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恩华药业:Q3净利YOY+15%,符合预期
CSC SECURITIES (HK) LTD· 2024-10-28 07:44
.......................... 接续下页................................... 2024 年 10 月 28 日 王睿哲 C0062@capital.com.tw 目标价(元) 34 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |-----------------------|------------|-------|---------------|----------------| | | | | | | | | | | | | | 公司基本资讯 | | | | | | 产业别 | | | | 医药生物 | | A 股价(2024/10/25) | | | | 26.45 | | 深证成指 (2024/10/25) | | | | 10619.85 | | 股价 12 个月高/低 | | | | 29.98/20.37 | | 总发行股数(百万 | ) | | | 1016.18 | | A 股数(百万 ) | | | | 881.79 | | A 市值(亿元) | | | | 233.23 | | 主要股东 | | | | 徐州恩华 ...
贵州茅台:前三季度经营稳健,达成全年目标可期
CSC SECURITIES (HK) LTD· 2024-10-28 06:12
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Trading Buy" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of 5% to 15% [3][9]. Core Views - The company achieved a total revenue of RMB 120.78 billion for the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 17%, with a net profit of RMB 60.83 billion, up 15% year-on-year [3]. - The revenue from Moutai liquor reached RMB 101.13 billion, a 15.9% increase year-on-year, while series liquor revenue was RMB 19.4 billion, growing by 24.4% [3]. - The report highlights a stable performance in revenue and profit, with expectations for the company to meet its annual targets [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2024, the company reported revenue of RMB 38.85 billion, a 15.3% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of RMB 19.13 billion, up 13% [3]. - The gross margin for the first three quarters was 91.7%, slightly down by 0.2 percentage points year-on-year [4]. Sales Channels - Direct sales generated approximately RMB 52 billion in revenue for the first three quarters, a 12.5% increase year-on-year, while traditional channels saw revenue of RMB 68.53 billion, up 21% [4]. - In Q3, direct sales revenue was RMB 18.26 billion, a 23.5% increase year-on-year, while traditional channels generated RMB 20.54 billion, a 9.7% increase [4]. Profit Forecast - The report slightly lowers profit forecasts for 2024-2026, expecting net profits of RMB 86.2 billion, RMB 97.86 billion, and RMB 108.45 billion, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 15.3%, 13.5%, and 10.8% [5]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2024-2026 are RMB 68.62, RMB 77.90, and RMB 86.33, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 23, 20, and 18 [5][8].
珀莱雅:3Q淡季表现稳健,大促表现值得期待
CSC SECURITIES (HK) LTD· 2024-10-25 08:38
阿 2024 年 10 月 25 日 顾向君 H70420@capitalcom.tw 目标价(元) 110 | --- | --- | --- | --- | |-----------------------|----------|--------|--------------| | | | | | | 產業別 | | | 化工 | | A 股价 (2024/10/25) | | | 95.27 | | 上证指数 (2024/10/25) | | | 3299.70 | | 股價 12 個月高/低 | | | 121.1/74.41 | | 總發行股數(百萬 ) | | | 396.25 | | A 股數(百萬 ) | | | 394.80 | | A 市值(億元 ) | | | 376.13 | | 主要股東 | | 侯军呈 | (34.46%) | | 每股淨值(元 ) | | | 12.09 | | 股價/賬面淨值 | | | 7.88 | | | 一个月 | 三个月 | 一年 | | 股价涨跌 (%) | | | 12.1 6.1 3.3 | | 近期评等 | | | | | 出刊日期 | 前日收盘 ...
卫星化学:业绩亮眼,轻烃裂解龙头产能正在释放
CSC SECURITIES (HK) LTD· 2024-10-24 02:30
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating a potential upside of 15% to 35% from the current price [4][9]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 32.275 billion yuan for Q3 2024, a year-on-year increase of 0.71%, and a net profit of 3.693 billion yuan, up 7.64% year-on-year. The Q3 revenue was 12.875 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.89% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 21.51% [4]. - The company benefits from declining raw material prices and the release of new production capacity, positioning it well for future growth as downstream demand recovers [4][5]. - The company is a leader in the light hydrocarbon cracking sector, with significant potential for growth as it expands its product offerings in the C2 and C3 industrial chains [6][7]. Company Overview - The company operates in the chemical industry, focusing on functional chemicals (47.7%), high polymer new materials (28.3%), and other businesses including new energy materials (22.2%) [2]. - As of October 23, 2024, the company's A-share price was 18.74 yuan, with a target price set at 23 yuan [1]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a gross margin of 23.62% in Q3 2024, an increase of 3.36 percentage points year-on-year, driven by lower ethane prices and the resumption of production after maintenance [5]. - The projected net profits for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 5.2 billion yuan, 6.5 billion yuan, and 8 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 9%, 24%, and 23% [7][8]. Production Capacity and Projects - The company has a robust production capacity in the C2 and C3 industrial chains, with ongoing projects expected to enhance its product offerings and operational efficiency [6][7]. - The company is currently in a phase of rapid capacity release, with multiple projects under construction, including a high polymer emulsion project and a propylene acid project [6][7]. Market Position - The company has established a strong supply chain with its own dock and fleet for raw material transportation, enhancing its competitive edge in the market [7]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the recovery in downstream demand for products such as polyethylene, epoxy ethane, and styrene [4][6].
