Core Insights - The report from CICC indicates that the second-hand housing market in September shows a mixed performance, with transaction volume declining month-on-month but increasing year-on-year, suggesting ongoing market weakness [1][2]. Transaction Volume and Price Trends - In September, the transaction volume index for second-hand residential properties in 80 cities decreased by 10% month-on-month but increased by 19% year-on-year (Q3 +19%, Q2 +17%) [1]. - The registered transaction area in 15 cities rose by 6% month-on-month and grew by 9% year-on-year (Q3 +3%, Q2 +11%) [1]. - The price index for homogeneous second-hand residential properties fell by 1.7% month-on-month (Q3 average -1.7%, Q2 average -1.4%) [1]. - The negotiation space for transactions increased by 25 basis points to 8.91% [1]. Listing Trends - The number of second-hand residential listings in 130 cities increased by 0.4% month-on-month, continuing a slight upward trend [2]. - The price index for homogeneous listings in key cities decreased by 1.5% month-on-month (Q3 average -1.3%, Q2 average -1.2%) [2]. - The average adjustment for listed properties was -5.24%, indicating a conservative price expectation among sellers [2]. Rental Market Insights - The rental index for homogeneous listings decreased by 0.8% month-on-month (August -0.5%) [3]. - The average rental period remained stable at 2.12 months [3]. - The rental-to-sale ratio increased by 2 basis points to 2.33% due to declining listing prices [3]. Investment Recommendations - The company suggests focusing on investment opportunities in the real estate and property management sectors, particularly in companies with solid fundamentals and profit quality such as China Resources Land, Jianfa International, and others [4]. - It also recommends considering undervalued stocks like Greentown China and New Town Holdings, given potential liquidity improvements [4]. - The report highlights the importance of identifying stocks with strong growth prospects or attractive dividend yields across various sectors [4].

Core Viewpoint - CICC maintains a "outperform" rating and profit forecast for Hang Lung Properties (00101), with a target price of HKD 9.46 per share, corresponding to a 15x core P/E for 2025, a 5.5% dividend yield, and a 5% upside potential [1] Group 1: Retail Performance - The retail performance of mainland shopping malls is expected to improve, with a projected 10% year-on-year increase in retail sales for Q3 2025, following a trend of quarterly improvement throughout the year [2] - Contributing factors include a low base from the previous year (Q3 2024 retail sales down 18%), effective marketing strategies, and an expected 9% increase in foot traffic during July-August [2] - During the National Day holiday, retail sales increased by 15% year-on-year, with notable growth in Wuhan and Shanghai [2] Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - The company has launched the "Hang Lung V.3" strategy, focusing on reinvestment in existing projects and exploring potential opportunities in surrounding areas [3] - Specific initiatives include the expansion of Shanghai Hang Lung Plaza, which is expected to increase rental space by 30%, and the transformation of Shanghai Port Exchange into a five-star hotel [3] Group 3: Performance of Key Malls - Shanghai Hang Lung Plaza is expected to maintain its leading position in the luxury market, with new openings of high-end brands anticipated to further boost retail sales [4] - Shanghai Port Exchange is focusing on luxury brand expansion and optimizing its mix of sports, outdoor, and dining brands, with a projected 31% year-on-year increase in retail sales for Q3 2025 [4] - Wuxi Hang Lung Plaza has shown continuous growth since introducing luxury brands, with over 180 new brands expected to be signed in 2024-2025, including more than 70 first stores in Jiangsu or Wuxi [4]

Core Viewpoint - CICC maintains a "outperform" rating and profit forecast for Hang Lung Properties (00101), with a target price of HKD 9.46 per share, corresponding to a 15x core P/E for 2025, a 5.5% dividend yield, and a 5% upside potential [1] Group 1: Retail Performance - The retail performance of mainland shopping malls is expected to improve, with a projected year-on-year increase of 10% in retail sales for Q3 2025, following a trend of quarterly improvement throughout the year [2] - Contributing factors include a low base from the previous year (Q3 2024 retail sales down 18%), effective marketing strategies, and an expected 9% year-on-year increase in foot traffic during July and August [2] - During the National Day holiday, retail sales increased by 15% year-on-year, with notable growth in Wuhan and Shanghai [2] Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - The company has launched the "Hang Lung V.3" strategy, focusing on reinvesting in existing projects and exploring potential opportunities in surrounding areas [3] - Specific initiatives include the expansion of Shanghai Hang Lung Plaza, which is expected to increase rentable area by 30%, and the transformation of Shanghai Port Exchange into a five-star hotel [3] Group 3: Performance of Key Malls - Shanghai Hang Lung Plaza is expected to maintain its leading position in the luxury market through targeted services for high-end clientele, with new openings anticipated to further boost retail sales [4] - Shanghai Port Exchange is focusing on luxury brand expansion and optimizing its mix of sports, outdoor, and dining brands, with a projected year-on-year retail sales increase of 31% for Q3 2025 [4] - Wuxi Hang Lung Plaza has seen continuous growth since introducing luxury brands, with over 180 new brands expected to be signed in 2024-2025, including more than 70 first stores in Jiangsu or Wuxi [4]

