澜起科技：Q3 剔除股份支付费用的业绩同比高增，互连芯片收入再创新高 | | | 执业证书编号：S0740521120002 Email：wangfang02@zts.com.cn 执业证书编号：S0740521120001 Email：yangxu01@zts.com.cn 分析师：康丽侠 执业证书编号：S0740525040001 Email：kanglx@zts.com.cn 半导体 | 总股本(百万股) | 1,146.43 | | --- | --- | | 流通股本(百万股) | 1,146.43 | | 市价(元) | 133.52 | | 市值(百万元) | 153,070.87 | | 流通市值(百万元) | 153,070.87 | 澜起科技（688008.SH） 证券研究报告/公司点评报告 2026 年 01 月 06 日 | 评级： | 买入（维持） | 公司盈利预测及估值 | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 指标 | | 2023A | ...

澜起科技主营业务包括内存接口芯片、PCIe Retimer芯片、津逮CPU等。2025年前三季度，公司实现营 业总收入40.58亿元，同比增长57.83%；归母净利润16.32亿元，同比增长66.89%。 澜起科技同日公告，公司发行H股并在香港联交所主板上市的计划已取得关键进展。公司已于2025年7 月11日向港交所递交上市申请，并于2025年12月9日获得中国证监会出具的境外发行上市备案通知书。 2025年12月15日，香港联交所上市委员会已举行聆讯并审议通过公司本次发行上市的申请。 中证智能财讯澜起科技（688008）1月6日公告2025年第二次股份回购方案实施进展。截至2025年12月31 日，公司已累计回购A股股份166.20万股，占总股本0.14%，累计支付金额约2.20亿元。公司股票1月5日 收盘价为127.75元/股，上涨8.45%。 该回购方案已于2025年7月获股东大会通过，计划使用自有资金2亿元至4亿元，以集中竞价交易方式回 购股份用于减少注册资本。最初回购价格上限为不超过118.00元/股，后因权益分派调整为117.80元/股。 2025年10月，公司董事会审议通过将回购价格上限大幅上调 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Lanke Technology, is a leading global player in data processing and interconnect chip design, focusing on high-performance, low-power chip solutions for cloud computing and artificial intelligence [1] Group 1: Product Lines - Lanke Technology has two main product lines: interconnect chips and the Zindai server platform, with a strong position in the memory interface chip industry as one of the top three global DDR5 manufacturers [1] - The interconnect chip product line includes a comprehensive range of products such as memory interface chips (including MRCD/MDB chips, CKD chips), memory module supporting chips, PCIe Retimer chips, MXC chips, and clock chips [2] - The Zindai server platform includes Zindai CPUs, data protection and trusted computing acceleration chips, and hybrid secure memory modules (HSDIMM), providing a secure computing platform for cloud data centers [2] Group 2: Growth Drivers - The company is experiencing significant growth driven by the increasing penetration of DDR5 and the demand for AI-related "capacity" chips, with notable performance from PCIe Retimer, MRCD/MDB, and CKD chips [2] - The MXC chip, recognized as the world's first CXL MXC chip, is applied in memory expansion and pooling, maintaining an industry-leading position and benefiting from high-performance computing and AI demand [2] Group 3: Financial Outlook - The company is expected to maintain strong growth, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 at 2.4 billion, 3.4 billion, and 4.6 billion yuan, corresponding to current PE valuations of 57, 39, and 29 times [3] - The company has been rated as a "buy" due to its leading position in memory supporting chips and its advanced layout in AI-related capacity chips [3]

