Core Viewpoint - UBS's report suggests that the potential spin-off of assets into a private REIT could change investor perceptions of Hang Lung Properties (00101) [1] Group 1: Financial Metrics - The stock's price-to-book (P/B) ratio is only 0.29 times, indicating a significant discount to net asset value (NAV) [1] - Any asset divestiture could help narrow the NAV discount per share [1] Group 2: Debt and Revenue Generation - Potential asset spin-offs may assist Hang Lung in reducing its liabilities [1] - The company could generate ongoing fee income through a private REIT and maintain a platform for future capital recovery [1] Group 3: Target Price and Earnings Forecast - UBS raised the target price for Hang Lung Properties by 14%, from HKD 8.4 to HKD 9.6, while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] - Earnings estimates for the next two years have been adjusted by -4% and +3% to reflect the latest interim results and the completion timeline of the Hangzhou mall [1]

Group 1 - UBS's research report suggests that a potential asset spin-off into a private REIT could change investors' perception of Hang Lung Properties [1] - The stock's P/B ratio is only 0.29 times, and any asset divestiture would help narrow the discount to net asset value (NAV) per share [1] - Potential asset spin-offs may assist Hang Lung in reducing its debt [1] Group 2 - Hang Lung can generate fee income through a private REIT and has a platform for future capital recovery [1] - UBS raised the target price for Hang Lung Properties from HKD 8.4 to HKD 9.6, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] - Earnings estimates for the next two years have been adjusted by -4% and +3% to reflect the latest interim results and the completion timeline of the Hangzhou mall [1]

Core Insights - The luxury retail market in China is experiencing a shift, with companies like Hang Lung Properties adapting their strategies to focus on consumer habits and preferences rather than solely on luxury branding [2][3][5] - Hang Lung Properties has decided to eliminate the classification of its shopping malls into "high-end" and "sub-high-end," indicating a broader approach to attract diverse consumer segments [3][23] Financial Performance - Hang Lung's mid-year performance for 2025 shows that seven out of ten shopping malls in mainland China reported stable or increasing revenues, a significant improvement compared to previous periods [4][5] - The total revenue for Hang Lung's mainland shopping malls reached 2.412 billion RMB, remaining stable year-on-year, contrasting with a 3% decline in the previous year [4][5] Consumer Behavior - There is a noticeable shift in consumer behavior towards more cautious and rational high-end spending, with an increasing demand for experiential and immersive shopping experiences [3][5] - The company’s strategy of "customer-centric" planning aims to align mall brand combinations and service offerings with evolving consumer preferences [3][5] Market Trends - The number of active luxury brands in the market has decreased, with significant reductions in new store openings and renovations, indicating a cautious approach from retailers [23] - Despite challenges, some new consumer brands like Pop Mart and Lao Pu Gold are showing remarkable growth, with Lao Pu Gold expecting a revenue increase of approximately 240% to 252% in the first half of 2025 [19][21] Competitive Landscape - Hang Lung and Swire Properties are both focusing on enhancing their brand mix and creating immersive experiences to attract high-net-worth individuals and younger affluent consumers [78][79] - The competition is intensifying as high-end malls are also targeting a broader audience, including middle-class consumers, by introducing more affordable dining and fashion options [78][79]

