Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints - For the EC2602 contract, its future price mainly depends on the spot market. The peak height and timing of freight rates in January, as well as the subsequent decline rhythm, are difficult to predict. It is not recommended to enter the market at the current level [3][12] - The EC2604 contract has a moderately high valuation, but it may follow the spot market or recover the basis in the short - term. It is advisable to short on rallies [3][12] - The far - month contracts are highly affected by geopolitical factors. It is safer to short the off - peak season contracts than the peak - season contracts. Pay attention to the shorting opportunity of the EC2610 contract [3][12] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalog Futures Market Data - EC2512: Yesterday's closing price was 1608.0, with a change of 0.13%, a change value of - 18.8. Yesterday's trading volume was 112, and the position decreased by 76 to 1714 [2][11] - EC2602: The price was 1799.7, up 0.22%, with a change value of - 210.5. The trading volume was 28762, and the position was 34250, a decrease of 66 [2][11] - EC2604: The price was 1164.5, down 0.04%, with a change value of 424.7. The trading volume was 6267, and the position increased by 264 to 21254 [2][11] - EC2606: The price was 1320.0, up 0.08%, with a change value of 269.2. The trading volume was 258, and the position decreased by 19 to 2126 [2][11] - EC2608: The price was 1496.7, up 1.06%, with a change value of 92.5. The trading volume was 112, and the position decreased by 12 to 1181 [2][11] - EC2610: The price was 1059.0, up 0.715%, with a change value of 530.2. The trading volume was 811, and the position increased by 2777 to 5941 [2][11] Month - spread Data - EC2512 - 2504: The month - spread was 443.5, with a daily increase of 2.6 and a weekly decrease of 64.4 [2][11] - EC2512 - 2602: The month - spread was - 191.7, with a daily decrease of 1.8 and a weekly decrease of 123.9 [2][11] - EC2502 - 2604: The month - spread was 635.2, with a daily increase of 4.4 and a weekly increase of 59.5 [2][11] Spot Market Index Data - SCFIS (European Line): Updated every Monday, the value on 2025/12/22 was 1589.20 points, up 5.21% from the previous period [2][11] - SCFI (European Line): Updated every Friday, the value on 2025/12/19 was 1533 dollars/TEU, down 0.33% from the previous period [2][11] - CCFI: Updated weekly on a certain day, the value on 2025/12/19 was 1473.9 points, up 0.23% from the previous period [2][11] - NCFI: Updated weekly on a certain day, the value on 2025/12/19 was 1067.29 points, up 0.30% from the previous period [2][11] European Line Spot Situation - In Week 52, MSK opened the cabin at 2300 dollars (a decrease of 100 dollars compared to the previous week), and other companies mainly followed Week 51 prices. The central price was 2500 dollars, equivalent to about 1750 points on the futures盘面 [4][13] - All shipping companies are calling for a price increase for January cabins. MSK's January upper - half quote is 2500 dollars, and it will rise to 2600 dollars in week 2 to Hamburg, while other ports remain flat. The central price of shipping companies' January quotes is about 2500 - 2600 dollars [4][13] Geopolitical News - On December 25, 2025, Israeli Defense Minister Katz stated that Israel will never completely withdraw from the Gaza Strip and will establish a security zone inside the Gaza Strip in the future [4][13]

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - For the EC2602 contract, its future trend mainly depends on the spot price. The contradiction lies in the peak height and time of the freight rate in January. Given the current valuation, the risk - reward ratio for both shorting and going long is not high, so it is recommended to wait and see [3]. - For the EC2604 contract, the short - term downside is limited. Attention should be paid to short - selling opportunities when it follows the spot price or recovers the basis [3]. - For the far - month contracts, a positive spread trading strategy is suggested, and short - selling opportunities for the EC2610 contract should be monitored [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Content Futures Market - **Contract Prices and Changes**: - EC2512 closed at 1630.1, up 0.35% with a basis of - 119.5, trading volume of 186, and an open interest of 1983 (down 160) [2]. - EC2602 closed at 1719.8, up 3.07% with a basis