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OpenClaw 爆了,然后呢?
3 6 Ke· 2026-02-10 06:52
Core Insights - OpenClaw's success is not merely due to being a powerful AI application, but rather it follows a clear evolutionary path in AI applications [1] - The key takeaway is that AI applications are being systematically allowed to operate independently, moving towards more radical forms [2] AI Application Evolution - The development of AI applications is characterized by a gradual outsourcing of control [3] - **Stage 1: Base Model Stage** - This is when ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini first emerged, where AI was primarily reactive and passive [4][5] - **Stage 2: Copilot Stage** - AI began to participate in processes, providing suggestions and modifications while still under human control [6][7] - **Stage 3: Automation Agent Stage** - AI started to take over complete tasks, with humans acting more as overseers [8][9] - **Stage 4: Manus/OpenClaw Stage** - A significant shift occurs where AI is no longer just a tool but an entity that can be entrusted with tasks, marking its transition to a behavioral subject [10][11] Implications of AI's Evolution - Once society accepts the concept of "letting go," it will not revert to a model where constant oversight is required [12][13] - OpenClaw and Manus are similar, but their deployment environments differ, leading to significant implications for their future development [14][15] Future of AI in Business - The next phase for AI is to directly engage in business processes rather than merely replacing jobs [18] - Successful business execution requires three components: intelligent decision-making, real-world interfaces, and mechanisms for responsibility and risk [19] - AI is transitioning from being a functional module to becoming an organizational entity, which is the foundation of the "unmanned company" concept [19] Industry Structure - The emerging structure of the AI industry will feature a highly concentrated upper layer and a vast, decentralized lower layer [26] - **Layer 1: Super Central Nodes** - A few entities will control critical capabilities like computing power and model evolution [26] - **Layer 2: Super Intelligent Agent Systems** - These systems will have long-term goals and the ability to manage numerous lower-level agents [27] - **Layer 3: Large-scale Execution Agents** - This layer will consist of numerous short-lived agents focused on specific tasks [28] Conclusion - The rise of OpenClaw signifies a shift from AI as a tool to AI as a central player in industry [30] - The critical question moving forward is how to balance the destructive and constructive speeds within a new industry structure composed of super nodes, super individuals, and numerous execution agents [30]
深度拆解Clawdbot,为何它能成为2026年第一个现象级产品?
3 6 Ke· 2026-02-10 04:25
最近,一个名为Clawdbot(后改名为OpenClaw)的开源项目,引爆了硅谷和全球极客圈,成为2026"AI Agent爆发元年"第一个现象级产品。它不再是冷冰 冰的聊天框,而是一个住在你电脑里,获得了系统权限,真刀真枪为你打工的"数字生命"。它的记忆不止存在于上下文,更通过Markdown文件构建了长 期记忆。它像一个主动性极强的助手,会给自己激活新技能,会提醒你吃掉冰箱里的牛肉,会自动帮你配置复杂的博客环境,甚至在被要求改名时展现出 了一丝"性格"。 就是这样的Clawdbot,让无数极客惊呼"用了就回不去了"。在Github,它的星标指数已突破17万颗,刷新了AI项目的最快成长纪录。在硅谷,粉丝们排着 几条街的长队,只为一睹它的开发者Peter Steinberger的真容。但其实在Agent这条赛道,Claude Code、Manus等产品已经预热许久,Clawdbot的每一项功 能都可以在其他产品中实现,为什么偏偏是它让大家产生了"未来已来"的冲击感? 【本期嘉宾】 以下是这次对话内容的精选: 01 Clawdbot的"活人感"从哪里来? 知县,北京大学计算机系本硕,AI爱好者和社区项目Owli ...
国内AI大战正酣,它在海外悄然突围,Kimi的全球化布局如何展开?
3 6 Ke· 2026-02-10 01:37
2026年2月初,比春节假期来得更早的,是国内这场"AI大战"。腾讯元宝砸出10亿元现金红包,阿里千问豪掷30亿元启动"春节请客计划",两大互联网巨 头以数十亿级真金白银入场,将AI竞争从模型比拼烧至大众消费端,全民薅羊毛的热潮席卷社交平台,流量与商业化的正面交锋,让这场用户争夺战热 闹非凡。 当国内市场打得火热之时,一家中国大模型却在海外悄然实现逆袭。Kimi在与投资人的沟通中透露,当前公司海外收入已超越国内,新模型K2.5发布 后,全球付费用户规模更是实现4倍增长。 对照这一案例,再回看Kimi近期在海外市场呈现出的收入与用户变化,其背后是否意味着公司战略重心的转移,已成为一个值得讨论的问题。 几个信号 正在指向月之暗面的全球化优先级 把时间拨回2025年9月,月之暗面正式上线了全栈智能体助手OK Computer(即Kimi Agent),其中有一个值得关注的重点信息。从上线节奏来看,月之暗 面率先开启了在海外市场的全量上线,而国内市场则采取灰度测试/邀请制,对此前曾为Kimi打赏的用户提供专属福利,包括优先体验权限及开通会员后 的等值时长补偿。 再往前追溯两个月,2025年7月,月之暗面发布并正式开源 ...
