[Table_Page] 公司深度研究|轻工制造 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 涛涛车业（301345.SZ） 行业供应格局重塑，产品与渠道力构建核心优势 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 [分析师： Table_Author]曹倩雯 SAC 执证号：S0260520110002 SFC CE No. BWW545 021-38003621 caoqianwen@gf.com.cn 分析师： 李悦瑜 SAC 执证号：S0260524120002 021-38003784 liyueyu@gf.com.cn 分析师： 陈飞彤 SAC 执证号：S0260524040002 SFC CE No. BWZ819 021-38003726 gfchenfeitong@gf.com.cn 分析师： 张云添 SAC 执证号：S0260526010004 zhangyuntian@gf.com.cn 请注意，李悦瑜,张云添并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员 -12% 55% 122% 188% 255% 322% 03/25 05/25 07/25 08/25 ...

策略研究 | 证券研究报告 — 总量点评 2026 年 3 月 1 日 3 月金股组合 中银证券研究部 2026 年 3 月金股 3 月金股组合 中银国际证券股份有限公司 具备证券投资咨询业务资格 策略研究 证券分析师：王君 (8610)66229061 jun.wang@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300519060003 证券分析师：徐沛东 (8621)20328702 peidong.xu@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300518020001 策略观点：A 股短期波动中期聚焦国内主线，资源品行情正当时。美以 军事打击伊朗对于全球市场及资产价格的影响取决于行动的目标及持续 性。金价上行有望得到进一步支撑。无论是当下的中东局势还是特朗普 关税政策的反复都为短期市场增加了较高的不确定性因素。而这种不确 定性下的避险情绪将为短期贵金属价格形成有力支撑。目前来看，对于 A 股的影响更多集中在风险偏好层面，中期来看，A 股市场将会回归国内 基本面及政策预期。国内两会即将开幕，A 股短期冲击幅度或小于海外， 节后复工情况、两会前后宏观政策的释放是国内投资者关 ...

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint The recent national quality supervision sampling of children's and infant clothing, among 41 product categories, revealed a significant number of non-compliant products, highlighting ongoing quality control issues in the market. Group 1: Sampling Overview - A total of 41 product categories were sampled, with 4,972 batches tested, primarily focusing on low-priced products [3] - The sampling involved 2,585 sales units across 25 platforms, with 2,844 batches from online sales and 1,405 batches from physical sales in 28 provinces [3] - 660 batches were found to be non-compliant, including 52 batches of illegal products related to children's clothing [3] Group 2: Specific Product Findings - **Children's and Infant Clothing**: 359 batches tested, with 42 batches non-compliant, including issues with labeling and safety standards [4] - **Children's Toys**: 519 batches tested, with 60 batches non-compliant, including products lacking necessary certifications and safety performance issues [4] - **Student Backpacks**: 104 batches tested, with 18 batches non-compliant, including safety issues related to plastic components [4] - **School Uniforms**: 65 batches tested, with 4 batches non-compliant, primarily related to fiber content [5] - **Children's Strollers**: 182 batches tested, with 8 batches non-compliant, including labeling and safety performance issues [5] Group 3: Compliance and Enforcement Actions - Non-compliant products are subject to removal from the market, with local regulatory bodies taking action against manufacturers [22] - Continuous non-compliance leads to stricter penalties, including legal actions against violators [22] - The regulatory authority will enhance monitoring of compliance and follow-up on corrective actions taken by manufacturers [22]

Core Insights - Ninebot is redefining global mobility for millions of users through technological innovation, safety commitment, and a global ecological layout [1] - The company was awarded "Industry Leader of the Year" in the 2025 New Consumption New Economy Awards for its continuous innovation in the smart short transportation sector [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, Ninebot achieved a revenue of 18.39 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 68.63% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 1.787 billion yuan, with an impressive year-on-year increase of 84.31% [2] Group 2: Product Innovation and Market Impact - The launch of the M5 series smart electric motorcycle generated over 100 million yuan in sales within 4 hours, selling more than 11,000 units [3] - The cumulative shipment of Ninebot's smart electric two-wheelers in China surpassed 9 million units, achieving this milestone in just 52 days [3] Group 3: Global Expansion and User Base - Ninebot's global user base has exceeded 32 million, with products available in over 100 countries and regions [4] - The company is implementing a dual-brand strategy with "Ninebot" and "Segway" to cater to diverse global user preferences [4] Group 4: Industry Standards and Social Responsibility - Ninebot has led or participated in the formulation of over 110 domestic and international technical standards, including 9 ISO and IEC standards [5] - The company launched the "Safe Travel Guardian Action" in 2025, conducting over 200 public welfare activities in more than 100 cities [6]

