Core Insights - The platform revenue is the main growth driver, achieving profitability for the first time in a single quarter. The company reported a revenue of 4.402 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 36.8% [1] - In Q3 2025, the revenue reached 1.776 billion yuan, up 31.4% year-on-year. The "Prophet" platform continued to show high growth, generating 1.543 billion yuan in revenue for Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 67.6% [1] - The number of benchmark customers increased to 103, with a significant rise in average revenue per user (ARPU) to 25.49 million yuan, up 71.4% year-on-year [1] Revenue Breakdown - The "Prophet" platform accounted for 86.9% of total revenue in Q3 2025, compared to 68.1% in the same period last year [1] - The SHIFT intelligent solutions generated 231 million yuan in revenue for Q3 2025, a slight decline of 1.7% year-on-year, while AIGS revenue plummeted to 2 million yuan, down 99.1% year-on-year [1] R&D Efficiency - R&D expenses for the first three quarters amounted to 1.489 billion yuan, an increase of 8.4% year-on-year, with an R&D expense ratio of 33.8%, down 8.9 percentage points year-on-year [1] - Gross profit for the first three quarters was 1.621 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 20.1%, with a stable gross margin of 36.8% [1] Product Development - The company launched ModelHub XC and AI Engine EngineX on September 22, enhancing the synergy between domestic AI software and hardware. This supports multi-architecture and multi-model batch adaptation [2] - The company has made progress in AI applications in energy storage and stablecoin development [2] Investment Outlook - As an enterprise-level AI service provider, the company is positioned to benefit from top-down policy trends, with the trend of enterprise intelligence expected to accelerate over the next decade [2] - The company's enhanced adaptability among various AI infrastructure is expected to facilitate further commercialization [2] - The target price is maintained at 72.80 HKD with a "Buy" rating [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of 72.80 HKD, maintaining the current rating [3][6]. Core Insights - The company achieved its first quarterly profit in Q3 2025, driven by platform revenue growth, with total revenue for the first three quarters reaching 44.02 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 36.8%. The Q3 revenue was 17.76 billion RMB, up 31.4% year-on-year [1]. - The "XianZhi" platform continued to show strong growth, generating 15.43 billion RMB in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 67.6%, accounting for 86.9% of total revenue [1]. - The number of benchmark customers increased to 103, with a significant rise in average revenue per user (ARPU) to 25.49 million RMB, up 71.4% year-on-year [1]. - Research and development efficiency improved, with R&D expenses of 14.89 billion RMB for the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 8.4%, and an R&D expense ratio of 33.8%, down 8.9 percentage points year-on-year [1]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the upcoming years are as follows: 2024A at 5,261 million RMB, 2025E at 7,181 million RMB, 2026E at 9,579 million RMB, and 2027E at 12,539 million RMB, reflecting growth rates of 25.13%, 36.50%, 33.41%, and 30.89% respectively [8]. - The company is expected to turn profitable with a projected net profit of 58 million RMB in 2025E, increasing to 802 million RMB by 2027E, with corresponding growth rates of 121.76% and 154.35% [8]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to improve from -0.52 RMB in 2024A to 1.54 RMB in 2027E [8].

Core Insights - The article discusses the financial performance of Fourth Paradigm in the third quarter, highlighting its transition from concept to commercial viability in the AI sector, particularly in enterprise-level applications [1][2]. Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of the year, Fourth Paradigm achieved total revenue of 4.402 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 36.8%, significantly surpassing last year's growth rate [2]. - Gross profit reached 1.621 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 20.1%, and the company reported its first quarterly profit in Q3 [2][3]. Business Segments - Fourth Paradigm's business is divided into three main segments: the Prophet AI platform, SHIFT intelligent solutions, and the Shishuo AIGS service [4]. - The Prophet AI platform generated revenue of 3.692 billion yuan in the first three quarters, marking a staggering year-on-year increase of 70.1%, and accounted for 83.9% of total revenue [5]. Strategic Focus - The company is strategically focusing on the Prophet AI platform while reducing resources allocated to non-core businesses, as evidenced by a 12.5% decline in SHIFT intelligent solutions revenue and a 70.0% drop in Shishuo AIGS service revenue [5][6]. - The average revenue contribution from benchmark users in key industries increased by 71.4% to 25.49 million yuan, indicating deeper customer engagement and value extraction [6]. Market Positioning - Fourth Paradigm is positioning itself as a leader in the enterprise AI sector by addressing industry-specific needs rather than competing directly with tech giants in general AI capabilities [8][9]. - The company has developed a differentiated approach by focusing on vertical applications and building a domestic computing power ecosystem, which enhances its competitive edge [9][10]. Future Growth Potential - Fourth Paradigm has launched ModelHub XC and EngineX to address the compatibility issues between domestic computing power and models, aiming to become a key infrastructure provider in the domestic AI ecosystem [10]. - The company is also exploring new sectors such as AI in retail, energy storage, and stablecoins, which, while not yet major revenue contributors, provide significant growth potential for the next 3-5 years [11].

