Group 1 - Tesla's board chairman, Robyn Denholm, confirmed that several new vehicles are set to be launched, sparking renewed interest in Tesla's vehicle plans [1] - The recently launched "standard versions" of Model 3 and Model Y, which have simplified features compared to the "premium versions," may be part of the new vehicle lineup [1] Group 2 - The highly anticipated entry-level model, referred to as "Model 2," is expected to be priced around $25,000, targeting consumers who cannot afford Tesla's higher-end models [3] - There is speculation regarding the timing of the Model 2 release, especially after the recent launch of the standard versions of Model 3 and Model Y [3] - Tesla's "Cybercab" project, aimed at the same price range as Model 2, may progress faster due to the company's focus on autonomous driving technology [3] Group 3 - There is significant demand for a full-size SUV from Tesla to compete with models like the Ford Expedition and Chevrolet Tahoe, as the current Model X does not meet the needs for larger capacity and storage [4] - A recent promotional video hinted at the development of a "Cyber SUV," and Tesla's chief designer has indicated that the company is considering launching a Cyber-style SUV or a more traditional small electric pickup [4]

Core Insights - Tesla reported mixed results for Q3, with revenue of $28.1 billion, a 12% year-over-year increase, and deliveries of 497,000 vehicles, up 7.4%, both hitting historical highs. However, net profit fell to $1.37 billion, a 37% decline year-over-year, and adjusted net profit dropped 29%, significantly below market expectations [1][17] - The company is facing challenges with its pricing strategy, as it has resorted to price cuts to boost sales, which has led to a decline in vehicle margins and consumer perception of quality [3][6][9] Financial Performance - Q3 revenue reached $28.1 billion, a 12% increase from the previous year, while net profit was $1.37 billion, down 37% year-over-year [1] - The average selling price of Tesla vehicles decreased from approximately $55,000 in 2022 to $41,800 in Q3 2023, reflecting a significant drop in vehicle margins [3][8] - The automotive gross margin fell to 15.4%, with per vehicle gross profit estimated at $6,400, a reduction of over 50% compared to previous years [8][9] Pricing Strategy - Tesla introduced lower-priced models, such as the Model Y Standard and Model 3 Standard, but faced criticism for reducing features, leading to negative consumer feedback [2][6] - The company has been using financial promotions and subsidies to manage inventory, but the effectiveness of these strategies is in question as consumer trust appears to be eroding [3][6] Innovation and Future Outlook - Tesla's future growth narrative relies heavily on advancements in autonomous driving, robotics, and AI, with Musk emphasizing these areas during earnings calls [10][15] - Despite the focus on new technologies, the company has faced delays in the rollout of its robotics business, with significant technical challenges reported [13][15] - The energy generation and storage business saw a 44% revenue increase to $3.42 billion, but this segment remains a small part of Tesla's overall business [15] Leadership and Governance - A new ten-year compensation plan for Musk has sparked controversy, with critics arguing that it is excessive and questioning Musk's focus on Tesla amid his other ventures [17][18] - Musk's potential departure raises concerns about Tesla's future direction, as he has shown more interest in AI and robotics than in traditional automotive operations [19][20]

Core Insights - Tesla Inc. is considering a fundamental design change for the upcoming Cybercab, potentially including traditional vehicle controls like a steering wheel and pedals [2][3]. Group 1: Design Changes - Tesla's Board Chair Robyn Denholm indicated that the Cybercab could feature a steering wheel and pedals if necessary, suggesting flexibility in its design [2]. - The Cybercab may serve as Tesla's Model 2, positioned as a more affordable option below the Model 3 in the company's electric vehicle lineup [2]. Group 2: Market Reactions - Ross Gerber, co-founder of Gerber Kawasaki, previously suggested adding a steering wheel and pedals to the Cybercab to enhance its marketability as an affordable model [3]. - Following Denholm's comments, Gerber expressed optimism on social media, indicating that Tesla is aligning with market realities to ensure the Cybercab's success [4]. Group 3: Testing and Development - The Cybercab has been observed undergoing testing at Tesla's Gigafactory in Texas and the Fremont facility, indicating progress in its development [5]. Group 4: Robotaxi Updates - CEO Elon Musk mentioned during a recent earnings call that Tesla aims to deploy driverless Robotaxis in 8-10 major U.S. cities by the end of the year, revising earlier expectations of broader service coverage [6]. Group 5: Performance Metrics - Tesla is noted for strong momentum and quality metrics, satisfactory growth, but poor value, with a favorable price trend across short, medium, and long-term perspectives [7].

I either put my money into low cost funds or in single stocks that (I think) are asymmetric bets. My portfolio is roughly 50/50 between the two. I like to write about Macro and Fundamentals, with the (painful) awareness that Momentum and Sentiment are what really matters. That’s the reason I never try to time the market and I only buy stocks if I am willing to hold them for at least 10 years.When it comes to fundamentals, I think everybody knows the market is forward looking, but few truly understand what t ...

Tesla could sure use a Model 2 right about now https://t.co/L86AZLkrls ...

