(100) (50) 0 50 100 - / 50 80 110 140 170 200 1/1 2/1 3/1 4/1 5/1 6/1 7/1 8/1 9/110/111/112/1 -PB / 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 -PB / 铁矿石早报 研究中心黑色团队 2026/3/2 | | | | | 现货 | | 远期 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 地区 | 品种 | 最新 | 日变化 | 周变化 | 折盘面 | 最新 | 日变化 | 周变化 | 进口利润 | | 普氏61指数 | | 99.30 | 0.30 | 2.80 | | | | | | | | 纽曼粉 | 749 | 4 | 1 | 800.9 | 96.20 | -0.10 | 3.75 | 10.58 | | | PB粉 | 753 | 4 | 1 | 800.6 | | | | | | 澳洲 | 麦克粉 | 744 | 4 | -2 | 812.8 | 95.95 | -0.05 | 3.80 | 29.58 ...

铁矿日报：宏观向好预期仍存，需求表现一般 【冠通期货研究报告】 发布日期：2026 年 2 月 27 日 一、市场行情态势回顾 1、期货价格：铁矿石期货主力合约日内震荡，收于 750.5 元/吨，较前一个 交易日收盘价上涨 2 元/吨，涨幅+0.27%，成交 17.6 万手，持仓量 54.7 万手， 沉淀资金 90.26 亿。铁矿下跌至预判支撑 730 附近之后，呈现一定抗跌，短期以 偏强反弹思路对待。 2、现货价格：港口现货主流品种青岛港 PB 粉 750 跌 0，超特粉 638 跌 0， 掉期主力 98.45(+0.15）美元/吨。掉期反弹走强后陷入窄幅震荡，现货持稳。 3、基差价差端：青岛港 PB 粉折盘面价格 785.3 元/吨，基差 34.8 元/吨， 基差小幅收窄；铁矿 5-9 价差 19.5 元，铁矿 9-1 价差 12 元。 二、基本面梳理 海外矿山发运环比增加，澳洲发运恢复；本期到港继续走弱，天气影响 到港节奏，后期有望回升；需求端，铁水产量环比回升，钢厂盈利率走弱， 刚需边际回升，关注节后需求支撑力度。库存方面，铁矿港口库存止增，到 港回落叠加钢厂补库使得港口累库压力阶段性缓解，但整体总库 ...

一、市场行情态势回顾 【冠通期货研究报告】 铁矿日报：宏观向好预期仍存，需求表现一般 发布日期：2026 年 2 月 26 日 1、期货价格：铁矿石期货主力合约日内震荡，收于 748.5 元/吨，较前一个 交易日收盘价下跌-4 元/吨，跌幅-0.53%，成交 19.0 万手，持仓量 54.1 万手， 增仓 1.2 万手，沉淀资金 89.02 亿。铁矿下跌至预判支撑 730 附近之后，呈现一 定抗跌，短期以偏强反弹思路对待。 2、现货价格：港口现货主流品种青岛港 PB 粉 750 跌-2，超特粉 638 跌-2， 掉期主力 98.85(+0.05）美元/吨。掉期反弹走强后陷入窄幅震荡，现货微跌。 3、基差价差端：青岛港 PB 粉折盘面价格 785.3 元/吨，基差 36.8 元/吨， 基差小幅走扩；铁矿 5-9 价差 16.5 元，铁矿 9-1 价差 11.5 元。 二、基本面梳理 海外矿山发运环比增加，澳洲发运恢复；本期到港继续走弱，天气影响 到港节奏，后期有望回升；需求端，铁水产量环比回升，钢厂盈利率走弱， 刚需边际回升，关注节后需求支撑力度。库存方面，铁矿港口库存止增，到 港回落叠加钢厂补库使得港口累库压 ...

【冠通期货研究报告】 铁矿日报：宏观向好预期仍存，需求表现一般 发布日期：2026 年 2 月 24 日 一、市场行情态势回顾 3、基差价差端：青岛港 PB 粉折盘面价格 788.6 元/吨，基差 48.1 元/吨， 基差变化不大；铁矿 5-9 价差 16 元，铁矿 9-1 价差 11 元。 二、基本面梳理 节前发运受到天气影响，目前已经恢复，春节期间没有明显扰动，没有意外 扰动的情况下供应端仍偏宽松，关注天气对发运到港节奏的扰动；需求端铁水产 量边际回升，刚需仍旧偏稳，节前仍有钢厂生产事故发生，可能影响节后铁水复 产节奏，关注节后需求支撑力度。库存方面，整体库存压力仍在积累，节前市场 情绪走弱，盘面表现承压，节后即将召开全国两会，关注市场情绪变化。 整体而言，库存压力仍在积累，供应端仍存天气扰动预期，当前市场对节 后需求预期一般，但盘面快速回落后压力有所释放，节后即将召开两会，宏观预 期仍存，关注市场情绪变化。 1、期货价格：铁矿石期货主力合约日内维持窄幅震荡，收于 740.5 元/吨， 较前一个交易日收盘价下跌-5.5 元/吨，跌幅-0.74%，成交 22 万手，持仓量 51.9 万手，增仓 2.4 万手 ...

