1月9日，据工信部网站消息，工信部发布《工业绿色微电网建设与应用指南(2026—2030年)》，工业绿 色微电网主要包括可再生能源发电、工业余能利用、清洁低碳氢制取与利用、新型储能应用、电能变换 与柔性互联、数字化能碳管理等设施或系统。工业企业和园区新建太阳能、风能等可再生能源发电每年 就近就地自消纳比例原则上不低于60%;电力现货市场连续运行地区，分布式光伏可通过聚合方式接入 用户侧电网或与用户开展专线供电，采用自发自用余电上网模式参与现货市场，上网电量占总可用发电 量的比例不超过20%。持续提升可再生能源发电设施接入电网承载力和调控能力，实现"可观、可测、 可调、可控"。 ...

Core Insights - The report highlights the urgent need for workforce development in the global wind energy sector, projecting a significant increase in labor demand due to the expansion of wind capacity from 2025 to 2030 [1][12][41] - By 2030, the global wind industry will require approximately 628,000 skilled technicians, driven by the need for both construction and maintenance of an expanding fleet [12][55][58] - The offshore wind sector, while only expected to account for 10% of total installed capacity, will represent about 25% of workforce demand, necessitating specialized skills and safety competencies [2][71] Labor Demand Characteristics - Onshore wind remains the primary source of installations, but offshore wind is growing rapidly, requiring a workforce with advanced technical skills [2][13] - The demand for labor is concentrated in construction and installation (C&I) and operations and maintenance (O&M), with O&M needs expected to increase significantly as the turbine fleet ages [20][21][42] - The industry faces challenges such as a shortage of skilled technicians, limited training capacity, and competition for talent across sectors [22][47][48] Strategic Solutions - The report suggests a collaborative approach involving public and private sectors to enhance workforce planning, training, and knowledge transfer [3][14] - Countries are taking action by establishing training institutions, promoting certification standards, and fostering partnerships between educational institutions and industry [3][16] - A focus on standardized training and international cooperation is essential to address the workforce shortage and support the industry's growth [3][16][36] Economic and Social Impact - Workforce development in the wind sector is crucial not only for achieving energy transition goals but also for creating high-quality jobs and supporting regional economic growth [3][23][50] - Ensuring equitable access to training and supporting workers transitioning from fossil fuel sectors are vital for a just energy transition [24][50] - The wind energy sector is positioned as a significant job creation engine, contributing to broader economic and social benefits [56][57]

报告指出，全球绿色经济在2024年已超过5万亿美元市场规模，预计将在2030年增长至7万亿美元以上， 增长速度仅次于科技行业，成为全球最具活力的增长领域之一。其中，减排领域包括可再生能源、能源 基础设施与电网、储能、电动汽车及充电基础设施、建筑能效、工业脱碳技术、农业与林地低碳解决方 案、氢能与衍生燃料、碳捕集、碳利用与封存等具体行业，市场规模达4.6万亿美元。目前多个行业已 出现商业模式成熟、成本下降、部署加速的态势，例如电动汽车、市售电池、太阳能与风能等正在经历 成本下降与需求增长的双重驱动。适应与韧性领域包括水资源管理与抗旱技术、气候适应型基础设施、 防洪防灾系统、农业气候韧性技术、保险和风险管理、气候监测与早期预警系统等具体行业，报告统计 其市场规模为1.1万亿美元，但同时也指出这一市场被严重低估，实际规模更大，并且受极端天气事件 增多、国家与城市的抗灾投资增加、保险损失压力迫使气候韧性提升等趋势影响而增长迅速，报告称适 应与韧性市场是绿色经济中增长迅猛但被忽视的部分。 （文章来源：经济日报） 报告重点关注每年流入企业和市场的绿色收入以及相关市场需求的价值，认为这种度量更能反映企业和 投资者视角下的" ...

