21世纪经济报道
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甲骨文涨近5%,盘后遭大空头做空,美股存储概念股普涨,美联储今年或至少降息两次
21世纪经济报道· 2026-01-10 14:49
Group 1: Market Overview - The U.S. stock market indices collectively rose, with the S&P 500 reaching a historical high, driven by gains in Intel and other chip manufacturers [1] - For the first complete trading week of 2026, the Dow Jones increased by 2.32%, the S&P 500 rose by 1.57%, and the Nasdaq gained 1.88% [1] Group 2: Semiconductor Sector Performance - Semiconductor stocks saw significant gains, with SanDisk up 12.8%, Micron Technology up 5.5%, Seagate up 6.87%, and Western Digital up 6.8% [1] - A report from Nomura Securities indicated that demand for enterprise-level SSDs using large-capacity 3D NAND remains strong, with SanDisk's product prices potentially surging over 100% quarter-on-quarter [1] Group 3: Individual Stock Movements - Intel's stock rose over 10%, while Oracle's stock increased nearly 5%, despite Michael Burry holding put options on Oracle [2] - UBS downgraded Oracle's target price from $325 to $280 [2] Group 4: Employment and Economic Indicators - The U.S. labor market showed mixed signals, with December non-farm payrolls adding only 50,000 jobs, below the expected 55,000, and the unemployment rate dropping to 4.4% [5] - The labor force participation rate fell to 62.4%, indicating a shrinking labor force [5] - The overall non-farm employment growth for 2025 was the weakest since 2020, with an increase of only 584,000 jobs [5] Group 5: Federal Reserve Outlook - The employment report has led to a decrease in expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, with the probability of a rate cut in January dropping to 5% from 11% [5][6] - Market expectations suggest that the Federal Reserve may cut rates at least twice in 2026, with potential cuts in June and September [6]
专家:中国降准还有较大空间
21世纪经济报道· 2026-01-10 14:49
Core Viewpoint - The likelihood of China's monetary policy adopting a "small step" approach is high, especially in the face of uncertainties [1]. Group 1: Monetary Policy Mechanism - Monetary policy generally targets short to medium-term goals and requires a "step-by-step" approach during uncertain times [3]. - The transmission mechanism of monetary policy is more complex than that of fiscal policy, with a longer transmission path [3]. - China's monetary policy transmission mechanism has evolved to include a sequence from policy interest rates (OMO rates) to loan market quotation rates (LPR) and then to actual loan rates [3]. Group 2: Reserve Requirement Ratio (RRR) and Interest Rates - RRR cuts are preferred over interest rate cuts as they increase the funds available for commercial banks, supporting active fiscal policies [5]. - Since 2016, the RRR has been adjusted downwards 23 times, with a cumulative decrease of 8.5 percentage points for large deposit-taking financial institutions [5]. - The net interest margin for commercial banks was 1.42% as of Q3 2025, indicating pressure on banks' profitability [6]. Group 3: Future Monetary Policy Outlook - There is still room for interest rate cuts, especially given the low inflation and high real interest rates in China [8]. - The external environment for interest rate cuts has improved, with the Federal Reserve having cut rates by a total of 75 basis points in 2025, while China's policy rate was only reduced by 10 basis points [8]. - Structural monetary policy tools can be used to lower interest rates, particularly to support technological innovation and weaker economic sectors [8]. Group 4: Fiscal Policy Considerations - The 2025 Central Economic Work Conference emphasized maintaining necessary fiscal deficits and total debt levels, suggesting that the expansionary fiscal policy will continue into 2026 [8]. - It is suggested that China could raise its fiscal deficit ratio to create conditions for more active fiscal policies, diverging from the Maastricht Treaty guideline of a 3% deficit ratio [8].