铁矿石日报 2026 年 02 月 24 日 研究所 黑色研发报告 | | 今日 | 昨日 | 涨跌 | | 今日 | 昨日 | 涨跌 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | DCE01 | 713.5 | 720.0 | -6.5 | I01-I05 | -27.0 | -26.0 | -1.0 | | DCE05 | 740.5 | 746.0 | -5.5 | I05-I09 | 16.0 | 15.5 | 0.5 | | DCE09 | 724.5 | 730.5 | -6.0 | I09-I01 | 11.0 | 10.5 | 0.5 | | 现货 | 昨天 | 前天 | 涨跌 | 折标准品 | 01厂库基差 | 05厂库基差 | 09厂库基差 | | P B粉(60.8%) | 752 | 763 | -11 | 816 | 88 | 62 | 78 | | 纽曼粉 | 752 | 763 | -11 | 823 | 95 | 69 | 84 | | 麦克粉 | 745 | 755 | -10 | 823 | 95 | 69 | ...

Group 1: Report Information - The report is the Iron Ore Morning Report released by the Black Team of the Research Center on February 24, 2026 [1][2] Group 2: Spot Market Data - **Price Changes**: The prices of various iron ore varieties have different degrees of daily and weekly changes. For example, the price of the Platts 61 Index is 99.60, with a daily change of -0.35 and a weekly change of -0.70. Newman powder is priced at 748, with a daily change of -11 and a weekly change of -10 [3] - **Import Profits**: Different varieties also have different import profits. For instance, the import profit of Newman powder is 23.12, and that of Macfarlane powder is 45.07 [3] Group 3: Futures Market Data - **Dalian Commodity Exchange**: The latest price of i2701 is 720.0, with a daily change of -13.5 and a weekly change of -12.5. The latest price of i2605 is 746.0, with a daily change of -16.0 and a weekly change of -14.5. The latest price of i2609 is 730.5, with a daily change of -14.5 and a weekly change of -12.0 [3] - **Singapore Exchange**: The latest price of FE01 is 97.07, with a daily change of -0.30 and a weekly change of -1.10. The latest price of FE05 is 99.28, with a daily change of -0.42 and a weekly change of -1.07. The latest price of FE09 is 98.27, with a daily change of -0.27 and a weekly change of -1.16 [3] Group 4: Basis and Spread Data - **Basis**: The basis of i2701 is 65.5, with a daily change of 4.1 and a weekly change of 3.9. The basis of i2605 is 39.5, with a daily change of 6.6 and a weekly change of 5.9. The basis of i2609 is 55.0, with a daily change of 5.1 and a weekly change of 3.4 [3] - **Spread**: The monthly spread of i2701 is 10.5, that of i2605 is -26.0, and that of i2609 is 15.5 [3]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core View of the Report - No clear core view presented in the given content 3. Summary According to Related Catalogs Futures Market Data - DCE01 remained unchanged at 733.5, DCE05 decreased by 0.5 to 762.0, and DCE09 remained at 745.0 [2] - The spread I01 - I05 increased by 0.5 to -28.5, I05 - I09 decreased by 0.5 to 17.0, and I09 - I01 remained at 11.5 [2] Spot Market Data - Prices of most iron ore spot varieties remained stable, with some minor changes like FMG increasing by 1, SP10 increasing by 4, and Ukrainian concentrate increasing by 8 [2] - The optimal deliverable was BRBF(63%) with a price of 803, 01 - contract basis of 62, 05 - contract basis of 33, and 09 - contract basis of 50 [2] Spot Variety Spread and Import Profit - Some spreads remained stable (e.g., Carajás - PB powder at 97), while others changed slightly (e.g., Newman lump - Newman powder increased by 2) [2] - Import profits also had minor changes: Carajás increased by 1 to 0, Newman powder decreased by 1 to 48, etc. [2] Index Data - The Platts 61% iron ore price decreased by 0.3 to 100.0, 65% remained at 116.5, and 58% decreased by 0.3 to 92.0 [2] - The SGX - DCE spreads remained mostly unchanged (e.g., SGX main - DCE01 at 4.1) [2]

Group 1: Report Overview - Report Name: Iron Ore Morning Report [1] - Report Date: February 12, 2026 [2] - Research Team: Black Team of the Research Center [2] Group 2: Spot Market Australian Mainstream Iron Ore - **Price Changes**: Newman powder, PB powder, Mac powder, and Jinbuba powder all decreased by 18 yuan compared to the previous week. The mixed powder increased by 1 yuan compared to the previous day and decreased by 15 yuan compared to the previous week. The super special powder decreased by 16 yuan compared to the previous week. The car powder decreased by 18 yuan compared to the previous week [3]. - **Import Profits**: The import profit of Newman powder was 11.15 yuan, Mac powder was 32.33 yuan, Jinbuba powder was 44.34 yuan, and the mixed powder was 0.57 yuan. The super