Core Insights - Tesla's stock has rebounded significantly, gaining over 28% in September and erasing year-to-date losses, driven by Elon Musk's purchase of 2.568 million shares worth approximately $1 billion and optimism surrounding the Robotaxi launch in Arizona [1][2][3] Company Overview - Tesla, valued at over $1.4 trillion, has transformed from an EV startup to a global innovator, integrating electric vehicles, battery storage, solar energy, and robotics into a cohesive ecosystem [3] - The company is focused on reshaping mobility and promoting sustainable energy solutions [3] Recent Developments - Tesla launched its Robotaxi program in Austin, expanded into California, and received regulatory approval in Arizona, allowing self-driving vehicles to operate in Phoenix [5][15] - The Robotaxi initiative aims to revolutionize urban mobility, offering cost-effective and efficient transportation solutions [6][15] Financial Performance - Tesla's Q2 2025 earnings report showed revenue of $22.5 billion, down 12% year-over-year, with earnings per share (EPS) declining 23% to $0.27 [9][10] - Deliveries fell to 384,122, a decrease of over 13%, attributed to an aging vehicle lineup and increased competition from Chinese manufacturers [10] - Despite challenges, gross margins were at 17.2%, and the company maintained a cash reserve of $36.8 billion, although free cash flow dropped significantly to $146 million [11][12] Market Outlook - Analysts predict a challenging year for Tesla in 2025, with EPS expected to fall 41% year-over-year to $1.20, but anticipate a recovery in 2026 with EPS potentially rising to $2 [13] - Mizuho Securities raised its price target for Tesla to $450, citing resilient EV demand and production increases, while Piper Sandler increased its target to $500, emphasizing Tesla's leadership in autonomous vehicles [18][19] - Baird's analysis suggests Tesla could achieve significant growth by 2035, potentially reaching a market cap of over $5.5 trillion if ambitious targets are met [21] Competitive Landscape - Tesla faces stiff competition from established players like Waymo and Amazon's Zoox, which are advancing in the autonomous vehicle space [17] - Regulatory approvals and safety concerns remain critical hurdles for Tesla's Robotaxi program [16][23] Analyst Sentiment - The overall rating for Tesla stock is mixed, with 13 analysts recommending a "Strong Buy," while others remain cautious, reflecting a divided opinion on the company's future prospects [22]

Tesla TSLA is pushing toward record third-quarter deliveries while sharpening its focus on artificial intelligence and autonomy despite rising competition from Chinese EV makers.The company continues to lead on real-world AI and self-driving technology, even as brand challenges and political headwinds weigh on its outlook.Tesla stock gained on Monday after Piper Sandler analyst Alex Potter maintained an Overweight rating and raised its price forecast from $400 to $500.Also Read: Tesla’s Model YL Takes On To ...

馬斯克騙了所有人？ 那個讓我們 等了多年的 特斯拉平價車 根本不存在嗎？ 至少 不是以我們 想像的方式存在 汽車界的 拆車之神 Sandy Munro 最近爆出一個 驚天猛料！ 他說Cybercab 那台無人計程車 根本就是個 特洛伊木馬！ 它隨時可能 變身成 特斯拉的平價車 就是Model 2！ 你沒聽錯 這不只是 一台計程車 更是馬斯克 用來顛覆整個 平價汽車市場的 終極武器！ 這到底是個 什麼驚天佈局？ 難道馬斯克 真的要用一台 無人駕駛的出租車 來消滅所有 傳統的家用轎車嗎？ 你認為這會 成為現實嗎？. ...

Industry Analysis & Market Trends - Tesla's Cybercab may be a "Trojan horse" for Model 2, potentially disrupting the affordable car market [2] - The emergence of Cybercab could make competitors like Waymo seem outdated, representing a potential paradigm shift in autonomous driving [2] - Tesla is focusing on a more challenging but potentially more rewarding development path by prioritizing visual and AI-driven autonomous driving solutions over LiDAR and high-precision maps [2] - Tesla is re-releasing used Model 3 and Y vehicles through leasing programs in California and Texas, with monthly rents starting as low as $225, to stabilize used car prices and promote FSD adoption [2] - Modern Motors invested approximately $1 billion to increase its stake in Motional, an autonomous driving technology company, now holding over 85% of the company's shares [3] - Motional is shifting its technical approach from rule-based systems to machine learning-driven motion planning, indicating a move away from LiDAR and high-precision maps towards a "pure vision" solution similar to Tesla's [3] Tesla Production & Operations - Tesla is planning an invite-only event at Giga Texas on August 29th, offering attendees a behind-the-scenes look at the production process and the latest product line, potentially related to Robotaxi [2] - Tesla China has reintroduced the traditional turn signal lever in the new Model 3 configuration and offers an official retrofit service for existing Highland owners at a cost of 2499 RMB [3] Musk's Perspective - Elon Musk considers The Wall Street Journal to be the worst newspaper globally, refusing to even use it as birdcage lining [3]

Core Viewpoint - Tesla's stock price has experienced volatility, but projections suggest it could reach $500 by late 2026 to 2028, representing a potential upside of 58% from its current price of $316 [1][2]. Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, Tesla reported a 12% year-over-year decline in total revenue to $22.4 billion, with vehicle sales revenue dropping 16% compared to Q2 2024 [4]. Market Capitalization and Earnings Growth - To justify a $500 share price, Tesla would need to grow its market capitalization from approximately $1.01 trillion to $1.6 trillion, requiring annual earnings of $16 billion to $20 billion, up from the current range of $9 billion to $10 billion [5]. Path to $500 Share Price - The base-case scenario indicates that Tesla could reach $500 between late 2026 and mid-2027, contingent on scaling a Robotaxi service, increasing revenue from Full Self-Driving software, and launching a mass-market vehicle like the $25,000 Model 2 [6]. Key Catalysts - Successful rollout of the Robotaxi service, widespread adoption of Tesla's low-cost EV platform in 2026, and monetization of AI and robotics efforts, including the Optimus humanoid robot and advancements in Full Self-Driving technology, are identified as key catalysts [7]. Alternate Timelines - A bullish scenario could see the $500 target reached as early as Q4 2025, while a more cautious outlook suggests it might not be achieved until between 2028 and 2030 [8].