of - 209.2, trading volume of 31624, and an open interest of 31507 (down 136) [2]. - EC2604 closed at 1128.8, up 1.80% with a basis of 381.8, trading volume of 4225, and an open interest of 18837 (up 145) [2]. - EC2606 closed at 1288.3, up 1.40% with a basis of 222.3, trading volume of 437, and an open interest of 2220 (down 52) [2]. - EC2608 closed at 1453.2, up 0.85% with a basis of 57.4, trading volume of 87, and an open interest of 1288 (down 28) [2]. - EC2610 closed at 1050.3, up 0.78% with a basis of 460.3, trading volume of 413, and an open interest of 4935 (up 40) [2]. - **Month Spreads**: - EC2512 - 2504 was 501.3, down 14.3 day - on - day and 59.1 week - on - week [2]. - EC2512 - 2602 was - 89.7, down 45.5 day - on - day and 53.8 week - on - week [2]. - EC2502 - 2604 was 591.0, up 31.2 day - on - day and down 5.3 week - on - week [2]. Spot Market - **Spot Indexes**: - The SCHIS SCFI (European Line) on December 15, 2025, was 1510.56 points, up 0.10% from the previous period and 1.72% two periods ago [2]. - The CCFI on December 19, 2025, was 1473.9 points, up 0.23% from the previous period and 1.59% two periods ago [2]. - The NCFI on December 19, 2025, was 1067.29 points, up 0.30% from the previous period and 9.98% two periods ago [2]. - **European Line Spot Freight**: - In Week 52, Maersk (MSK) opened at $2300 (down $100 from the previous week), with the market center at $2500, equivalent to about 1750 points on the futures market. All shipping companies announced price increases for January space [4]. - In Week 1, Maersk (MSK) opened at $2500 (up $200 from the previous week), and the market is waiting for other shipping companies to open their rates, with an overall bullish sentiment [4]. News - On December 19, a Maersk vessel crossed the Bab - el - Mandeb Strait and entered the Red Sea for the first time in nearly two years. Maersk is considering gradually resuming East - West routes via the Suez Canal and the Red Sea under the premise of meeting safety standards [5]. - On December 20, officials from Turkey, the US, Qatar, and Egypt met in Miami to discuss the second - stage arrangements for a cease - fire in Gaza. The cease - fire framework has been maintained since the first - stage cease - fire agreement in October [6]. - On December 21, Israel informed the US that it might launch a second strike on Iran. Trump and Netanyahu are scheduled to meet at Mar - a - Lago later this month [6].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Views - For contracts after 02, the trend mainly depends on the spot market. The key lies in the peak height and time of freight rates in January. Historically, freight rate peaks often occur 4 - 5 weeks before the Spring Festival, but high capacity in January may suppress the increase. Currently, the risk - reward ratio for both shorting and going long is not high, so it is recommended to wait and see [3]. - For the 04 contract, the short - term downside space is small. Pay attention to short - selling opportunities when 04 may follow the spot market or close the basis [3]. - For far - term contracts, use a positive spread strategy. Pay attention to short - selling opportunities for the 10 contract [3]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Contract Market Data - **Contract Prices and Volumes**: EC2512 closed at 1631.5 with a - 1.11% change, EC2602 at 1686.8 (- 3.39%), EC2604 at 1112.7 (- 3.22%), EC2606 at 1290.0 (- 1.28%), EC2608 at 1462.4 (- 1.18%), and EC2610 at 1041.2 (- 1.20%). Trading volumes were 212 for EC2512, 27798 for EC2602, 7161 for EC2604, 279 for EC2606, 216 for EC2608, and 641 for EC2610. Open interest and its changes also varied for each contract [2]. - **Month - to - Month Spreads**: For example, EC2512 - 2504 had a spread of 518.8, with a day - on - day increase of 18.7 and a week - on - week decrease of - 73.3. Different month - to - month spreads showed various trends [2]. - **Index Data**: The ટરદાર index on 2025/12/15 was 1510.56 with a 0.10% increase. SCFI (on 2025/12/12) was 1538 dollars/TEU with a 9.86% increase, CCFI was 1470.55 points with a 1.59% increase, and NCFI was 1064.13 points with a 9.98% increase [2]. European Line Spot Situation - **Week 51**: MSK opened bookings for 2400 (200 more than the previous week). MSC and OA quoted between 2600 - 2700, and PA quoted 2400 dollars. The current central price was 1760 dollars, equivalent to about 1760 points on the futures market [4]. - **Week 52**: MSK opened bookings for 2300 (100 less than the previous week), and other companies mainly followed the Week 51 quotes [4]. - **January**: MSK and MSC announced price increases to 3500 and 3700 dollars respectively [4]. - **Monday**: MSC opened bookings at 2864 dollars, equivalent to 2000 points on the futures market [4]. - **Tuesday**: MSK quoted 2700 dollars/FEU for the China - Europe route to London (2800 for 40 - foot high - cube containers) [4]. Related News - On 12/15, the White House privately rebuked Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu for violating the Gaza cease - fire agreement. Israel killed a Hamas deputy commander in Gaza City on Saturday without informing or consulting the US [5]. - On 12/16, the Israeli Defense Forces attacked a Hezbollah member in southern Lebanon [5].

Group 1: Futures Contract Information - EC2512 had a yesterday's closing price of 1649.1 with a decline of 0.27%, a basis of -165.5, a trading volume of 270, an open interest of 3731, and an open interest change of -82 [2] - EC2602 had a price of 1585.0 with an increase of 2.92%, a basis of -101.4, a trading volume of 27304, an open interest of 34222, and an open interest change of -786 [2] - EC2604 had a price of 1090.1 with an increase of 0.65%, a basis of 393.6, a trading volume of 2881, an open interest of 19129, and an open interest change of 132 [2] - EC2606 had a price of 1255.1 with an increase of 0.05%, a basis of 228.6, a trading volume of 178, an open interest of 2141, and an open interest change of -26 [2] - EC2608 had a price of 1385.6 with an increase of 0.40%, a basis of 98.1, a trading volume of 125, an open interest of 1549, and an open interest change of -28 [2] - EC2610 had a price of 1040.2 with a decline of 0.19%, a basis of 443.5, a trading volume of 297, an open interest of 3961, and an open interest change of 72 [2] Group 2: Spread Information - The EC2512 - 2504 spread was 559.0, compared to 561.5 the day before yesterday with a change of -11.4 [2] - The EC2512 - 2602 spread was 64.1, compared to 113.4 the day before yesterday with a change of -49.3 [2] - The EC2502 - 2604 spread was 401, compared to 457.0 the day before yesterday with a change of 37.9 [2] Group 3: Spot Index Information - The SCHIS index on 2025/12/1 was 1483.65, down 9.50% from the previous period [2] - The SCFI (European line) on 2025/11/28 was 1404 dollars/TEU, up 2.71% from the previous period [2] - The CCFI (European line) on 2025/11/28 was 1449.34 points, up 1.14% from the previous period [2] - The NCFI on 2025/11/28 was 1024.64 points, up 7.67% from the previous period [2] Group 4: Market Analysis and Outlook - The December contract is moving towards the delivery logic, with P1 around 1550 points. P2 and P3 are对标 to the second - half of December cabin positions, and the price is expected to be stable with a slight increase [3] - The 02 contract has a neutral valuation, follows the spot price in the short - term, and there is a game for the peak - season height. Although high capacity limits the upside, there is no overly pessimistic expectation due to the late Spring Festival, strong cargo volume on the European line this year, and the 02 contract covering the freight rates from the second - half of January to the first ten days of February [3] - The 04 contract has limited short - term downside space, and attention should be paid to the short - selling opportunities when it follows the near - month contracts to rise [3] Group 5: Recent Spot Market Situation - The price increase announcement in the first half of December failed. In Week 49, the average was 2360 dollars, equivalent to 1650 points on the futures market [4] - In Week 50, MSK's cabin opening price dropped to 2200 dollars, and other shipping companies followed suit. The current central price is 2270 dollars, equivalent to 1580 points on the futures market [4] - On Monday, YML reduced the price of two ships in Week 50 by 150 to 1750 dollars, while MSC increased it by 200 to 2600 dollars [4] - It is expected that shipping companies will announce price increases for January cabins in early December. MSK's opening price for Week 51 is 2400 dollars, a 200 - dollar increase from the previous period, equivalent to 1660 points on the futures market [4] - On Thursday, MSK issued a price - increase notice for January European lines, with the price rising to 3500 dollars [4]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The EC2512 