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阿里巴巴-W(09988):AI云业务持续高增速,后续关注及时零售亏损减少
CSC SECURITIES (HK) LTD· 2025-11-26 06:32
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of HK$ 180 [1][6]. Core Insights - The company reported FY2026 Q2 revenue of RMB 247.8 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5%. Excluding disposed businesses, the revenue growth was 15%. Operating profit decreased by 85% to RMB 5.4 billion, while net profit attributable to shareholders fell by 53% to RMB 21 billion, aligning with market expectations [7]. - The core e-commerce business remains stable, with customer management revenue increasing by 10% to RMB 78.9 billion, driven by the improved penetration of the service fee model and a significant rise in monthly active consumers on the Taobao app [9]. - The timely retail business experienced rapid growth, with revenue up 60%, and losses are expected to decrease in line with market forecasts [9]. - Cloud business revenue exceeded market expectations, reaching RMB 39.8 billion, a 34% year-on-year increase, primarily due to growth in public cloud services and increased adoption of AI-related products [9]. - Capital expenditures remain high at RMB 31.4 billion, with a potential increase in the three-year total spending guidance to RMB 380 billion, reflecting continued strong investment in AI [9]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For FY2026, the company is projected to achieve a net profit of RMB 116.3 billion, a decrease of 10.6% year-on-year, with EPS of RMB 6.12, corresponding to a P/E ratio of 23.58 [11]. - The company’s net profit for FY2024 and FY2025 is expected to be RMB 80.0 billion and RMB 130.1 billion, respectively, with significant growth in FY2025 [11]. Market Position - The company holds a market capitalization of HK$ 175.3 billion, with a share price of HK$ 157.80 as of November 25, 2025 [2]. - The stock has shown a significant increase of 85.92% over the past month, although it has decreased by 9.10% over the past year [2]. Shareholder Information - Major shareholders include JPMorgan Chase & Co., holding 3.57% of the shares [2].
大金重工(002487):公司新签大额海外订单,自持风电场加速推进,建议“买进”
CSC SECURITIES (HK) LTD· 2025-11-26 06:27
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of 15% to less than 35% from the current price [6][9]. Core Insights - The company has signed a significant overseas contract worth approximately RMB 1.339 billion, which represents about 35.4% of its projected revenue for 2024. This contract is for a transition phase of an offshore wind farm project with a European energy company [6]. - The company plans to invest in three onshore wind projects with a total capacity of 950 MW, with an estimated total investment of no more than RMB 4.38 billion [6]. - The company is expected to see a 20% growth in overseas delivery volume in 2026, supported by accelerating offshore wind construction in Europe and a strong order backlog exceeding RMB 10 billion [6]. - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are RMB 1.194 billion, RMB 1.593 billion, and RMB 2.155 billion, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 152%, 33%, and 35% [6][8]. Company Overview - The company operates in the machinery and equipment industry, with a current A-share price of RMB 49.20 and a market capitalization of RMB 31.041 billion [3]. - The company has a significant focus on wind power equipment, which constitutes 94.5% of its product mix, while new energy generation accounts for 4.4% [3]. - The major shareholder is Fuxin Jinyin Energy Consulting Co., Ltd., holding 38.93% of the shares [3]. Financial Projections - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from RMB 6.264 billion in 2025 to RMB 9.868 billion in 2027, with corresponding net profits increasing significantly during the same period [8][11]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be RMB 1.872, RMB 2.498, and RMB 3.379 for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [8]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are expected to be 26.17, 19.62, and 14.50 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, indicating a favorable valuation trend [8].