special powder had a loss of -7.15 yuan, and the car powder had a loss of -6.52 yuan [3]. Brazilian Mainstream Iron Ore - **Price Changes**: The Brazilian mixed decreased by 29 yuan compared to the previous week, and Brazilian coarse IOC6 and Brazilian coarse SSFG decreased by 18 yuan compared to the previous week [3]. - **Import Profits**: The import profit of the Brazilian mixed was 6.60 yuan [3]. Non - mainstream Iron Ore - **Price Changes**: Ukrainian iron concentrate powder increased by 8 yuan compared to the previous day and decreased by 13 yuan compared to the previous week. The 61% Indian powder decreased by 18 yuan compared to the previous week. The Karara iron concentrate powder increased by 3 yuan compared to the previous day and decreased by 14 yuan compared to the previous week. Roy Hill powder decreased by 18 yuan compared to the previous week. The KUMBA powder decreased by 18 yuan compared to the previous week. The 57% Indian powder decreased by 16 yuan compared to the previous week. The Atlas powder increased by 1 yuan compared to the previous day and decreased by 15 yuan compared to the previous week [3]. - **Import Profits**: The import profit of Roy Hill powder was 58.64 yuan [3]. Others - **PB Lump/Ore Premium**: The price was 852 yuan, increasing by 2 yuan compared to the previous day and 2 yuan compared to the previous week. The premium was 0.0505, increasing by 0.01 compared to the previous day and 0.0275 compared to the previous week [3]. - **Ukrainian Pellets/Pellet Premium**: The price was 846 yuan, increasing by 8 yuan compared to the previous day and decreasing by 13 yuan compared to the previous week. The premium was 15.30, decreasing by 0.20 compared to the previous day and 0.20 compared to the previous week [3]. - **Domestic Ore**: The price of Tangshan iron concentrate powder was 963 yuan, remaining unchanged compared to the previous day and decreasing by 6 yuan compared to the previous week [3]. Group 3: Futures Market Dalian Commodity Exchange - **i2701**: The latest price was 733.5 yuan, increasing by 1.5 yuan compared to the previous day and decreasing by 20.0 yuan compared to the previous week. The monthly spread was 11.5 yuan. The basis was 61.5 yuan, decreasing by 1.5 yuan compared to the previous day and increasing by 0.3 yuan compared to the previous week [3]. - **i2605**: The latest price was 762.5 yuan, increasing by 1.0 yuan compared to the previous day and decreasing by 19.0 yuan compared to the previous week. The monthly spread was - 29.0 yuan. The basis was 32.5 yuan, decreasing by 1.0 yuan compared to the previous day and decreasing by 0.7 yuan compared to the previous week [3]. - **i2609**: The latest price was 745.0 yuan, increasing by 1.0 yuan compared to the previous day and decreasing by 19.5 yuan compared to the previous week. The monthly spread was 17.5 yuan. The basis was 50.0 yuan, decreasing by 1.0 yuan compared to the previous day and decreasing by 0.2 yuan compared to the previous week [3]. Singapore Exchange - **FE01**: The latest price was 97.24 US dollars, decreasing by 0.15 US dollars compared to the previous day and 2.80 US dollars compared to the previous week. The monthly spread was 1.24 US dollars. The difference between the domestic and foreign markets was - 27.4 yuan, increasing by 2.5 yuan compared to the previous day and 8.9 yuan compared to the previous week [3]. - **FE05**: The latest price was 99.66 US dollars, increasing by 0.10 US dollars compared to the previous day and decreasing by 2.43 US dollars compared to the previous week. The monthly spread was - 2.42 US dollars. The difference between the domestic and foreign markets was - 16.8 yuan, increasing by 0.5 yuan compared to the previous day and 7.1 yuan compared to the previous week [3]. - **FE09**: The latest price was 98.48 US dollars, decreasing by 0.08 US dollars compared to the previous day and 2.82 US dollars compared to the previous week. The monthly spread was 1.18 US dollars. The difference between the domestic and foreign markets was - 25.1 yuan, increasing by 2.9 yuan compared to the previous day and 10.1 yuan compared to the previous week [3].