Jing Ji Ri Bao
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全球经济可能面临长期低增长风险
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2026-01-14 00:45
Global Economic Outlook - The UNCTAD report predicts a global economic growth of 2.7% in 2026, slightly lower than the 2.8% forecast for 2025, despite the significant tariff increases in the US in 2025 [1] - Global inflation is expected to decrease to 3.1% in 2026 from 3.4% in 2025, but the cost of living pressures remain high, particularly affecting low-income groups [1] Global Trade Dynamics - Global trade growth is projected to slow down to 2.2% in 2026 from 3.8% in 2025, influenced by the diminishing "front-loading" effect of tariffs [2] - Despite the overall slowdown, sectors like tourism and digital services are experiencing strong growth [2] Investment and Financial Environment - Global investment activity remains subdued due to geopolitical and policy uncertainties, with AI-related investments being a notable exception [2] - Financial markets are active, but there are concerns about asset bubbles, particularly in tech stocks [2] Labor Market Trends - The global unemployment rate is stable at around 5% in 2025, but youth and female employment issues are significant, with approximately 257 million youth being "neither in employment, education, nor training" [2] - Women's labor participation rates are still significantly lower than men's, and barriers to employment for disabled individuals persist [2] Artificial Intelligence and Economic Disparities - AI has the potential to enhance productivity, but disparities in technological capabilities and investment exist among countries, leading to uneven benefits [3] - The impact of AI on employment structures may be significant, particularly for mid- to high-skill jobs [3] Sustainable Development Challenges - The report highlights severe setbacks in achieving sustainable development goals, with extreme poverty only slightly declining and primarily concentrated in sub-Saharan Africa [3] - Climate disasters are exacerbating food prices and increasing fiscal burdens, with weak income growth in developing countries [3] Regional Economic Disparities - Economic growth disparities are expected to widen, with developed economies showing moderate growth while emerging economies face increasing fragmentation [5] - The GDP growth forecast for the US is about 2.0% in 2026, while the least developed countries are projected to grow at approximately 4.6%, below the sustainable development target of 7% [5] Fiscal and Monetary Policy Constraints - Global monetary policy is anticipated to shift towards easing in 2026, but the scope for such policies is limited, especially in developing countries facing significant fiscal pressures [5] - Approximately two-thirds of central banks are entering a rate-cutting cycle, yet policy rates remain above pre-pandemic levels [5] Importance of Multilateral Cooperation - The report emphasizes the necessity of multilateral cooperation to address global challenges in a fragmented world, focusing on inclusive and sustainable development [6] - Key multilateral initiatives include the Sevilla Commitment for global development financing, the Doha Political Declaration focusing on human development, and the Belen Plan for climate change [6]
日月光投控斥资28亿扩产 旗下矽品购入联合再生竹南厂房
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2026-01-14 00:04
