Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints - OPEC+ plans to increase production, leading to a significant drop in crude oil prices. Domestic PTA plants are gradually resuming operations, resulting in a rise in PTA production and a rapid decline in PTA basis. The spread between PX and naphtha remains stable. With the recent improvement in sales and inventory reduction, especially the significant reduction in filament inventory, downstream profits have been significantly restored, and the operating load of polyester has rebounded to 91%. However, due to the decline in crude oil prices and the weakening of the basis, PTA has shown weak performance [2] Group 3: Summary of Related Catalogs Price Changes - PTA spot price increased from 4605 to 4625, a change of 20.00; PTA closing price rose from 4678 to 4698, a change of 20.00 [2] - MEG domestic price decreased from 4454 to 4439, a change of -15.00; MEG closing price dropped from 4322 to 4319, a change of -3.00 [2] - 1.4D direct-spun polyester staple fiber price increased from 6535 to 6540, a change of 5.00; short fiber basis decreased from 82 to 65, a change of -17.00 [2] - 10 - 11 spread decreased from 17 to 14, a change of -3.00; polyester staple fiber cash flow increased from 240 to 246, a change of 6.00 [2] - 1.4D imitation large chemical fiber price remained unchanged at 5700; the price difference between 1.4D direct-spun and imitation large chemical fiber increased from 835 to 840, a change of 5.00 [2] - East China water bottle chip price decreased from 5868 to 5856, a change of -9.00; hot-filled polyester bottle chip price dropped from 5887 to 5859, a change of -28.00 [2] - Carbonated polyester bottle chip price decreased from 5987 to 6966, a change of -28.00; foreign water bottle chip price increased from 765 to 766, a change of 1.00 [2] - Bottle chip spot processing fee decreased from 439 to 418, a change of -21.08; T32S pure polyester yarn price remained unchanged at 10300 [2] - T32S pure polyester yarn processing fee decreased from 3765 to 3760, a change of -5.00; polyester-cotton yarn 65/35 45S price remained unchanged at 16300 [2] - Cotton 328 price decreased from 14980 to 14955, a change of -25.00; polyester-cotton yarn profit increased from 1305 to 1311, a change of 6.13 [2] - Virgin three-dimensional hollow (with silicon) price remained unchanged at 7110; hollow staple fiber 6 - 15D cash flow decreased from 481 to 469, a change of -12.08 [2] - Virgin low-melting staple fiber price remained unchanged at 7450 [2] Load and Production and Sales - Direct-spun staple fiber load (weekly) increased from 90.60% to 91.10%, a change of 0.01 [3] - Polyester staple fiber production and sales increased from 45.00% to 54.00%, a change of 9.00% [3] - Polyester yarn startup rate (weekly) increased from 62.00% to 62.80%, a change of 0.01 [3] - Recycled cotton-type load index (weekly) increased from 49.00% to 49.50%, a change of 0.01 [3]

直纺短纤负荷(周) 90. 30% 90. 60% 0. 00 涤纶短纤产销 43.00% 14.00% 57.00% 涤纱开机率(周) 61. 50% 62. 00% 0. 01 再生棉型负荷指数(周) 49. 50% 49.00% (0. 01) 涤纶短纤与纯涤纱价格 涤纶短纤现金流 10000 14000 10000 1800 (探偵) 太原始第 (零收) 配日员(左特) T325纯涤纱价格 ■ 1.4D直红杀短 会短坝金流 9000 9000 13000 1400 8000 8000 12000 1000 7000 7000 6000 11000 600 6000 5000 10000 200 5000 4000 4000 -200 9000 - 3000 2025-01-01 2021-01-01 2022-01-01 2023-01-01 2024-01-01 2021-01-01 2022-01-01 2023-01-01 2024-01-01 2025-01-01 涤棉纱65/35 45S价格与利润 中空短纤价格与现金流 10000 2500 22500 4000 条棉纱利润 泽棉纱 65/3 ...

Core Viewpoint - The short fiber futures market is experiencing a significant upward trend, with the main contract reaching a peak of 6610.00 yuan, reflecting a 1.89% increase [1] Group 1: Market Analysis - New Lake Futures suggests that short fiber is gradually realizing production cuts, indicating a potential opportunity to go long on processing fees [2] - Donghai Futures anticipates that short fiber will maintain a strong oscillating pattern in the medium term, following the polyester sector [2] - Ruida Futures highlights that the main short fiber contract faces resistance around 6650 yuan, with support expected near 6300 yuan [3] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The production of polyester short fiber in China is reported at 163,500 tons, a slight decrease of 30 tons or 0.18% month-on-month, with an average capacity utilization rate of 86.42%, down 0.19% [3] - The average operating rate in the pure polyester yarn industry is at 72.42%, reflecting a decrease of 1.46% [3] - Inventory levels in the pure polyester yarn sector have increased, with weekly average inventory rising to 23.08 days, up 0.17 days from the previous week [3]

【现货方面】 7月22日，直纺涤短期货震荡收涨。现货方面工厂报价维持，成交优惠商谈。期现基差适度走强，新凤 鸣（603225）货源09+210~220，华西货源09+180，华宏一口价6400附近成交。直纺涤短工厂销售一 般，截止下午3:00附近，平均产销55%，部分工厂产销：70%、20%、50%、50%、40%、70%、100%、 30%、50%、50%。 【利润方面】 7月22日，短纤现货加工费至987元/吨附近，PF2509盘面加工费至895元/吨，PF2510盘面加工费至960 元/吨。 【供需方面】 供应：截至7月18日，部分工厂减产，短纤负荷下滑至89.5%附近（-2.8%）。 需求：下游涤纱商谈走货，销售疲软，近期缝纫线订单减少，工厂累库速度加快。涤棉纱暂稳走货，库 存维持高位。 【行情展望】 尽管短纤工厂7月存减产计划，不过在终端需求偏弱、高温天气以及成品库存高位情况下，下游纱厂减 产增加，短纤供需双弱且终端需求预期更弱。整体来看，短期短纤供需双弱，无明显驱动，绝对价格随 原料震荡。策略上，单边同TA；PF盘面加工费在800-1100区间震荡，上下驱动均有限。 免责声明：本报告中的信息均来源 ...