contract is moving towards the delivery logic, with P1 around 1550 points. P2 and P3 are对标 to the second - half of December's cabin space, and the price is expected to be stable with a slight increase. - The EC2602 contract has a neutral valuation, follows the spot market in the short - term, and there is a chance for a higher price if the peak season is realized. Reasons include the late Chinese New Year, strong cargo volume on the European route this year, and the contract covering a period with a potential seasonal price peak. - The EC2604 contract is still recommended to be shorted on rallies [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Content Futures Market - **Contract Prices and Changes**: EC2512 closed at 1633.6 with a - 0.19% change; EC2602 at 1534.2 with a 2.719% change; EC2604 at 1072.1 with a - 0.55% change; EC2606 at 1233.2 with a - 0.31% change; EC2608 at 1374.9 with a 1.30% change; EC2610 at 1032.6 with a - 0.06% change [2]. - **Month - to - Month Spreads**: For example, EC2512 - 2504 was 561.5, EC2512 - 2602 was 99.4, and EC2502 - 2604 was 462.1, with corresponding changes compared to previous days and weeks [2]. Spot Market - **Spot Indexes**: The spot price (per point) on December 1, 2025, was 1483.65, down 9.50% from the previous period. SCF on November 28, 2025, was 1404 dollars/TEU, up 2.71%; CCFI was 1449.34 points, up 1.14%; NCFI was 1024.64 points, up 7.67% [2]. - **European Route Spot Situation**: In December, the early - month price increase failed. In Week 49, the average was 2360 dollars, equivalent to 1650 points on the disk. In Week 50, MSK's opening price dropped to 2200 dollars, and the current central price is 2270 dollars, equivalent to 1580 points. Some shipping companies adjusted prices, and it is expected that shipping companies will announce price increases for January's cabin space in early December. On Tuesday, MSK's opening price for Week 51 was 2400 dollars, up 200 dollars from the previous week, equivalent to 1660 points [4]. Related News - On November 26, the mediators of the Gaza cease - fire agreed to stop violations and implement the second phase of the agreement. - On November 29, Lebanon's Hezbollah said it would retaliate against Israel for the attack on its senior commander [5].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The EC2512 contract is approaching the delivery logic, with P1 expected to be around 1,550 - 1,600 points. P2 and P3 are benchmarked against the second - half of December cabin positions. The market anticipates a stable - with - increase trend, observing the shipping companies' price increase announcements and implementation [3]. - The EC2602 contract is undervalued. The key to going long is to wait for the signal of cargo - induced full - capacity utilization during the off - season. Despite high shipping capacity, the outlook isn't overly pessimistic due to the late Chinese New Year, strong cargo volume on the European route this year, and the fact that price cuts in December for inventory stocking are beneficial for the implementation of price increases in January. If the peak - season rush is gradually realized, EC2602 may have greater upside potential [3]. - For the EC2604 contract, it is recommended to adopt a short - selling strategy on rallies [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Contract Data - **Contract Prices and Changes**: The closing prices of various EC contracts on the previous day are as follows: EC2512 at 1,631.1 with a 1.15% increase; EC2602 at 1,631.1 with a 6.07% increase; EC2604 at 1,471.9 with a 1.67% increase; EC2606 at 1,215.2 with a 2.11% increase; EC2608 at 1,339.0 with a 2.15% increase; EC2610 at 1,021.0 with a 0.87% increase [2]. - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: The previous day's trading volumes were 1,737 for EC2512 and 4,146 for EC2602, etc. The previous day's open interests were 4,501 for EC2512 and 40,111 for EC2602, etc., with corresponding changes in open interest [2]. - **Month - to - Month Spreads**: The spreads of different contract combinations (e.g., EC2512 - 2504, EC2512 - 2602, etc.) and their day - on - day and week - on - week changes are provided. For example, the EC2512 - 2504 spread was 558.0, with a day - on - day change of 0.6 and a week - on - week change of - 53.8 [2]. Shipping Index Data - **SCFI (European Route)**: As of November 24, 2025, the index was 1,639.37 points, a 20.75% increase from the previous period