中宠股份:Q3强劲增长,业绩超预期
CSC SECURITIES (HK) LTD· 2024-10-22 05:07
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of 15% to 35% [4][7]. Core Insights - The company reported strong growth in Q3, with revenue reaching approximately 3.2 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 17.6%, and a net profit of 280 million RMB, up 59.5% year-on-year [4]. - The company is focusing on building its own brands and expanding its domestic market presence, with Q3 revenue growth estimated to exceed 20% [4]. - Export performance is expected to exceed expectations, driven by increased orders from the European market, with Q3 export growth potentially around 20% [4]. - The company has maintained stable expense management, with a slight increase in the comprehensive expense ratio, while gross margin was affected by raw material costs and exchange rates [4]. - Investment income contributed positively to profitability, with net investment income of approximately 45 million RMB in Q3 [4]. Financial Summary - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved revenue of approximately 3.2 billion RMB, with a net profit of 280 million RMB [4]. - The company expects to achieve net profits of 360 million RMB, 410 million RMB, and 490 million RMB for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 52.3%, 15.8%, and 18% [5]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 1.21 RMB, 1.40 RMB, and 1.65 RMB for the same years, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 22, 19, and 16 [5][6].
北方华创:3Q24业绩维持高增速,符合预期
CSC SECURITIES (HK) LTD· 2024-10-17 06:08
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for potential price appreciation [3][4]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a record high revenue of over 7.4 billion RMB in Q3 2024, with a year-over-year growth of 20%-39% and a quarter-over-quarter growth of 15%-32% [4]. - Net profit for Q3 2024 is projected to grow by 44%-65%, continuing the trend of high growth [4]. - The company is positioned as a leader in the domestic semiconductor equipment sector, benefiting from the expansion of wafer fabrication capacity in mainland China [4]. - Long-term profit forecasts estimate net profits of 5.8 billion RMB, 7.5 billion RMB, and 9.0 billion RMB for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with year-over-year growth rates of 49%, 29%, and 21% [4][5]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company operates in the electronics industry, with a market capitalization of approximately 196.41 billion RMB and a current share price of 369.01 RMB [1]. - The major shareholder is Beijing Qixing Huadian Technology Group Co., Ltd., holding 33.55% of shares [1]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company anticipates revenue between 18.8 billion RMB and 21.7 billion RMB, representing a year-over-year increase of 29%-49% [4]. - The projected net profit for the same period is between 4.1 billion RMB and 4.8 billion RMB, with a year-over-year increase of 43%-65% [4]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is estimated at 10.96 RMB, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 34 times [5]. Market Position - The company has a strong market presence, with a product mix that includes 75% electronic process equipment and 25% electronic components [1]. - Institutional investors hold 16.5% of the circulating A-shares, indicating a solid interest from the investment community [1].
浪潮信息:三季度维持高速增长,AI服务器有望持续带动成长
CSC SECURITIES (HK) LTD· 2024-10-17 06:08
2024 年 10 月 15 日 何利超 H70529@capital.com.tw 目标价(元) 50 | --- | --- | --- | --- | |---------------------------------|----------|--------|--------------| | | | | | | | | | | | 公司基本资讯 | | | | | | | | | | 产业别 股价 | | | 计算机 40.45 | | A (2024/10/14) 深证成指 | | | 10327.40 | | (2024/10/14) 股价 个月高/低 | | | 47/26.53 | | 12 总发行股数(百万 | | | 1472.14 | | A 股数(百万) | | | 1470.38 | | A 市值(亿元 ) | | | 594.77 | | | | | | | 主要股东 | | | 浪潮集团有限 | | | | 公司 | (31.93%) | | | | | 12.50 | | 每股净值(元 ) 股价 / 账面净值 | | | 3.24 | | | 一个月 | 三个月 | 一年 | ...
