CSIWM 个股点评 2026 年 3 月 4 日 4004 JP 日本材料行业 电话：(852) 2237 9250 / 电邮：wminvestmentsolutions@citics.com.hk 双重利好提振信心 摘要 中 信 证 券 财 富 管 理 与 中 信 里 昂 研 究 观 点 一 致 。 根 据 中 信 里 昂 研 究 在 2026 年 3 月 3 日 发 布 的 题 为 《Doubly impressed》的报告，Resonac 在 3 月 3 日召开管理层会议后，中信里昂更新了对公司的展望。公司团队表示整体需 求保持强劲，并因应西部数据（Western Digital）和希捷科技（Seagate）的强劲需求启动 HDD 基板涨价。管理层对 HDD 出货量和价格上调的自信表态（未包含在指引中）在会议中留下积极印象。 重申强劲增长前景 Resonac 携手公司 CEO 高桥秀仁与 CFO 染宫秀树举办了卖方会议。公司管理层坚定扩大半导体材料业务，同时推 进石化业务分拆，并考虑未来分拆石墨电极业务。公司指出，后端材料中 AI 相关占比在 2025 财年约为 20%，2026 财年将升至 30%， ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for companies such as 中芯国际 (SMIC) and 通富微电 (Tongfu Microelectronics) [2][3] Core Insights - The electronic industry is experiencing a comprehensive "inflation" phase, with multiple segments seeing price increases due to rising costs and supply chain constraints [7][34] - AI demand is driving price hikes in PCB upstream materials, with significant increases in costs for electronic cloth and copper foil, leading to a new round of price increases in the CCL (Copper Clad Laminate) sector [10][17] - The MLCC (Multi-Layer Ceramic Capacitor) market is entering a price increase cycle, driven by high demand from AI servers and supply constraints from leading manufacturers [31][32] Summary by Sections 1. AI Demand Driving Price Increases in PCB Upstream Materials - The CCL industry has initiated a new round of price increases, with Japanese manufacturers announcing price hikes of over 30% for copper foil substrates and adhesive films [10] - The demand for high-end products is squeezing traditional production capacities, leading to tighter supply in electronic cloth [19] - The HVLP (High Voltage Low Profile) copper foil market is experiencing an expanding supply-demand gap, enhancing the industry's pricing power [24] 2. AI Industry Driving Demand Upward, MLCC Enters Price Increase Cycle - The MLCC sector is seeing a surge in prices, with a nearly 20% increase in spot prices and leading manufacturers considering price hikes due to sustained high demand from AI applications [31][32] - The global high-end MLCC market is currently in a state of supply-demand imbalance, with utilization rates of leading manufacturers reaching 90%-95% [32] 3. Upstream Raw Material Price Increases + AI Demand Driving Semiconductor Price Increases - The semiconductor industry is expected to continue its price increase trend due to rising raw material costs and tight supply of 8-inch wafers [34] 4. Market Review - The electronic sector saw a weekly increase of 4.02%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.94 percentage points, with a year-to-date increase of 14.94% [37]

2026 科技：3 月重视设备+耗材扩产链 20260226 摘要 半导体设备板块在经历前期情绪性回撤后，受益于"两存"上市节奏预 期修正、海外存储厂商明确扩产信号以及 3 月设备招标启动，具备继续 上涨的基础，中期来看，"两存"存储设备扩产预期已上修至 14 万片 到 15 万片左右。 2026 年"两存"扩产增量主要来自长存二厂、三厂及长鑫合肥、北京、 上海新厂，预计两家合计扩产至少 14 万片到 15 万片，设备订单增速接 近翻倍，设备公司有望依次经历"谈订单—下订单—收入释放"的兑现 过程。 国内先进逻辑产能存在显著供需缺口，台积电暂停为中国先进逻辑厂商 代工后，国产 AI 芯片对国内先进制程代工需求显著提升，预计 2026 年 先进逻辑总体扩产约 8 万片，增速在 50%以上。 成熟逻辑方面，28nm 应用于 SoC、IoT、汽车芯片，应用前景广阔， 且存储晶圆的逻辑外包带来新增需求，未来 3D NAND 与 DRAM 合计需 求可能在"百万片以上"，推动更大规模的 28nm 扩产需求。 成熟逻辑扩产的驱动因素是什么，存储相关逻辑外包对 28nm 产能意味着什么？ 走向更激进的动力；三是 3 月份年 ...