Core Insights - The U.K. has rapidly developed its wind energy sector, becoming one of the largest producers of wind power globally, with expectations for substantial growth in the coming decades as the government invests in renewable energy and upgrades the national grid [1] Onshore Wind Power - The U.K. currently has approximately 15.7 GW of operational onshore wind power, with an increase of 739 MW expected in 2024 from projects like Viking (443 MW), Kype Muir Extension (67.2 MW), and Broken Cross (43.2 MW) [2] - A total of 77 onshore wind projects submitted for planning permission in 2024, a slight decrease from 83 in 2023 but significantly higher than 44 in 2022 [2] - The U.K. is projected to achieve 26 GW of onshore wind by 2030, which is 3.1 GW below the target set in the Clean Power 2030 Action Plan [3] - The wind industry currently employs around 55,000 people, with expectations to double to approximately 110,000 by the end of the decade [3] Offshore Wind Power - The U.K. has an operational offshore wind capacity of around 14.7 GW, with six projects under construction totaling 6.3 GW, three of which have a generating capacity of 2.5 GW expected to be completed by 2025 [4] - In 2024, there were 14 planning applications for offshore wind projects submitted, totaling a capacity of 15.4 GW, leading to a total offshore wind capacity pipeline of 22.85 GW [4] - The U.K.'s offshore wind capacity is expected to reach 41.5 GW by the end of 2030, including 1.2 GW of floating wind capacity [4] Electricity Generation - Wind energy was the largest source of electricity generation in the U.K. during Q4 2023 and Q1 2024, marking the longest period on record where renewable energy outperformed fossil fuels [5] - In Q1 2024, wind energy generation totaled 25.3 TWh, compared to 23.6 TWh from fossil fuels, contributing an average of 39.4% to total electricity production [5] Economic Impact - Wind power has significantly reduced consumer energy bills, with a study from University College London indicating that between 2010 and 2023, wind-generated energy decreased electricity bills by $18.7 billion and reduced natural gas costs by $175 billion [6] - Factoring in green subsidies of $56.8 billion paid by consumers, the total reduction in U.K. consumer energy bills over 13 years amounts to $137 billion [6]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-A" investment rating to the company with a target price of 9.77 yuan for 2025, based on a 1.0x PB valuation [4][15]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant improvement in operating cash flow, with a net cash flow from operating activities of 4.058 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 221.72%, primarily due to the recovery of renewable energy subsidies [2]. - The company's total revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 3.707 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.78%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 805 million yuan, down 12.02% year-on-year [1]. - The company is focusing on high-quality development in its renewable energy business, with a substantial increase in power generation capacity and a cautious approach to new project investments [3]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2025, the company is expected to generate revenues of 5.16 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 34.4%, and a net profit of 973 million yuan, reflecting a slight decline of 3.5% [4][10]. - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 52.15%, a decrease of 7.08 percentage points year-on-year, while the expense ratio was 16.81%, down 0.61 percentage points [2]. - The company achieved a total power generation of 151.54 billion kWh in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 95.41%, with solar power generation growing by 289.30% [3][10]. Project Development and Market Position - The company has secured multiple renewable energy projects across regions such as Xinjiang, Inner Mongolia, Qinghai, and Ningxia, with a total construction capacity of 3.77 million kW [3]. - The company is exploring the integration of "New Energy +" business models, aiming to connect with data centers and high-consumption enterprises to develop green electricity projects [3]. Comparative Analysis - The report compares the company with peers such as Longyuan Power and Three Gorges Energy, highlighting its competitive positioning in the renewable energy sector [15].

Core Insights - The South African government plans to invest 2.2 trillion rand (approximately 126.7 billion USD) to advance energy transition and address long-standing electricity supply issues, aiming to stimulate economic growth [1] Investment Plans - The investment is aimed at reducing the reliance on coal-fired power generation from the current 58% to 27% [1] - Wind energy generation is expected to increase from 8% to 24% [1] - Solar photovoltaic generation is projected to rise from 10% to 18% [1]

Core Insights - The South African government plans to invest 2.2 trillion rand (approximately 126.7 billion USD) to advance energy transition and address long-standing electricity supply issues, aiming to stimulate economic growth [1] Investment and Energy Transition - The investment is part of the 2025 Integrated Resource Plan approved by the South African cabinet, which aims to significantly increase the share of renewable energy, natural gas, and nuclear power in the energy mix by 2039 [1] - By 2039, coal's share in electricity generation is expected to decrease from 58% to 27%, while wind energy will rise from 8% to 24%, solar photovoltaic from 10% to 18%, and nuclear energy from approximately 2% to 5% [1] - For the first time, natural gas generation will be introduced, contributing 11% to the energy mix [1] Economic Implications - Stable electricity supply is deemed crucial for South Africa to overcome power outages and revitalize the economy, with the minister emphasizing that without electricity, economic growth is unattainable [1] - The provision of reliable and reasonably priced electricity is essential for attracting businesses to South Africa [1]

