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明年全球贸易前景不容乐观 贸易增速或降至0.5%
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-10-23 00:39
Core Insights - The World Trade Organization's latest report indicates that while global trade showed strong performance in the first half of the year, the outlook for the second half and into 2026 is pessimistic due to rising tariffs and increased trade policy uncertainty [1] Group 1: Global Trade Performance - Global merchandise trade volume is projected to grow by 2.4% in 2025, but the growth rate is expected to drop to 0.5% in 2026, primarily due to trade policy uncertainty [2] - In the first quarter of 2025, U.S. imports surged beyond expectations as companies stockpiled goods in anticipation of future tariff increases, leading to a 4.9% year-on-year increase in global merchandise trade volume [2] Group 2: Artificial Intelligence Trade Growth - Trade in artificial intelligence-related goods grew by over 20% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, significantly outpacing other goods and becoming a key driver of trade growth [3] - The growth in AI-related trade is attributed to investments in digital infrastructure and includes contributions from both developed and emerging markets, with East Asia remaining a major supply chain hub [3] Group 3: Service Trade Trends - Global service trade grew by 5% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, a slowdown from the double-digit growth seen in 2023 and 2024, with expectations of continued deceleration due to global economic slowdown and geopolitical tensions [4] - Despite the current slowdown, there is optimism for long-term growth in service trade, particularly as emerging markets develop and demand for digital services increases [4] Group 4: Trade Policy Uncertainty - Trade policy uncertainty impacts global trade by affecting business investment, consumer spending, supply chain stability, and trade costs, leading to a potential decline in trade growth [4] Group 5: Recommendations for Trade Development - To address the challenges facing global trade, measures such as enhancing trade policy transparency, coordinating trade policies, and supporting developing countries' trade competitiveness are recommended [5] - Promoting digital economy development and green trade initiatives are also suggested to facilitate trade and ensure sustainable growth [5]
中经评论:“三年倍增”为汽车强国充电
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-10-23 00:05
Core Viewpoint - The development of charging infrastructure is crucial for the consumption of electric vehicles (EVs) in China, with the government aiming to significantly enhance charging capacity by 2027 through the "Three-Year Doubling Action Plan" [1][2][3] Group 1: Charging Infrastructure Development - The "Three-Year Doubling Action Plan" aims to establish 28 million charging facilities and provide over 300 million kilowatts of public charging capacity by the end of 2027, meeting the charging needs of over 80 million electric vehicles [1] - China's electric vehicle production and sales have maintained the global lead for ten consecutive years, supported by the largest electric vehicle charging network globally, with an average of two charging stations for every five vehicles [1] Group 2: Current Challenges - Despite rapid development, there are still issues such as uneven distribution of public charging networks, insufficient service in residential areas, and the need for improved operational management [2] - During peak travel periods, such as holidays, there have been reports of long wait times at charging stations, with some drivers waiting 3 to 4 hours to charge their vehicles [2] Group 3: Future Prospects - The plan emphasizes balanced development of charging facilities, particularly in rural areas, and aims to enhance the functionality of charging stations in key urban areas and along highways [3] - The construction of over ten million new charging facilities is expected to stimulate the entire supply chain, creating new jobs and increasing demand for raw materials like copper and aluminum, with an estimated investment of over 200 billion yuan in charging infrastructure [3] Group 4: Innovation and Challenges - The evolution of charging stations into bidirectional energy nodes will facilitate energy exchange between vehicles and the grid, contributing to a new energy structure [4] - The plan encourages innovation in pricing policies and market mechanisms, while also addressing challenges such as land resource constraints in urban areas and the need for sustainable business models for charging station operations [4]
周文:遵循新发展理念做好经济工作
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-10-23 00:04
Core Ideas - The new development concept is a concentrated reflection of China's development ideas, directions, and focal points in the new era, emphasizing its strategic, programmatic, and guiding role in the comprehensive construction of a modern socialist country [1][2] Group 1: Innovation - Innovation is highlighted as the primary driving force for development, essential for determining the speed, efficiency, and sustainability of economic growth [3] - China has made significant progress in technological innovation, particularly in 5G technology, which has laid a solid foundation for the digital economy [3] - There are still challenges in basic research and key core technologies compared to developed countries, necessitating increased investment in foundational research and reforms in the research evaluation system [3] Group 2: Coordination - Coordinated development is crucial for optimizing the economic development