天才少年姚顺雨入职腾讯后首次公开发声
21世纪经济报道· 2026-01-10 13:36
记者丨 孔海丽 编辑丨骆一帆 视频丨王学权 1月10日,在由清华大学基础模型北京市重点实验室、智谱AI发起的AGI-Next前沿峰会上,27 岁的姚顺雨履新腾讯首席AI科学家后首次公开发声,他透露,最近在忙"模型和产品的开发", 也首次谈及了对AI行业分化趋势的观察。 他提到,腾讯是一家to C基因很强的公司,会更思考如何让AI给用户提供更多价值,在丰富的 场景里落地AI价值。 奖品随机6选1(国风新年糖桶、低糖蛋黄酥礼盒、黄油蛋卷、5L菜籽油、果然有 福混合包、秋月梨米酒),免费快递到家。 SFC 奠定了现代大模型推理与行动协同的技术基石。 出品丨21财经客户端 21世纪经济报道 编辑丨张嘉钰 最高100万元!证监会大幅提高"吹哨人"奖励 81岁芯片大佬恢复中国籍,为交税套现近亿元,60岁归国带出2000亿元半导体巨头 日本知名巨头退出中国内地市场,平价品牌狂奔,有门店日排队3000桌 21君荐读 B端方面,团队会思考如何先将自身服务好,且大公司做2B业务较创业公司已具备场景和生态 优势。 2025年12月,27岁的姚顺雨正式加入腾讯,担任首席AI科学家,并兼任AI Infra部、大语言模 型部负责人,向总 ...
上证指数站上4100点,后市有哪些机会
21世纪经济报道· 2026-01-10 13:36
记者丨 庞华玮 编辑丨张星 1月9日,上证指数时隔10年再度突破4100点,全市场成交量突破3万亿元,达3.15万亿元。 截至收盘,上证指数上涨0.92%,报4120.43点;深成指涨1.15%,创业板指涨0.77%。 总体来看,机构对后市普遍较乐观,但认为短期需防市场波动,给出的策略大多倾向于均衡配 置。 1月9日,A股市场表现强劲,三大指数集体上涨,上证指数收盘报4120.43点,为2015年7月底 以来首次站上4100点。 全市场超3900只个股上涨,其中110家公司涨停,连续2日超百股涨停。 全市场成交额达3.15万亿元,上一次突破3万亿元大关已是2025年9月18日,历史第五次突破3 万亿,当天市场情绪活跃。 2026年开年以来A股表现活跃。上证指数在2026年第一周(1月5日~1月9日)累计上涨 3.82%,完成了从3900点到4100点的跨越。 这一周A股量价齐升。前四天,全市场成交额连续超过2.5万亿元,周五则直接飙升至3.15万亿 元。 4 1 0 0点背后 1月9日A股涨幅居前的申万一级行业主要集中在传媒、国防军工、计算机、有色金属,受到AI 应用落地预期、商业航天政策催化等影响以上行业表 ...
“死了么”爆火,冲上榜一!开发者最新回应
21世纪经济报道· 2026-01-10 13:36
Core Viewpoint - The "Are You Dead?" app has gained significant attention as a safety tool for individuals living alone, allowing users to check in regularly and notify emergency contacts if they fail to do so [1][3]. Group 1: App Overview - The app is designed for solitary individuals, requiring users to set emergency contacts and check in regularly. If a user fails to check in for consecutive days, an email will be sent to their emergency contacts [1]. - The app has reached the top position in the paid software rankings on the Apple App Store [1]. Group 2: Development and Team - The development team consists of three members, all born in the 1990s, who collaborate remotely while maintaining their own jobs [3]. - The idea for the app emerged from discussions on social media about essential apps, leading the team to recognize a demand for such a tool [3]. Group 3: User Feedback and Suggestions - Following the app's popularity, users have suggested improvements, including changing the notification method to SMS and altering the app's name from "Are You Dead?" to "Are You Alive?" [5]. - The developer acknowledged the sensitivity around the term "death" in China but emphasized the importance of confronting mortality [5].
