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黄金单日暴跌300美元/盎司 牛市终结还是黄金坑?
Jing Ji Guan Cha Bao· 2025-10-22 10:29
(原标题:黄金单日暴跌300美元/盎司 牛市终结还是黄金坑?) 尽管短期剧烈回调,多位专家强调,黄金的长期牛市逻辑并未动摇。全球货币信用体系重构、去美元化 趋势加速、全球主要国家央行持续购金、以及黄金供需结构性失衡等因素,仍构成金价长期上行的核心 支撑。 这场暴跌并非偶然。本次黄金暴跌是基本面、资金面和技术面三重压力共同作用的结果。从直接诱因 看,国信证券研报指出,俄乌谈判进展、中美贸易缓和等市场传言的集中发酵,显著削弱了黄金的避险 吸引力,成为引发抛售的导火索。 更为关键的是市场结构的变化。分析显示,9月以来的本轮上涨与年初行情存在本质区别。国信证券研 报认为,本轮金价上涨主要以投资和投机者为主,全球主要央行并未显著介入,这种由短期资金主导的 交易结构更为脆弱。当市场情绪转向时,极易引发多杀多的踩踏行情。 技术面同样发出明确警示。黄金价格在连续上涨后,已触及三倍标准差上限,这一极端位置在历史上往 往预示着技术性回调的压力。历史数据也支持这一判断:据国信证券统计,黄金在连涨9周后,除1970 年外,最大跌幅普遍在17%—42%之间,调整持续时间可达23—148个交易日。 东方金诚研究发展部副总监瞿瑞指出,当前 ...
风电行业迎价值竞争新阶段,金风科技新品锚定全生命周期价值
Jing Ji Guan Cha Bao· 2025-10-22 07:21
Core Insights - The wind power industry is transitioning from policy-driven growth to market-driven dynamics, marking a critical turning point in its development [1] - The average bidding price for wind turbine manufacturers has been gradually increasing since August 2024, expected to stabilize at 1616 RMB/kW by June 2025 [1] - Goldwind Technology launched its new Ultra series wind power products at the 2025 Beijing International Wind Energy Conference, focusing on optimizing the full lifecycle value of its products [1] Industry Developments - The new Ultra series includes upgraded GWH204-Ultra models and introduces a 10.5MW-11.1MW capacity model, as well as a GWH266-14MW model designed for offshore low wind speed markets [1][2] - The design lifespan of onshore models has been extended to 25 years, while offshore models have been extended to 30 years, leading to increased project returns due to prolonged product lifecycles [2] - The lifespan upgrade is estimated to reduce investment costs by 279-361 RMB per kW, equating to an increase in annual operating hours by 129-206 hours [2] Strategic Collaborations - Goldwind Technology, in collaboration with Jianheng Certification Center, released a white paper on comprehensive solutions for wind power trading scenarios, providing guidance for optimizing project value in a market-oriented electricity trading environment [2] - The company has signed agreements with Datang Ningxia Company and State Power Investment Research Institute to jointly promote innovative demonstration projects, exploring long-lifecycle technology applications and lean operational models [2] Competitive Landscape - The focus of competition in the wind power sector has shifted from equipment pricing to optimizing full lifecycle value, with value competition replacing price competition as the main theme of industry development [2] - The trend of larger wind turbines is slowing, bidding prices are stabilizing, and policy reforms are deepening, indicating a transition from "price competition" to a new phase of "value competition" in the wind power industry [2]
BBDO策略群总监陈新加入奥美上海担任WPP Open X 大中华区及蒙古市场策略负责人
Jing Ji Guan Cha Bao· 2025-10-22 04:12
Core Insights - Harry Chen has joined Ogilvy Shanghai as the Strategy Head for WPP Open X in Greater China and Mongolia, focusing on the Coca-Cola team [1] - Chen brings extensive experience from both local and international markets, having led strategic work for numerous international brand clients [1] - He has been recognized for his contributions to the industry, winning the Campaign magazine's Brand Strategist of the Year award for Greater China in 2023 and being named one of the "40 Under 40" elites in the Asia-Pacific region [1]
造车十年 零跑汽车想要撕掉“廉价”标签
Jing Ji Guan Cha Bao· 2025-10-22 03:25
Core Viewpoint - Leap Motor is transitioning from a budget-friendly brand to a higher-end market with the launch of its flagship D19 model, aiming to offer luxury at an accessible price point of around 300,000 yuan [2][3]. Product Development - The D19 is a full-size six-seat SUV with dimensions exceeding 5.2 meters in length, nearly 2 meters in width, and over 3.1 meters in wheelbase, priced significantly higher than previous models [2]. - Leap Motor's product line includes T, B, C, and D series, with the D series positioned as the highest tier [2]. Sales Performance - Leap Motor has achieved monthly sales exceeding 50,000 units recently, with September sales surpassing 60,000 units, making it the top new energy vehicle brand in terms of sales [2]. - Cumulative sales from January to September reached 395,500 units, indicating strong market demand [2]. R&D and Cost Structure - The company emphasizes its robust R&D capabilities, claiming that 65% of the D platform's vehicle costs are self-researched and manufactured, which contributes to cost savings [3]. - Leap Motor's gross margin has improved, reaching 14.1%, with expectations to turn profitable by mid-2025 due to increased sales volume and cost optimization [3]. Technology and Features - The D platform boasts advanced technologies, including over 500 kilometers of electric range, a high-voltage system, and cutting-edge driving assistance features, positioning it competitively in the 300,000 yuan market [4]. Market Strategy and Partnerships - Leap Motor plans to expand the D series to include various vehicle types such as SUVs, MPVs, and sedans, targeting the 300,000 yuan market segment [5]. - Strategic partnerships with Stellantis and FAW Group have been established to enhance international market presence and collaborative development [5]. Competitive Landscape - The D19 will compete with other six-seat SUVs in the 300,000 yuan segment, including models from Li Auto, Aito, and XPeng, indicating a highly competitive environment [5]. - Leap Motor is working on building a premium brand image, recently engaging a celebrity spokesperson to enhance its market presence [5]. Current Development Stage - The company is experiencing a phase of rising sales and improving operational performance, which is crucial for successfully launching the D series [6].