and a 2.71% increase from two periods ago [2]. - **CCFI**: As of November 28, 2025, the index was 1,449.34 points, a 1.14% increase from the previous period and a 2.09% increase from two periods ago [2]. - **NCFI**: As of November 28, 2025, the index was 1,024.64 points, a 7.67% increase from the previous period and a - 2.83% change from two periods ago [2]. Recent European Route Spot Situation - In early December, the price increase announcement failed. The average price in Week 49 was $2,360, equivalent to 1,650 points on the futures market. In Week 50, MSK's opening price dropped to $2,200, setting the tone, and other shipping companies followed suit. The current central price is $2,270, equivalent to 1,580 points on the futures market. MSC is calling for a price increase to $3,500 for the second - half of December cabin positions, and ONE to $2,800. Shipping companies are expected to announce price increases for January cabin positions in early December [4]. Related News - On November 26, the mediators of the Gaza cease - fire agreed to stop violations and implement the agreement. On November 29, Lebanon's Hezbollah said it would retaliate against Israel for the assassination of a senior commander [5].

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - On Wednesday, the futures market declined significantly due to the near - end price and resumption of shipping expectations. The EC2512 contract is moving towards the delivery logic and follows the spot price, with an expected range of around 1550 - 1600 points. Contracts P2 and P3 are related to the second - half of December cabin space, and the freight rate is expected to be stable with a slight increase [3]. - The EC2602 contract has a low valuation. The key to going long is to wait for the signal of cargo volume explosion. There is no overly pessimistic expectation because the cargo volume on the European route has been good this year, and the price cut in December for inventory stocking is beneficial for the price increase in January. If the peak season is realized later, the EC2602 contract may have more upside potential [3]. - The EC2604 contract is still recommended to be shorted on rallies [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Contract Data | Contract | Yesterday's Price | Change | Yesterday's Volume | Yesterday's Open Interest | Open Interest Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | EC2512 | 1612.9 | - 0.59% | 1493 | 5232 | - 302 | | EC2602 | 1387.7 | 0.02% | 24978 | 42968 | - 1089 | | EC2604 | 1054.6 | - 1.64% | 566 | 18701 | 703 | | EC2606 | 1190.1 | - 4.94% | 719 | 2186 | 200 | | EC2608 | 1310.8 | - 5.43% | 433 | 1650 | 32 | | EC2610 | 1012.2 | - 4.13% | 1174 | 3700 | 611 | [2] Month - spread Data | Month - spread | Previous Day | Two Days Ago | Three Days Ago | Day - on - Day Change | Week - on - Week Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | EC2512 - 2504 | 558.3 | 550.2 | 523.6 | 8.1 | - 42.3 | | EC2512 - 2602 | 225.2 | 235.0 | 196.5 | - 9.8 | 102.0 | | EC2502 - 2604 | 333.1 | 315.2 | 327.1 | 17.9 | - 144.3 | [2] Index Data | Index | Update Frequency | Announcement Date | Unit | Current Value | Previous Value | Two Periods Ago | Current Change | Previous Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | SCFIS (European Route) | Weekly | 2025/11/24 | Points | 1639.37 | 1357.67 | 1504.80 | 20.75% | - 9.78% | | SCFI (European Route) | Weekly | 2025/11/21 | USD/TEU | 1367 | 1417 | 1323 | - 3.55% | 7.11% | | CCFI | Weekly | 2025/11/21 | Points | 1432.96 | 1403.64 | 1366.85 | 2.09% | 2.69% | | NCFI | Weekly | 2025/11/21 | Points | 951.65 | 979.34 | 911.73 | - 2.83% | 7.42% | [2] Recent European Route Spot Situation - Week 49: The offline quotes of GEMINI and PA alliances are between 2300 - 2500, and OA is between 2300 - 2600, with an average of about 2400 US dollars (equivalent to about 1650 points on the futures market) [4]. - Week 50: Maersk opened at 2200 US dollars, PA dropped to 1900 - 2200, and OA remained at 2400 - 2500. The central price may be between 2200 - 2300 US dollars (1550 - 1600 points). On Thursday, YML cut the price to 1900, and ONE cut it to 2200 (with a combined volume of 2000 - 2100) [4]. Related News - On November 28, the Pakistani Foreign Ministry condemned the Israeli army for shooting and killing two Palestinians in the West Bank [5]. - On November 27, the Israeli army stated that it had attacked multiple Hezbollah targets in southern Lebanon [5].