Group 1 - The core point of the news is that ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. (日月光投控) is expanding its production capacity by acquiring a solar factory from United Renewable Energy for NT$28.01 billion, driven by strong demand for advanced packaging in the semiconductor industry due to the AI boom [1] - ASE's subsidiary, Siliconware Precision Industries Co., Ltd. (矽品), is actively expanding its facilities to meet the increasing demand for advanced packaging driven by AI chips, including the acquisition of a factory in Zhunan [1] - The total area of the acquired factory is approximately 41,030.55 square meters, and the transaction is expected to generate a profit of NT$21 billion for United Renewable Energy [1] Group 2 - ASE is expected to see its advanced packaging revenue reach US$4 billion (over NT$120 billion) this year, as it focuses on complex CoWoS processes and wafer testing for NVIDIA [1] - The advanced packaging capacity of ASE is projected to double by 2026, as it takes on orders overflow from TSMC, which is experiencing tight capacity for CoWoS [2] - ASE's proprietary 2.5D packaging technology (FoCOS) has successfully entered key projects, including AMD's Venice server CPU and NVIDIA's Vera server CPU, highlighting its critical role in AI chip performance [2] Group 3 - The semiconductor industry is expected to invest NT$313 billion in self-use factory purchases by 2025, with major companies like Micron and ASE actively acquiring properties in science parks [3] - ASE's acquisition of a factory in the Nanke Kaohsiung Science Park for NT$65 billion reflects the trend of technology companies prioritizing science park locations for expansion [3]
OpenAI新耳机 传立讯、鸿海代工
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2026-01-14 00:04
Group 1 - OpenAI is entering the hardware market with a new audio headset, codenamed "Sweetpea," expected to launch in September, aiming to compete with Apple's AirPods [1] - The headset will feature a unique design with a metal body and two capsule-shaped devices, and it is anticipated to use a 2nm smartphone-grade chip, likely from Samsung's Exynos series [1] - The expected first-year shipment volume for the headset is between 40 million to 50 million units [1] Group 2 - The headset is reportedly one of five hardware products being developed by OpenAI, with Foxconn (Hon Hai) as the manufacturing partner, aiming for mass production by Q4 2028 [2] - The project is prioritized by a team led by former Apple design chief Jony Ive, with other potential products including a "home device" and a "stylus" still under consideration [2] - The manufacturing location has shifted from Luxshare to Foxconn due to concerns about production in mainland China, with Vietnam confirmed as the primary site, and the possibility of production in the U.S. being discussed [2]
以有效管党治党保障经济社会发展
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2026-01-14 00:04
中国共产党一路走来的光辉历程表明:管党治党越有效,经济社会发展的保障就越有力。 党的二十届四中全会把"以全面从严治党为根本保障"写入"十五五"时期经济社会发展的指导思想, 并就持之以恒推进全面从严治党作出一系列部署。在开局之年的二十届中央纪委五次全会上,习近平总 书记进一步明确提出,要"更加坚决有力地贯彻落实党中央重大决策部署,更加科学有效地把权力关进 制度笼子,更加清醒坚定地推进反腐败斗争"。"三个更加",精准锚定新时代新征程管党治党的关键抓 手和实践路径,具有极强的现实针对性和深远的战略意义。 "十五五"时期,我国进入了基本实现社会主义现代化夯实基础、全面发力的关键时期。国际风云激 荡变幻、国内经济运行中周期性结构性矛盾较为突出,在这样的大背景下回答好时代的考题、担负起历 史的重任,迫切需要把管党治党责任进一步落实到位,不断提高党领导经济社会发展的能力和水平。 打最硬的铁,须是铁打的人。对照这样的要求,我们取得的成效有目共睹,但远未到大功告成的时 候。数据显示,2025年前11个月,全国查处的违反中央八项规定精神问题中,"在履职尽责、服务经济 社会发展和生态环境保护方面不担当、不作为、乱作为、假作为,严重 ...
赵硕刚:厚植沃土让民间资本敢投愿投
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2026-01-14 00:04
近期召开的国务院常务会议,围绕支持民间投资,提出实施中小微企业贷款贴息政策,设立民间投资专 项担保计划,建立支持民营企业债券风险分担机制,优化实施设备更新贷款财政贴息政策,进一步降低 企业融资门槛和成本。这释放出鼓励民间资本深度参与国家经济建设的信号。 民间投资是推动我国经济社会发展不可或缺的力量,激发民间投资潜力,不仅有利于发挥其对稳定投资 增速、创造就业机会、提振市场信心、促进经济增长的积极作用,而且对于推动创新发展和产业转型升 级、加快构建高水平社会主义市场经济体制、增强经济高质量发展动力均有重要意义。"十五五"规划建 议提出,"完善民营企业参与重大项目建设长效机制""激发民间投资活力、提高民间投资比重",明确了 今后一段时期促进民间投资发展的政策方向。当前,随着民间投资市场准入持续放宽,要素保障不断加 强,民营企业参与国家重大项目、重点领域建设的积极性显著提高,并且加速布局高新技术产业、战略 性新兴产业和未来产业,人工智能、商业航天、低空经济、绿色能源、生物医药等成为投资热点。民间 投资"向实""向新""向高"态势凸显。 增强投资信心。通过权威解读与典型案例宣传,加大促进民营经济和民间投资发展政策的宣 ...