字节开源GUI Agent登顶GitHub热榜,豆包手机核心技术突破26k Star
量子位· 2026-02-08 07:11
Core Insights - The article highlights the success of ByteDance's self-developed technology, specifically the GUI Agent model UI-TARS, which has topped GitHub's trending list and surpassed 26k stars, outperforming OpenAI's official Skills [1][3]. Group 1: Technology Overview - UI-TARS is a multi-modal AI agent that can perform complex operations on various software through natural language commands, mimicking human interactions with screens [5][9]. - The core logic of UI-TARS is "purely vision-driven," allowing the AI to observe screens like a human eye, enabling it to operate regardless of whether APIs are available or interfaces are complex [11][12]. - The technology includes two main projects: Agent TARS, which operates in both web UI and server environments, and UI-TARS-desktop, a desktop application for local computer and browser operations [6][8]. Group 2: Development and Evolution - UI-TARS aims to equip agents with four key capabilities: perception, action, reasoning, and memory [21]. - The project began a year ago and has evolved significantly, with the initial version leveraging 6 million high-quality tutorial data to enhance its deep thinking capabilities [20][24]. - Subsequent iterations, such as UI-TARS-1.5 and UI-TARS-2, have improved the agent's performance, addressing data bottlenecks and enhancing its ability to integrate various functionalities [26][28]. Group 3: Market Impact and Future Prospects - The article notes that UI-TARS has become one of the most popular open-source multi-modal agents, with significant attention from industry leaders [30]. - The technology is positioned to revolutionize how AI interacts with users, as highlighted by industry figures who predict that products like UI-TARS will significantly impact the market by 2025 [32][34]. - The article concludes by emphasizing the potential of GUI agents to bridge the gap between AI capabilities and human tasks, suggesting a transformative effect on productivity and efficiency [37][38].
王慧文“点将”Clawdbot,我们和一位「中国Clawdbot」创业者聊了聊
3 6 Ke· 2026-02-08 00:34
文|钟楚笛 编辑|周鑫雨 时隔三年,2026年2月7日凌晨,王慧文(美团联合创始人)又发了一封英雄帖。 这次,他不再组局做大模型,而是瞄准了当下最火热的赛道:Clawdbot(现改名为"OpenClaw")。投资、攒聚,甚至当"猎头",在Clawdbot身上,王 慧文倾注了不亚于对大模型的热情。 王慧文英雄帖。图源:王慧文即刻 毫无疑问,Clawdbot是2026开年最性感的AI应用故事。这个由奥地利开发者Peter Steinberger开源的项目,是一个能直接在本地设备运行的Agent框架。 后来,为了避免侵权Claude,Cawdbot改名为Moltbot,最近又变成了OpenClaw(为了方便理解,文中将仍然使用Clawdbot)。 相较于在云端运行的Manus,部署在本地的Clawdbot,成在"野"。 不设限的操作模式,让Clawdbot将执行力发挥到了极致。运营各种规模的企业、打理电商平台,甚至砍价、炒股,Clawdbot能够基于用户指令和本地 数据,自主完成各项复杂任务。 但败也在"野"。 不设限,意味着有失控的风险。曾有用户,被Clawdbot删除了所有邮件,亏光了账户所有的钱。也有用户被C ...
硅基流动杨攀:2026 年最大的创业机会,是给 Agent「造基建」
Founder Park· 2026-02-06 01:01
站在年初,硅基流动联合创始人杨攀从 AI Infra 的角度,聊了聊他对于 AI 趋势变化背后的一些思考。 以下文章来源于43 Talks ,作者言晏 43 Talks . 如果你厌倦了流于表面的信息,渴望一场智力上的"极限挑战",43 Talks 将是你汲取养分、淬炼思想的绝佳场域。 2026 年 1 月,这一个月所发生的变化,相当于过去 25 年里任意半年的总和。 这是一个大事件频发的时期,以至于像 Clawdbot 这样的产品,都能在一周之内三次更名。 只有那些通过燃烧 Token 来解决核心问题的应用,才是真正的 AI Native 应用。 AI 在组织层面产生的效率提升倍数,其实远低于个人层面。 AI 在许多领域的生产力已经超越了人类。从现在开始,我们应该停止为人类开发软件。为 Agent 构建基础设施,是一个巨大的机会。 每个 Agent 每天调用接口和访问数据的频率将远超人类使用手机的频率。 在几乎所有人都能产出 80 分水平的产品,且生产成本趋近于零的时代,拥有品牌、流量、渠道 将具备极大的优势。这也是为什么 KOL 等具备影响力的人群具有如此高的价值。 以下是杨攀在 43 Talks 202 ...