structure, addressing the imbalances between urban and rural areas, and among different regions [4] - Efforts have been made to improve rural infrastructure and diversify industrial development, yet disparities remain, indicating the need for further progress [4] - Future strategies should focus on promoting equal exchange and flow of resources between urban and rural areas to accelerate rural modernization [4] Group 3: Green Development - Green development is essential for sustainable growth, with significant achievements in environmental protection and the development of green industries [5] - China has become the largest producer and consumer of new energy vehicles, reflecting its commitment to ecological priorities [5] - The importance of ecological protection and restoration is emphasized, alongside the need for a green industrial transformation [5] Group 4: Openness - Openness is deemed necessary for national prosperity, with China actively promoting higher levels of openness in trade and investment [6][7] - The focus is on expanding the scope of open development and enhancing cooperation in global economic governance [7] - The establishment of free trade zones and other platforms is crucial for fostering international competitiveness [7] Group 5: Sharing - The sharing concept is central to socialism with Chinese characteristics, aiming for common prosperity and improved living standards [8] - Significant achievements have been made in poverty alleviation and employment stability, with ongoing efforts to enhance social security systems [8] - Future initiatives should focus on increasing the income of low-income groups and expanding the middle-income population [8] Group 6: Systematic Transformation - The transformation of the new development concept into practice requires a systematic approach, enhancing political capability, strategic vision, and professional skills [9][11] - A collaborative mechanism is necessary to integrate the five development concepts, ensuring they support and promote each other [10] - Policies should be aligned to create a cohesive framework that supports innovation, ecological protection, and social welfare [10][12] Group 7: Leadership and Governance - Leadership must shift from traditional performance metrics to a new performance view that aligns with the new development concept [13][14] - Emphasis is placed on long-term stability and sustainable development, avoiding short-termism and impulsive decision-making [14][15] - A focus on practical results and addressing real issues is essential for effective governance [15][16] Group 8: Local Adaptation - Policies must be tailored to local conditions, respecting objective laws and resource endowments to avoid blind imitation [16][17] - A comprehensive approach is needed to balance various development aspects, ensuring that local initiatives align with national goals [17][18] - The importance of breaking down regional barriers and fostering a unified national market is highlighted to prevent inefficient competition [18]
中经评论:政策性收储兜底秋粮收购
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-10-23 00:04
Core Insights - The article discusses the challenges faced in grain procurement due to continuous rainy weather during the autumn harvest, emphasizing the importance of government support and market activation to ensure farmers' income [1][2]. Group 1: Government and Market Interaction - The State Council's recent meeting highlighted the need for a dual approach of "government support and market activation" to boost confidence in autumn grain procurement [1]. - The current grain procurement structure shows that over 90% of grain purchases are market-driven, with policy-based procurement accounting for less than 10%, reflecting significant progress in market-oriented reforms [1][3]. Group 2: Role of Policy-Based Procurement - Policy-based procurement plays an irreplaceable role in stabilizing farmers' expectations by setting a minimum purchase price for rice and wheat, which alleviates concerns about potential losses [2][3]. - The establishment of a "price anchor" helps farmers plan long-term investments in quality seeds and fertilizers, thus promoting sustainable agricultural practices [2]. Group 3: Market Stability and Risk Mitigation - Policy-based procurement is crucial for stabilizing market expectations and smoothing out cyclical fluctuations, preventing panic selling during periods of oversupply [3][4]. - The government’s ability to absorb excess grain during surplus periods and release it during shortages helps maintain a balanced supply-demand dynamic, reinforcing national food security [3][4]. Group 4: Implementation and Strategy - While policy-based procurement volumes may be small, its precise and efficient regulatory approach ensures the protection of national food security and farmers' interests [4]. - Local authorities are encouraged to effectively organize policy-based procurement alongside market-driven efforts to ensure a successful harvest and maintain farmers' confidence [4].
王鹏:加快推动经济社会数智化转型
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-10-23 00:04
当前,人工智能正驱动一场以海量数据与强大算力为基石的新型科研范式变革。习近平总书记强 调,"面对新一代人工智能技术快速演进的新形势,要充分发挥新型举国体制优势,坚持自立自强,突 出应用导向,推动我国人工智能朝着有益、安全、公平方向健康有序发展"。我们要以习近平总书记重 要论述为指引,精准把握发展新需求,加快人工智能与各领域广泛深度融合,为经济社会数智化转型注 入新动能。 人工智能赋能千行百业 近年来,我国制造业综合实力不断迈上新台阶,但产业体系大而不强、全而不精等问题仍然存在。人工 智能作为新一轮科技革命和产业变革的重要驱动力量,能够有效推动制造业革新与质效跃升。通过对研 发设计、生产制造、经营管理、市场服务等全流程、全要素深度渗透与智能赋能,可以显著提升运营效 率、产品质量与市场响应速度。这有助于打破供应链各环节信息壁垒,优化资源配置效率,化解低端产 能过剩矛盾,并催生柔性制造、个性化定制、服务型制造等新业态新模式,驱动我国产业向全球价值链 中高端稳步跃升。其核心路径在于加速实数融合,开辟发展新赛道。一方面,依托工业互联网平台与数 据要素深度应用,重新定义生产函数,实现研发、制造、供应链全局优化,推动传统产 ...