Core Viewpoint - The electric bicycle industry in China is undergoing a significant transition as the new national standards are implemented, leading to a phase of replacement where old models are being phased out and new models are being introduced [1][2]. Group 1: Market Transition - The new national standards for electric bicycles officially took effect on December 1, 2023, prohibiting the sale of old standard models [2]. - Many dealers are experiencing an "empty window" period with no new stock available, while some consumers express dissatisfaction with the new models' functionality compared to the old ones [2][5]. - The new models are reported to have limited styles and higher starting prices, with some dealers hesitant to stock them until sales performance is confirmed [8][7]. Group 2: Consumer Concerns - Consumers have raised concerns about the new models lacking features such as storage space and the ability to carry passengers, which were available in the old models [12][11]. - Misconceptions about the new standards, such as restrictions on carrying children, have been clarified, indicating that many new models can still accommodate child safety seats [14][10]. Group 3: Company Responses - Companies like Aima Technology are adjusting their production strategies in response to the new standards, including shutting down old production lines and shifting capacity to new facilities [20]. - Aima's financial performance has shown stagnation, with revenue growth rates significantly lower than in previous years, raising concerns about future growth under the new regulations [24][25]. - In contrast, Ninebot Company is diversifying its product lines and maintaining strong growth in electric motorcycle sales, which are not affected by the new standards [26][27]. Group 4: Industry Outlook - The introduction of new standards is seen as a catalyst for the electric bicycle industry's upgrade, shifting from initial purchase demand to replacement demand as the market matures [32]. - The overall market growth is expected to be driven by increasing short-distance travel needs, policy-driven compliance vehicle replacements, and the upgrade of aging vehicles [32].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [5]. Core Views - The company is positioned for growth driven by the expansion of smart low-speed electric vehicles and proactive engagement in the humanoid robot sector [4][5]. - The company is expected to achieve significant revenue growth, with projections of 38.08 billion, 49.38 billion, and 58.5 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 27.94%, 29.66%, and 18.47% [5][6]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Established in 2015, the company focuses on smart low-speed electric vehicles and special vehicles, suitable for various age groups and scenarios. It plans to gradually enter the robotics field by 2025 [4][19]. - As of Q3 2025, the controlling shareholder holds 67.41% of the company's shares, indicating stable ownership. The management team has a strong engineering background, fostering innovation in product development [4][19]. Short-term Outlook - The company is expected to leverage its overseas production capacity and the anticipated high growth of golf carts. It aims to capture market share in the C-end family market and gradually expand into B-end clients [4][5]. - Compared to traditional competitors in North America, the company benefits from a high-quality supply chain and efficient production processes, which enhance its competitive edge [4]. Mid-term Outlook - The company is focused on product upgrades and market expansion, with optimistic growth expectations for all-terrain vehicles (ATVs). It ranks second in ATV exports in the first half of 2025 [4][5]. - The company is developing larger displacement products and has begun mass production of 350cc ATVs, with 500cc ATVs in small batch trials, targeting the North American market [4][5]. Long-term Outlook - The company is actively exploring opportunities in the robotics sector, aiming to integrate robotics into its manufacturing processes to address high labor costs in the U.S. [4][5]. - Strategic partnerships with leading companies in the robotics industry are being pursued to enhance growth potential in this area [4][5]. Industry Analysis - The global electric low-speed vehicle market is projected to grow significantly, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 25.3% from 2024 to 2029, driven by increasing demand in North America [11][44]. - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on this growth, particularly in the golf cart segment, which is expected to see substantial demand due to the increasing number of golf courses and the shift towards electric vehicles [11][44]. Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to grow from 29.77 billion yuan in 2024 to 38.08 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 27.94% [5][6]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 8.08 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 87.3% [5][6].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported Q3 2025 earnings with revenue exceeding expectations, driven by the successful dual-brand strategy in electric golf carts and enhanced North American distribution channels, alongside capacity release from the Vietnam factory, resulting in a doubling of golf cart business in Q3. The company reduced promotional spending in the off-season to prepare for the Q4 sales peak, leading to a decrease in expense ratio and a significant increase in net profit. Looking ahead to Q4, with the North American sales season approaching, the company plans to increase promotional efforts, expecting continued growth in sales volume and improvement in net profit margin [1][2]. Revenue Analysis - Q3 2025 revenue reached 1.06 billion yuan, a year-over-year increase of 27.73%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 264 million yuan, up 121.44% year-over-year, with a net profit margin of 24.95%, an increase of 10.56 percentage points year-over-year [2]. - The all-terrain vehicle segment is currently underperforming due to engine development delays, but plans are in place to establish a research institute in Chongqing to advance R&D. The golf cart segment saw significant growth, with the second brand TEKO launched in September, signing over 50 dealers across 19 states in the U.S., and Q3 shipments exceeding 10,000 units with revenue surpassing 600 million yuan, both doubling year-over-year [3]. Profitability Analysis - Q3 gross margin was 46.05%, an increase of 9.07 percentage points year-over-year, primarily due to the strong performance of new electric golf carts and the realization of scale effects. The expense ratio decreased by 3.22 percentage points year-over-year, with sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios showing varied changes [4]. - The net profit margin for Q3 was 24.95%, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 10.56 percentage points, benefiting from improved gross margin and reduced expense ratio. Future improvements in net profit margin are anticipated as product and regional mix improves and scale effects from emerging products continue to materialize [4]. Q4 Outlook - With the upcoming Black Friday and Christmas sales seasons in North America, the company plans to increase promotional efforts, expecting a rebound in traditional product sales. Emerging categories such as electric golf carts, e-bikes, and large all-terrain vehicles are also expected to see continued growth in sales volume [5]. - Profitability is projected to improve as high-margin traditional products recover in sales volume and production capacity is gradually released, with ongoing scale effects from new categories. The company aims for a market share target of 30% in the golf cart business, with potential sales reaching hundreds of thousands of units and revenue in the tens of billions [5].

