Hu Xiu

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一个AI创业者的湖畔随笔
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-25 03:57
Core Insights - The article discusses the fatigue and disillusionment with the current state of entrepreneurship, particularly in the AI sector, highlighting a sense of exhaustion from overhyped products and ideas [1][15][19] Group 1: Entrepreneurial Fatigue - There is a growing sense of fatigue in the entrepreneurial landscape, particularly regarding AI, which is perceived as overhyped and lacking substance [1][15] - The feeling of fatigue is compared to a state of regression, where initial excitement leads to a realization of superficiality [2][15] Group 2: Urban Life and Consumerism - Urban living is characterized by overwhelming stimuli from marketing and technology, which can lead to a loss of individual agency [9][12] - The article critiques the aggressive marketing tactics that manipulate consumer behavior, reducing individuals to mere consumers [11][20] Group 3: The Nature of Products - The discussion emphasizes that many products are designed to create temporary satisfaction rather than lasting value, leading to a cycle of dependency [18][19] - The concept of "addiction" is explored, suggesting that many products provide fleeting pleasure while causing ongoing discomfort when not used [18][19] Group 4: Vision for Products - The author expresses a desire for products that are as beautiful and fleeting as a shooting star, which would not intrude on people's lives but rather enhance their experiences [21] - The notion of progress is questioned, suggesting that true advancement should not equate to mere consumerism or superficial satisfaction [22]
当流程战胜天赋:从1984年波特兰放弃迈克尔·乔丹说起
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-25 03:43
Group 1 - The article discusses the unexpected selection of Chinese player Yang Hansheng by the Portland Trail Blazers in the 2023 NBA Draft, drawing parallels to the historical mistake made in 1984 when the Blazers chose Sam Bowie over Michael Jordan [1][8] - It highlights the importance of content over process in decision-making, referencing Steve Jobs' views on how rigid processes can lead to failures, as seen in both Apple and the Blazers' choices [2][10] - The article emphasizes that sometimes the best choice does not meet conventional criteria and that flexibility can be a strategic advantage [16][17] Group 2 - The narrative illustrates how the Blazers' decision-making was influenced by a rigid adherence to their needs for a center, ultimately leading to a significant error in judgment [6][10] - It provides examples from other industries, such as Blockbuster's failure to adapt to the rise of Netflix and Kodak's reluctance to embrace digital technology, underscoring the theme of imagination and adaptability in business [19][20] - The article poses critical questions about the role of processes in decision-making, urging companies to reflect on whether they are controlling the process or being controlled by it [18][20]
科技媒体进化:博客圈、播客矩阵与“智识共同体”
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-25 03:18
Group 1 - The rise of "personal IP" is reshaping the technology and business media ecosystem, creating a new "Republic of Letters" that connects individuals across borders and facilitates the sharing of insights and knowledge [2][30] - In an era of scarce attention, the acquisition of media assets, such as the purchase of Turpentine VC by a16z, highlights the importance of personalized storytelling and media in venture capital [3][54] - The evolution of media in the tech industry has transitioned from niche to mainstream, driven by the increasing significance of technology in society [10][11] Group 2 - The emergence of a decentralized narrative revolution allows technology builders to reclaim their voice and tell their own stories, moving away from traditional media narratives [14][30] - The blogosphere has played a crucial role in the dissemination of technology insights, with influential figures like Paul Graham and Fred Wilson contributing to the landscape [15][17] - The COVID-19 pandemic catalyzed a surge in startup media, with many individuals turning to writing and content creation as a means of expression and connection [24][26] Group 3 - The concept of a "new Republic of Letters" reflects a collective desire for storytelling and knowledge sharing, facilitated by modern digital platforms [31][46] - The characteristics of this new intellectual community include a focus on insight over credentials, decentralized power structures, and a commitment to producing new knowledge [35][36] - The decline of traditional authority and the rise of individual voices in the tech space signify a shift towards meritocratic ideas and grassroots movements [39][40] Group 4 - The proliferation of podcasts and blogs has created a vibrant ecosystem for content creation, with many individuals and organizations leveraging these platforms to share their narratives [52][58] - The rise of platforms like Substack has empowered creators to establish their own voices and build audiences, contributing to the overall growth of the media landscape [58][59] - The importance of clarity and hyperlegibility in communication is emphasized, as creators strive to make their messages resonate in a crowded information space [66][67]
时间是事件驱动的:为什么感觉历史在加速
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-25 02:40
Core Concept - The article emphasizes that events drive our perception of time rather than linear, objective time, suggesting that the richness and trajectory of life are determined by significant events [4][10][34] Group 1: Event-Driven Time Perception - The author argues that understanding time through events rather than objective measures is crucial for various aspects of life, including investment strategies and personal choices [4][10][34] - In high-frequency trading, the focus is on event benchmarks, where each change in the order book is considered an event, allowing for a more nuanced performance measurement across different stocks [9][10][34] Group 2: Human Experience of Time - There is a notable asymmetry between individual and collective experiences of time; individuals perceive time as contracting with age, while collectively, humanity experiences an expansion of time filled with events and transformations [22][28] - The cumulative total of human life years indicates that a significant portion of human experience has occurred in recent centuries, with a rapid increase in events and changes, particularly in the last 300 years [25][29][31] Group 3: Implications for Investment and Trading - The concept of "hot zones" in trading highlights the importance of being alert during key market moments, as significant news can lead to substantial market fluctuations in a short time [13][16] - The need for a polyphasic sleeping routine among traders illustrates the demands of a 24/7 market environment, where staying informed and responsive is critical for success [15][16]
如何在AI代理主导的世界里,做一个人类CEO ?