Group 1 - Mingyang Circuit focuses on the R&D, production, and sales of printed circuit boards (PCBs), covering high multilayer boards, HDI boards, and rigid-flex boards, widely used in industrial control, communication equipment, and automotive electronics. The demand for high-reliability, high-density PCBs is continuously growing due to industrial automation upgrades, 5G communication network construction, and the increasing penetration of new energy vehicles [1][32] - Weirgao specializes in the R&D, production, and sales of electronic-grade special epoxy resins and related composite materials, which are key raw materials for PCBs. The demand for high-frequency, high-temperature, and low-loss materials is increasing in 5G communication, data centers, and new energy vehicles, leading to an expanding market space for specialty epoxy resins [2][33] - Qiangda Circuit focuses on the R&D, production, and sales of high-density interconnect printed circuit boards (HDI), widely used in consumer electronics such as smartphones and tablets. The market demand for high-end products like high multilayer HDI and AnyLayer HDI is continuously growing due to the recovery of the consumer electronics market and the upgrade of smart terminal functions [3][34] Group 2 - Benchuan Intelligent specializes in the R&D, production, and sales of PCBs, with core products including communication boards, automotive boards, and industrial control boards. The market demand for high-reliability, high-frequency PCBs is expanding due to the construction of 5G base stations and the upgrade of new energy vehicle systems [4][35] - Kexiang Co., Ltd. focuses on the R&D, production, and sales of HDI and high multilayer boards, covering various fields including consumer electronics and automotive electronics. The demand for high-end PCBs is continuously growing due to the functional upgrades of consumer electronics and the increasing demand for automotive electronic systems [5][36] - Jinlu Electronics specializes in the R&D, production, and sales of PCBs, with core products including automotive electronic boards and communication boards. The demand for high-reliability, high-integration PCBs is continuously growing due to the increasing penetration of new energy vehicles and the deep coverage of 5G networks [6][37] Group 3 - Shengyi Technology is a leading global supplier of copper-clad laminates (CCL) and related electronic materials, with products widely used in PCBs and electronic packaging. The demand for high-end copper-clad laminates is continuously expanding due to the increasing demand for high-frequency, high-temperature materials in 5G communication and data centers [7][38] - Xiehe Electronics focuses on the R&D, production, and sales of PCBs, including high-frequency and high-speed boards. The market demand for high-end products is continuously growing due to the advancement of 5G networks and the expansion of new energy vehicle systems [8][39] - Shiyun Circuit specializes in the R&D, production, and sales of PCBs, covering automotive electronics, consumer electronics, and industrial control. The demand for high-reliability, high-integration automotive PCBs is continuously growing due to the increasing complexity of in-vehicle electronic systems [9][40]

Group 1 - The Wind fiberglass index surged over 10% on February 11, leading the A-share market, with several companies hitting the daily limit up, including China Jushi, International Composites, and others [2] - China Jushi's market capitalization exceeded 100 billion yuan, reaching 102.7 billion yuan due to the stock price increase [2] Group 2 - The electronic cloth industry, crucial for manufacturing copper-clad laminates (CCL) and printed circuit boards (PCB), has experienced four rounds of price increases since 2025, with recent significant price hikes indicating a tight supply situation [4][5] - Institutions are optimistic about the sustainability of electronic cloth price increases into 2026, driven by high demand for high-end products and supply constraints [5][6] Group 3 - The demand for electronic cloth is expected to grow due to recovery in sectors like home appliances, new energy vehicles, and