Core Insights - In September, a total of 335 companies on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board were investigated by institutions, with 17 companies receiving over 100 inquiries each [1] - The most investigated companies included Juhe Materials, Maiwei Bio, Juguang Technology, Lankai Technology, and Jingzhida, with inquiry counts of 370, 340, 305, 231, and 194 respectively [1] - Key sectors attracting attention were semiconductors, automation equipment, photovoltaic equipment, specialized equipment, and bioproducts [1] Company Developments - Juhe Materials announced plans to acquire SK Enpulse's blank mask business for 68 billion KRW, aiming to enhance its strategic layout and address domestic semiconductor material shortages [2][3] - Maiwei Bio formed a partnership with Aditum Bio to establish Kalexo Bio and secured a global exclusive licensing agreement for a cardiovascular siRNA drug [2] - Zhongkong Technology introduced the concept of "industrial embodied intelligence," aiming to integrate autonomous intelligence into the entire production process [3] Sector Focus - Institutions showed significant interest in companies within the chip interconnection, optical interconnection, battery, and energy storage sectors [4] - Lankai Technology is advancing its MXC chip and PCIe Retimer chip, which are crucial for AI server applications, enhancing bandwidth and reducing latency [5][6] - Xiatuo New Energy is focusing on solid-state battery materials and has achieved stable production of oxide solid-state electrolytes [7][8] Financial Performance - Hai Moxing reported a 350 million CNY inventory impairment in the first half of the year but expects improvement in the coming quarters [9] - Mei Ai Technology anticipates a long-term increase in overall gross margin, driven by a higher proportion of consumable products and expanding overseas market share [10] - Jingchen Co. noted a significant increase in inventory due to a surge in orders, with a record shipment volume in the second quarter [10]

Core Viewpoint - The strategic alliance between NVIDIA and Intel aims to integrate AI-accelerated computing with the x86 ecosystem, significantly enhancing the influence of NVIDIA's NVLink technology over the traditional PCIe standard [3][15][21] Group 1: NVLink vs PCIe - NVLink technology offers several times the bandwidth and lower latency compared to PCIe, posing a significant challenge to the long-standing PCIe standard [3][15] - Intel's embrace of NVLink is a symbolic shift, indicating a potential restructuring of CPU and GPU interconnect paradigms, which may impact the demand for PCIe Retimer chips [3][15][21] Group 2: PCIe Retimer Chips - PCIe Retimer chips emerged as a necessary solution to address signal integrity issues as data transfer rates increased from PCIe 3.0 to PCIe 6.0, with insertion loss rising from 22dB to 36dB [6][7] - Retimer chips are crucial for extending transmission distances and improving signal quality in high-speed data center environments, especially as AI demands grow [10][11] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The PCIe Retimer chip market is characterized by a "duopoly" led by AsteraLabs and Lanqi Technology, with other players like Pericom and TI competing in various segments [12][13][14] - The global PCIe Retimer chip market is projected to reach $1.8 billion by 2025, driven by the increasing demand for high-speed interconnects in AI and server applications [14] Group 4: Impact of NVIDIA and Intel Alliance - The partnership between NVIDIA and Intel may disrupt the PCIe Retimer market, as NVLink's superior bandwidth and lower latency could reduce the need for Retimer chips in AI server configurations [15][16][21] - Intel's integration of NVLink into its x86 CPUs could lead to a shift in the server ecosystem, potentially establishing NVLink as the new industry standard [17][18] Group 5: Future Outlook - Despite the potential challenges posed by NVLink, PCIe Retimer chips may still hold value in scenarios where long-distance transmission and complex topologies are required, ensuring their relevance in the AI era [21]

Core Insights - The strategic alliance between NVIDIA and Intel aims to integrate AI accelerated computing with the x86 ecosystem, focusing on the NVLink technology's interconnect capabilities, which poses a significant challenge to the long-dominant PCIe standard [1][15][21] - Intel's embrace of NVLink is symbolically significant, indicating a potential restructuring of CPU and GPU interconnect paradigms, which may impact the PCIe Retimer chip market [1][15][21] Group 1: NVLink and PCIe Dynamics - NVLink technology offers several times the bandwidth and lower latency compared to PCIe, making it a formidable competitor in AI training and large-scale computing scenarios [1][15] - The introduction of NVLink could lead to a decline in the relevance of PCIe Retimer chips, which are primarily used to address signal integrity issues in long-distance PCIe connections [15][18] - The collaboration between NVIDIA and Intel may redefine the interconnect protocols in data centers, potentially leading to a shift from general compatibility to vertical integration [18][21] Group 2: Retimer Chip Market Overview - The PCIe Retimer chip is essential for maintaining signal integrity in high-speed data transmission, especially as PCIe standards evolve and data rates increase [3][4][10] - The market for PCIe Retimer chips is expected to grow significantly, driven by the increasing demand for AI servers and high-performance computing [14][10] - Major players in the Retimer chip market include AsteraLabs and 澜起科技, with competition intensifying as companies adapt to the evolving landscape [11][12][13] Group 3: Future Implications - If the NVLink strategy is successfully implemented, it could lead to a fundamental redesign of AI server architectures, with a reduced need for Retimer chips in certain configurations [19][21] - The potential for NVLink to become an industry standard, especially with Intel's involvement, could further diminish the market for PCIe Retimer chips [18][21] - Despite the challenges posed by NVLink, there remain scenarios where Retimer chips are indispensable, particularly in complex topologies and non-GPU device interconnections [21]