Core Viewpoint - The company, Ninebot (689009.SH), is experiencing rapid growth in its operating performance, but its actual controllers are reducing their holdings, which may raise concerns among investors about the company's future governance and stability [1][2]. Group 1: Shareholder Actions - On November 4, Ninebot announced that Hctech III L.P. plans to reduce its holdings by up to 276,000 depositary receipts, representing 0.04% of the total [1]. - The actual controllers, Gao Lufeng and Wang Ye, have previously reduced their holdings, including a 2% reduction on August 2, 2025, which generated approximately 788 million yuan [2]. Group 2: Stock Performance - As of November 5, the company's stock price was 57.87 yuan per share, down 0.70%, with a maximum decline of 24.84% since the peak on August 29, 2025 [3]. - The stock price increased significantly from 47.50 yuan at the beginning of 2025 to a peak of 77 yuan, marking a 62.11% increase [3]. Group 3: Financial Performance - Ninebot's revenue grew from 6.003 billion yuan in 2020 to 14.196 billion yuan in 2024, a growth of 136.48%, while net profit surged from 73.47 million yuan to 1.084 billion yuan, an increase of 1384.93% [3]. - In the first three quarters of 2025, Ninebot achieved revenues and net profits of 18.39 billion yuan and 1.787 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 68.63% and 84.31% [3]. Group 4: Business Focus - The company focuses on innovation and upgrades in smart short-distance transportation and service robots, optimizing its business strategy and expanding sales channels to drive steady growth in product sales [4].

Core Viewpoint - TaoTao Automotive has submitted an application for an IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aiming to raise funds for capacity expansion, digital and intelligent upgrades, product diversification, exploration of humanoid robotics technology, and global sales network expansion [2][3]. Group 1: Company Overview - Established in 2015, TaoTao Automotive focuses on "new energy intelligent travel," specializing in smart electric low-speed vehicles and specialty vehicles [2]. - The company initially concentrated on the research, production, and sales of all-terrain vehicles and motorcycles, later expanding its product line to include electric scooters, balance bikes, and electric bicycles in 2017 [2]. - In 2022, TaoTao Automotive launched electric low-speed vehicles, marking the initiation of its second growth engine and entering higher-value market segments [2]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the first nine months of 2025, TaoTao Automotive reported a revenue of 2.773 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.89%, and a net profit of 607 million yuan, up 101.27% [3]. - In the third quarter, the company achieved a revenue of 1.060 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 27.73%, and a net profit of 264 million yuan, which is a 121.44% increase [3]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Starting in 2025, TaoTao Automotive plans to expand into cutting-edge fields such as humanoid robotics while enhancing its core business [3]. - The company aims to create a cross-product technology platform to integrate research outcomes into existing product lines, thereby improving product intelligence [3]. - The fourth quarter is expected to see increased sales due to the holiday shopping season in Europe and North America, with the company expressing confidence in achieving strong performance [3].

Core Viewpoint - Taotao Automotive has submitted an application for an IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aiming to raise funds for capacity expansion, digital and intelligent upgrades, product diversification, exploration of humanoid robotics, and global sales network expansion [1][2]. Group 1: Company Overview - Established in 2015, Taotao Automotive focuses on "new energy smart travel," specializing in smart electric low-speed vehicles and specialty vehicles [1]. - The company initially concentrated on the research, production, and sales of all-terrain vehicles and motorcycles, later expanding its product line to include electric scooters, electric balance bikes, and electric bicycles in 2017 [1]. - In 2022, Taotao Automotive launched electric low-speed vehicles, marking the initiation of its second growth engine and entering higher-value market segments [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the first nine months of 2025, Taotao Automotive reported a revenue of 2.773 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.89%, and a net profit of 607 million yuan, up 101.27% [2]. - In the third quarter, the company achieved a revenue of 1.060 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 27.73%, and a net profit of 264 million yuan, which is a 121.44% increase [2]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Starting in 2025, Taotao Automotive plans to expand into cutting-edge fields such as humanoid robotics while enhancing its core business [2]. - The company is focusing on a global manufacturing system with a presence in China, Southeast Asia, and North America to improve market response efficiency [2]. - The fourth quarter is expected to see high sales due to the holiday shopping season in Europe and North America, with the company expressing confidence in achieving strong performance [2].