最高100万元!证监会大幅提高“吹哨人”奖励
21世纪经济报道· 2026-01-10 12:27
记者丨 崔文静 编辑丨张星 资本市场"吹哨人"制度迎来里程碑式升级。1月9日,证监会会同财政部正式发布《证券期货违 法行为"吹哨人"奖励工作规定》(以下简称《"吹哨人"奖励规定》), 标志着经过公开征求 意见修订后的"吹哨人"激励与保护机制正式生效 。 相较于2020年施行的规定,此番新规在奖励力度、门槛设定、程序优化及保护问责等四大维度 实现系统性重构,其核心直指"用更有效的激励与更坚实的保护,发动市场内部力量,精准打 击重大违法违规行为"。 新规最引人注目的变化在于奖励标准的大幅跃升。 奖励金计算比例从罚没款金额的1%全面提 升至3%,针对提供重大违法行为线索的,单案奖金上限从10万元大幅提至50万元。 而若线索 在全国有重大影响、涉案数额特别巨大,或举报人本身就是"内部知情人员", 奖金上限更是 一举升至100万元的峰值。 与此相匹配的是准入门槛的同步抬高:可获奖励案件的罚没款金额门槛从10万元提升至100万 元,且案件必须符合"严重破坏市场秩序、严重危害金融安全、严重侵害投资者合法权益"的重 大案件标准。 与此同时,新规为匿名举报者敞开了获得奖励的大门,并对"吹哨人"身份信息实行严格的匿名 管理,严禁 ...
国家级引导基金活跃度提升
21世纪经济报道· 2026-01-10 12:27
Core Viewpoint - Government investment funds have become a major source of capital in China's equity investment industry, playing a crucial role in promoting healthy industry development and optimizing traditional industries [1][12]. Group 1: Policy and Regulatory Changes - The State Council issued the "Guiding Opinions on Promoting the High-Quality Development of Government Investment Funds" on January 7, 2025, outlining 25 measures across seven areas to enhance the fund management process [1][12]. - Local governments are increasingly focusing on optimizing existing government investment funds rather than solely establishing new ones, leading to a more pragmatic approach in fund creation [12][22]. - The "1号文" emphasizes that government investment funds should not be established solely for attracting investment, leading to a slowdown in new fund establishments, particularly in less economically robust regions [13][27]. Group 2: Fund Establishment and Trends - In the first half of 2025, 60 new government investment funds were established, surpassing the total of 55 in 2024, with a total scale of 188 billion yuan [6][8]. - The establishment of government investment funds is concentrated in economically vibrant regions like the Yangtze River Delta and the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, while interest in new funds has declined in the central and western regions [8][12]. - The trend is shifting towards a "fund cluster" model, focusing on multiple smaller funds with clear positioning rather than a few large-scale funds [26]. Group 3: Investment Focus and Strategies - Government investment funds are increasingly targeting strategic emerging industries such as new-generation information technology, biotechnology, and new energy vehicles, which are crucial for developing new productive forces [8][9]. - There is a consensus on "investing early and investing small," with both national and local funds showing more support for early-stage projects [9][10]. - The investment strategies of industry investment funds differ from venture capital funds, with a notable trend towards the mother-child fund structure to attract social capital [9][10]. Group 4: Management and Operational Efficiency - Most government investment funds have established sound systems and standardized operational processes, with many implementing ESG/responsible investment strategies [10][31]. - The management fee structures are becoming more refined and market-oriented, with a focus on cost control and performance [32][36]. - The introduction of a "tolerance for losses" policy allows for higher risk-taking, with some regions permitting up to 100% loss on individual projects [36][38]. Group 5: Exit Strategies and Market Dynamics - The recovery of the A-share and Hong Kong IPO markets in 2025 has provided a favorable environment for government investment funds to realize exits [41][42]. - The development of S funds and active mergers and acquisitions (M&A) markets are creating diversified exit channels for government investment funds [41][45]. - In 2025, the number of M&A transactions increased by 12.58%, indicating a more active market, with local governments becoming significant participants in M&A activities [48][49].
我国新增20万颗卫星申请
21世纪经济报道· 2026-01-10 12:27
在此背景下,中国在此之前已推进"GW星座""千帆星座""鸿鹄-3"等国家级星座计划,拟在未 来十年内完成上万颗部署。 东吴证券指出,展望2026年商业航天行业将迎来多重催化,特别是多枚可回收/大载量的商业 火箭密集首飞,火箭运力将有望迎来显著提升,从而打通此前卫星通信发展的堵点。我国低轨 卫星互联网从2025年下半年已进入批量发射建设阶段,2026年有望迎来更大批量发射,产业 发展进一步加速。 (声明:文章内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作,风险自担。) SFC 来源丨上海证券报、科创板日报 编辑丨张嘉钰 江佩佩 81岁芯片大佬恢复中国籍,为交税套现近亿元,60岁归国带出2000亿元半导体巨头 2000万粉丝演员哭穷炫富,多个账号被禁言,代言产品全线停产 顶奢酒店攻入下沉市场 21君荐读 据上海证券报,记者查询国际电信联盟(ITU)官网获悉,我国2025年12月向ITU申请了超20 万颗卫星的频轨资源。其中超19万颗卫星来自近期刚刚成立的无线电创新院。 | | 2025年12月29-30日中国向ITU新增申报多个星座计划 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 星座计划名称 | 卫星数量 ...