Core Viewpoint - The strategic alliance between NVIDIA and Intel aims to integrate AI-accelerated computing with the advantages of the x86 ecosystem, focusing on the NVLink technology architecture, which poses a significant challenge to the long-dominant PCIe standard [2][3] Group 1: NVLink vs PCIe - NVLink offers several times the bandwidth and lower latency compared to PCIe, making it superior for AI training and large-scale computing, thus threatening the PCIe technology route [2][3] - Intel's embrace of NVLink is symbolically significant, indicating a potential restructuring of CPU and GPU interconnect paradigms, which may impact the Retimer chip market that relies on PCIe [2][3] Group 2: Retimer Chips - Retimer chips are essential for addressing signal integrity issues in PCIe connections, especially as data transfer rates increase with newer PCIe versions [5][6] - The demand for Retimer chips is expected to rise significantly due to the expansion of cloud computing and AI servers, where multiple GPUs are used, necessitating 8 to 16 Retimer chips per AI server [10][11] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The Retimer chip market is characterized by a "duopoly" led by AsteraLabs and Lanqi Technology, with competition from traditional analog giants and other players [12][13] - The global PCIe Retimer chip market is projected to reach $1.8 billion by 2025, driven by the increasing need for high-speed interconnects in AI and server applications [15] Group 4: Impact of NVIDIA and Intel Alliance - The collaboration between NVIDIA and Intel may disrupt the Retimer chip market, as NVLink's superior bandwidth and lower latency could reduce the need for signal compensation chips [17][19] - If Intel's CPUs begin to support NVLink, it could accelerate the adoption of NVLink as a standard, further diminishing the role of Retimer chips in the ecosystem [19][20] Group 5: Future Outlook - Despite the potential challenges posed by NVLink, Retimer chips may still hold value in scenarios where long-distance transmission and complex topologies are involved, ensuring data integrity in non-GPU device interconnections [23]

Core Viewpoint - The article outlines the evolution of Montage Technology (澜起科技) from its inception to becoming a global leader in memory interface chips, emphasizing its strategic pivots and technological advancements in the semiconductor industry [1][23]. Group 1: Company History and Development - In 2004, Yang Chonghe founded Montage Technology in Shanghai after leaving IDT, initially focusing on digital TV set-top box chips [1][5]. - The company achieved a significant breakthrough in 2011 with DDR3 memory interface technology, marking the first time a Chinese company broke the international monopoly in high-end memory core fields [1][6]. - Montage Technology went public on NASDAQ in 2013, which initially boosted its brand recognition but later faced challenges due to allegations regarding its financial data [7][8]. Group 2: Strategic Shifts and Market Focus - Following its privatization in 2014, Montage Technology restructured its business, divesting from consumer electronics to concentrate on server chip markets [9][10]. - The company developed the DDR4 architecture, which was adopted as an international standard, and initiated the "Jindai Server" project to create domestic server solutions [10][11]. - By focusing on server chips, Montage Technology gained access to the X86 ecosystem, significantly expanding its market reach [11][12]. Group 3: Technological Advancements and Market Leadership - In the 2020s, Montage Technology led the transition from DDR4 to DDR5 memory technology, becoming one of the first to launch DDR5 interface chips [14][21]. - The company holds nearly 40% of the global memory interconnect chip market share, with over 50% in the DDR5 segment, establishing a dominant position in a market characterized by oligopoly [21][24]. - Montage Technology is actively developing CXL technology, which is anticipated to be crucial for future data center architectures, with projections indicating a significant market expansion by 2028 [18][24]. Group 4: Financial Performance and Future Outlook - In 2024, Montage Technology reported a record revenue of 3.64 billion yuan, driven by the recovery in global server demand and increased DDR5 penetration [23][24]. - The company’s high-performance chips contributed significantly to revenue growth, indicating a robust second revenue stream [23][24]. - With ongoing collaborations with industry giants like Intel and Samsung, Montage Technology is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for memory bandwidth and high-speed interconnects in AI servers [24].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent performance of the A-share market, highlighting sector movements and specific companies that have attracted institutional interest, particularly in the context of new energy and technology sectors. Market Performance - During the week of September 1-5, the A-share market experienced a slight pullback, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 1.18% to close at 3812.51 points, while the Shenzhen Component fell 0.83%. The ChiNext Index, however, rose by 2.35% [3]. Sector Analysis - The performance across the Shenwan first-level industries was mixed, with sectors such as electric power equipment, light industry manufacturing, and textiles showing strong gains, while defense, computer, and communication sectors lagged behind. Notably, themes related to new energy, including power batteries, photovoltaic inverters, lithium battery electrolytes, and energy storage, showed significant rotation and activity [4]. Institutional Research - A total of 353 companies disclosed institutional research minutes during the week, with approximately 30% of these companies achieving positive returns. For instance, China Ruilin saw a stock price increase of 27.64% over four days, while several other companies, including Huasheng Lithium Battery and Huawai Technology, reported gains exceeding 20% [4]. Notable Companies - **澜起科技 (Lanke Technology)**: - The company received attention from 231 institutions, reporting a revenue of 2.633 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 58.17%, and a net profit of 1.159 billion yuan, up 95.41%. The growth was attributed to strong demand in the AI industry, particularly for DDR5 memory interface and related chips [7][6]. - **炬光科技 (Juguang Technology)**: - The company was surveyed by 192 institutions, reporting a revenue of 393 million yuan, a 26.20% increase, and a net loss reduction to 24.94 million yuan. The overall gross margin improved to 33%, driven by business structure optimization and successful transitions in product lines [10][9]. - **恺英网络 (Kaiying Network)**: - This internet gaming company engaged with 162 institutions, achieving a revenue of 2.578 billion yuan, a 0.89% increase, and a net profit of 950 million yuan, up 17.41%. The company is advancing in AI model development and plans to launch an AI-driven toy brand targeting emotional companionship for young adults [12][11].