Group 1: Investment Rating - No investment rating information provided in the report Group 2: Core Views - The market was oscillating on Thursday, waiting for new drivers [3] - The EC2512 contract is neutrally valued and will gradually move towards the delivery logic, with a significant decrease in open interest [3] - The EC2602 contract is expected to mainly follow the spot trend in the short - term. Before the peak season in December is realized, it's hard for the market to believe January is still a peak season. If the peak season is gradually realized later, the EC2602 contract may have more upside potential [3] - The EC2604 contract is still recommended to be shorted on rallies and is more likely to oscillate in the short - term [3] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Futures Contract Data - EC2512: Yesterday's closing price was 1775.7, with a 0.70% increase, a basis of - 418.0, a trading volume of 4067, an open interest of 8060, and an open interest change of - 1508 [2] - EC2602: Yesterday's closing price was 1631.0, with a 0.55% decrease, a basis of - 273.3, a trading volume of 32775, an open interest of 42029, and an open interest change of 1785 [2] - EC2604: Yesterday's closing price was 1163.0, with a 0.03% increase, a basis of 194.7, a trading volume of 3097, an open interest of 16014, and an open interest change of 70 [2] - EC2606: Yesterday's closing price was 1381.1, with a 0.07% decrease, a basis of - 23.4, a trading volume of 218, an open interest of 1575, and an open interest change of - 7 [2] - EC2608: Yesterday's closing price was 1505.0, with a 1.00% increase, a basis of - 147.3, a trading volume of 92, an open interest of 1224, and an open interest change of 12 [2] - EC2610: Yesterday's closing price was 1109.0, with a 0.09% decrease, a basis of 248.7, a trading volume of 382, an open interest of 2493, and an open interest change of - 27 [2] Month - spread Data - EC2512 - 2604: The previous day's month - spread was 612.7, with a daily - on - daily increase of 12.1 and a weekly - on - weekly increase of 35.3 [2] - EC2512 - 2602: The previous day's month - spread was 144.7, with a daily - on - daily increase of 21.5 and a weekly - on - weekly increase of 31.9 [2] - EC2602 - 2604: The previous day's month - spread was 468.0, with a daily - on - daily decrease of 9.4 and a weekly - on - weekly increase of 3.4 [2] Index Data - SCFIS (European Line): Updated weekly, announced on 2025/11/17, the current value is 1357.67 points, with a - 9.78% change from the previous period and a 24.50% change from two periods ago [2] - SCFI (European Line): Updated weekly, announced on 2025/11/14, the current value is 1417 dollars/TEU, with a 7.11% increase from the previous period and a - 1.56% change from two periods ago [2] - CCFI: Updated weekly, announced on 2025/11/14, the current value is 1403.64 points, with a 2.69% increase from the previous period and a 3.25% increase from two periods ago [2] - NCFI: Updated weekly, announced on 2025/11/14, the current value is 979.34 points, with a 7.42% increase from the previous period and a - 5.58% change from two periods ago [2] Recent Spot Situation of European Line - Week 48: Currently, MSK's opening rate is 2000 dollars, PA mainly follows the previous rate, OA has not adjusted the price yet, with an average of 2230 dollars (equivalent to about 1560 points on the futures price) [3] - 12 - month price increase notices have been issued by MSK and MSC, and other shipping companies may issue them successively this week [3] - Week 49: The offline quotes are between 2200 - 2500 dollars. On Tuesday, MSK opened at 2500 dollars for the first week of December, in line with expectations. MSC reduced the price to 2465 dollars, and HMM reduced it to 2506 dollars [3] - Week 50: On Thursday, Maersk added an extra ship to the second week of December with a capacity of 13000 TEU [3] News - On 11/21, the Israeli Defense Minister said that the tunnel network of Hamas in Gaza must be destroyed, and the Israeli army is working continuously to complete this task [3] - On 11/21, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps of Iran said that the conflict could break out at any time and has raised the combat readiness level [3] - On 11/21, the US Treasury Department strengthened sanctions on the oil network supporting the Iranian army [3]