网络平台迎来更精细化管理
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2026-01-14 00:04
Core Viewpoint - The rapid development of platform economy in China has led to significant roles played by large online trading platforms, creating a dual market connecting numerous operators and consumers, while also facing governance challenges [1] Group 1: Regulatory Developments - The State Administration for Market Regulation and the National Internet Information Office have jointly issued the "Regulations on the Supervision and Management of Online Trading Platforms" and the "Supervision and Management Measures for Live E-commerce," aiming to establish behavioral boundaries and clarify responsibilities in the online market [2] - The two regulations focus on prominent issues to protect the rights and interests of all parties involved, addressing problems such as data manipulation and false marketing [3] Group 2: Implementation and Impact - The regulations create a clear responsibility system across the entire transaction chain, which is expected to reduce illegal activities from the source and enhance consumer rights [4] - The "Live E-commerce Supervision Management Measures" specify the responsibilities of various stakeholders, including platform operators and live marketing personnel, to ensure compliance and protect consumer rights [4] - The implementation of these regulations is anticipated to provide clear management guidelines for platforms, enhancing compliance awareness among operators and better protecting consumer rights [5]
李栋:城市内涵式发展向何处发力
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2026-01-14 00:04
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the transition of urban development in China from rapid expansion to quality enhancement, focusing on sustainable and innovative urban growth to meet the evolving needs of the population [1][2][3][4]. Group 1: Urban Development Strategy - Urbanization in China is shifting from extensive growth to quality improvement, with a focus on "in-depth development" and creating modern, resilient cities [1]. - The "14th Five-Year Plan" suggests prioritizing urban quality and innovation, indicating a strategic shift from quantity to quality in urban development [1][2]. - The central economic work conference in 2025 highlights the importance of domestic demand and high-quality urban renewal [1]. Group 2: Innovation and Economic Growth - Cities can leverage their educational and research institutions to foster innovation and transform research advantages into industrial benefits, thus activating new productive forces [2]. - The emergence of new business models, such as "super individuals" and "one-person companies," reflects the dynamic nature of urban economies driven by technological advancements [2]. Group 3: Quality of Life and Community Development - The demand for housing is evolving from mere availability to quality, necessitating urban development that enhances living conditions and community amenities [2]. - Initiatives like Shanghai's "15-minute community life circle" aim to improve convenience and stimulate local commerce through better community services [2]. Group 4: Environmental and Health Considerations - Integrating green elements into urban planning can stimulate demand for green manufacturing and enhance public health, supporting the growth of wellness industries [3]. - Cities like Chengdu are setting examples by creating extensive green spaces that promote outdoor activities and tourism [3]. Group 5: Infrastructure and Resilience - Building resilient cities is essential for long-term stability, especially in the face of climate change, necessitating investments in dual-use infrastructure and smart emergency systems [3][4]. - Safety is identified as a foundational element for sustainable urban development [3]. Group 6: Cultural and Social Dynamics - Cultural heritage and interactive experiences are vital for enhancing a city's soft power, attracting talent, and boosting local economies through creative industries [3]. - Cities are encouraged to leverage their cultural resources to foster new business opportunities and enhance their attractiveness [3]. Group 7: Digital Transformation and Economic Vitality - Accelerating digital transformation in cities can optimize the business environment and improve residents' quality of life, as seen in initiatives like Hangzhou's "one-stop" policy reform [4]. - Digital tools are creating new economic opportunities and enhancing urban living standards [4]. Group 8: Governance and Policy Framework - Effective urban development requires a shift in evaluation metrics from scale and speed to factors like productivity, income, and cultural appeal [4]. - Establishing a stable and transparent regulatory framework is crucial for attracting social capital and ensuring sustainable urban growth [4].