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a slight pullback from September 1 to 5, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 1.18% to close at 3812.51 points, while the Shenzhen Component fell 0.83% and the ChiNext Index rose 2.35% [1] - Among the sectors, power equipment, light industry manufacturing, and textile and apparel showed the highest gains, while defense, computer, and communication sectors performed relatively weak [1] - New energy themes such as power batteries, photovoltaic inverters, lithium battery electrolytes, lithium battery anode materials, and energy storage exhibited significant rotation and activity [1] Institutional Research Highlights - A total of 353 companies disclosed institutional research minutes last week, with approximately 30% of these companies achieving positive returns [1] - Notable performers included China Ruilin, which saw a stock price increase of 27.64% over four days, and several other companies like Huasheng Lithium Battery and Huawai Technology, which recorded gains exceeding 20% [1] Company-Specific Insights 澜起科技 (Chip Design) - 澜起科技 received attention from 231 institutions last week, reporting a revenue of 2.633 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 58.17%, and a net profit of 1.159 billion yuan, up 95.41% [3] - The company attributed its growth to the booming AI industry, with significant increases in the shipment of DDR5 memory interface and module chips, as well as rapid growth in three high-performance chips [3][4] - The PCIe Retimer chip, crucial for AI servers, has evolved from PCIe 3.0 to PCIe 4.0, doubling data transmission speed from 8GT/s to 16GT/s, addressing issues of signal integrity and timing [3][4] 炬光科技 (Optical Technology) - 炬光科技 engaged with 192 institutions, reporting a revenue of 393 million yuan for the first half of 2025, a 26.20% increase, and a net loss reduction to 24.94 million yuan, improving cash flow [6] - The company's gross margin improved significantly to 33%, driven by optimizing business structure, turning around the gross margin of automotive micro-lens array products, and accelerating new business development [6] 恺英网络 (Gaming Industry) - 恺英网络 held discussions with 162 institutions, achieving a revenue of 2.578 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a 0.89% increase, and a net profit of 950 million yuan, up 17.41% [8] - The company introduced its AI toy brand "Warm Star Valley Dream Journey," targeting emotional companionship for the 12-35 age group, with plans to launch products in 2025 [8][9] - Additionally, 恺英网络 developed an AI full-process development platform "SOON" for the gaming industry, significantly shortening traditional game development cycles, and has attracted strategic investments [9]