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints - Not provided in the given content 3. Summary by Category Spot Market - **Price Changes**: The prices of most iron ore varieties showed little to no daily change. For example, Newman powder, PB powder, and most Australian and Brazilian mainstream varieties had a daily change of 0. However, Ukrainian fine powder and Karara fine powder increased by 3, and PB lump/ lump premium increased by 5 [3]. - **Weekly Changes**: Most varieties had a downward trend in weekly changes. For instance, the weekly change of the Platts 61 index was -2.20, and many Australian and Brazilian mainstream varieties decreased by 14 or 13 [3]. Forward Market - **Price Changes**: The forward prices of some varieties also showed certain changes. For example, the daily change of the Newman powder forward price was 0.50, and its weekly change was -1.25 [3]. Futures Market - **Dalian Commodity Exchange (DCE)**: The i2701 contract had a price of 732.0 with no daily change and a weekly change of -17.0. The i2605 contract was priced at 761.5 with no daily change and a weekly change of -16.0, and the i2609 contract was at 744.0 with a daily change of 1.0 and a weekly change of -16.0 [3]. - **Singapore Exchange (SGX)**: The FE01 contract was at 97.39 with a daily change of 0.55 and a weekly change of -3.32. The FE05 contract was priced at 99.56 with a daily change of 0.60 and a weekly change of -3.43, and the FE09 contract was at 98.56 with a daily change of 0.53 and a weekly change of -3.41 [3].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Viewpoints - No clear core viewpoints presented in the given content 3. Summary by Related Categories 3.1 Spot Market of Iron Ore - Newman powder: latest price 759, daily change +1, weekly change -19, discount to the futures price 811.7, import profit 12.71 [1] - PB powder: latest price 763, daily change +1, weekly change -19, discount to the futures price 811.6 [1] - Macfarlane powder: latest price 757, daily change +1, weekly change -19, discount to the futures price 826.9, import profit 33.50 [1] - Jinbuba powder: latest price 716, daily change +1, weekly change -19, discount to the futures price 806.5, import profit 41.73 [1] - Mainstream mixed powder: latest price 707, daily change +2, weekly change -18, discount to the futures price 843.3, import profit -2.80 [1] - Super special powder: latest price 650, daily change +2, weekly change -21, discount to the futures price 867.8, import profit -8.98 [1] - Carajás powder: latest price 863, daily change +1, weekly change -19, discount to the futures price 795.3, import profit -9.57 [1] - Brazilian mixed powder: latest price 791, daily change -10, weekly change -30, discount to the futures price 795.0, import profit 4.90 [1] - Brazilian coarse IOC6: latest price 738, daily change +1, weekly change -19, discount to the futures price 809.5 [1] - Brazilian coarse SSFG: latest price 743, daily change +1, weekly change -19 [1] - Ukrainian concentrate: latest price 835, daily change 0, weekly change -28, discount to the futures price 927.1 [1] - 61% Indian powder: latest price 705, daily change +1, weekly change -19 [1] - Karara concentrate: latest price 844, daily change 0, weekly change -24, discount to the futures price 860.8 [1] - Roy Hill powder: latest price 750, daily change +1, weekly change -19, discount to the futures price 825.6, import profit 56.33 [1] - KUMBA powder: latest price 822, daily change +1, weekly change -19, discount to the futures price 800.7 [1] - 57% Indian powder: latest price 585, daily change +2, weekly change -21 [1] - Atlas powder: latest price 702, daily change +2, weekly change -18 [1] - Tangshan iron concentrate: latest price 963, daily change 0, weekly change -8, discount to the futures price 850.0 [1] 3.2 Futures Market of Iron Ore - DCE i2701 contract: latest price 732.0, daily change -0.5, weekly change -21.5, monthly spread 11.0 [1] - DCE i2605 contract: latest price 761.5, daily change +1.0, weekly change -21.5, monthly spread -29.5 [1] - DCE i2609 contract: latest price 743.0, daily change +0.5, weekly change -23.0, monthly spread 18.5 [1] - SGX FE01 contract: latest price 96.84, daily change -1.33, weekly change -8.78, monthly spread 1.19 [1] - SGX FE05 contract: latest price 98.96, daily change -1.39, weekly change -4.76, monthly spread -2.12 [1] - SGX FE09 contract: latest price 98.03, daily change -1.40, weekly change -4.70, monthly spread 0.93 [1]