事关互联网应用程序个人信息收集使用,新规来了
21世纪经济报道· 2026-01-10 09:51
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the draft regulations for the collection and use of personal information by internet applications, aiming to standardize practices, protect individual rights, and promote reasonable use of personal data [1]. Group 1: General Principles - The regulations are established to standardize the collection and use of personal information by internet applications, ensuring compliance with relevant laws such as the Cybersecurity Law and the Personal Information Protection Law [2]. - Internet applications operating within China must adhere to these regulations, including those collecting personal information from Chinese citizens while operating abroad [2]. - The collection and use of personal information must follow principles of legality, necessity, and integrity, and consent must be obtained from individuals [2][3]. Group 2: Responsibilities of Operators - Internet application operators are responsible for the collection and use of personal information and must ensure security measures are in place [3][4]. - Operators must conduct audits of embedded software development kits (SDKs) and distribution platforms to ensure compliance with personal information protection standards [4]. Group 3: User Information Transparency - Internet applications must provide clear and transparent information regarding the collection and use of personal information, including the purpose, method, and types of data collected [5]. - Applications with over 50 million registered users or 10 million monthly active users must publicly solicit feedback on their personal information collection rules [6]. Group 4: User Consent and Rights - Users must be informed of personal information collection rules at the first launch of the application and must provide explicit consent [9]. - Users should have the option to manage their personal information, including the ability to withdraw consent and request deletion of their data [10]. Group 5: Security Measures - Internet applications must implement adequate management and technical measures to protect the personal information of minors and prevent data breaches [9][20]. - In the event of a data breach, operators must promptly inform users and report to the relevant authorities [20]. Group 6: Supervision and Compliance - The national internet information department is responsible for overseeing compliance with these regulations, while local departments will manage enforcement within their jurisdictions [18]. - Operators must establish internal compliance management systems to prevent misuse of personal information and cooperate with regulatory inspections [19].
顶奢酒店攻入下沉市场
21世纪经济报道· 2026-01-10 09:51
Core Viewpoint - The luxury hotel market in major cities like Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen is becoming saturated, prompting capital to shift towards less saturated markets with rich historical narratives and cultural heritage, such as Dunhuang [1]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The investment firm, Wanzhong Holdings, has partnered with international hotel brands like Hilton and Marriott to establish luxury hotels in the northwest region of China, including brands like Waldorf, Four Seasons, and Mandarin Oriental [1][3]. - The luxury hotel segment is increasingly focusing on unique cultural experiences and natural endowments in second and third-tier cities, as evidenced by the opening of Ritz-Carlton in Dunhuang, which will be the second of its kind in China [5][8]. Group 2: Financial Performance - International hotel brands are facing challenges in the Chinese market, with Marriott reporting a 5% year-on-year revenue growth globally, but a decline in RevPAR in the Greater China region [7]. - InterContinental Hotels Group also reported a decline in RevPAR, ADR, and occupancy rates in the Greater China region, indicating a broader trend of underperformance in this market [7]. - In contrast, Hilton's global revenue increased by 6%, but recovery in the Asia-Pacific region, particularly China, has been slow [7]. Group 3: Strategic Shifts - The collaboration between local capital and international brands is becoming a clear strategy to capture scarce resources and mitigate investment risks, especially as the luxury hotel market shifts from scale and speed to boutique, destination-focused, and differentiated branding [8][9]. - The focus on culturally rich or naturally unique locations for luxury hotel projects aims to attract high-net-worth individuals seeking distinctive experiences, which may drive the next phase of growth in the industry [8].