北京第四範式智能技術股份有限公司 （於 中 華 人 民 共 和 國 註 冊 成 立 的 股 份 有 限 公 司） （股 份 代 號：6682） 香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不 負 責，對 其 準 確 性 或 完 整 性 亦 不 發 表 任 何 聲 明，並 明 確 表 示 概 不 就 因 本 公 告 全 部或任何部份內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 Beijing Fourth Paradigm Technology Co., Ltd. 截 止2025年9月30日第三季度 業務表現 本公告乃由北京第四範式智能技術股份有限公司（「本公司」，「公 司」或「第四範 式」，連 同 附 屬 公 司，統 稱「本集團」或「集 團」）自 願 發 出。 業務回顧及展望 解 放 算 力 潛 能，加 速 應 用 端 市 場 爆 發 此 刻，我 們 正 站 在 人 類 發 展 的 一 個 重 要 時 點－全 速 迎 接AGI的 到 來。作 為 新 時 代 的「石 油」，AI價 值 的 釋 放 完 全 依 賴 於 一 種 更 核 心 的 底 層 能 力－算 力。在 全 球 科 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, with a target price of 72.80 HKD based on a P/S valuation method [3][5]. Core Insights - The company, Fourth Paradigm (6682.HK), focuses on decision AI integrated with generative AI to meet the growing demand for intelligent decision-making in enterprises, addressing challenges such as understanding AI capabilities and deployment complexities [1][3]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the accelerating trend of enterprise intelligence over the next decade, leveraging its leading advantages in machine learning platforms and model development [3][8]. - Fourth Paradigm's revenue is projected to grow significantly, with estimates of 6.894 billion RMB in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 31.05% [5][79]. Summary by Sections 1. AI Supply and Demand Matching in Enterprise Intelligence - Enterprises are shifting from digitalization to intelligent decision-making, focusing on how to embrace AI effectively [13]. - Fourth Paradigm combines a foundational technology platform with vertical solutions and AI-generated systems to empower "AI+" initiatives [21][22]. 2. Benchmark Client Expansion - The company has seen a steady increase in benchmark clients, with revenue from these clients accounting for approximately 61.6% in the first half of 2025 [79][80]. - The intelligent agent technology enhances service capabilities across various sectors, including real estate, legal, manufacturing, and healthcare, demonstrating significant operational improvements [80][81]. 3. Advantages from Policy and Ecosystem - The company benefits from a favorable policy environment promoting AI adoption, with government initiatives aiming for over 90% application penetration of new intelligent terminals by 2030 [8][9]. - Fourth Paradigm's Prophet platform shows a strong market presence and scalability in the machine learning platform sector [8][9]. 4. Profit Forecast - The company is expected to turn profitable in 2025, with a projected net profit of 57 million RMB, marking a significant turnaround from a loss of 269 million RMB in 2024 [5][79]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to improve from -0.52 RMB in 2024 to 0.11 RMB in 2025, indicating a positive trend in profitability [5][79].

Group 1: Company Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 1.40 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 62.36%[1] - The net profit for 2025 is projected to be 640 million yuan, with a growth rate of 127% compared to 2024[1] - The EPS for 2025 is expected to be 0.2, up from 0.1 in 2024[1] Group 2: Market Trends - The AI-enabled revenue has become a core driver of performance, with significant contributions from products like AI-MDT reports and lung cancer screening[1] - The company is expanding its product matrix with new AI-driven health management products, indicating a strong focus on innovation[1] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The company is implementing an "All in AI" strategy, which has shown significant operational improvements and efficiency gains[1] - Collaborations with major tech firms like Alibaba for developing innovative screening products highlight the company's commitment to leveraging AI technology[1] Group 4: Risks and Challenges - Potential risks include ongoing industry policy impacts, declining customer prices, and the possibility of AI application not meeting expectations[1] - The company faces competition in the AI healthcare space, which may affect its market position and growth trajectory[1]

Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 2.626 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 40.7% [2] - The core business, "Fourth Paradigm Prophet AI Platform," generated significant revenue of 2.149 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 71.9%, accounting for 81.8% of total revenue [2] - The SHIFT intelligent solutions generated revenue of 371 million yuan, making up 14.1% of total revenue, focusing on key industries and strategic customer applications [2] - The company reported an operating loss of 848.8 million yuan, a reduction in loss of 55.1% compared to the same period last year [2] - The total assets of the company as of June 30, 2025, were 7.759 billion yuan, a growth of 2.26% from December 31, 2024 [3] - Total liabilities decreased to 1.497 billion yuan, down 39.78% from December 31, 2024 [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [1][15]. Core Insights - The company is on a high-growth trajectory, driven by AI technology and strategic initiatives in AI and stablecoin sectors. Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 6.88 billion, 8.86 billion, and 11.28 billion RMB, with EPS estimates of 0.10, 0.54, and 1.14 RMB respectively. A target price of 86.79 HKD is set, reflecting a 4% increase [1][15]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.63 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year increase of 40.7%. The adjusted net loss narrowed by 71.2% to 0.044 billion RMB. R&D expenses were 0.89 billion RMB, up 5.1% year-on-year, with a research expense ratio of 34.0%, down 11.5% year-on-year [4][16][17]. Business Segmentation - The company's core business, the Prophet AI platform, generated revenue of 2.15 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, a 71.9% increase year-on-year, accounting for 81.8% of total revenue. The SHIFT solutions and AIGS services contributed 0.37 billion RMB and 0.11 billion RMB respectively [4][17]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is deepening its "AI + X" exploration, particularly in AI + energy storage and AI + stablecoin sectors. Collaborations include forming a joint venture to enhance energy station efficiency and developing risk control solutions for stablecoin assets [4][18].

Core Insights - Fourth Paradigm reported a significant revenue increase of 40.7% year-on-year for H1 2025, reaching 2.626 billion yuan, with a gross profit of 990 million yuan, reflecting a 25.4% growth [1] - The company's AI platform, "Prophet AI," generated 2.149 billion yuan in revenue, marking a 71.9% increase and accounting for 81.8% of total revenue [1][2] - The average revenue per benchmark user increased by 56.6% year-on-year to 17.98 million yuan, indicating enhanced value capture in the enterprise sector [1] Revenue and Profitability - The company achieved a gross margin of 37.71%, down 4.61 percentage points from the previous year, primarily due to a shift towards integrated delivery models [1][2] - Adjusted net loss narrowed by 71.2% to 44 million yuan, showcasing improved financial performance despite the loss [1] R&D and Expenses - R&D expenses rose by 5.1% year-on-year to 893 million yuan, with an R&D expense ratio of 34.0%, down 11.5 percentage points [1][2] - Total expenses for sales, management, and R&D were 189 million, 86 million, and 893 million yuan respectively, with corresponding expense ratios of 7.2%, 3.29%, and 34.0% [2] Market Position and Future Outlook - Fourth Paradigm has maintained the largest market share in China's machine learning platform sector for seven consecutive years, indicating strong competitive positioning [3] - The company is expected to benefit from the digital transformation across various industries in China, with projected revenues of 6.937 billion, 9.062 billion, and 11.797 billion yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of approximately 30% [3]

Core Viewpoint - The company has demonstrated significant revenue growth and a substantial reduction in losses in H1 2025, driven by its focus on "AI agent + world model" and continuous investment in R&D, positioning itself for further expansion in various industries through its "AI+X" strategy [1][2][3][4] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.626 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 40.7% [2] - The adjusted net loss attributable to the parent company was 44 million yuan, narrowing by approximately 71.2% year-on-year [2] - R&D expenses for H1 2025 amounted to 893 million yuan, up 5.1% year-on-year, with a R&D expense ratio of 34.0%, down 11.5% year-on-year [2] Business Segmentation - The "Fourth Paradigm Prophet AI" platform generated revenue of 2.149 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 71.9%, accounting for 81.8% of total group revenue [3] - The SHIFT intelligent solutions business contributed 371 million yuan, approximately 14.1% of total revenue [3] - The Fourth Paradigm AIGS service business generated 106 million yuan, representing about 4.1% of total revenue [3] Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively exploring "AI+X" applications, particularly in the AI + energy storage sector, by launching a joint venture to optimize control of virtual power plants and enhance operational efficiency [4] - In the AI + stablecoin sector, the company is collaborating with leading brokerages to develop risk control and compliance solutions, ensuring the safety and stability of stablecoin assets [4]