行 业 报 告 行业点评 巨石与中材发布激励计划，重视传统电子布盈利弹性 强于大市( 维持) 相关研究报告 【平安证券】行业年度策略报告*建材*AI材料高景 气，出海与反内卷同行*强于大市20251208 【平安证券】行业深度报告*建材*传统玻纤盈利改 善，特种布受益AI高景气*强于大市20251117 事项： 1）近日中国巨石与中材科技发布股权激励草案公告。 2）据卓创资讯1月6日消息，林州光远、重庆国际的电子纱价格均有上涨。 平安观点： 建材 证券分析师 郑南宏 投资咨询资格编号 S1060521120001 ZHENGNANHONG873@pingan.com.cn 杨侃 投资咨询资格编号 S1060514080002 BQV514 YANGKAN034@pingan.com.cn 2026年01月07日 行 业 点 评 7628电子布的均价为9400元/吨与4.65元/米。电子纱与电子布价格持续 上涨，或源于下游AI高景气，促使玻纤厂家转产低介电等高端产品，导 致传统的薄布、厚布产能存在缺口，后续不排除价格继续上涨的可能。 此外，近期铜价亦持续上涨，下游CCL与PCB企业存在涨价动力，有望 向下游传导 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key stocks in the construction materials sector, including Yao Pi Glass, Yinlong Co., Puyang Huicheng, San Ke Shu, and Beixin Building Materials, while recommending "Hold" for Weixing New Materials [9]. Core Insights - The construction materials sector experienced a decline of 1.25% from December 29 to December 31, 2025, with cement down 1.54%, glass manufacturing down 3.53%, and fiberglass down 1.19% [12]. - The recent policy change regarding the personal sales tax on housing is expected to impact the market positively, with potential for further supportive measures [1]. - The cement industry is currently facing weak demand, with prices fluctuating around the breakeven point, and a focus on improving cash flow rather than just sales volume [2][17]. - The glass market is experiencing a supply-demand imbalance, but self-regulation in the photovoltaic glass sector may alleviate some pressure [3][7]. - Consumer building materials are benefiting from favorable second-hand housing transactions and consumption stimulus policies, with a long-term potential for market share growth [1][8]. Summary by Sections Cement Industry Tracking - As of December 31, 2025, the national cement price index was 352.65 CNY/ton, with a slight decrease of 0.06% from the previous week [17]. - The cement output for the week was 2.847 million tons, down 1.04% week-on-week, indicating a continued contraction in demand as temperatures drop and the Spring Festival approaches [2][17]. - The utilization rate of cement clinker production lines was 38.43%, showing a slight increase, while the cement inventory ratio decreased to 59.1% [17]. Glass Industry Tracking - The average price of float glass was 1121.29 CNY/ton as of December 31, 2025, reflecting a 1.65% decline from the previous week [3]. - Inventory levels for float glass increased year-on-year, indicating ongoing supply challenges despite some production line shutdowns [3][7]. Fiberglass Industry Tracking - The fiberglass market is currently stable, with no significant price changes reported, although demand remains weak [7]. - The electronic fiberglass segment continues to see strong demand for high-end products, while traditional fiberglass demand is expected to decline [7]. Consumer Building Materials - The consumer building materials sector is showing signs of weak recovery, with stable prices for key raw materials like asphalt and acrylic but fluctuations in aluminum and natural gas prices [8]. - The report highlights the potential for growth in companies like San Ke Shu and Beixin Building Materials due to favorable market conditions [1][8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the building materials industry [1] Core Insights - The building materials industry is experiencing a mixed performance, with traditional materials weakening while high-demand electronic yarns support the resilience of fiberglass [1][3] - The industry is expected to see a recovery in 2025, driven by urban renewal strategies and a shift towards high-quality green materials [5][6] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The building materials sector is crucial for infrastructure and strategic emerging industries, with China leading in the production of various materials [6][7] - The industry is undergoing a transformation towards high-end, green, and digital solutions, supported by government initiatives [6][8] 2. Traditional Materials and Electronic Yarn - Cement demand remains weak, with high kiln shutdown rates and stable prices in December; a rebound is expected post-Spring Festival [10][14] - Fiberglass shows a mixed demand; traditional yarns face price stabilization