Company Overview - Recent management roadshow and site visits conducted by the company revealed a strengthening trend in retail performance for its mainland shopping malls, with a projected 10% year-on-year increase in retail sales for Q3 2025, following a gradual improvement throughout the year [1] - The company attributes this improvement to a low base from the previous year, effective marketing strategies, and an increase in foot traffic, which is expected to rise by 9% in July and August [1] Strategic Initiatives - The company has launched the "Henglong V.3" strategy to reinforce its market position in core cities, focusing on reinvestment in existing projects and exploring potential opportunities in surrounding areas [2] - Specific initiatives under this strategy include a 30% increase in leasable area at Shanghai Henglong Plaza, the transformation of Shanghai Port Exchange Henglong into a five-star hotel, and a 40% increase in retail space through long-term leasing cooperation in Hangzhou [2] Performance Insights - Key shopping malls in East China are performing well, with Shanghai Henglong Plaza expected to maintain its leading position in the luxury market, bolstered by the opening of high-end brands [2] - Shanghai Port Exchange Henglong is optimizing its brand mix, with a projected 31% year-on-year increase in retail sales for Q3 2025 [2] - Wuxi Henglong Plaza has seen continuous growth since introducing luxury brands in 2019, with over 180 new brand signings expected between 2024 and 2025, including more than 70 first stores in Jiangsu or Wuxi [2] Financial Projections - The company maintains an outperform rating and unchanged profit forecasts, with a target price of HKD 9.46 per share, reflecting a 15x core P/E for 2025 and a 5.5% dividend yield [2] - Current trading is at 14.6x core P/E for 2025, with a 5.8% dividend yield, suggesting continued attention to year-on-year retail performance and the progress of new openings [3]

Group 1: Domestic Travel Trends - During the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holiday, domestic travel reached 888 million trips, an increase of 123 million trips compared to the 2024 holiday [1] - Total spending on domestic travel amounted to 809 billion yuan, up by 108.19 billion yuan from the previous year [1] - The overall inter-regional mobility during the holiday is expected to reach 2.432 billion trips, averaging over 300 million trips per day, marking a year-on-year growth of 6.2% [1] Group 2: Tourism Performance in Beijing - Beijing received a total of 25.094 million visitors during the holiday, with tourism spending reaching 31.65 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth of 3.6% and 4.7% respectively [1] - The top ten tourist attractions in Beijing included Tiananmen Square, Wangfujing, and the Summer Palace [1] Group 3: Club Med Performance - Club Med reported a 36% year-on-year increase in total revenue from its all-inclusive resorts in the Chinese market during the holiday period [1] - The overall guest count at Club Med resorts increased by 35% [1] - For the first half of 2025, Club Med's global revenue exceeded 9 billion yuan, with a 4% year-on-year increase, and resort operating income grew by 17% [1] Group 4: Retail Performance of Hang Lung Properties - Hang Lung Properties reported a 15% year-on-year increase in total tenant sales for its mainland properties during the first four days of the National Day holiday [2] - On National Day itself, tenant sales in mainland properties grew by over 20%, with 70% of the operational malls recording double-digit growth [2] Group 5: Harbin Ice and Snow World - The ticket price for the 27th Harbin Ice and Snow World remains unchanged at 328 yuan per adult [3] - The event will feature an expanded area and an increased number of ice and snow sculptures compared to previous years [3]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley reports that Hang Lung Properties (00101) has seen a significant improvement in mainland tenant sales in Q3, with a year-on-year increase of 10%, surpassing the bank's low single-digit growth expectation and reversing a 1% decline in the previous quarter [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Hang Lung Properties' Q3 tenant sales improved significantly, with a 10% year-on-year increase [1] - The company’s dividend yield stands at 5.9%, making it an attractive investment option [1] - The performance during the National Day Golden Week was strong, with tenant sales increasing by 15% in the first four days compared to the previous year [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - Morgan Stanley expects the trend of improving tenant sales to continue into Q4, supported by new tenants like Lao Pu Huang (06181) and the expansion of existing tenants at Shanghai Hang Lung Plaza [1] - Hang Lung Properties is listed as one of Morgan Stanley's top two real estate stock picks, with a target price of HKD 10 [1] - Another preferred stock by Morgan Stanley is Swire Properties (01972), which is also expected to benefit from the recovery of the Chinese retail market [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley reports that Hang Lung Properties (00101) has shown significant improvement in tenant sales in mainland China during Q3, with a year-on-year increase of 10%, surpassing the bank's low single-digit growth expectation and reversing a 1% decline in the previous quarter [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Hang Lung Properties' tenant sales during the National Day Golden Week saw a remarkable 15% year-on-year increase in the first four days [1] - The introduction of new tenants, such as Lao Pu Huang (06181), at Shanghai Hang Lung Plaza, along with the expansion of existing tenants, is expected to sustain the improvement in tenant sales into Q4 [1] Group 2: Investment Outlook - With a dividend yield of 5.9% and improving tenant sales data, Morgan Stanley continues to list Hang Lung as one of its top two preferred real estate stocks, maintaining an "Overweight" rating and a target price of HKD 10 [1] - Another preferred stock by Morgan Stanley is Swire Properties (01972), which is also anticipated to benefit from the recovery of the Chinese retail market [1]

Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that Hang Lung Properties' management revealed a 10% year-on-year growth in tenant sales in mainland China for Q3, reversing the declines of -7% in Q1 and -1% in Q2 [1] Group 1: Sales Performance - Q3 tenant sales in Shanghai Hang Lung Plaza and Port 88 increased by 8% and 31% year-on-year, respectively, showing improvement compared to the first half of the year [1] - Overall tenant sales in mainland China for Q3 remain 10% lower compared to 2023, but have improved from a 16% decline in the first half of the year [1] Group 2: Golden Week Performance - The sales growth trend continued into the National Day Golden Week, with a 15% year-on-year increase in tenant sales during the first four days and a 3% increase in foot traffic [1] - The overall sales growth is primarily driven by domestic champion brands, while traditional luxury brand tenant sales recorded slight growth from July to August [1] Group 3: Future Expectations - With the anticipated openings of the Old Shop Golden and Chanel flagship stores at the end of October and November, respectively, tenant sales growth at Shanghai Hang Lung Plaza is expected to accelerate further [1] - UBS expects the stock price to respond positively to the strong sales performance and maintains a "Buy" rating for Hang Lung Properties with a target price of HKD 9.6 [1]

摩根大通发表研究报告指，恒隆地产内地租户销售在第三季显著改善，按年增长10%，好过该行低 单位数增长预期，扭转次季的1%跌幅。公司又指，旗下商场国庆黄金周表现继续亮丽，国庆长假首四 天租户销售按年增长15%。随着上海恒隆广场引入老铺黄金等新租户，以及现有租户的扩张，摩通预计 恒隆租户销售改善趋势能延续至第四季。考虑到其股息回报率达5.9%，加上内地租户销售数据改善， 摩通继续将恒隆列为两大地产股首选之一，评级为"增持"，目标价10港元；另一首选股为太古地产，预 料将同样受惠于零售市道复苏。 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com （责任编辑：郭健东 ） ...

Core Viewpoint - Hang Lung Properties (00101) experienced a stock price increase of over 3%, reaching HKD 9.07, with a trading volume of HKD 63.39 million, following the release of strong preliminary operational data for its properties in mainland China and Hong Kong during the National Day Golden Week [1] Group 1: Operational Performance - The preliminary operational data for the period from October 1 to 4, 2025, indicates significant growth in tenant sales and foot traffic in mainland shopping malls, with total tenant sales increasing by approximately 15% year-on-year [1] - Notable performances were recorded at Wuhan Hang Lung Plaza and Shanghai Port International Plaza, where tenant sales surged by over 70% and 50%, respectively [1] - On National Day (October 1), tenant sales in the mainland property portfolio saw a year-on-year increase of over 20%, with 70% of operational malls achieving double-digit growth [1] Group 2: Marketing Strategies - The strong performance during the Golden Week can be attributed to a variety of marketing activities and effective membership promotion strategies implemented across the mainland properties [1] - Wuhan Hang Lung Plaza attracted a large number of customers due to the debut of the popular IP "ButterBear" autumn baking workshop, resulting in tenant sales doubling compared to the previous year [1]