小米集团-W(01810):董事长回购,估值具有吸引力。
CSC SECURITIES (HK) LTD· 2025-11-25 08:39
2025 年 11 月 25 日 | 朱吉翔 | | | --- | --- | | H70138@capital.com.tw | | | 目标价(港币) | 55.0 | 公司基本资讯 | 产业别 | | | | 电子 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | H 股价(2025/11/24) | | | | 38.66 | | 恒生指数(2025/11/24) | | | 25,716.5 | | | 股价 12 个月高/低 | | 60.15/27.2 | | | | 总发行股数(百万) | | | 26,043.33 | | | H 股数(百万) | | | 21,531.78 | | | H 市值(亿元) | | | 5,127.34 | | | | 方舟信托(香港) | | | | | 主要股东 | | | 有限公司 | | | | | | (23.93%) | | | 每股净值(元) | | | | 10.20 | | 股价/账面净值 | | | | 3.79 | | 一个月 | 三个月 | | | 一年 | | 股价涨跌(%) 38.07% | -27.74 | ...
科德数控(688305):下游客户持续突破,加码轴向磁通电机
CSC SECURITIES (HK) LTD· 2025-11-25 08:38
| 产业别 | | 机械设备 | | --- | --- | --- | | A 股价(2025/11/24) | | 58.37 | | 上证指数(2025/11/24) | | 3836.77 | | 股价 12 个月高/低 | | 70.9/46.54 | | 总发行股数(百万) | | 132.91 | | A 股数(百万) | | 132.21 | | A 市值(亿元) | | 77.17 | | 主要股东 | | 大连光洋科技 | | | | 集团有限公司 | | | | (25.57%) | | 每股净值(元) | | 14.13 | | 股价/账面净值 | | 4.13 | | | 一个月 三个月 | 一年 | | 股价涨跌(%) | -10.2 | -6.1 10.0 | 近期评等 | 出刊日期 | 前日收盘 | 评等 | | --- | --- | --- | | 产品组合 | | | | 自动化生产线 | | 53.7% | | 高端数控机床 | | 40.4% | | 关键功能部件 | | 2.2% | | 高档数控系统 | | 0.2% | 机构投资者占流通 A 股比例 | 基金 | ...
零跑汽车(09863):公司连续2个季度盈利,2026年销量有望快速增长,建议“买进”
CSC SECURITIES (HK) LTD· 2025-11-25 06:59
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of 15% to 35% [4][6]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 43.7 billion RMB in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 134%, and recorded a net profit of 183 million RMB, marking a turnaround from losses [6]. - The company aims to sell 1 million vehicles in 2026, which would represent a growth of 50-60% compared to 2025 [6]. - The company has been included in the Hang Seng Tech Index, effective December 8, which is expected to positively impact its stock price [6]. Company Overview - The company operates in the automotive industry, with a current H-share price of 50.00 HKD as of November 24, 2025, and a target price of 65 HKD [2][3]. - The company has a market capitalization of 34.76 billion RMB and a total share count of approximately 1.42 billion [3]. - Major shareholder is Chen Ailing, holding 27.07% of the shares [3]. Financial Performance - The company reported a significant increase in vehicle deliveries, with 174,000 units delivered in Q3 2025, a year-over-year increase of 102% [6]. - The gross margin improved to 14.5% in Q3, up 6.4 percentage points year-over-year, attributed to economies of scale and cost reduction measures [6]. - The company expects net profits of 688 million RMB, 3.8 billion RMB, and 8.3 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [8]. Future Projections - The company plans to expand its product lineup in 2026, introducing new models in the luxury and compact segments, targeting price ranges of 10-30 million RMB [6]. - The flagship SUV model, D19, is set to launch in the first half of 2026, with a price range of 250,000 to 300,000 RMB [6]. - The company anticipates a significant increase in sales volume, with a target of over 600,000 vehicles for 2025, having already achieved 500,000 units by mid-November [6].