上海信托跻身万亿俱乐部
Jing Ji Guan Cha Bao· 2025-10-22 03:21
Core Insights - Shanghai International Trust Co., Ltd. has officially entered the "trillion-level" trust sector with a combined trust asset management scale of 1,186.369 billion yuan as of June 2025 [1] - In the first half of 2025, Shanghai Trust reported a consolidated operating income of 1.4 billion yuan and a net profit of 436 million yuan, showing slight growth compared to the same period in 2024 [1] - As of the end of 2024, the trust industry has five trillion-level institutions, including China Resources Trust, CITIC Trust, Foreign Trade Trust, China Construction Trust, and Yingda Trust, with management scales of 2.68 trillion yuan, 2.62 trillion yuan, 2.15 trillion yuan, 1.47 trillion yuan, and 1.09 trillion yuan respectively [1] - The approval of the appointment of Cui Bingwen as the chairman of Shanghai Trust marks the end of a transitional period of over a year for the company's leadership [1] Company Overview - Shanghai Trust was established in 1981 and is one of the earliest trust companies in China, with a registered capital of 5 billion yuan [2]
Mastercard宣布人事变动:Jill Kramer将接任首席营销与传播官
Jing Ji Guan Cha Bao· 2025-10-22 03:21
Core Insights - Mastercard announced the departure of Raja Rajamannar as Chief Marketing and Communications Officer after 12 years, with Jill Kramer taking over the role [1][2] - CEO Michael Miebach praised Rajamannar's significant impact on Mastercard and the marketing industry, highlighting his creativity and leadership [1] - Jill Kramer brings extensive B2B marketing expertise and a global perspective, which is expected to drive growth and innovation for Mastercard [1][2] Leadership Transition - Raja Rajamannar will continue to contribute to Mastercard as a senior advisor after his tenure [1] - Jill Kramer previously served as Chief Marketing and Communications Officer at Accenture, where she significantly increased brand value from $12 billion to $20.9 billion [1][2] - Kramer's background includes leadership roles at top creative agencies like BBDO and DDB, focusing on B2B and digital marketing strategies [1] Strategic Implications - The leadership change is seen as a move to enhance Mastercard's brand image and market position in the global digital payments landscape [2] - Kramer's appointment is anticipated to bring new development opportunities for the company [2]
台海观澜 | 张亚中事了拂衣去,赵少康不舍利与名
Jing Ji Guan Cha Bao· 2025-10-22 02:35
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent Kuomintang (KMT) party chair election in Taiwan, highlighting the contrasting approaches of two prominent candidates, Zhang Yachung and Zhao Shaokang, and their implications for the party's future and cross-strait relations [1][2][4]. Group 1: Candidates and Election Dynamics - Zhang Yachung, despite losing the election, articulated a clear stance on the "1992 Consensus," emphasizing the principle of one China and the pursuit of unification, which resonated with traditional KMT values [1]. - Zhao Shaokang initially intended to run for party chair but ultimately chose to support Hao Longbin, leading to speculation about his motives and the impact of his actions on the election outcome [2]. - The internal conflict within the KMT was exacerbated by Zhao's accusations against mainland China for interfering in the election, which drew criticism from both the KMT and the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) [2][3]. Group 2: Reactions and Implications - Zhao Shaokang's behavior has sparked negative reactions from mainland Chinese netizens, with some labeling him as a reactionary figure, while others question his political integrity [3]. - Zhang Yachung's resignation from the political scene reflects a sense of disillusionment with the current political climate, as he expressed regret over his inability to effect change for Taiwan [4]. - The article suggests that the future of cross-strait relations and the KMT's direction may be influenced by the internal dynamics and public perceptions of its leaders, particularly in light of Zhao's controversial statements and Zhang's withdrawal [4][6].