while high-end electronic yarns continue to see price increases due to supply constraints [40][42] - Consumer building materials show slight improvement in retail sales, driven by year-end demand, but overall demand remains below previous years [38] 3. Market Dynamics - The building materials industry maintained a stable operation in December, with a business climate index of 102.9, indicating steady demand and production [9] - The industry is witnessing a gradual recovery in confidence, with a 3.66% increase in December, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index [48][49] 4. Investment Recommendations - Cement companies like Huaxin Cement, Shangfeng Cement, and Conch Cement are recommended due to expected improvements in supply-demand dynamics and profitability [4] - For fiberglass, companies like China Jushi and China National Materials are highlighted for their strong positioning in high-demand segments [4] - Consumer building materials firms such as Oriental Yuhong and Beixin Building Materials are expected to benefit from urban renewal and quality upgrades [4]

2025年，涨价题材成为市场核心主线之一。 受供需格局重构、产业升级、政策引导等多重因素影响，国内产业呈现"结构性涨价"特征。 一方面，高景气赛道涨幅突出：锂电池产业链核心材料价格飙升数倍，存储芯片市场迈入超级景气周 期，有色金属板块指数年内累计涨幅突破85%...... 与此同时，化工、煤炭、建材等行业以"反内卷"破局，通过自律减产、主动调价等举措优化供需结构。 多个细分品种厂商联合推进价格修复，以期实现量利双升。 锂电池产业链：供需紧平衡引爆涨价潮 2025年，受储能需求爆发等多重因素催化，锂电池产业链核心产品价格强势上涨。 作为电解液核心溶质的六氟磷酸锂表现尤为抢眼，价格从2025年7月底不超过5万元/吨一度飙升至12月 的17万元/吨。12月30日，上海有色数据显示，电池级碳酸锂价格已触及11.8万元/吨的高点；12月26 日，碳酸锂市场在连涨多日后迎来标志性突破，主力合约盘中站上13万元/吨关口。 不仅如此，另一重要材料磷酸铁锂在多日价格高企后，出现了头部厂商减产检修与集体挺价的现象。锂 电池电解液关键溶剂碳酸乙烯酯（EC）、添加剂VC（碳酸亚乙烯酯）、FEC（氟代碳酸乙烯酯）价格 也纷纷回暖，保持 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the building materials industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The real estate chain is gradually clarifying its bottom, with expectations for a performance turning point in 2026 after clearing burdens from 2025 [3][4] - The building materials sector has shown a weekly increase of 4.56%, outperforming the CSI 300 and Wind All A indices by 2.61% and 1.78%, respectively [3] - The report highlights the stability in cement prices, with the national average price at 354.0 RMB/ton, unchanged from the previous week but down 62.2 RMB/ton year-on-year [3][10] - Glass prices have decreased, with the average price for float glass at 1140.1 RMB/ton, down 11.3 RMB/ton from the previous week and down 260.7 RMB/ton year-on-year [41][46] - The fiberglass market is expected to see stable growth in demand, particularly in wind power and thermoplastics, with effective capacity projected to reach 759.2 million tons in 2026, a year-on-year increase of 6.9% [4][6] Summary by Sections 1. Cement Market Overview - The national cement market price remains stable at 354.0 RMB/ton, with regional variations noted [10][11] - The average cement inventory ratio is 61.8%, reflecting a slight decrease from the previous week [18][20] - The report anticipates a rebound in cement prices if physical demand stabilizes, particularly in provinces with significant infrastructure projects [4][9] 2. Glass Market Overview - The float glass market is experiencing a slight decline in prices, with an average price of 1140.1 RMB/ton [41] - Inventory levels have increased, with a total of 5533 million weight boxes reported, indicating a need for inventory reduction [46] - The report suggests that the glass industry may face challenges in the short term due to high inventory levels and weak demand [4][41] 3. Fiberglass Market Overview - The fiberglass industry is expected to see a gradual recovery, with demand driven by new applications and stable growth in traditional sectors [4] - Effective capacity for fiberglass is projected to increase, supporting a positive outlook for leading companies in the sector [4][6] - The report recommends companies such as China Jushi and suggests attention to other players like Zhongcai Technology and Honghe Technology [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for several key stocks in the construction materials sector, including Yao Pi Glass, Yinlong Co., Puxin Co., Sanjike Tree, and Beixin Building Materials [9]. Core Insights - The construction materials sector saw a 3.64% increase from December 22 to