格隆汇新股 创新药狂飙！山东青岛大健康巨头冲刺IPO，高瓴押注，近几年持续分红 原创 阅读全文 ...

港股打新机会来了！四箭齐发，哪些值得一搏？资金如何规划？ 原创 阅读全文 格隆汇新股 ...

顺丰同城无人车开始起量，多家专注于物流场景的自动驾驶企业也纷纷传出融资成功的消息。 在政策松绑、资本与技术的双重驱动下，末端配送与干线货运的无人化变革正在加速推进，二级市场对于无人配送的商业前景认知也在提升， 推动相关概念股的迅速上涨。 如云内动力、通达电气、星网宇达等在相关时间节点均表现活跃。 尤其是德邦股份，5月26日-6月3日期间累计涨幅达72.16%，换手率高达24.27%。 但股价在公告澄清尚未部署无人物流车后，随之下跌超20%。 无人配送规模化落地的拐点，是否真的到来了？ 作者 | 弗雷迪 数据支持 | 勾股大数 据（www.gogudata.com） 近期，关于"无人配送"的话题热度持续攀升，一系列消息让这一领域备受关注。 01 "白菜价"设备问世，加速压降物流成本 种种迹象显示， 无人配送规模化落地的拐点逐渐迫近。 无人配送是指通过无人驾驶技术和智能物流系统实现的物流运输与配送服务，自动驾驶等级要达到L4层级，需要AI、传感器融合、车路协同等 技术的融合。 配送行业转向自动化解决方案， 最主要的动力来自庞大的物流配送需求，和传统物流末端人力短缺以及高昂成本之间的矛盾。 去年，中国快递业务量突破 ...

Core Viewpoint - The rise of quantitative trading has significantly altered the structure of the A-share market, creating both opportunities and challenges for retail investors [6][8]. Group 1: Quantitative Trading Impact - As of May 2025, quantitative trading accounts for 25% to 30% of trading volume in the A-share market, with some days approaching 35% [3]. - Quantitative trading operates at a speed of a few hundred milliseconds, compared to the average five seconds for retail investors, creating a substantial speed advantage [5]. - The presence of quantitative trading has introduced a new level of liquidity to the market, but it has also led to perceived unfairness for retail investors [6]. Group 2: Data and Strategy Disparity - Quantitative institutions process terabytes of data daily, including historical market data and social media sentiment, while retail investors rely on fragmented news and financial reports [4][6]. - The disparity in data access and processing capabilities gives quantitative firms a significant edge in strategy execution [6]. - High-frequency trading accounts for approximately 60% of total programmatic trading volume, acting as a "digital scythe" that capitalizes on the slower reactions of retail investors [5]. Group 3: Regulatory Environment - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) is implementing a gradual regulatory approach to enhance the oversight of quantitative trading, aiming to maintain market fairness while allowing for efficiency improvements [6]. - New regulations set to be implemented in October will shift the focus from speed to the effectiveness of trading strategies, indicating a potential evolution in the competitive landscape of quantitative trading [7]. Group 4: Future Considerations for Retail Investors - Retail investors face a choice: adapt to algorithmic trading or risk being outpaced by it [8]. - The increasing availability of low-threshold quantitative tools from brokerages may provide retail investors with opportunities to engage in quantitative trading [6].

全球经济正面临"三重压力"的严峻考验：地缘政治冲突持续升级，贸易保护主义浪潮汹涌，债务危机阴云笼罩。国际货币基金组织（IMF）最 新报告显示，2025年全球经济增速预期下调至2.8%，较年初预测回落0.5个百分点，复苏动能明显减弱。然而历史经验表明，危机往往孕育着 转机——以人工智能、可再生能源为代表的新兴领域正逆势崛起，近三年投资增速持续保持在15%以上，成为对冲传统经济下行的新引擎。 当全球资本市场在迷雾中艰难穿行之际，香港市场已悄然显现春江水暖的征兆。2025年前五月，港交所迎来117家IPO申请企业，新股首日破 发率同比下降23%，打新申购人数激增47%，市场复苏信号明确。这印证了一个永恒的投资真理：最黑暗的时刻往往孕育着最明亮的机遇。 站在年中的十字路口，全球资本正在书写新的叙事逻辑：不是被动承受压力，而是主动创造转机；不是固守旧有格局，而是开拓新生疆域。 格隆汇创始人格隆博士将在 7月4日【格隆汇·中期策略会·2025】 解构『新衣冠南渡』时代下的资本迁徙与港股机遇。 嘉宾介绍 躬身耕耘的星火，终成燎原之势； 破浪而行的孤舟，自达沧海之界。 【格隆汇中期策略会 2025 】 在深圳期待您的莅临！ ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in Kweichow Moutai's stock price has raised concerns, with a drop of nearly 13% from its peak of 1645 CNY per share to 1427 CNY, significantly underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [1][3][4] Group 1: Stock Performance - Kweichow Moutai's stock has been in a weak downward trend for over four years since reaching a historical high of 2400 CNY in early 2021, with a decline of more than 40% from that peak [3][4] - The overall performance of the liquor sector has been poor, with Kweichow Moutai and other leading liquor companies experiencing significant declines in stock prices, with Moutai down 12.56% over the past 20 trading days [10][11] Group 2: Policy Impact - A new regulation effective from May 18, 2025, prohibits the serving of liquor at official meals for civil servants, which has drastically changed market expectations for future liquor consumption [6][7] - Despite a reduced reliance on government consumption, the loss of this segment is expected to impact broader business and social dining scenarios [8][9] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The liquor industry is facing a contraction in consumption scenarios, exacerbated by the new regulations, leading to a significant drop in wholesale sales [10][12] - Kweichow Moutai's wholesale prices have been declining, with the price for a case dropping to 2025 CNY and for individual bottles to 1960 CNY, marking a decline of over 12% compared to earlier this year [14][16] Group 4: Inventory and Supply - Current inventory levels for Kweichow Moutai are substantial, with approximately 120 million bottles in circulation and production capacity expected to add another 130 million bottles, indicating a potential oversupply [17] - Reports indicate that the liquor wholesale price index has been below 100 since last year, with a 12.5% year-on-year decline in production as of March [18][20] Group 5: Consumer Trends - The younger generation shows a declining interest in traditional liquor, with only 13% of young consumers preferring liquor over other beverages, leading to a significant generational gap in consumption [26][30] - New consumption trends favor lighter beverages and experiences, with younger consumers increasingly gravitating towards products that align with their lifestyle preferences [28][29] Group 6: Industry Evolution - The liquor industry has matured over the past two decades, transitioning through various phases, and is now characterized by a strong competitive landscape [24][25] - Despite attempts by liquor companies to innovate and adapt, such as Kweichow Moutai's forays into cross-industry products, these efforts have not gained significant traction [31][32]

