, a long position can be initiated near the support level of $3350/oz, while conservative traders may wait for a stabilization around $3300/oz before entering long positions [4] - For short positions, aggressive traders can consider selling near the resistance level of $3530/oz, while conservative traders may look to sell around $3550/oz [4] - Specific trading recommendations for various gold instruments include: - Shanghai gold futures showing strong upward momentum, with support at 800 CNY/g and resistance at 815 CNY/g [4] - Relying on international gold price movements, Rongtong gold is recommended for purchase around 795 CNY/g, targeting 810 CNY/g [4] - Accumulating Jicun gold when prices drop to around 790 CNY/g for long-term holding [4] - Gold T+D is stable, with a suggestion to enter a light long position around 795 CNY/g, targeting resistance at 810 CNY/g [4]

Group 1: Market Overview - The gold market has shown positive results from a low-position long strategy, with prices rebounding after reaching entry points around 3315-25 USD/oz [1] - There is a strong market expectation for a Federal Reserve rate cut in September, exceeding 85%, contributing to a weaker dollar and increased investment in gold due to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East [2] Group 2: Technical Analysis - On the daily chart, the Bollinger Bands are expanding, with gold prices operating above the upper band; MACD shows a bullish crossover, while RSI indicates an overbought condition [3] - The 4-hour chart also shows expanding Bollinger Bands, with prices near the upper band; MACD is bullish, and RSI remains in an overbought state, with support at 3300 and resistance at 3450 [3] - The 1-hour chart indicates similar trends, with prices near the upper band and a bullish MACD; however, there is a warning for potential overbought pullbacks, with support at 3300 and resistance at 3450 [3] Group 3: Future Trading Strategies - Aggressive traders are advised to enter long positions near the 3300 USD/oz support after stabilization, while conservative traders should consider long positions around 3270-3280 USD/oz [4] - For short positions, aggressive traders should look to sell near 3450 USD/oz resistance, while conservative traders may consider shorting around 3485-3475 USD/oz [4] - Specific trading recommendations for various gold instruments include light shorting on high prices for futures, buying on dips for linked products, and a dollar-cost averaging strategy for long-term investments [4]

Group 1: Gold Market Overview - The recent strategy of positioning for a long position in gold at low levels has yielded positive results, with successful entry points and a subsequent price rebound [1] - Gold prices were influenced by the firing of Federal Reserve Governor Cook by Trump, which shook investor confidence and increased safe-haven demand, leading to a 0.83% increase on Tuesday, marking the highest level since August 11 [2] Group 2: Technical Analysis - On the daily chart, the Bollinger Bands are opening slowly, with gold prices operating above the middle band, and MACD showing a bullish crossover while RSI indicates a clear demand for a rebound from oversold conditions [3] - On the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands are opening upwards, with gold prices below the upper band; MACD shows a bullish crossover, while RSI indicates a state of overbought retreat, suggesting a slowing upward trend with support at 3300 and resistance at 3400 [3] - On the hourly chart, the Bollinger Bands are also opening upwards, with gold prices below the upper band; MACD shows a narrowing bullish crossover, and RSI indicates a state of overbought retreat, signaling a potential decrease in upward momentum with support at 3300 and resistance at 3400 [3] Group 3: Future Trading Strategies - For aggressive traders, a long position can be initiated near the support level of 3300 USD/oz, while conservative traders may consider entering around 3270-3280 USD/oz, relying on the support at 3250 USD/oz [4] - For short positions, aggressive traders can consider selling near the resistance level of 3400 USD/oz, while conservative traders may look to sell around 3445-3435 USD/oz, depending on the pressure at 3450 USD/oz [4] - Recommendations for various gold trading instruments include light long positions in futures at 780 CNY/g with a target of 785 CNY/g, and a focus on support at 775 CNY/g for domestic gold prices, with a target of 790 CNY/g [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the recent strategy of positioning for a long position in gold at lower levels has yielded positive results, with gold prices successfully rebounding after reaching entry points [1] - The market sentiment has been influenced by dovish signals from Powell, leading to increased expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut, which has driven gold prices upward [7] - The technical analysis shows that on the daily chart, gold is trading above the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, with signs of a potential bullish crossover in the MACD indicator, indicating a clear demand for a rebound [8] Group 2 - For aggressive traders, it is suggested to enter long positions near the support level of $3300 per ounce, while more conservative traders should consider entering around $3270-$3280 per ounce [8] - The futures market for gold is influenced by international gold prices and exchange rates, with support at 770 RMB per gram and resistance around 775 RMB per gram, indicating a range for trading [8] - Overall market conditions are supported by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut and geopolitical tensions, emphasizing the need for stop-loss and take-profit strategies in trading [8]