Core Insights - The Wuhan Hang Lung Plaza serviced apartments, developed by Hang Lung Properties and operated by Frasers Hospitality, officially opened on August 7, 2025, marking the entry of high-end serviced apartments into the international 3.0 era in Central China [1][2] Group 1: Project Overview - The serviced apartments are located in the core commercial area of Hankou, seamlessly connected to Wuhan Hang Lung Plaza, with easy access to public transportation and key amenities [1] - The project features 60 modern apartments ranging from 124 to 350 square meters, equipped with high-end facilities such as VRV air conditioning, underfloor heating, and smart appliances [1] Group 2: Management Statements - Michael Tam, Regional General Manager of Frasers Hospitality, emphasized the commitment to high standards of service and quality, aiming to redefine international living standards in Wuhan [2] - Wang Li, Deputy General Manager of Hang Lung Properties, highlighted the company's extensive development experience and commitment to integrating international standards with local needs, promoting a customer-centric service philosophy [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant decline in revenue for the first half of the year, primarily due to a drastic drop in property sales, but is shifting its strategy from conservative to aggressive expansion, particularly in the Hangzhou market [1][4][22]. Financial Performance - Total revenue for Hang Lung Group and Hang Lung Properties was HKD 52.02 billion and HKD 49.68 billion, representing declines of 18% and 19% respectively, mainly due to an 87% drop in property sales revenue [1][2]. - Rental income decreased by 3% to HKD 4.91 billion for the group and HKD 4.68 billion for the properties, with mainland China contributing HKD 3.36 billion and Hong Kong HKD 1.55 billion [2][10]. - Hotel revenue saw an increase of 84% to HKD 129 million, attributed to the performance of the Kunming Hyatt [2][6]. Strategic Shift - The company is transitioning to a more aggressive growth strategy, focusing on expansion in Hangzhou, where the Hang Lung Plaza is set to increase its footprint by 40% [4][22]. - The rental income from shopping malls in mainland China remained stable, with a total income of HKD 24.12 billion, indicating resilience despite market pressures [8][10]. Market Position - Mainland China has become the primary market for Hang Lung, accounting for 69% of rental income, with lower revenue declines compared to Hong Kong [6][12]. - The company is facing challenges in certain projects, particularly in Wuhan and Shenyang, where rental income has significantly decreased due to local competition and market conditions [17][20]. Future Outlook - The company is optimistic about its future, believing that the worst is over, and is focusing on enhancing its operational capabilities to compete effectively in the Hangzhou market [12][24]. - The upcoming openings in Hangzhou are seen as critical for the company's recovery and growth trajectory, with expectations of strong consumer demand in the region [22][24].

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 | 截至月份: | 2025年7月31日 | 狀態: | 新提交 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 | | | | | 公司名稱: | 恒隆地產有限公司 | | | | 呈交日期: | 2025年8月6日 | | | | I. 法定/註冊股本變動 不適用 | | | | | 備註： | | | | | 恒隆地產有限公司並無法定股本，及其股本並無股份面值。 | | | | FF301 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.1.1 FF301 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00101 | 說明 | 不適用 | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行股份總數 | | | 上月底結存 ...

Core Viewpoint - The worst period for Hang Lung Properties is believed to be over, with expectations for slight growth in the upcoming quarters despite a decline in revenue and profit in the first half of 2025 [1][4]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Hang Lung Properties reported revenue of HKD 4.968 billion, a decrease of 19% year-on-year [1]. - The company recorded a basic net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 1.587 billion, down 9% year-on-year, and a net profit of HKD 0.912 billion, down 14% year-on-year [1][2]. - Property sales significantly declined, with sales amounting to HKD 0.161 billion, a staggering 87% drop from HKD 1.228 billion in the same period last year [1][2]. Revenue Sources - The primary source of revenue for Hang Lung Properties is property leasing, particularly in the mainland market, which accounted for HKD 3.190 billion in leasing income, a 2% decrease year-on-year, representing 63% of total revenue [1][2]. - Rental income from shopping malls remained stable, with HKD 2.412 billion generated from mainland shopping malls, nearly unchanged from HKD 2.414 billion in the previous year [2]. - Office rental income saw a more significant decline, with HKD 0.528 billion reported, down 5% year-on-year due to lower occupancy rates and reduced rents [2]. Management Insights - The management expressed confidence in achieving slight growth in the second half of 2025, contingent on the performance in the third and fourth quarters [1][5]. - The company has undertaken restructuring efforts to stabilize its financial position, including a 33% reduction in dividends to retain more cash [3][5]. - Future growth is expected to hinge on the performance of commercial rentals in mainland China, with several key projects set to launch in the latter half of the year [5]. Market Outlook - The outlook for the mainland retail market is closely tied to macroeconomic conditions, with potential for slight increases in rental income in the second half of the year as market confidence improves [5]. - Analysts from Citigroup have noted that the retail income in the first half of the year exceeded expectations, driven by rising rents and strong tenant sales, predicting a recovery in profitability from the second half of 2025 to 2027 [5].

