Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index broke through the 3600-point mark this week, reaching a new high for the year with a weekly increase of 2.21% [2] - Daily average trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.82 trillion yuan, an increase of over 290 billion yuan compared to the previous week [2] - Key policy announcements, including the start of major infrastructure projects and the confirmation of Hainan's free trade port closure date, positively impacted market sentiment, particularly in the upstream sectors like construction materials, coal, and steel [2] Bond Market - The bond market experienced a comprehensive adjustment this week, with both government and corporate bonds declining, resulting in negative returns for pure bond funds [3] - The overall funding environment remained balanced, with the central bank providing timely liquidity support through MLF operations, leading to a neutral impact on the bond market [3] Commodity Market - Gold prices fluctuated this week, initially rising due to increased market risk aversion but later declining amid optimistic trade agreement developments [4] - The overall trend for commodities was positive, with the South China Commodity Index rising by 2.73% this week, driven by significant increases in black and energy commodities [39] Overseas Market - Global risk assets generally rose, with the US stock market reaching new highs, supported by positive earnings reports and developments in AI [5] - The S&P 500 index is currently near high valuation levels, indicating a potential decrease in winning odds for US equities in the short term [10] Stock Market Insights - The A-share market continued its upward trend, with the CSI 500 index showing significant weekly gains, reflecting strong investor sentiment and market performance [12] - The market is currently characterized by high trading volumes and turnover rates, particularly in the CSI 300 and CSI 500 indices, which are above their three-year average levels [14] Sector Performance - In the past week, the construction materials, coal, and steel sectors performed exceptionally well, with respective increases of 8.20%, 7.98%, and 7.67% [22] - The overall market sentiment remains optimistic, with a focus on sectors with high earnings certainty and potential for positive surprises [7]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes a structured approach to short-term trading, focusing on stability and risk management while seeking opportunities for excess returns through careful stock selection and analysis [9][11][12]. Group 1: Investment Strategy - The investment strategy is centered on a "multi-dimensional stock screening system" that balances stability and activity, ensuring that selected stocks have both a stable trend and sufficient liquidity for short-term gains [11][13]. - The approach includes three key dimensions: technical analysis for short-term trends, monitoring capital flow to gauge market sentiment, and fundamental analysis to avoid potential pitfalls [12][13]. Group 2: Performance Metrics - The article provides performance metrics indicating a high success rate in stock recommendations, with a total success rate of 84.68% and an average return of 62.50% on successful picks [5][6]. - The average holding period for stocks is approximately 315 days, with a maximum individual stock gain of 19.76% [5][7]. Group 3: Risk Management - The company advocates for quick recognition of mistakes in short-term trading, emphasizing the importance of stop-loss strategies to mitigate risks while allowing for flexibility in certain situations [15][17]. - The principle of "cutting losses quickly" is highlighted, with a focus on maintaining a disciplined approach to trading, ensuring that each operation remains within a controllable risk range [15][17].

Group 1 - The core idea of the article is to promote an ETF investment competition aimed at enhancing investor knowledge and participation in ETF trading [1][2][3] - The competition registration period is from June 12 to August 29, 2025, with the official competition running from June 18 to September 5, 2025 [1] - Participants must open a regular A-share account or an on-market fund account with Shenwan Hongyuan Securities before August 29, 2025, and have a risk tolerance level of C3 or above [3] Group 2 - The competition is designed to lower the entry barriers for new investors, emphasizing that ETF investments are low-cost and transparent, making them ideal for beginners [3] - The event includes educational modules such as "Market Insights from Experts," "Competition Zone Educational Videos," and "ETF Financial Classroom" to help investors build a comprehensive knowledge framework [3] - Professional investment advisors will provide ongoing support during the competition, offering weekly insights and in-depth analysis of market trends and sector rotations to assist participants in making informed investment decisions [4]

Core Viewpoint - The commencement of the "Yaxia" hydropower station construction, with a total investment of 1.2 trillion, is expected to boost infrastructure investment growth and enhance economic stability expectations [1]. Market Performance - The stock market continued to rebound, with the Shanghai Composite Index showing a five-week upward trend and reaching a recent high during the week [1]. - Daily trading volume in both markets exceeded 1.8 trillion, indicating a significant increase compared to the previous week [1]. - The Shenzhen Component Index accelerated its gains, achieving a new high for the year [1]. Sector Focus - Market hotspots were primarily concentrated in construction and building materials sectors related to infrastructure [1]. - Investment styles favored small-cap and technology sectors, which experienced larger gains [1]. Technical Analysis - The Shanghai Composite Index has accelerated its upward movement after breaking through a consolidation range from the previous year [1]. - The main technical resistance level is at the high point from early October of last year, which also represents the top of a weekly large box range [1].