Group 1: Industry Development - Xinjiang Yuanfeng Textile Co., Ltd. is constructing its second phase project, expected to be operational by October, making it the first blended polyester enterprise in Xinjiang [1] - The region's GDP grew by 7% year-on-year in Q1, with fixed asset investment increasing by 20% and industrial added value rising by 6% [1] Group 2: Green Energy Initiatives - The Kuqa Green Hydrogen Demonstration Project, the largest of its kind in the country, has a photovoltaic capacity of 300 MW and an annual hydrogen production capacity of 20,000 tons, reducing CO2 emissions by 485,000 tons annually [2] - The integration of green hydrogen into traditional oil refining processes enhances the environmental sustainability of the industry [2][3] Group 3: Project Synergies - The oxygen produced during hydrogen production will be supplied to the 40,000-ton polyoxymethylene project, optimizing production costs and enhancing overall efficiency [3] - The region is focusing on developing a comprehensive hydrogen industry chain, including production, transportation, storage, and utilization [3] Group 4: Strategic Project Layout - The local government emphasizes the importance of introducing projects that enhance the quality of the industrial chain and drive upstream and downstream enterprises [4] - Xinjiang Yuanfeng Textile Co., Ltd. aims to create a production base for blended yarns, leveraging local cotton and energy resources [4][5] Group 5: Investment and Economic Growth - Kuqa plans to implement 219 fixed asset investment projects this year, with a total investment of 91.887 billion yuan, and an annual planned investment of 16.665 billion yuan, reflecting an 11.8% year-on-year increase [5]

投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】 31号 【 一 国贸 期货 完整性做任何保证。本报告不构成个人投资建议,也未针对个别投资者特殊的投资目 务状况或需要,投资者需自行判断本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况, 责任自负。本报告仅向特定客户推送,未经国贸期货授权许可,任何引用、转载以 专播的行为均构成对国贸期货的侵权,我司将视情况追究法 险,入市需谨慎。 瓶片短纤数据日报 | | | | | 技资咨询号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 国贸期货研究院 | Z0017251 2025/5/19 | | | | | 能源化工研究中心 | 陈胜 从业资格号: | | | | | | F3066728 | | 指标 | 2025/5/15 | 2025/5/16 | 变动值 | | | PTA现货价格 | 5030 | 4990 | (40. 00) | | | | | | | 现货资讯: | | MEG内盘价格 | 4581 | 4570 | (11.00) | 短纤:涤纶短纤跌58至6550。现货市场:涤纶 | | PTA收盘价 | 4798 | 477 ...

直纺短纤负荷(周) 显拉升,聚酯工厂的去库接近两周,下游出现 88. 90% 91. 30% 0. 02 集中的补库,聚酯的库存已经转好。 涤纶短纤产销 58. 00% 64.00% 6. 00% (目万得资计 涤纱开机率(周) 67.00% 67.00% 0. 00 再生棉型负荷指数(周) 50. 40% 50. 40% 0. 00 涤纶短纤与纯涤纱价格 涤纶短纤现金流 14000 10000 10000 1800 (探偵) 太原始欲德 ■T325加工费(右轴) T325年深刻价格 会短坝金流 ·1.4D直纺条短 9000 9000 13000 1400 8000 8000 12000 1000 7000 7000 6000 11000 600 6000 5000 200 10000 5000 4000 -200 9000 + 3000 2021-01-01 2022-01-01 2023-01-01 202 4-01-01 2025-01-01 2021-01-01 2022-01-01 2024-01-01 2025-01-01 2023-01-01 涤棉纱65/35 45S价格与利润 中空短纤价格与现 ...

整性做任何保证。本报告不构成个人投资建议,也未针对个别投资者特殊的投资目 务状况或需要,投资者需自行判断本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况 责任自负。本报告仅向特定客户推送,未经国贸期货授权许可, 等播的行为均构成对国贸期货的侵权,我司将视情况追究法 险,入市需谨慎。 数据来自万得资讯。 直纺短纤负荷(周) 84. 80% 88. 60% 0. 04 涤纶短纤产销 60. 00% 88. 00% 28. 00% 涤纱开机率(周) 66. 00% 66. 00% 0. 00 再生棉型负荷指数(周) 37. 10% 43. 80% 0. 07 涤纶短纤与纯涤纱价格 涤纶短纤现金流 14000 10000 10000 1800 理与新德国SEL (探妆) 太理念德 (群贝) 解日示52E= 乐提现金流 1.4D直织采思 9000 9000 13000 1400 8000 8000 12000 1000 7000 7000 6000 11000 600 6000 5000 200 10000 5000 4000 -200 9000 + 3000 2021-01-01 2022-01-01 2023-01-01 ...