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-25 02:33
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of developing unique judgment and taste in an era dominated by AI agents, suggesting that leaders must embrace unconventional approaches to gain a human advantage over algorithms [2][3][4] Group 1: AI and Business Operations - The concept of using AI agents to break down complex business challenges into smaller, specialized tasks is highlighted, paralleling the MapReduce model in data processing [9][10][11] - This approach aims to enhance performance and scalability within organizations, allowing for more efficient task management and integration of results [11][12][13] Group 2: Organizational Structure - Future organizational models may shift from traditional structures to systems where multiple AI agents work in parallel, each handling specific tasks [14][15] - The article suggests that companies need to redesign their architectures to accommodate a world of autonomous intelligent agents, transitioning from human agents to AI-driven ones [18][19] Group 3: Human Role in AI-Driven Environments - The critical role of humans in this new paradigm is to act as orchestrators, merging functions and making nuanced decisions that AI cannot easily automate [20][21] - Developing a unique taste and insight is essential for humans to maintain a competitive edge over general AI, requiring access to proprietary data and experiences [23][24]
人工智能时代,需要怎样的“好制度”?
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-25 02:26
Group 1 - The article discusses the evolution of economic thought regarding "good institutions," highlighting the shift from Keynesianism to neoliberalism and the implications of this shift on the understanding of capitalism and alternative models like the "Chinese model" [2][4][5] - The 2024 Nobel Prize in Economics was awarded to three American new institutional economists for their research on how institutions form and affect economic prosperity, sparking widespread debate in the domestic academic community [4][2] - The concept of "good institutions" is simplified to "efficient institutions," with historical perspectives from Adam Smith to Marx influencing the discourse on what constitutes a good institution [4][5][6] Group 2 - The article identifies three core questions surrounding the understanding of good institutions: what they are, what goals they should pursue, and how they come into existence [6][8][9] - New institutional economists argue that good institutions should be inclusive economic and political systems, a view that may not necessarily apply to non-Western contexts like China [9][10] - The article critiques the historical narratives constructed by new institutional economists, suggesting that their emphasis on property rights as the cornerstone of economic success overlooks other significant factors [12][13][14] Group 3 - The discussion extends to the challenges posed by artificial intelligence and technological advancements, which may exacerbate issues of unemployment and income distribution, echoing Keynes's concerns [20][27][28] - The article emphasizes the need for a re-evaluation of what constitutes a good institution in light of contemporary economic challenges, particularly regarding short-term issues like employment and income inequality [29][31][34] - It concludes that understanding good institutions requires a focus on both historical context and the evolving economic landscape, advocating for reforms that address the dual concerns of unemployment and inequitable distribution [30][32][34]
“送到的礼物包装比东西贵,这是好事啊!”