超越 Chatbot:Long-horizon Agent 如何重新定义 AI 产品形态|Jinqiu Select
锦秋集· 2026-02-05 11:40
「Jinqiu Select」 跨越语言与时差,传递科技圈最值得被听到的声音。 < Overview > Harrison Chase 作为 LangChain 的联合创始人 兼 CEO,是 AI Agent(AI 智能体)基础设施领域最具影响力的工程实践者之一。 自 2022 年开源 LangChain 以来,他 亲历了从早期 GPT-3.5 的简单链式调用,到如今 Claude Code、Deep Research 等长程 Agent 爆发的完整技术周期。 Chatbot 已经不适合 作为新一代 AI 产品的主流形态了。 这不是模型能力的问题,而是产品形态的问题。 Chatbot 的本质是"即时响应",追求的是低延迟和高流畅度。 但真正有价值的一些日常工作从来不是这样运转的。一份优质的研究报告需要反复检索、交叉验证、结构化整理;一个可靠的代码 PR 需要理解上下文、规划方 案、测试验证、处理边界情况。 这些任务的共同特点是:它们需要时间,需要多步骤的自主决策,需要在过程中不断调整策略。换句话说, 它们需要的不是一个"即时响应者",而是一个"长程执 行者"。 这正是 Long-horizon Agent 崛 ...
李想朋友圈: Agent会十倍、百倍放大人与人的差距
理想TOP2· 2026-02-04 01:44
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that while AI agents were initially thought to reduce the capability gap between individuals, they are actually amplifying disparities significantly, potentially by factors of ten or a hundred [1] - Current consumer demand and available time are lagging behind productivity growth, leading to a situation where productivity increases may result in internal competition and deflation for a period [1] Group 2 - In 2025, three groundbreaking AI products were identified: Claude Code, Doubao Phone, and Manus, indicating significant advancements in the AI sector [3] - In January 2026, three more remarkable AI products emerged: OpenClaw, MoltBook, and Chrome Gemini, showcasing the rapid evolution of AI technology [3]
武汉AI新贵欲携140亿赴美享福,却被商务部停令拦下,百亿梦想如何安放?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-01 18:39
2026年初,旧金山湾区依旧弥漫着海风特有的湿冷,但这种寒意远不及肖弘内心的跌落。就在同一天清晨,他距离踏入Meta总部,完成收购协议的最后签 字,仅一步之遥。那份厚达两百页、足以让他和团队安享数代荣华的收购协议,价值20亿美元,曾是他叩开硅谷顶级富豪圈层的入场券。然而,一份来自北 京的加急公文,如同惊雷般在最关键的时刻切断了所有资金流转的渠道。这并非商业谈判中的寻常变卦,而是国家意志以行政手段的直接介入。 回溯肖弘从武汉光谷一个不起眼的孵化器,到新加坡滨海湾的豪华写字楼,再到硅谷谈判桌的曲折历程,他本以为自己策划了一场天衣无缝的资本"逃脱 术"。但他忽略了,在这个时代,最敏感的变量是技术。在国际科技冷战的背景下,技术的属性早已超越了商品的边界。这场博弈的伏笔,其实早在四年前 他敲下Manus项目第一行代码时便已悄然埋下。彼时,他未曾意识到,技术之路的终点,并非仅仅是资本的光辉。或许,每个创业者都曾幻想,终极成功不 过是一场惊天交易。但历史的车轮滚滚向前,有些关卡,远比想象中复杂。 01 萌芽:武汉光谷的"国家队"基因 时光回溯至2022年,盛夏时节,武汉喻家山下的梧桐树绿意葱茏。在这片被誉为"中国工程师摇篮 ...
万字拆解:Manus 的 PMF 到底是什么,以及谁在为它一直买单?
Founder Park· 2026-01-30 03:33
以下文章来源于ThinkingHumans ,作者约尔 Yor ThinkingHumans . A builder, an observer, an investor, and a writer, with a community of fun facts, opinions, and technologists. 文章转载自「ThinkingHumans」,作者贺夏雨。 去年一年,AI 应用不少,表面上收入、用户数、融资额这些指标都在疯涨,但实际上已经越来越难反映真实情况了。 12 月低,Manus 以数十亿美元被 Meta 收购的消息,震动了 AI 圈。为什么是 Manus 跑出来了?PMF 是如何找准的? 站在年初,我们再来回头看,Manus 作为一个很具代表性的产品样本,是怎么一步步找到了自己的位置,到底是哪些用户在哪些场景下一直使用、一直付 费? 这篇文章,用一种完全基于一手事实的分析和推演方式,拆解了 Manus 的真实用户行为。 可落地的 Skill 搭建方法 从一个想法或一套 SOP,拆解成真正能跑起来的 Skill 写在前面:为什么看 Reddit 和 Discord 在这次分析中,我刻意 ...