Core Viewpoint - The article introduces the "Combination Equity Package" investment advisory service by Shenwan Hongyuan, designed to guide investors through the complexities of the market and enhance their investment strategies [1][2]. Group 1: Service Overview - The "Combination Equity Package" is a comprehensive investment advisory product that includes simulated trading, method teaching, stock diagnosis, market interpretation, and philosophy sharing, catering to various investment needs [2]. - The service aims to reduce decision-making costs for investors by providing stock selection, timing guidance, and position management based on fundamental, technical, and capital analysis [4]. Group 2: Expert Support - The package offers a "Big Shot Stock Diagnosis" service, where experts provide detailed analysis and insights on specific stocks, helping investors understand the underlying investment and trading logic [5]. - Exclusive videos are produced by the advisory team to simplify complex market dynamics and investment strategies, aiding investors in their growth [6]. Group 3: Market Insights - The service closely monitors market trends and provides timely analysis of significant market movements, offering valuable references for investors during both major fluctuations and minor adjustments [7]. - Monthly reports are generated to summarize the performance of the "Combination Equity Package," allowing investors to review operations and adjust strategies based on past experiences [9]. Group 4: Educational Resources - The package includes specialized courses covering various aspects of investing, from basic theories to practical skills, enabling investors to understand the mature investment methods behind the recommendations [8].

Core Viewpoint - The market is expected to continue its upward momentum in the coming weeks, potentially breaking through the previous high set on October 8, leading to a significant market rally [1]. Funding Aspects - Recent funding conditions have seen five major positive developments, with substantial capital inflows into the stock market: - Southbound funds recorded a single-day purchase of HKD 20.184 billion in Hong Kong stocks, bringing the total net purchase for the year to HKD 820.028 billion, surpassing last year's total of HKD 807.9 billion, marking a historical high for the same period [2]. - Public funds have shown improvement, with mixed funds growing by CNY 121.3 billion to CNY 3.68 trillion in June, alongside a slight increase in share volume [2]. - The M1-M2 spread has narrowed, indicating a potential shift in liquidity dynamics [3]. - Public bond funds experienced their largest single-day redemption since January, with nearly CNY 100 billion sold, suggesting a possible reshuffling of asset allocations [3]. - Life insurance products are expected to see a decrease in interest rates, with the current standard rate set at 1.99%, down 14 basis points from the previous 2.13% [3]. Technical Aspects - Three technical indicators suggest a bullish outlook, with a short-term target above 3700: - The gap analysis from the island reversal gap on May 7 to the continuation gap on July 21 indicates a potential upward movement above 3700 [4]. - A descending flag pattern formed since October 8 has been effectively broken in June, also suggesting a target above 3700 [4]. - The wave count indicates a strong trend, currently in a 3-3 formation, supporting the bullish sentiment [5]. Summary - The market is poised for a strong upward attack in the short term, with a focus on maintaining appropriate positions. For those less adept at stock selection, ETFs are recommended as a viable investment option [6].