consumer electronics, alongside AI technology advancements [6] - The global AI server market is projected to grow from $125.1 billion in 2024 to $222.7 billion by 2028, with generative AI servers increasing their market share significantly [6] Group 4 - Electronic cloth is essential for high-performance applications, acting as a "shield" for chips, and is critical in high-computing scenarios like AI servers and satellite communications [7] - Companies like International Composites and Zhongcai Technology have reported significant profit growth for 2025, attributing this to rising prices of fiberglass products and increased demand driven by AI [7][8]

Core Viewpoint - The electronic cloth industry is experiencing significant price increases driven by high demand for advanced products and supply constraints, leading to substantial growth in the market and company valuations [5][6][7]. Group 1: Market Performance - On February 11, the Wind fiberglass index surged over 10%, with several companies, including China Jushi, International Composites, and others, hitting their daily price limits [3]. - China Jushi's market capitalization exceeded 100 billion yuan, reaching 1,027 million yuan [3]. Group 2: Price Trends and Demand - The electronic cloth sector has undergone four rounds of price increases since 2025, with recent hikes attributed to rising copper prices and strong demand for high-end products [5][6]. - Institutions predict that the price increases for electronic cloth will continue into 2026 due to ongoing supply-demand imbalances and limited new production capacity [6][7]. Group 3: AI and High-Performance Applications - The demand for electronic cloth is being driven by the expansion of AI technologies, particularly in high-performance servers, which require advanced printed circuit boards (PCBs) [7]. - Electronic cloth is critical in high-performance applications, contributing 20% to 30% of PCB costs and enhancing data transmission speeds [7]. Group 4: Company Performance and Projections - Companies like International Composites and Honghe Technology have forecasted significant profit increases for 2025, citing rising prices for fiberglass products driven by AI demand [8]. - China Jushi reported a revenue increase of 77.27% year-on-year for the first three quarters, indicating strong growth potential for 2025 [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [1]. Core Insights - The development of AI is driving upgrades in PCB technology, leading to increased demand for upstream materials. The global PCB market is expected to reach USD 96.8 billion by 2025 [3]. - The three main materials—copper foil, electronic cloth, and resin—are undergoing expansion and upgrades, with high-end copper foil becoming mainstream [3]. - The market for silicon micro-powder is expected to grow, with high-performance spherical silicon micro-powder projected to reach a market size of RMB 850 million by 2024, accounting for 49.22% of the total demand [3]. - Investment opportunities are highlighted in various sectors, including copper foil, electronic cloth, resin, silicon micro-powder, and PCB chemicals [3]. Summary by Sections AI-Driven PCB Upgrades - PCB is essential in modern electronic products, with significant demand growth driven by AI technology and electric vehicles. The industry is expected to expand further [3][30]. - The trend towards high-density, small aperture, large capacity, and lightweight PCBs is evident, necessitating higher quality upstream materials [3]. Main Materials Expansion - High-end copper foil demand is increasing, with foreign companies dominating the high-end market while domestic firms are gradually entering the supply chain [3]. - Electronic cloth is becoming thinner and lighter, with domestic companies increasing their investments [3]. - The resin market is evolving from epoxy resin to more advanced materials, enhancing the performance of copper-clad laminates [3]. Silicon Micro-Powder and Specialty Chemicals - The upgrade of PCBs is driving the iteration of silicon micro-powder products, with a notable market for high-performance spherical silicon micro-powder [3]. - The market for PCB specialty