December 26, 2025, with notable gains in glass fiber manufacturing (10.06%) and glass manufacturing (5.04%) [1][13]. - The report emphasizes the importance of demand stabilization and the implementation of anti-involution policies, particularly in the context of housing policy adjustments in Beijing [1]. - The report highlights the ongoing challenges in the cement market, with a focus on the need for macroeconomic improvements, especially in the housing sector, to stimulate demand [2][18]. Summary by Sections Cement Industry Tracking - As of December 26, 2025, the national cement price index was 352.28 CNY/ton, a decrease of 0.26% from the previous week [2][18]. - The cement output for the week was 2.877 million tons, down 2.73% week-on-week, indicating a continued contraction in demand as temperatures drop and the Spring Festival approaches [2][18]. - The capacity utilization rate for cement clinker kilns was 37.42%, reflecting a decrease of 0.23 percentage points from the previous week [2][18]. Glass Industry Tracking - The average price of float glass as of December 25, 2025, was 1140.08 CNY/ton, with a weekly decline of 0.98% [3]. - Inventory levels for glass products increased, with a total of 55.33 million heavy boxes reported, up 38,000 boxes from the previous week [3]. Glass Fiber Industry Tracking - The market for non-alkali glass fiber remained stable, with average prices holding steady [7]. - Demand for glass fiber products has shown signs of weakness, with reduced purchasing intentions from downstream buyers [7]. Consumer Building Materials - The consumer building materials sector is experiencing a weak recovery, with prices for upstream materials like aluminum alloy and acrylic remaining stable [7]. - The report suggests that consumer building materials will benefit from favorable second-hand housing transactions and consumption stimulus policies [1]. Carbon Fiber Industry Tracking - The carbon fiber market price remained stable, with a weekly production of 2,392 tons and an operating rate of 79.47% [8]. - The industry continues to face challenges with profitability, as the average production cost was reported at 105,900 CNY/ton, leading to negative margins for many companies [8].

Core Viewpoint - HuLong Securities maintains a "recommended" rating for the building materials industry, suggesting two main lines of focus: "anti-involution" policies that may alleviate overcapacity issues and the demand for high-end fiberglass products that could enhance industry profitability [1] Group 1: Industry Overview - From January 2 to December 23, 2025, the Shenwan Building Materials Index increased by 20.8%, ranking 11th among all Shenwan sectors, while the CSI 300 Index rose by 17.43%. The fiberglass sector performed exceptionally well, with a growth rate of 90.37% during the same period [2] - The supply-side "anti-involution" policies are expected to alleviate overcapacity in the cement industry, improving the supply-demand balance and enhancing profitability for leading companies such as Anhui Conch Cement (600585.SH), Shangfeng Cement (000672.SZ), and Huaxin Cement (600801.SH) [3] Group 2: Specific Material Insights - In the float glass sector, there are no significant improvements expected on the demand side, but supply-side "anti-involution" policies may lead to a reduction in capacity. The industry is currently in a phase of high inventory and low prices, with potential for improvement in supply-demand dynamics. Attention is recommended for Qibin Group (601636.SH) [4] - The photovoltaic glass industry is still facing overcapacity, but the implementation of "anti-involution" policies may improve the supply-demand situation. Leading companies with cost advantages are likely to benefit first, with a recommendation to focus on Fuyao Glass (601865.SH) [5] - In the consumer building materials sector, the increasing proportion of aging housing is expected to drive demand for renovation, positively impacting related consumer building materials. Recommended companies include Sankeshu (603737.SH), Beixin Building Materials (000786.SZ), Dongfang Yuhong (002271.SZ), Weixing New Materials (002372.SZ), and Jianlang Hardware (002791.SZ) [6] - The fiberglass sector is expected to avoid redundant capacity and fierce price competition due to ongoing "anti-involution" policies. The demand for mid-to-high-end fiberglass products, such as wind power yarn and electronic yarn, is on the rise, which may enhance industry profitability. Companies with a high sales proportion of mid-to-high-end products, such as China Jushi (600176.SH), China National Materials (002080.SZ), and Honghe Technology (603256.SH), are recommended for attention [7]