免责声明 发行人 中铁信托有限责任公司 是经中国银行保险监督管理委员会批准，以金融信 托为主营业务的非银行金融机构，公司业务范围涵盖资金信托、动产信托、 不动产信 托 、 有价证券信托 、投资基金、证券承销、 投资银行业务 等 ，拥有 40 年持续经营 的历史。公司注册资本 50 亿元，建立以成都总部为核心，北上深汉渝为支点，"立足 四川、面向全国"的现代金融服务网络，获准建立有信托行业第三家、四川省内金融机 构第一家博士后创新实践基地，与西南财大联合建立中国信托研究中心。 此次资产证券化产品的成功发行为未来双方进一步深化合作奠定了坚实的基础， 对申万宏源持续资产证券化业务市场具有重要意义 。未来，申万宏源将继续为广大实 体企业提供深湛优良的综合金融服务，把落实国家战略与企业使命深度结合，为助力实 体经济高质量发展贡献金融央企力量。 7 月 22 日 ，由申万宏源担任 销售机构 的 中铁信托先锋 13 号应收账款资产支 持专项计划 项目成功发行 。 本期 资产证券化产品 优先 A 级 ， 发行规模 9.09 亿 元，期限 2.75 年 ，票面利率 2.09 % ， 债项评级 AAA ，无外部增信。优先 B 级 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of identifying and following market trends, highlighting the recent upward movement in the market since July, with increased trading activity and investor confidence [2]. Investment Philosophy - For novice ETF investors, it is crucial to establish a rational investment philosophy, which includes setting reasonable return targets based on risk tolerance, such as an annualized return of 3%-5% initially, and gradually aiming for higher returns as experience grows [7]. - A systematic investment strategy is recommended, such as regular fixed-amount investments in broad-based ETFs to mitigate timing risks and maintain discipline in execution [7]. - Diversification and position control are essential, with recommendations to allocate no more than 15% of total funds to a single ETF and keep total equity investments below 30% [7]. Risk Management Strategies - To manage risks, the article suggests employing a risk parity model to balance the risk contributions of leveraged ETFs and other assets, ensuring that leveraged ETF positions do not exceed 30% of the portfolio [8]. - Strict stop-loss measures are advised, with a recommended stop-loss threshold of 8%-10% to prevent significant losses, and the use of trailing stop-loss strategies to protect profits [8]. - Trend-following strategies are encouraged, where positions are increased in an upward trend and reduced during reversals, avoiding counter-trend actions [8]. - The core of ETF allocation should focus on balancing risk and return, allowing for effective overall risk control without significantly lowering expected returns [8]. Summary of Investment Insights - The investment philosophy can be succinctly summarized as using rules to overcome emotions and achieving compounding through discipline [9].

Group 1 - The core idea of the article is to promote an ETF investment competition aimed at enhancing investor knowledge and participation in ETF trading [1][3]. - The competition registration period is from June 12 to August 29, 2025, with the official competition running from June 18 to September 5, 2025 [1][2]. - Participants must open a regular A-share account or an on-market fund account with Shenwan Hongyuan Securities by August 29, 2025, and have a risk tolerance level of C3 or above [3]. Group 2 - The article emphasizes that ETF investments have low entry barriers and high transparency, making them suitable for novice investors [3]. - To assist investors in learning, the competition includes modules such as "Market Insights from Experts," "Competition Education Videos," and "ETF Financial Classes" to build a comprehensive knowledge framework [3]. - Professional investment advisors will provide ongoing support during the competition, offering weekly insights and in-depth analysis of market trends and sector rotations to help optimize investment decisions [4].

Market Overview - A-shares continued to show a trend of oscillating upward, closing above the 3600-point mark, with over 4300 stocks rising, indicating a strong buying force [1][4] - The Shanghai Composite Index has officially broken through the high point of November 8, 2024, suggesting the end of the sideways trend since Q4 2024 [1] Future Outlook - The market outlook is optimistic due to multiple catalysts across various industries, such as the launch of the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream power station and potential recovery in H20 chip exports [2] - Two possible paths for the market after breaking 3500 points: either continue the upward trend to challenge the high of October 8, 2024, or undergo a consolidation phase before challenging the 3674-point high [2] Sector Highlights - The market is expected to experience thematic trading driven by events, with a high-low rotation among sectors [3] - Key sectors to watch include: 1. Consumer expansion and domestic demand, with a focus on dairy products, IP consumption, leisure tourism, and medical aesthetics [3] 2. Robotics, with a shift from humanoid robots to quadrupedal and functional robots, presenting opportunities in sensors and controllers [3] 3. Semiconductor localization, focusing on semiconductor equipment, wafer manufacturing, materials, and IC design [3] 4. Military industry, with expectations of order recovery in 2025 [3] 5. Innovative drugs, which are expected to see a turning point in fundamentals after a four-year adjustment [3] Market Performance - The market maintained a strong upward trend with a significant number of stocks rising, while only a few sectors like banking, telecommunications, and public utilities saw declines [4] - Leading sectors included beauty care, non-ferrous metals, steel, retail, and non-bank financials, indicating a positive market sentiment [4]