1. Report's Investment Rating for the Industry - The valuation of the industry is neutral [3] 2. Core Views of the Report - The EC2602 contract rose significantly on Monday due to the announcement of the last trading day, driving up other contracts [2] - The EC2512 contract is gradually moving towards the delivery logic and is expected to fluctuate after yesterday's closing at a discount [3] - For the EC2604 contract, a short - selling strategy at high levels is recommended [3] - If the peak season demand is gradually realized, the EC2602 contract may have more upside potential [3] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - **Contract Price and Change** - EC2512 closed at 1792.3 with a 0.13% increase, trading volume of 7097, and open interest of 12086 with a decrease of 2434 [2] - EC2602 closed at 1726.0 with a 7.54% increase, trading volume of 44502, and open interest of 388880 with an increase of 837 [2] - EC2604 closed at 1187.7 with a 2.59% increase, trading volume of 4647, and open interest of 16182 with an increase of 564 [2] - Other contracts (EC2606, EC2608, EC2610) also had different price changes and volume/interest situations [2] - **Month - to - Month Spread** - The EC2512 - 2504 spread was 604.6, with a day - on - day decrease of 27.7 and a week - on - week decrease of 42.8 [2] - The EC2512 - 2602 spread was 66.3, with a day - on - day decrease of 118.7 and a week - on - week decrease [2] - The EC2502 - 2604 spread was 538.3, with a day - on - day increase of 91.0 and a week - on - week increase of 110.9 [2] 3.2 Spot Market - **Spot Price Index** - The SCFIS (European Line) index on November 17 was 1357.67 points, a 9.78% decrease from the previous period [2] - The SCH (European Line) price on November 14 was $1417/TEU, a 7.11% increase from the previous period [2] - The CCFI (European Line) index on November 14 was 1403.64 points, a 2.69% increase from the previous period [2] - The NCFI index on November 14 was 979.34 points, a 7.42% increase from the previous period [2] 3.3 Recent Quotation Situation of European Lines - **November Lower - Half Price Increase Announcement** - Shipping companies previously announced a price increase of $2365 - 2950 for the lower half of November [4] - **Specific Weekly Quotes** - In Week 47, the offline PA was around $1900 - 2100, OA and Gemini were at $2200 - 2400, and the average shipping company price was $2260 (equivalent to about 1580 points on the futures market) [4] - In Week 48, MSK opened at $2000, PA remained the same, OA did not adjust the price, and the average price was $2230 (equivalent to about 1560 points on the futures market) [4] - **December Price Increase Letters** - MSK and MSC have issued December price increase letters, and other shipping companies may follow this week [4] 3.4 Related News - On November 18, Hamas stated that it is legal to resist Israel by all means and refuses to disarm [5] - The UN Security Council passed a Gaza - related resolution on November 18, which was welcomed by the State of Palestine. The resolution aims to establish a permanent and comprehensive cease - fire in the Gaza Strip, ensure the unimpeded entry and distribution of humanitarian aid, and reaffirm the Palestinian people's right to self - determination and the establishment of an independent Palestinian state [5]