Group 1 - Goldman Sachs maintains a "Buy" rating for Li Auto-W with a target price of HKD 138, expecting monthly sales of 6,000 units for its new electric SUV i8 [1] - China Biologic Products is rated "Outperform" by CMBI, highlighting its strong innovation pipeline and growth in biosimilars and generics [1] - JPMorgan upgrades Hang Lung Properties to "Overweight" with a target price of HKD 10, citing attractive dividend yield and improved sales outlook [2] Group 2 - Citi maintains a "Outperform" rating for China Overseas Property but lowers the target price to HKD 6.1, focusing on service quality improvement [3] - UBS maintains a "Buy" rating for Ping An Insurance, raising the target price to HKD 66, driven by improved macro conditions and growth in asset management [4] - UBS maintains a "Buy" rating for GCL-Poly Energy with a target price of HKD 1.9, benefiting from supply cuts and strong product quality [5] Group 3 - Macquarie maintains a "Outperform" rating for Prada but lowers the target price to HKD 60, citing lower-than-expected sales growth [6] - Goldman Sachs maintains a "Neutral" rating for CATL, adjusting the target price to HKD 436 due to expected declines in battery gross margins [7] - Goldman Sachs maintains a "Buy" rating for Kuaishou-W with a target price of HKD 68, anticipating significant revenue growth in the AI sector [8] Group 4 - Morgan Stanley maintains an "Overweight" rating for HSBC, raising the target price to HKD 107.1 due to improved earnings forecasts [9]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a 19% year-on-year decline in revenue for 1H25, amounting to HKD 4.97 billion, with a 3% decrease in property leasing income. The basic net profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 1.59 billion, down 9% year-on-year, aligning with expectations [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company declared an interim dividend of HKD 0.12 per share, unchanged from the previous year [1]. - The net debt ratio stood at 33.5%, remaining stable compared to the end of the previous year. Total financial expenses decreased by 7%, with the average borrowing interest rate declining by 0.4 percentage points to 3.9% [2]. Operational Trends - The sales performance of mainland shopping centers showed a significant improvement, with quarterly sales declines reducing from 18% to 1% over four quarters. The rental income from mainland shopping centers remained stable year-on-year, accounting for 56% of total rental income [1]. - The company anticipates continued improvement in sales and rental income for mainland shopping centers, supported by a stable consumer environment and operational adjustments [2]. Future Developments - New projects, such as Hangzhou Henglong Plaza, are progressing as planned, with expectations for office buildings to be completed gradually starting in the second half of 2025 and shopping centers to open in the first half of 2026 [2]. - The company aims to maintain prudent financial discipline and stable shareholder returns, with capital expenditures expected to decline after reaching a peak this year [2]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its profit forecasts for 2025-26 and has raised its target price by 11% to HKD 8.9 per share, reflecting an anticipated improvement in mainland shopping center operations and robust financial management [2].

Core Viewpoint - The company demonstrated resilience in its business model despite ongoing market pressures, with a gradual stabilization in property performance [2][3] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company's revenue was HKD 4.968 billion, a decrease of 19% year-on-year, primarily due to a significant drop in property sales revenue, which fell by 87% to HKD 0.161 billion [3][4] - Overall operating profit decreased by 5% to HKD 3.255 billion [3] - Core property rental income was HKD 4.678 billion, down 3% year-on-year, with a more modest decline compared to the full year of 2024 [4] Property Performance - The rental income from mainland properties was HKD 3.19 billion, a 2% decrease, while rental income from Hong Kong properties was HKD 1.488 billion, down 4% [4] - Shanghai Hang Lung Plaza maintained a rental income of RMB 0.822 billion with a 98% occupancy rate, while Shanghai Port Exchange Hang Lung Plaza saw a slight increase in rental income of 1% year-on-year [4] - Some properties in cities like Wuhan and Shenyang experienced significant revenue declines of 36% and 37% respectively due to local market competition and positioning issues [4][5] Profitability and Debt - The company recorded a net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 1.587 billion, a 9% decline year-on-year, with basic earnings per share at HKD 0.33 [5] - The net debt-to-equity ratio stood at 33.5%, with expectations for a peak in capital expenditure post-2025 [5] Strategic Developments - The company is focusing on strategic investments in projects such as the second phase of Wuxi Hang Lung Plaza and the Hangzhou Hang Lung Plaza, which is nearing completion [6] - The Hangzhou project is expected to open in mid-2026 with a pre-leasing rate of 81% [6] - A new lease agreement for additional retail space in Hangzhou is anticipated to enhance the project's scale by 40% [7][8]