谭琦璐:统筹电力安全保供和绿色低碳转型
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-10-23 00:04
增强"源网荷储"协同能力。供给端,集中式与分散式、分布式开发并举,有序扩大可再生能源规 模,强化风光水火储氢耦合互补;提升煤电在宽负荷条件下的节能、降碳和减污效果。需求端,推进工 业、建筑、交通等重点部门能效提升挖潜,提升数据中心节能降耗和清洁电力利用水平,以匹配电力资 源禀赋为导向优化算力布局;建设零碳园区,加快形成推广绿色电力直接供应模式。电网侧,强化跨区 电网互联互济,提高主干电网、配电网、微电网间的有序配合能力。储调侧,优化新型储能、氢能、抽 水蓄能等规划建设,推动虚拟电厂、车网互动、数据中心等灵活性资源广泛参与电力系统调节。 健全市场配置资源功能。深入推进全国统一电力市场建设,持续完善各电力品种参与中长期、现 货、辅助服务的市场规则制度和政策体系。以充分反映清洁电力的绿色价值、灵活性资源的调节功能为 目标,完善峰谷电价、容量电价、负荷补偿等价格政策,探索构建将数据中心纳入电力需求侧管理的市 场机制。 构建气候韧性电力系统。将气候因素纳入新型电力系统建设,在电力的规划发展、调度运行、市场 交易、应急管理等方面充分考虑气候风险。加强气象监测预警对电力资源评估、电源布局、电网调度、 灾害预警等的全方位支撑 ...
电动车充电设施建设将提速 到2027年底全国实现充电服务能力翻倍增长
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-10-22 23:38
Core Insights - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration, along with six other departments, have issued a three-year action plan to double the service capacity of electric vehicle charging facilities by 2027, aiming to establish 28 million charging facilities and provide over 300 million kilowatts of public charging capacity to meet the needs of over 80 million electric vehicles [1][4] Industry Developments - The charging infrastructure industry is transitioning from a focus on quantity to quality enhancement, with the action plan emphasizing five key areas: improving public charging facilities, optimizing residential charging conditions, promoting vehicle-grid interaction, enhancing power supply capabilities, and improving operational services [2][3] - The market for electric vehicle charging infrastructure is expected to grow significantly, with the total number of charging facilities reaching 17.348 million units and 4,946 battery swap stations as of August this year, making it the largest and most comprehensive charging service network globally [1][2] Company Innovations - Companies like BYD are actively innovating in the charging infrastructure space, having launched the world's first mass-produced megawatt fast charging platform and an integrated solar-storage-charging supercharging station, which are currently in trial operation in several demonstration areas [2][3] - The industry is seeing a diversification of players, with more local governments and enterprises participating in the charging infrastructure supply chain, driving high-quality development [2][3] Future Outlook - The action plan aims to ensure that charging networks extend into rural areas, with plans to add at least 14,000 direct current charging guns in townships without public charging stations, ensuring comprehensive coverage of public charging facilities [4] - The industry is expected to enter a new accelerated construction phase, with significant improvements in service capacity anticipated [4]
推动要素向科技创新和新兴产业集聚 A股公司借力重组转型升级
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-10-22 23:38
Core Insights - The current economic transformation in China is driving listed companies to pursue mergers and acquisitions (M&A) for industrial upgrades and strategic transitions [1][4] - The A-share M&A market has seen increased activity, with 3,470 transactions in the first three quarters of this year, a year-on-year increase of 7.93%, and 134 major asset restructuring events, up 83.56% [2] - Traditional industries are actively engaging in M&A to enter emerging sectors, reflecting a deeper understanding of the urgency for development model transformation [4][7] M&A Market Activity - The A-share market has experienced a surge in M&A activity, with significant growth in both the number of transactions and major asset restructurings [2] - Companies are focusing on sectors encouraged by national policies, such as semiconductors, high-end equipment, new energy, and artificial intelligence [2][4] - The implementation of supportive policies by regulatory bodies has further stimulated M&A enthusiasm among companies [3][5] Strategic Growth Initiatives - Companies are increasingly looking to cultivate a "second growth curve" through M&A, which is seen as a key engine for opening new growth paths [3] - The trend of traditional industries entering new sectors indicates a shift towards strategic emerging industries, aiming to create new growth points [4][7] - The integration of resources through M&A is expected to enhance the efficiency of resource allocation and improve the quality of listed companies [7] Policy Support and Future Outlook - Recent policy changes have provided a favorable environment for M&A, with regulatory support aimed at facilitating industry transformation and growth [3][5] - The future of M&A activity is anticipated to remain robust, driven by the ongoing economic transformation and the need for companies to adapt to new market conditions [2][4] - The focus on long-term value creation and effective resource allocation will shape the capital market's valuation system [7]
物流体系不断完善 快递业发展持续向好
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-10-22 23:38