Core Viewpoint - The construction materials industry is expected to see improved profitability and demand in 2025, driven by "anti-involution" policies and a gradual recovery in key product demand [1][2]. Fundamental Analysis - In the first three quarters of 2025, demand for major construction materials showed slight improvement, while "anti-involution" policies positively impacted supply-side dynamics, leading to improved profitability across various sub-sectors [2]. - The construction materials index rose by 20.8% from January 2 to December 23, 2025, ranking 11th among all sectors, while the CSI 300 index increased by 17.43% during the same period [1][2]. Real Estate and Infrastructure - The real estate market continues to stabilize, with a downward trend in sales and completion rates, alongside declining housing prices; however, inventory reduction is evident as the area of unsold commercial housing has been decreasing since early 2025 [2]. - Infrastructure investment growth is declining despite an increase in the scale of special bonds directed towards land reserves [2]. Investment Recommendations - Focus on two main lines: 1. "Anti-involution" policies are expected to alleviate overcapacity issues in the construction materials sector, with an emphasis on traditional materials [2]. 2. The demand for high-end fiberglass products is anticipated to enhance industry profitability [2]. Sector-Specific Insights - **Cement**: The ongoing "anti-involution" policies are expected to ease overcapacity in the cement industry, with a long-term improvement in supply-demand dynamics anticipated to boost profitability, particularly for leading companies like Conch Cement [3]. - **Float Glass**: Demand remains weak, but supply-side changes from "anti-involution" policies may improve the supply-demand balance; companies like Xinyi Glass are recommended for attention [3]. - **Photovoltaic Glass**: The industry is currently facing overcapacity, but leading companies with cost advantages are likely to benefit from improved supply-demand conditions as "anti-involution" policies are implemented [3]. - **Consumer Building Materials**: The increasing proportion of aging housing is expected to drive demand for renovation-related building materials, with companies like Skshu Paint and Beixin Building Materials highlighted for potential investment [3]. Fiberglass Sector - The "anti-involution" policies are expected to prevent redundant capacity and curb vicious price competition in the fiberglass sector, with rising demand for mid-to-high-end fiberglass products likely to enhance profitability; companies such as China Jushi and Zhongcai Technology are recommended for investment [4].

智通财经APP获悉，财通证券发布研报称，浮法玻璃行业供需矛盾较为明显，预计在新一轮协同政策或 大规模冷修前，玻璃价格或将持续围绕底部区间震荡。供给侧来看，虽11月初业内各主要企业发布涨价 通知，但前期部分订单仍有延续，叠加下游需求一般，传统粗纱市场供需矛盾仍明显。11月国内电子纱 市场价格基本稳定为主，高端产品看，市场短期需求仍较强，低介电一代、二代市场仍存缺口，而 Low-CTE市场整体仍存较大缺口，短期高端产品价格大概率维持上涨态势。 投资建议 水泥板块具备高股息的配置价值且具有避险逻辑，以及需求回暖、价格存在触底回升预期的基本面逻 辑，当前PE和PB均处于底部，建议积极关注，重点推荐海螺水泥(600585.SH)、华新建材(600801.SH)， 建议关注上峰水泥(000672.SZ)、天山股份(000877.SZ)。消费建材行业困境反转可期和国内政策加码逻 辑，后续需求趋稳、价格企稳、降本增效的边际效应逐步显现在业绩中，重点推荐三棵树 (603737.SH)、兔宝宝(002043.SZ)、东方雨虹(002271.SZ)、科顺股份(300737.SZ)。 风险提示 玻纤行业内卷仍在，短期需求难起增量 1 ...

转自：前瞻产业研究院 行业主要上市公司：中国巨石(600176);中材科技(002080);长海股份(300196);国际复材(301526);山东玻纤 (605006);宏和科技(603256);九鼎新材(000834)等 本文核心数据：中国电子级玻璃纤维产量;上市公司电子级玻璃纤维产量;上市公司电子级玻璃纤维销量 电子级玻璃纤维概述 从上市公司国际复材和宏和科技的电子布/纱产量看，2024年国际复材电子布产量2.16亿米，同比增长 2.37%;宏和科技电子布产量为2.03亿米，同比上升7.98%，电子纱产量0.86万吨，同比增长8.86%。 电子级玻璃纤维由叶腊石、高岭土、方解石、硼钙石、硅砂等原料混合，输送至温度高达1600℃的窑炉 之中加热成玻璃液，再经铂金漏板高速拉成玻璃纤维单丝，最后经合捻成制成的玻璃纱。由于电子纱具 备优异的耐热性、耐化学性、耐燃性以及电气及力学性能，主要用于覆铜板等产品的制造。 电子级玻璃纤维上游为叶腊石等原材料，中游包括电子纱、电子布等产品，下游主要包括覆铜板、印刷 电路板等产品。 电子级玻璃纤维供需分析： ——供给分析：2024年电子纱总产量上升至80.9万吨 2020-2 ...