chemicals is expanding, with foreign companies currently leading but domestic firms accelerating their development [3]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies in various segments: - Copper Foil: Copper Crown, Defu Technology, Nord Shares, Zhongyi Technology, Longyang Electronics - Electronic Cloth: Feili Hua, Ping An Electric, Lite Optoelectronics, Quartz Shares, Honghe Technology, China National Materials, International Composites, China Jushi, Changhai Shares, Shandong Fiberglass, Bofei Electric - Resin: Dongcai Technology, Shengquan Group, Tongyu New Materials, Shiming Technology, Hongchang Electronics - Silicon Micro-Powder: Lianrui New Materials, Yake Technology, Guoci Materials, Lingwei Technology - PCB Chemicals: Guangxin Materials, Guanghua Technology, Sanfu New Materials, Jiuri New Materials, Yangfan New Materials [3].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the positive performance of Jiantao Group and its subsidiaries, driven by the growth in the PCB and CCL industries due to AI infrastructure expansion [1] - Jiantao Laminated Board (01888) saw an increase of 5.47%, reaching HKD 15.23, while Jiantao Group (00148) rose by 1.67%, reaching HKD 31.62 [1] - Goldman Sachs reported that the Chinese PCB and CCL industries are experiencing a dual trend of "acceleration and scaling," benefiting leading companies through specification upgrades, increased shipment volumes, and capacity expansion [1] Group 2 - Guotai Junan Securities noted that Jiantao has raised prices three times since August 2025, with an unexpected increase in December, indicating a positive pricing cycle across the entire industry chain driven by AI demand [1] - The company is strategically positioned in copper foil, electronic cloth, and copper-clad laminates, suggesting that as an industry leader, it is likely to benefit from the price increase cycle across all segments [1]

尽管供应商在增加产能，我们仍看好 PCB 行业 —— 因其仍受益于。 我们对印制电路板（PCB）/ 覆铜板（CCL）行业持积极看法，并识别出两大核心趋势： ：AI 服务器规格升级带来每机架更高的计算密度及高速连接（800G/1.6T），； ：AI 服务器放量带动 PCB 和 CCL市场总规模扩大，同时供应商正积极扩产。 尽管供应商在增加产能，我们仍看好 PCB 行业 —— 因其仍受益于。 AI 基础设施周期推动中国 PCB/CCL企业（胜宏科技、鹏鼎控股、生益科技）的收入增速，从 2022 年（前 AI 投资周期）的平均 + 2%，提升至 2025 年前九个月的平均同比 + 58%。 我们认为强劲增长将持续，核心驱动因素包括： AI 服务器持续放量，单机架算力提升 + 高速连接（800G/1.6T交换机）普及； 高层数 PCB 和高端材料带来； AI 服务器中 PCB 使用比例上升（替代铜缆，更便于组装）； 中国厂商在研发与产能扩张上的坚定投入； 客户群体从 GPU 型 AI 服务器拓展至 ASIC 型，本土客户需求上升。 我们预计胜宏科技 / 鹏鼎控股 / 生益科技在 2026-2028 年净利润复合源头信 ...

Group 1: Copper Price Surge and Impact on CCL Manufacturers - On December 26, copper futures prices surged, breaking through the 99,000 yuan/ton mark, reaching a historical high [1] - Jiantech (01888.HK), one of the largest CCL manufacturers, announced a 10% price increase for all materials due to soaring copper prices and tight supply of glass cloth, marking the second price hike in December [1] - The stock price of Jiantech rose over 7% in the last three trading days, indicating positive market sentiment [1] Group 2: Market Reactions and Price Adjustments - The CCL index in the A-share market has shown strong performance, increasing over 18% in the last 25 trading days [1] - On December 26, CCL manufacturers Shengyi Technology (600183.SH) and Nanya New Materials (688519.SH) saw stock price increases of 5.4% and 13.59%, respectively [1] - Jiantech's sales department confirmed that new orders will be settled at the increased prices, while existing orders will maintain the original pricing, with future adjustments based on copper price fluctuations [3] Group 3: PCB Industry and Material Cost Management - PCB leaders like Dongshan Precision (002384) and Pengding Holdings (002938) reported that they have implemented commodity hedging to manage the impact of rising raw material prices [4] - Pengding Holdings noted that their raw material prices remain stable and have not yet felt the effects of rising copper prices, attributing this to their focus on high-end imported CCL materials [4] - The PCB industry is expected to undergo structural upgrades driven by the rapid penetration of AI technology, with projections indicating a global PCB market value of $94.7 billion by 2029, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.2% from 2024 to 2029 [5]