ETF进化论 突发黑天鹅 ！全球大跳水 原创 阅读全文 ...

7 月 4 日 -5 日，格隆汇诚邀您莅临【格隆汇中期策略会 2025 】！ 我们邀请到了东方财富证券研究所副所长、首席策略官陈果先生莅临现场，基于最新市场数据与独家研究框架，深度剖析 2025 下半年中国资 本市场发展路径与机遇。从"流动性牛"到"基本面牛"，资本市场中期震荡上行趋势明确，把握关键窗口，共话市场新局！ 2025 年，宏观环境从"弱复苏"到"强预期"，全球经济复苏动能分化，地缘政治与货币政策交织扰动， A 股在估值修复与盈利验证中震荡前 行。中国证监会" 1+N "政策体系加速落地，结构性货币政策工具精准发力，叠加居民储蓄转化趋势与外资配置周期重启，市场正处于关键 的"信心重估"窗口期。 分会场3 主持人开场 09:00-09:05 神秘大咖 09:05-09:20 演讲嘉宾:李开复博士 09:20-09:50 零一万物CEO、创新工场董事长 09:50-10:20 演讲嘉宾:陈果 东方财富证券研究所副所长、 首席策略官 演讲主题:百年之变局下的投资之道 10:20-10:50 演讲嘉宾:崔宸龙博士 10:50-11:20 前海开源基金投资部总监、基金经理、 直席 ESG 官 格隆汇金格奖ES ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the impact of geopolitical tensions, particularly the conflict between Israel and Iran, on various sectors in the market, highlighting significant movements in military, oil, and gold industries while noting the overall weakness in the A-share market and consumer sectors [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - A total of 4,477 stocks in the A-share market declined, with only 849 stocks rising, indicating a broad market downturn [2]. - The consumer sector, both new and old, is experiencing significant declines, with traditional consumption, particularly in the liquor industry, facing ongoing downward pressure [2]. - The military, oil, and gold sectors are currently the most prominent performers in the market, with military stocks showing strong gains [3]. Group 2: Sector Analysis - The military sector is highlighted as a key area of focus, with companies like AVIC Chengfei rising by 11% and Chengfei Integration hitting the daily limit, suggesting a strong interest in military stocks due to ongoing geopolitical tensions [3]. - The oil sector experienced a sharp increase of 14% but is expected to face challenges in sustaining this momentum due to global economic fundamentals [3]. - Gold is viewed as a safe haven during turbulent times, maintaining its value despite recent fluctuations [3]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The article raises questions about how to navigate the current market adjustment and which segments within the military sector may present better investment opportunities [4]. - There is skepticism regarding the long-term appeal of the robotics sector, which has seen several months of adjustment [4]. - The innovative pharmaceutical sector experienced a spike but is now facing uncertainty about whether this is a buying opportunity or the beginning of a larger correction [4].

Core Insights - Artificial intelligence (AI) is becoming a core engine for reshaping growth logic amid global economic recovery challenges and China's transition to high-quality development. By 2025, AI is projected to directly contribute 2.92% to global GDP (approximately $3.2 trillion), increasing to 9.54% by 2030 [1]. Group 1: AI Development and Impact - The AI sector is entering a critical phase where technology is transitioning from a concept to a productivity tool, with significant contributions to various industries [1][2]. - The Chinese market is experiencing a "singularity moment" in AI, with the toB market awakening and the potential for AI-First applications to explode [2][3]. Group 2: Company Overview - Zero One Matter has officially entered its 2.0 era, focusing on lightweight industry models and enterprise solutions, aiming to create a "Windows operating system" for China's large model era [3]. - The company is leveraging its self-developed end-to-end technology to accelerate the development of large models across multiple sectors, including finance, manufacturing, government, energy, and research [3]. Group 3: Leadership and Vision - Dr. Kai-Fu Lee, CEO of Zero One Matter and Chairman of Innovation Works, has a strong background in technology leadership, having previously led Microsoft Research Asia and Google China [6][7]. - Under his leadership, Innovation Works has invested in over ten AI unicorns, many of which have gone public, showcasing a successful track record in fostering AI innovation [6].