华住集团-S(01179):RevPAR企稳,经营延续改善业绩概要
CSC SECURITIES (HK) LTD· 2025-11-19 05:15
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "BUY" rating for the company, with a target price of HKD 39.5, indicating a potential upside from the current price of HKD 34.10 [1][7]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of RMB 6.96 billion for Q3 2025, representing an 8% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of RMB 1.47 billion, up 15.4% year-on-year. Adjusted EBITDA reached RMB 2.5 billion, reflecting a 19% increase [8]. - The company has shown a consistent improvement in its business operations, with a significant increase in the number of hotels and a stable RevPAR performance [12]. - The report anticipates continued growth in net profit for 2025-2027, with projections of RMB 4.31 billion, RMB 4.79 billion, and RMB 5.50 billion respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 41%, 11%, and 15% [12]. Company Overview - The company operates in the tourism and leisure industry, with a market capitalization of RMB 77.71 billion and a total share count of approximately 3,069.39 million [2]. - The company has a diversified revenue model, with 50.1% from leasing and owned properties, and 47.5% from management franchises and licensing [4]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a gross margin of 41.65% and an operating margin of 29.4% in Q3 2025, indicating improved profitability [12]. - The report highlights a decrease in the expense ratio by 2.48 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to cost control measures and operational efficiency [12]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from marginal improvements in hotel supply and continued penetration into lower-tier cities, alongside product upgrades and cost management strategies [12]. - The report suggests that RevPAR may see growth in Q4 2025, supported by the company's strategic initiatives [12].
腾讯控股(00700):三季度业绩持续高增长,资本开支环比下滑
CSC SECURITIES (HK) LTD· 2025-11-14 05:22
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of HK$ 760, indicating a potential upside from the current price of HK$ 656.00 [1][9][12] Core Insights - The company reported a strong Q3 performance with revenues of RMB 192.9 billion, a year-on-year increase of 15% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5%. Operating profit reached RMB 63.6 billion, up 19% year-on-year, and Non-IFRS net profit was RMB 72.6 billion, reflecting an 18% increase year-on-year [9][11] - The gaming segment showed robust growth, particularly in overseas markets, with a 43% increase in revenue. Domestic gaming revenue grew by 15%, supported by popular titles [11] - The advertising business outperformed industry averages, with a 21% increase in marketing services revenue, driven by AI enhancements [11] - The financial technology and enterprise services segment also saw a 10% increase in revenue, benefiting from growth in commercial payment activities and cloud services [11] - The company's gross margin remained high at 56%, with a 3 percentage point year-on-year increase, while capital expenditures decreased significantly [11] Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company operates in the media industry, with a market capitalization of approximately RMB 378.76 billion and a total share count of 9,144.77 million [2][3] Recent Ratings - The company has consistently received "Buy" ratings in recent reports, with the latest rating issued on August 14, 2025 [3][9] Financial Performance - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are RMB 225.3 billion, RMB 256.4 billion, and RMB 290.5 billion, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 16.1%, 13.8%, and 13.3% [10][11] Product Mix - The company's revenue composition includes 31.3% from financial technology and enterprise services, 30.1% from online gaming, 18.8% from social networking, and 18.5% from online advertising [4]
百济神州(06160):泽布替尼增长强劲,公司上调全年营收指引
CSC SECURITIES (HK) LTD· 2025-11-12 08:06
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating a potential upside of 15% to less than 35% [6][9]. Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 27.595 billion yuan for Q3, a year-on-year increase of 44.2%, with product revenue contributing 27.31 billion yuan, up 43.9% year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.139 billion yuan, significantly improving from a net loss of 3.687 billion yuan in the same period last year [6]. - The strong growth in revenue is primarily driven by the sales of the self-developed product, Zebutinib, which achieved global sales of 7.4 billion yuan in Q3, marking a 51% year-on-year increase [6]. - The company has adjusted its revenue guidance upwards, now forecasting revenue between 36.2 billion and 38.1 billion yuan for the year, while also slightly lowering the upper limit of its R&D and operating expenses forecast [6]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company operates in the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry, with a current H-share price of 197.40 HKD and a market capitalization of 171.823 billion yuan [2]. Financial Performance - For Q3, the company achieved a revenue of 10.08 billion yuan, a 41.1% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 690 million yuan, recovering from a loss of 810 million yuan in the previous year [6]. - The company expects net profits to turn positive in 2025, with projections of 1.97 billion yuan, followed by 3.92 billion yuan in 2026 and 6.42 billion yuan in 2027 [8]. Product Pipeline - The company is advancing several products in its pipeline, including Sotoclisib, which has received breakthrough therapy designation from the FDA, and other products in various stages of clinical trials [6]. Valuation Metrics - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.94 yuan, 3.86 yuan, and 6.32 yuan, respectively, with corresponding H-share price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 93, 47, and 29 [8].