顺丰控股:特别+年中分红超67亿元,看好公司盈利能力持续提升
CSC SECURITIES (HK) LTD· 2024-10-17 06:08
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating a potential upside of 15% to 35% [7][10]. Core Views - The company announced a special dividend plan totaling approximately RMB 48 billion, alongside a mid-year dividend of about RMB 19.2 billion, enhancing market confidence [7]. - The company has shown steady revenue growth, with a year-on-year increase of 8.1% in the first half of 2024, driven by new business segments such as supply chain and international logistics [8]. - Profitability is expected to continue improving, with net profit forecasts for 2024-2026 at RMB 95 billion, RMB 107 billion, and RMB 126 billion, respectively [8]. Summary by Sections Dividend Plans - The company plans to distribute a total of RMB 67.2 billion in dividends, with a yield of approximately 3.4% based on the closing price on October 10 [7]. - The special dividend is set at RMB 10 per 10 shares, while the mid-year dividend is RMB 4 per 10 shares, reflecting a commitment to increasing shareholder returns [7]. Revenue and Profitability - The company achieved a revenue of RMB 1,344.1 billion in the first half of 2024, with significant contributions from new business lines: supply chain and international (RMB 312 billion), express delivery (RMB 175.5 billion), and same-city delivery (RMB 39.6 billion) [8]. - The gross profit margin has improved from 12.4% in 2021 to 12.8% in 2023, with net profit margin increasing from 2.1% to 3.2% over the same period [8]. Financial Forecasts - The net profit for 2024 is projected at RMB 95 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 15%, and earnings per share (EPS) expected to reach RMB 2.0 [9]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is forecasted to decrease from 32.80 in 2024 to 15.88 by 2026, indicating a potentially attractive valuation [9].
兴发集团:农化盈利修复,业绩略超预期
CSC SECURITIES (HK) LTD· 2024-10-10 11:07
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance [4][5]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of between 1.28 billion to 1.38 billion RMB for the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 37% to 48%, slightly exceeding expectations [4]. - The recovery in agricultural chemical profitability and the stable performance of the specialty chemicals segment are key drivers supporting the company's overall performance [4]. - The company has a robust long-term fundamental outlook as a leading player in the domestic phosphate chemical industry, with a reasonable current valuation [4][5]. Company Overview - The company operates in the chemical industry, with a current stock price of 22.09 RMB as of October 9, 2024, and a market capitalization of approximately 24.37 billion RMB [1]. - The major shareholder is Yichang Xingfa Group, holding 20.05% of the shares [1]. Product Portfolio - The company's product mix includes agricultural chemicals (38.2%), specialty chemicals (21.3%), trade logistics (17.4%), mining (10.6%), and others (12.5%) [2]. Financial Performance - The company forecasts net profits of 1.83 billion, 2.43 billion, and 2.89 billion RMB for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 32%, 33%, and 19% [5][6]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 1.65 RMB for 2024, 2.20 RMB for 2025, and 2.62 RMB for 2026, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 13, 10, and 8 [5][6]. Market Conditions - The phosphate rock market remains strong, with an average price of 1,017 RMB per ton in Q3 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 14% [4]. - The company has announced price increases for glyphosate products by 5% to 15%, indicating a positive trend in the agricultural chemicals market [4]. Resource Development - The company holds approximately 780 million tons of phosphate rock reserves and has a designed production capacity of 5.85 million tons per year [5]. - The company is actively developing high-end fine chemicals to mitigate cyclical fluctuations in the market [5]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery in agricultural chemical prices and the stable performance of specialty chemicals, which will support its profitability moving forward [4][5].
韦尔股份:3Q24业绩快速增长,盈利能力进一步增强
CSC SECURITIES (HK) LTD· 2024-10-10 11:06
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "BUY" rating for the company, with a target price of 140.00 CNY per share [1]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing rapid growth in Q3 2024, with significant increases in both revenue and net profit, driven by improved market share in the smartphone and automotive sectors [5]. - The introduction of the OV50 series products has enhanced the company's competitive edge, securing shares in flagship models from major brands like Xiaomi, Huawei, Vivo, and Honor [5]. - The company's earnings forecast for 2024-2026 shows substantial growth, with net profits expected to reach 33.9 billion CNY in 2024, 45 billion CNY in 2025, and 56.2 billion CNY in 2026, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 510%, 33%, and 25% respectively [5][15]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company operates in the electronics industry, specifically in semiconductor design and component agency sales [2]. - As of October 9, 2024, the company's A-share price was 89.7 CNY, with a market capitalization of 140.24 billion CNY [1]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company expects revenue between 18.7 billion CNY and 19 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 24%-26% [5]. - The net profit for the same period is projected to be between 2.27 billion CNY and 2.47 billion CNY, showing a year-on-year increase of 515%-570% [5]. - The company achieved a historical high in quarterly revenue, with Q3 2024 revenue estimated at 6.7 billion CNY to 6.9 billion CNY, marking a year-on-year growth of 7%-11% [5]. Earnings Forecast - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is projected at 2.79 CNY, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 32, 24, and 19 for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [15][16]. - The company anticipates a significant recovery in the CIS market demand, contributing to the growth in revenue and gross margin [5]. Shareholder Information - The major shareholder is identified as Yu Renrong, holding 29.52% of the shares [1]. - Institutional investors account for 13.1% of the circulating shares, while general corporations hold 23.4% [3].