从一碗汤看文旅怎样“接梗”
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2026-01-14 00:04
近年来,从"淄博烧烤"到"哈尔滨冰雪",再到此次"合川刨猪汤",一个个案例不断印证:一座城市 的出圈,越来越依赖那些真实、自发、带着泥土芬芳的民间故事。当文旅部门能够更好发现、欣赏这些 真实的故事,并以网民的语态对话,以服务的姿态参与,以产业的思维谋划,那些如璞玉般藏于民间 的"梗",便能被点石成金,转化为推动地方文旅与乡村全面振兴的磅礴力量。这碗来自合川的"刨猪 汤",其回味悠长之处,正在于此。 文旅"接梗"绝非可有可无的锦上添花,而是关乎城市形象塑造与文旅产业竞争力提升的关键能力。 成功"接梗",就能以较低的成本实现传播效应的倍增,将一座城市或一个地区推向全国视野。此番,合 川文旅用"欢迎来合川'蹭饭'"的亲和力承接流量,以赠送钓鱼城门票的巧思引流文化景点,正是一种高 级的"接梗"。其通过与网民情绪共振,实现了从物理"到场"到情感"入场"的转变,既让原本小众的地方 民俗获得了前所未有的关注度,更展现出亲民、灵动、有温度的城市性格。 文旅"接梗"需把握好几个关键维度。一是反应速度。互联网热点生命周期短,机遇窗口稍纵即逝, 文旅部门应建立从监测、研判到决策、执行的快速响应链路,敏锐捕捉本地网络热点和网民情绪变 ...
姚连营:把握人工智能时代数字贸易发展机遇
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2026-01-14 00:04
Core Viewpoint - Artificial intelligence (AI) is a strategic technology leading a new round of technological revolution and industrial transformation, significantly reducing trade costs and enhancing service efficiency, thus driving digital trade as a new engine for global economic growth and international competition [1] Group 1: AI's Impact on Trade - AI technology is broadening trade boundaries by enhancing the tradability of services, allowing knowledge-intensive services like healthcare and education to be delivered digitally across borders [2] - The integration of AI in trade is transforming traditional trade models, shifting from reliance on offline channels to a more efficient, data-driven approach that enhances supply-demand matching and reduces transaction costs [3] - AI is changing the global trade competitive landscape, moving the focus from traditional resource-based advantages to competition based on digital factors such as computing power, algorithms, and data [4] Group 2: Strategic Directions for Digital Trade - The development of large models is essential for digital trade, requiring a focus on key sectors like logistics and finance, and the establishment of a robust data infrastructure for deep integration and value extraction [5] - Cross-border e-commerce is identified as a key driver of digital trade, necessitating the creation of intelligent decision-making systems and marketing strategies that cater to global consumers [6] - Service trade is highlighted as a new growth point, with a focus on high-end and intelligent transformation, leveraging AI to enhance the international competitiveness of service exports [6] Group 3: Role of Digital Platforms - Digital platforms are crucial for organizing digital trade and enabling AI applications, promoting the development of competitive global platforms and integrating traditional industries with AI-driven mechanisms [7]
郭丽岩:持续增强和发挥超大规模市场优势
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2026-01-14 00:04
Core Insights - The super-large market is a significant advantage for China's economic development and a strategic resource for international competition, serving as a stabilizer for economic operations and a source of new momentum [1] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes that a strong domestic market is the strategic support for Chinese-style modernization, highlighting the breadth, depth, and resilience of the domestic market [2] - The super-large market can meet diverse and multi-level demands, enhancing supply-demand adaptability and balance, which is crucial for economic stability [3] Group 1 - The scale economy and cost advantages of the super-large market significantly influence specialized division of labor, fostering higher efficiency in supply chain networks [4] - The super-large market's dynamic advantages are not static; they enhance resource aggregation and integration in the short term while driving demand for upgraded production factors in the long term [5] - The market's vitality is reflected in the continuous trial and error of innovative enterprises, accelerating the commercialization of new technologies and products [6] Group 2 - The rapid development of mobile payments, e-commerce, and live streaming in China has created a unique commercial advantage, supported by vast data and application scenarios [7] - New fields such as digital economy, intelligent economy, and green economy present historical opportunities for leveraging the super-large market advantage to promote high-quality development [8] - To fully unleash market potential, comprehensive measures are needed to address challenges such as market segmentation and supply-demand imbalances [8] Group 3 - Strengthening regional coordinated development is essential to release multi-level market potential, focusing on high-quality development in key regions like Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and the Yangtze River Delta [11] - Enhancing infrastructure and modern circulation systems will facilitate the formation of a strong domestic market with better structure and quality [11] - Promoting consumption upgrades and expanding economic growth space is vital, with a focus on increasing residents' income and improving consumption environments [10]