Core Insights - The express delivery industry in China has surpassed 1.5 trillion packages as of October 11, 2023, indicating a significant growth trajectory and the industry's vital role in connecting various sectors and enhancing market potential [1] Group 1: Industry Growth and Performance - The express delivery volume has consistently exceeded 16 billion packages per month since March 2023, showcasing the robust demand and operational capacity of the industry [1] - The China Express Development Index for September 2025 reached 459.6, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.9%, indicating steady market growth and improved logistics efficiency [3] - The express delivery service quality index for September 2025 was reported at 690.8, up by 0.4 percentage points year-on-year, highlighting enhancements in service standards [4] Group 2: Regional Development and Consumer Experience - The logistics system is continuously improving, with significant advancements in rural delivery networks, which are narrowing the service gap between urban and rural areas [3] - In regions like Xinjiang, the establishment of new logistics frameworks has led to a doubling of order volumes compared to the previous year, demonstrating the effectiveness of enhanced logistics in driving consumer engagement [2] - The integration of e-commerce and logistics has resulted in faster delivery times, with some products reaching consumers on the same day they are ordered [2] Group 3: Service Innovations and Diversification - The express delivery sector is diversifying its service offerings, such as vehicle transportation services that have become as convenient as parcel delivery, catering to changing consumer preferences [5] - The industry is increasingly leveraging technology, including AI and big data, to enhance supply chain efficiency and improve service delivery [7] - The integration of logistics with tourism and cultural sectors is being emphasized, with innovative services being developed to support the growing demand in these areas [6] Group 4: Future Outlook - The express delivery industry is expected to maintain a positive growth trend as it enters the peak season in the fourth quarter, supported by a comprehensive network that facilitates economic circulation [8]
提升企业合规经营水平 平台经济治理迈向标准化
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-10-22 23:38
Core Insights - The establishment of the National Platform Economy Governance Standardization Technical Committee marks a significant step towards addressing long-standing regulatory challenges in the platform economy, aiming to create unified standards for high-quality development [1][3]. Group 1: Current State of Platform Economy - The platform economy in China has seen rapid growth, with major companies like Tencent, Alibaba, Douyin, and Baidu exceeding 1 billion users as of June this year [2]. - The average daily usage time of mobile internet in China has increased to 7.97 hours, with users engaging in 117.9 sessions per day [2]. - Despite growth, the platform economy faces significant consumer complaints, with operational internet service complaints reaching 62,720 in the first half of the year, a 17.98% increase year-on-year [2]. Group 2: Challenges in Platform Economy - Issues such as unfair rules, unreasonable fees, algorithm opacity, and frequent live-streaming irregularities are prevalent in the platform economy [3]. - The lack of unified standards and norms has led to deep-rooted challenges, including consumer dissatisfaction with product quality and service reliability [2][3]. Group 3: Importance of Standardization - Standardization is seen as a key to enhancing governance in the platform economy, filling gaps left by legal and administrative oversight [4]. - Standards can transform abstract legal principles into actionable technical specifications, facilitating more precise governance [4]. - The process of developing standards involves collaboration among various stakeholders, making it easier for platform companies to accept and adhere to the rules [4]. Group 4: Collaborative Standard Development - The standardization effort requires participation from regulatory bodies, enterprises, and industry organizations, particularly in the rapidly evolving live-streaming e-commerce sector [5]. - Local initiatives, such as Beijing's development of 43 local standards related to the platform economy, aim to support compliance and innovation while maintaining fair competition [6]. Group 5: Future Directions - The Platform Economy Governance Standardization Technical Committee plans to establish mechanisms for tracking the application and effectiveness of standards, alongside fostering pilot units to demonstrate best practices [6]. - Recommendations include tailoring standards to the specific characteristics of different platform services, such as online shopping and live-streaming, to provide clear operational guidelines [6].