Report Summary Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. Core Viewpoints - The upward movement of SCFIS has boosted the sentiment of long - position holders, and the futures market is in a state of oscillating operation under the game between long and short positions. The main contract may be in the process of bottom - building, and the focus is on the direction of spot freight rates. Tariff issues have a marginal effect, and close attention should be paid to tariff policies, the Middle East situation, and spot freight prices [1][3]. - With the sharp rise of the spot index driving the far - month contracts, risk - preferring investors are advised to enter the 02 contract in advance and focus on the freight rate support logic in December [1]. Content Summary by Relevant Catalogs Freight Index Information - On November 3, the Shanghai Export Container Settlement Freight Index (SCFIS) for the European route was 1504.80 points, up 24.5% from the previous period; the SCFIS for the US West route was 1329.71 points, up 4.9% from the previous period [2]. - On November 7, the Ningbo Export Container Freight Index (NCFI) (composite index) was 1053.62 points, down 4.24% from the previous period; the NCFI for the European route was 911.73 points, down 5.58% from the previous period; the NCFI for the US West route was 1349.1 points, down 7.14% from the previous period [2]. - On November 7, the Shanghai Export Container Freight Index (SCFI) was 1495.10 points, down 3.6 points from the previous period; the SCFI price for the European route was 1323 USD/TEU, down 1.6% from the previous period; the SCFI price for the US West route was 2212 USD/FEU, down 16.4% from the previous period [2]. - On November 7, the China Export Container Freight Index (CCFI) (composite index) was 1058.17 points, up 3.6% from the previous period; the CCFI for the European route was 1366.85 points, up 3.3% from the previous period; the CCFI for the US West route was 814.14 points, up 5.4% from the previous period [2]. Economic Data - In October, China's Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) was 49.0%, down 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a decline in the manufacturing prosperity level. The Composite PMI Output Index was 50.0%, down 0.6 percentage points from the previous month, indicating that the overall production and operation activities of Chinese enterprises were stable [3]. - The preliminary value of the Eurozone's Manufacturing PMI in October was 45.9 (expected 45.1, previous value 45); the preliminary value of the Services PMI was 51.2 (expected 51.5, previous value 51.4); the preliminary value of the Composite PMI was 49.7 (expected 49.7, previous value 49.6). The Eurozone's Sentix Investor Confidence Index in October had a previous value of - 9.2 and a forecast value of - 8.5 [2]. - The preliminary value of the US S&P Global Services PMI in October was 55.2 (expected 53.5, previous value 54.2); the preliminary value of the Manufacturing PMI was 52.2 (expected 52, previous value 52); the preliminary value of the Composite PMI was 54.8 (expected 53.1, previous value 53.9) [3]. Futures Market Information - On November 11, the main contract 2512 closed at 1746.1, down 1.87%, with a trading volume of 32,200 lots and an open interest of 25,200 lots, a decrease of 1475 lots from the previous day [3]. - The daily limit for contracts 2508 - 2606 was adjusted to 18%, the margin of the company for contracts 2508 - 2606 was adjusted to 28%, and the daily opening limit for all contracts 2508 - 2606 was 100 lots [4]. Strategy Recommendations - Short - term strategy: As the main contract retreats and the far - month contracts are strong, risk - preferring investors are advised to lightly test long positions in the EC2602 contract in the 1550 - 1600 range, pay attention to the spot trend, not hold losing positions, and set stop - losses [4]. - Arbitrage strategy: In the context of international turmoil, each contract still follows the seasonal logic with large fluctuations. It is recommended to wait and see or lightly attempt [4]. - Long - term strategy: For each contract, it is recommended to take profits when the price rises, wait for the price to stabilize after a pullback, and then judge the subsequent direction [4].