Report Summary Investment Rating - No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. Core Viewpoints - For industrial silicon, upstream production is resuming, and the idea is to short at high prices [1]. - For polysilicon, market news is fermenting again, and attention should be paid to actual implementation [1]. Summary by Directory Fundamental Tracking - **Futures Market**: The closing price of Si2511 was 8,640 yuan/ton, with a decrease of 380 yuan compared to T - 5 and an increase of 145 yuan compared to T - 22. Its trading volume was 210,531 lots, and the open interest was 176,563 lots. The closing price of PS2511 was 50,765 yuan/ton, with a decrease of 595 yuan compared to T - 1 and 615 yuan compared to T - 5. Its trading volume was 201,311 lots, and the open interest was 84,987 lots [1]. - **Basis**: The spot premium of industrial silicon (against East China Si5530) was +810 yuan/ton. The spot premium of polysilicon (against N - type re - investment) was +1,285 yuan/ton [1]. - **Price**: The price of Xinjiang 99 - silicon was 8,850 yuan/ton, a decrease of 100 yuan compared to T - 1 and 150 yuan compared to T - 5. The price of polysilicon - N - type re - investment material was 52,550 yuan/ton, an increase of 50 yuan compared to T - 5 and 3,550 yuan compared to T - 22 [1]. - **Profit**: The profit of silicon plants (Xinjiang new standard 553) was - 2,629.5 yuan/ton, a decrease of 803.5 yuan compared to T - 5. The profit of polysilicon enterprises was - 14.1 yuan/kg, an increase of 0.4 yuan compared to T - 1 [1]. - **Inventory**: The social inventory of industrial silicon (including warehouse receipt inventory) was 54.5 million tons, and the enterprise inventory was 16.8 million tons. The industry inventory was 71.3 million tons. The warehouse receipt inventory of industrial silicon futures was 25.4 million tons. The manufacturer inventory of polysilicon was 24.0 million tons [1]. - **Raw Material Cost**: The price of silicon ore in Xinjiang was 320 yuan/ton, and in Yunnan was 290 yuan/ton. The price of washed coking coal in Xinjiang was 1,725 yuan/ton, and in Ningxia was 1,140 yuan/ton [1]. Macro and Industry News - The International Energy Agency's "Renewable Energy 2025" report predicts that despite challenges, global renewable energy installed capacity will grow strongly in the next 5 years, reaching twice the increment of the previous 5 years. Solar photovoltaic will drive the growth, accounting for about 80% of the increase in global renewable energy installed capacity. Wind power will be the second - largest contributor, and other renewable energy technologies will also play important roles [3]. Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of industrial silicon is 0, and that of polysilicon is 1. The trend intensity ranges from - 2 (most bearish) to 2 (most bullish) [3].

Core Insights - The International Energy Agency (IEA) predicts strong growth in global renewable energy capacity despite challenges such as supply chain issues, funding pressures, grid integration challenges, and policy uncertainties [1][2] - The report forecasts that the global renewable energy capacity will increase by 4,600 gigawatts (GW) from 2025 to 2030, roughly equivalent to the current total capacity of China, the European Union, and Japan combined [1] Renewable Energy Growth Drivers - The solar photovoltaic (PV) industry is expected to drive the majority of global renewable energy growth, accounting for approximately 80% of the increase in capacity due to low costs and expedited approval processes [1] - Wind energy is projected to be the second-largest contributor to new renewable energy capacity, with significant growth anticipated in China, the EU, and India, despite short-term challenges [1] - Other renewable technologies, including hydropower, biomass, and geothermal energy, will continue to play important roles in supporting power systems and enhancing flexibility [1] Regional Insights - Emerging economies in Asia, the Middle East, and Africa are experiencing faster growth in renewable energy due to cost competitiveness and stronger policy support, with many governments launching new bidding programs and raising development targets [1] - Solar PV is expected to see rapid growth in countries like Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, and several Southeast Asian nations over the next five years [2]

Core Insights - The International Energy Agency (IEA) predicts strong growth in global renewable energy capacity despite challenges such as supply chain issues, funding pressures, grid integration challenges, and policy uncertainties [1][2] Group 1: Renewable Energy Capacity Growth - The global renewable energy capacity is expected to increase by 4,600 gigawatts (GW) from 2025 to 2030, roughly equivalent to the current total capacity of China, the European Union, and Japan combined [1] - The next five years will see the addition of renewable energy capacity at double the rate of the previous five years [1] Group 2: Solar and Wind Energy Contributions - Solar photovoltaic (PV) technology is projected to drive approximately 80% of the global renewable energy capacity growth due to its low costs and expedited approval processes [1] - Wind energy is expected to be the second-largest contributor to new renewable energy capacity, with significant growth anticipated in China, the EU, and India, despite facing short-term challenges [1] Group 3: Emerging Markets and Policy Support - Emerging economies in Asia, the Middle East, and Africa are experiencing faster growth in renewable energy due to cost competitiveness and stronger policy support, with many governments launching new bidding programs and raising development targets [1][2] - Countries like Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, and several Southeast Asian nations are expected to see rapid growth in solar PV generation over the next five years [2]