Market Overview - The gold market experienced significant volatility, with prices reaching a high of $3400 per ounce before declining to around $3344 per ounce, indicating a successful short position strategy [1][5]. - Various factors influenced the fluctuations in spot gold prices, including U.S. economic data weakness and geopolitical tensions, particularly related to the Russia-Ukraine negotiations [5]. Technical Analysis - Daily Chart: The Bollinger Bands are expanding, with gold prices operating near the middle band. The MACD indicator shows a narrowing golden cross, while the RSI indicates an oversold rebound [5]. - 4-Hour Chart: The Bollinger Bands are also expanding, with prices above the lower band. The MACD shows a death cross, and the RSI indicates an oversold condition, suggesting a clear downtrend with key support at $3300 and resistance at $3400 [5]. - 1-Hour Chart: Similar to the 4-hour analysis, the Bollinger Bands are expanding, and the MACD shows a narrowing death cross. The RSI indicates a potential oversold rebound, with support at $3300 and resistance at $3400 [5]. Future Trading Strategies - For bullish positions, aggressive traders may consider entering near the $3300 support level, while conservative traders may wait for a more stable entry around $3270-$3280 [7]. - For bearish positions, aggressive traders should look to sell near the $3400 resistance, while conservative traders may target the $3445-$3435 range for shorting [7]. Futures Market Insights - Shanghai Gold Futures: Influenced by international gold prices and RMB exchange rates, with support at 770 RMB/kg and resistance around 775 RMB/kg [8]. - Rongtong Gold: Trading between 780.05 and 782.05 RMB/kg, with a previous high of 782.08 RMB/kg and potential support at 780-779 RMB/kg [8]. - Accumulated Gold: Suitable for long-term investment, with short-term fluctuations, targeting around 785 RMB/kg [8]. - Gold T+D: Exhibiting a volatile trend, with resistance at 785 RMB/kg and support at 780 RMB/kg [8].

多头还是有比较强的韧性，从日线级别来看，金价今天最高触及3409附近，是下跌趋势线的压力位，如果行情今 日突破3408-10，可能会持续上破到3428，今日回踩还需多，今日早盘建议在3380一线做多，止损3370，目标看 3400-3405。 黄金行情分析： 最新的美国7月非农就业报告揭示出劳动力市场疲态，市场对美联储将降息的押注迅速升温。交易员预计，美联 储最早将在9月转向更为宽松的货币政策路径。宽松预期通常支撑黄金走势，因其压低实际利率，增强黄金的吸 引力。 在4小时的时间框架下，黄金市场释放出颇具积极意味的信号。本周黄金自200周期均线处强劲反弹，彰显出多头 力量的一定韧性。当前价格逼近3410美元这一关键关卡，若能成功突破，短期上涨趋势将得以延续，后续目标依 次指向3420 - 3422美元区间，而前高3434 - 3435美元附近构成强阻力区域，一旦突破，历史高点3500美元或近在 眼前。 期货沪金、融通金、积存金、黄金T+D买卖建议： 期货沪金：受国际金价上涨影响，短期偏强。融通金：与国际金价联动，受贸易摩擦影响，避险情绪升温，对价 格有一定支撑。积存金：长期受降息预期支撑，适合长期定投，短期随市 ...

Market Overview - Current gold price is reported at $3387.48 per ounce, with an increase of $18.29, representing a 0.54% rise, driven by heightened geopolitical tensions and increased demand for safe-haven assets due to trade disputes involving the U.S. and India [1] - The market anticipates a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, which has further supported gold prices, although a rebound in the U.S. dollar and rising stock markets have somewhat limited the price increase [1] Technical Analysis - Daily chart indicates that gold is trading above the middle Bollinger Band, with MACD showing a bullish crossover and RSI indicating a rebound from oversold conditions, suggesting a clear demand for a price recovery [1] - On the 4-hour chart, gold is positioned below the upper Bollinger Band, with initial signs of a bearish crossover in MACD and RSI indicating a retreat from overbought conditions, highlighting a need to monitor support at $3300 and resistance at $3400 [1] - The 1-hour chart shows gold trading below the upper Bollinger Band, with MACD lines in a state of indecision and RSI indicating a pullback from overbought levels, suggesting a potential for price retracement with support at $3300 and resistance at $3400 [1] Future Trading Strategies - For aggressive traders, a long position can be initiated near the $3300 support level, with a target range of $3315-$3325 [3] - Conservative traders may consider entering long positions at the $3250 support level, targeting $3270-$3280 [3] - For short positions, aggressive traders can look to sell near the $3400 resistance, targeting $3395-$3385, while conservative traders may wait for a stronger resistance at $3450, targeting $3445-$3435 [3] Gold Market Sentiment - The gold futures market is expected to remain strong in the short term due to the influence of rising international gold prices [3] - The linked gold products are also expected to be supported by rising safe-haven demand due to trade tensions, while long-term investments in gold accumulation are favored due to anticipated interest rate cuts [3] - Overall, the gold market is supported by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut and ongoing trade tensions, but future price movements will depend on subsequent developments in the news [3]