时代剪影:武则天的大明宫绝唱
Jing Ji Guan Cha Bao· 2025-10-22 01:49
Core Insights - The article discusses the historical significance and archaeological findings of the Daming Palace, which was the largest palace complex in the world during the Tang Dynasty, covering an area of 3.3 square kilometers, significantly larger than the Forbidden City [1][2]. Group 1: Historical Context - The Daming Palace was initially constructed in 634 AD by Emperor Taizong of the Tang Dynasty for his father, Li Yuan, but was halted shortly after due to his death [2]. - The construction was officially resumed in 662 AD under Emperor Gaozong, with significant influence from Empress Wu Zetian, who played a crucial role in the palace's completion within just two years using around 100,000 workers [2][5]. Group 2: Architectural Features - The main entrance of the Daming Palace, known as Danfeng Gate, was designed as the highest level of ancient Chinese city gates, measuring 74.5 meters in length and 33 meters in width [4]. - The palace complex included the Hanyuan Hall, which was the largest building in the Daming Palace, constructed with 192 pillars, making it three times larger than the Hall of Supreme Harmony in the Forbidden City [16]. Group 3: Cultural Significance - The Daming Palace served as a symbol of imperial power and cultural identity, with its name derived from the "Phoenix" motif, representing prosperity and auspiciousness in Chinese culture [3]. - Empress Wu Zetian's reforms during her time in the Daming Palace included significant changes to the civil service examination system, allowing for greater access to government positions for commoners, thus breaking the traditional aristocratic barriers [11][12]. Group 4: Archaeological Discoveries - Ongoing archaeological excavations have revealed numerous artifacts, including bricks and stone carvings, which provide insights into the construction techniques and daily life during the Tang Dynasty [1][9]. - The Daming Palace National Heritage Park has been established to preserve and showcase these archaeological findings, highlighting the historical importance of the site [1].
今日看点|iPhone Air国行版发售
Jing Ji Guan Cha Bao· 2025-10-22 01:49
1、iPhone Air国行版发售 近日,苹果CEO库克在Apple Store直播间公布了iPhone Air国行版的发售日期。库克表示,10月22日, iPhone Air正式开售。 2、40.02亿元市值限售股今日解禁 (原标题:今日看点|iPhone Air国行版发售) 经济观察网 10月22日重点关注的财经要闻与资本市场大事: 从首次披露回购预案来看,当日共2家公司股票回购预案金额超千万。中绿电、德创环保、海量数据回 购预案金额最高,分别拟回购不超9276.42万元、1797.19万元、137.56万元。从股东大会通过回购预案 来看,当日共1家公司回购预案超千万。中国巨石回购金额最高,拟回购不超8.8亿元。 4、美国9月零售销售、英国9月CPI等数据将公布。 (数据来源Wind,内容不构成任何投资建议) 10月22日,共有10家公司限售股解禁,合计解禁量为1.66亿股,按最新收盘价计算,合计解禁市值为 40.02亿元。 经济观察网 编辑 王俊勇 整理 从解禁量来看,4家公司解禁股数超千万股。正邦科技、安科瑞、*ST清研解禁量居前,解禁股数分别 为6721.5万股、3606.85万股、3101.67万 ...
动不动就哭的孩子,与忍着不哭的孩子,长大后会有哪些区别?
Jing Ji Guan Cha Bao· 2025-10-22 01:49
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of allowing children to express their emotions freely, particularly through crying, as it fosters emotional intelligence and resilience in adulthood. Group 1: Emotional Expression in Children - Children who cry easily are not necessarily weak; they possess a heightened emotional sensitivity and expression compared to their peers [4][5] - The theory of "emotional granularity" suggests that children who can articulate their feelings through crying develop a richer inner world and better empathy, which are valuable interpersonal skills in the future [6] Group 2: Misconceptions about Strength - Children who suppress their tears are often perceived as strong, but this suppression can lead to internal turmoil and emotional outbursts later in life [8][9] - The pressure to be "strong" can result in children feeling that their emotions are unimportant, leading to issues such as low self-esteem or sudden emotional explosions in adulthood [10] Group 3: Impact of Parental Attitudes - Preventing children from crying effectively shuts down their emotional expression and communication, which can lead to a disconnect in parent-child relationships [11][12] - The analogy of a water-filled bag illustrates that suppressing emotions can lead to eventual overflow, indicating the importance of allowing emotional release [13][14] Group 4: Teaching Resilience - Allowing children to cry teaches them to accept their feelings, which is a crucial step in developing resilience and emotional strength [15][18] - Providing support during emotional moments, rather than rushing to stop the crying, reinforces the message that their feelings are valid and important [16][20] Group 5: Conclusion - Crying is not a flaw but a genuine expression of a child's emotional state, and parents should not fear or discourage it [19][21] - Supporting children in their emotional expressions equips them with the courage to face life's challenges in the future [22]