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-25 02:13
Core Insights - The article discusses the evolution of packaging culture in China, particularly focusing on the trend of using wooden boxes as a modern alternative to traditional cookie boxes, reflecting a shift in consumer behavior towards aesthetics and experience [3][21][51] Group 1: Market Trends - The wooden box packaging market in China is projected to reach $20.9 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 8.7% [16] - The demand for wooden boxes is expanding significantly, especially in the context of the "Guochao" (national trend) concept, which emphasizes cultural confidence and detail [13][21] Group 2: Cultural Significance - The rise of wooden box packaging is a response to changing consumer psychology, where packaging is now seen as an integral part of the consumption experience, influencing emotional connections with products [21][50] - The article draws parallels between the evolution of packaging in China and Japan, highlighting how Japan has embedded box culture into its daily life and aesthetics, making it a cultural symbol [24][26][32] Group 3: Design and Aesthetics - Many domestic designer brands in China are increasingly using wooden boxes for packaging, opting for minimalist designs that convey a sense of quality and align with modern branding strategies [18][21] - The use of wooden boxes is not just functional but also serves as a medium for expressing brand identity and cultural values, enhancing the overall consumer experience [21][50]
智能眼镜领头羊,道出行业泡沫
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-25 02:12
Core Insights - XREAL has launched its new product "XREAL One Pro" amidst a booming interest in AI glasses, raising questions about its decision to not enter this segment [1][2] - The company holds a dominant position in the AR glasses market, with IDC reporting it has a market share greater than the combined total of its closest competitors [3] - XREAL's founder, Xu Chi, remains cautious about the AI glasses trend, questioning the sustainability and logic behind the rapid growth in this sector [5][10] Company Positioning - XREAL has partnered with Google on the "Project Aura," enhancing its ecosystem support [4] - The company has a strong user base and is focusing on refining core technologies rather than rushing into the AI glasses market [5][14] - Xu Chi emphasizes the importance of developing core modules and believes the AI glasses industry is still in its early stages, predicting significant developments around 2027-2028 [11][18] Industry Analysis - The current AI glasses market is characterized by a lack of consensus on its future direction, with many players entering the space without a clear path to profitability [12][20] - Xu Chi describes the current state of the industry as a "bubble," suggesting that many companies are chasing trends rather than focusing on sustainable growth [20][21] - The technological maturity of components, such as chips and sensors, is still lacking, which hinders the development of viable AI glasses [22][24] Future Outlook - Xu Chi believes that the industry will see a true competitive landscape when major players like Xiaomi commit significant resources to the sector [18] - The company is focused on building a robust ecosystem rather than competing directly with established giants, recognizing the challenges of creating a new ecosystem from scratch [25]
6名大学生殒命,涉事企业却曾是安全“典范”
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-25 01:49
矿企生产安全检查制度搞成了"形式主义" 明面上的原因各家媒体揭露了很多,这里只说关键原因。 虎嗅ESG组结合中青网报道与获得的一份资料显示,事故直接原因是浮选槽上方钢格栅板(规格1.2mx3 m)一侧固定角钢焊缝存在陈旧性裂纹,当日受集中 载荷后瞬间断裂,导致整块格栅板翻转脱落,学生们坠入含有危险矿浆的浮选槽并溺亡。 而早在2月份,企业曾对格栅板进行过一次"局部更换",但未对全部焊缝做无损检测。此外,事发平台存在日常承载标识缺失问题,未限定同时站立人数; 学校与企业签署的《教学实习安全协议》也未明确现场监护、限员和应急流程。 虎嗅ESG组在梳理与涉事企业"中国黄金集团内蒙古矿业有限公司"生产安全相关的资料时发现了三点事实。 谁也想不到,一次本应是增长见识的"求学之旅",却导致六名大学生殒命。 2025年7月23日10时20分左右,东北大学6名学生在中国黄金集团内蒙古矿业有限公司乌努格吐山铜钼矿选矿厂参观学习浮选工艺过程中,因格栅板(钢格 板)脱落,学生坠入含有危险矿浆的浮选槽,最终全部溺亡。 据央视网稍早前消息,浮选槽内的介质不是水,而是由磨碎的矿石粉末、水与浮选药剂混合形成的矿浆。这种矿浆密度远高于水,如泥 ...
赚不到钱,是因为班上多了
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-25 01:49
最近看到一个博主讲这句话,实实在在戳我肺管子了。 从毕业工作到现在,整整7年时间,我都在努力上班,培养一技之长。我天真地认为,只要我手艺足够好,技术足够硬,赚钱就是理所当然的事;只要有 一技之长傍身,不管去哪儿,都有重新开始的底气。 但现实不语,只是一味打脸。当我尝试自己做点事的时候,才发现我那些技能好像全部失灵了。我不知道谁会需要我,更不知道怎么才能把自己这些年攒 下来的经验、技能不贱卖出去。 他说,之所以不行,是因为这个世界一直并行着两套完全相反的操作系统,一套叫"打工思维",另一套,叫"赚钱思维"。 什么意思? 一 打工思维大部分人很熟悉,就是先有能力,再找岗位。 逻辑是:我有什么(技能),然后去找一个需要这项技能的公司(岗位),去售卖我的能力和时间。这个时候,你追求的是把自己这个"产品"打磨得更精 良,然后卖个好价钱。 本文来自微信公众号:严毅学长,作者:严毅学长,题图来自:视觉中国 你有没有想过,你做生意赚不到钱,可能恰恰是因为你班上多了?甚至你上班时候的工作能力越强,你做自己个人事业就越差。 但赚钱思维完全反过来,是先有需求,再造产品。 这个逻辑是:市场需要什么(痛点),然后我用什么方法去满足这个 ...