澜起科技(688008):3Q25业绩增长动力依旧强劲
CSC SECURITIES (HK) LTD· 2025-11-06 09:22
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 170.00 CNY [1][5]. Core Insights - The company experienced a revenue growth of 57% in Q3 2025, with a net profit increase of 106% after excluding stock-based compensation expenses. This growth is attributed to the rising demand for memory driven by the AI industry [5][8]. - The report highlights that major domestic internet companies are entering a critical phase of competition for computing power, which is expected to lead to significant growth in domestic computing demand over the next three years. This presents a new opportunity for the DRAM industry [5][8]. - The company is positioned as a leader in memory interface chips and is expected to benefit from the AI wave's demand for high-speed storage, further opening up growth potential for its performance [5][8]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company operates in the electronics industry, with a current A-share price of 128.91 CNY and a market capitalization of 147.62 billion CNY [2]. - The stock has seen a 12-month high of 169.66 CNY and a low of 61.4 CNY, indicating significant volatility [2]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 4.06 billion CNY, a year-over-year increase of 57.8%, and a net profit of 1.63 billion CNY, up 66.9% year-over-year [8]. - The comprehensive gross margin for the first three quarters was 61.5%, reflecting a 3.3 percentage point increase from the previous year, attributed to the company's leading product iteration speed [8]. Earnings Forecast - The report projects net profits of 2.23 billion CNY, 2.95 billion CNY, and 3.73 billion CNY for the years 2025 to 2027, with year-over-year growth rates of 62%, 32%, and 27% respectively [7][8]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for the same period are 1.95 CNY, 2.58 CNY, and 3.26 CNY, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 66, 50, and 39 [7][8].
安琪酵母(600298):Q3国内承压,海外延续较快增长
CSC SECURITIES (HK) LTD· 2025-11-06 05:07
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "BUY" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of 15% to 35% [10][15]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of RMB 11.79 billion for the first three quarters of 2025, representing an 8% year-on-year increase, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 1.12 billion, up 17.1% year-on-year [10]. - The third quarter saw a revenue of RMB 3.89 billion, a 4% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of RMB 320 million, which is a 21% increase year-on-year [10]. - The company has maintained a positive outlook for its overseas business while expecting some recovery in domestic demand [14]. Company Overview - The company operates in the food and beverage industry, with a market capitalization of RMB 31.997 billion as of November 5, 2025 [3]. - The major shareholder is Hubei Angel Yeast Group Co., Ltd., holding 38.10% of the shares [3]. Financial Performance - The company's product mix includes 71.52% from yeast and deep processing, 5.45% from sugar production, 2.28% from packaging products, 12.34% from food ingredients, and 8.41% from other products [5]. - For the first three quarters, the gross profit margin improved by 2.26 percentage points to 25.54% [14]. - The company expects net profits of RMB 1.64 billion, RMB 1.93 billion, and RMB 2.24 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 23.6%, 18.1%, and 16% [14]. Market Position - The company's stock price as of November 5, 2025, was RMB 37.33, with a 12-month high of RMB 42.51 and a low of RMB 31.43 [3]. - Institutional investors hold 7.4% of the circulating A-shares, while general corporations hold 54.5% [6]. Future Outlook - The report anticipates continued growth in overseas markets and a gradual recovery in domestic demand, with the company exploring new business directions such as yeast protein and synthetic biology [14].