Core Viewpoint - The company, Shandong Fiberglass Group Co., Ltd., reported a decline in revenue and a shift to net losses in 2024, primarily due to decreased sales prices and volumes in the fiberglass sector, amidst an oversupplied market [1][6][7]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 2.006 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.89% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was -99 million yuan, a significant decline from the previous year [1][7]. - The cash flow from operating activities was 162 million yuan, down 70.40% year-on-year, mainly due to increased cash payments for goods and services [1]. Customer and Supplier Information - The company disclosed its major customers and suppliers, indicating stable operations with normal payment terms [2][3]. - Key customers included Shanghai Songou New Materials Co., Ltd. and Guangzhou Bangju New Materials Co., Ltd., with sales revenues of 65.18 million yuan and 50.30 million yuan, respectively [2]. Industry Context - The fiberglass industry in China is experiencing overcapacity, with production capacity reaching 6.7 million tons and total output at 7.23 million tons by the end of 2023 [6]. - The average selling price of fiberglass yarn decreased by 225.64 yuan per ton in 2024, contributing to revenue loss [6][20]. - The market for fiberglass remains competitive, particularly in low-end products, while high-end applications like wind energy are expected to grow [6][18]. Cost Structure and Profitability - The cost structure for fiberglass yarn in 2024 showed direct materials accounting for 39.45% and energy costs for 23.60% [8]. - The decline in profitability was attributed to both lower sales prices and reduced sales volumes, with a total sales volume of 443,300 tons in 2024, down 8.09% from 2023 [20]. Future Outlook and Strategies - The company plans to enhance its product mix by focusing on high-end products such as wind energy yarn, which is expected to see increased demand [9][18]. - Strategies include optimizing operational costs, improving product margins, and expanding into international markets [9][10].

证券研究报告 中国巨石 (600176 CH) | 华泰研究 | | | 更新报告 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 | 6 月 | 05 日│中国内地 | 玻璃 | 6 月 5 日中国巨石出席了我们组织的 2025 年中期策略会，会上公司介绍了 25Q1 的经营情况及全年经营展望，同时就行业发展趋势及新产品和新技术 进行了讨论。我们看好公司产能持续扩张巩固规模优势，风电纱等产品需求 增长及收入占比提升有望带动公司盈利能力增强，维持"买入"。 玻纤复价逐步落地，盈利能力有望延续改善 据卓创资讯，25 年前 5 月缠绕直接纱/SMC 合股纱/G75 电子纱均价同比分 别+15%/+23%/+18%，玻纤价格同比延续改善。25Q1 公司毛利率/归母净 利率 30.5%/16.3%，同比+10.4/+5.9pct，毛利率呈逐季度改善趋势，25Q1 以来公司针对风电纱、热塑纱等产品复价陆续落地，同时海外市场复价稳步 推进，预计 25Q2 公司盈利能力有望延续同比提升。 预计 25H2 新增供给压力趋缓，公司产能规模和布局优势显著 公司九江二期两条 10 万吨产线分别于 25 年 ...

玻纤工业基础材料，海外产能有限下国内供给必不可少。虽然今年以来，海外政治局势进一步不确定， 贸易战等扰动全球经济，但玻纤是工业基础材料，广泛运用于建筑、交通、电子、电气、化工、冶金、 国防等领域，是各个国家必不可少的原材料。同时，全球玻纤需求约千万吨，2024 年中国国内产量就 已达738 万吨，占比超7 成，考虑到玻纤是高能耗，高资本密集且技术含量较高，除中国外其他国家鲜 有产能扩张，加之国内有原材料分布和规模成本优势，未来行业受贸易战影响或有限。 投资建议：我们预计2025-2027 年公司分别实现归母净利润4.08/5.06/5.83 亿元，同比增长 48.50%/24.06%/15.12%，最新收盘价对应PE 为11x /9x /8x，维持"增持"评级。 风险提示：宏观经济下行风险、风电装机不及预期、能源价格上涨风险。 事件：1Q2025 营收7.63 亿元，同增31.35%，归属净利润0.82 亿元，同增61.78%；扣非后归母净利润 0.87 亿元，同增92.63%。 复价落地量价齐升，1Q2025 业绩大幅增长。在价格方面，根据卓创数据显示，1Q2025 无碱玻纤粗纱均 价为4373 元/吨，同 ...

长海股份 20250428 摘要 • 长海股份 2025 年第一季度归母扣非净利润同比增长 92.63%，环比增长 38.64%，主要受益于产品结构调整和新建窑炉带来的能耗降低，玻纤销 量 9.7 万吨，玻纤纱占比 56%，制品占比 44%，玻纤吨净利约 770 元， 树脂吨净利约 570 元。 • 公司计划提升风电设备产量，预计半年度可达 4 万吨，调整产品结构以风 电相关产品为主。一季度出口占比约 23%，欧洲市场占出口比例约 30%，主要出口短切毡和沙，受欧盟双反税影响程度取决于关税幅度。 • 美国关税影响暂未波及其他地区需求，但客户持观望态度。二季度玻纤销 量预计正常，但可能受贸易关税影响。公司初步考虑将额外税率转嫁给客 户，以避免毛利率和净利润大幅下降。 • 一季度玻璃纤维产品销售比例：直接纱约两三万吨，热塑纱接近五万吨， 合股纱四五万吨。公司计划减少热固类和骨料类产品生产，增加直接纱和 制品生产。 • 截至 2025 年 4 月，公司库存水平约为 35 天。一季度接近满产状态，实 际产量约 9.7 万吨，全年销量有望达到 40 万吨以上。风电纱需求量大， 但公司正在寻找均衡分配产能的方式。 Q&A ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a 6-month target price of 15.2 CNY [5][9]. Core Insights - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 4.479 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year increase of 32.42%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 730 million CNY, up 108.52% year-on-year, with a non-recurring net profit of 744 million CNY, reflecting a significant increase of 342.45% [1][2]. - The company's gross margin improved both sequentially and year-on-year, reaching 30.53%, which is an increase of 1.95 percentage points sequentially and 10.4 percentage points year-on-year. This improvement is attributed to price increases for long-term contract products and a decrease in production costs [3][4]. - The company is positioned as a global leader in the fiberglass industry, with a continuous optimization of product structure and a rising proportion of high-end products. The production costs for main products have been consistently decreasing [4]. Financial Performance Summary - The projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 19.038 billion CNY, 20.988 billion CNY, and 22.450 billion CNY, with year-on-year growth rates of 20.07%, 10.24%, and 6.96% respectively. The net profits for the same period are expected to be 3.047 billion CNY, 3.581 billion CNY, and 3.993 billion CNY, with year-on-year growth rates of 24.64%, 17.52%, and 11.51% respectively [4][11]. - The company’s sales net profit margin for Q1 2025 was 17.03%, an increase of 6.25 percentage points year-on-year, driven by improved gross margins and reduced expense ratios [3]. Market Position and Outlook - The company benefits from a favorable industry cycle, with increasing demand and price elasticity expected in 2025, particularly in the wind power and new energy vehicle sectors [4]. - The company maintains a strong competitive advantage with a deep moat in the global fiberglass market, supported by its extensive production lines and continuous product innovation [7].