Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley has raised its target price for Hong Kong Stock Exchange from HKD 440 to HKD 500, citing strong performance year-to-date and increased confidence in the financial system cycle bottoming out [1] Summary by Category - **Target Price Adjustment** - The target price for Hong Kong Stock Exchange has been increased from HKD 440 to HKD 500 [1] - **Performance Insight** - The adjustment reflects the strong performance of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange year-to-date [1] - **Market Confidence** - There is an enhanced confidence in the financial system cycle reaching its bottom [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the Hong Kong stock market, indicating a strong risk appetite and suggesting investment opportunities in various sectors, particularly in virtual assets and Web 3.0 [3][10]. Core Insights - The Hong Kong stock market is experiencing a significant increase in risk appetite, with improved asset quality and trading volume, highlighting the value of asset trading platforms [3][10]. - There is a notable uptrend in multiple sectors such as AI, new consumption, and innovative pharmaceuticals, with a particular focus on small and mid-cap stocks in media and consumer sectors [3][10]. - The report emphasizes the ongoing development of virtual assets and the Web 3.0 market, driven by stablecoin policies and recent IPOs, suggesting that more regulatory frameworks will emerge [3][10]. - The trend of Chinese companies returning to Hong Kong for IPOs is gaining momentum, with increased trading of companies like NetEase and Ctrip in the Hong Kong market [3][10]. - The valuation of overseas Chinese assets remains influenced by US-China trade relations and the broader economic environment, necessitating close monitoring of trade policies and domestic economic changes [3][10]. Summary by Sections Education - The K12 education sector maintains high growth, with leading institutions reporting over 20% revenue growth during the winter training period, and an increase in non-academic course retention rates [5][11]. Luxury Goods - The luxury goods market shows slight pressure due to macroeconomic factors, but brands that align with demand trends are performing well, with cautious price increases observed [5][20]. Coffee and Tea Drinks & OTA - Coffee and tea remain key categories for delivery platforms, with strong performance from major brands like Luckin Coffee, which continues to expand its store presence [5][25]. E-commerce - The e-commerce sector faces slight pressure, but major platforms like Alibaba and JD.com are expected to benefit from ongoing promotional activities [5][26]. Streaming Platforms - Music streaming platforms are viewed as high-quality internet assets, with sustained profitability driven by scale effects [5][34]. Virtual Assets & Internet Brokers - The stablecoin leader Circle's IPO saw a 168% increase on its first day, marking a significant event in the virtual asset space [5][38]. Real Estate Transactions - Recent data shows a slight decline in second-hand housing transactions in major cities, suggesting a need for caution in the real estate market [5][50]. Automotive Services - The automotive aftermarket is under pressure, with traditional fuel vehicle service visits declining, while new energy vehicle service visits are increasing [5][45].

非银行业周报 20250608 险资成立私募基金的考量 2025 年 06 月 08 日 ➢ 头部险资纷纷成立私募股权基金，探索股权投资和二级市场股票投资新形 式。中国太保 6 月 3 日正式成立太保战新并购基金和私募证券投资基金，分别聚 焦战略新兴产业和私募证券投资基金，总规模达到 500 亿元。近期在推动中长期 资金入市政策出台，叠加险资长期投资试点的背景下，头部大型险企纷纷通过私 募基金的形式，探索股权投资助力产业发展，以及二级市场股票投资助力权益市 场。从太保本次成立的总规模 500 亿的 2 只私募基金来看，其中一只基金太保 战新并购私募基金目标规模 300 亿元，首批规模 100 亿，主要将聚焦上海国资 国企改革和现代化产业体系建设的重点领域，助力推动上海战新产业发展以及重 点产业的强链补链。另一只基金，太保致远 1 号私募证券投资基金目标规模 200 亿，主要是响应国家扩大保险机构设立私募证券投资基金改革试点，聚焦二级市 场优质标的以及分红稳定股息较高的标的来加强股票投资，有望有效应对长端利 率中枢的下行并助力资本市场稳定。 ➢ 险资作为重要的机构投资者，伴随政策支持和利率下行的客观趋势，通过私 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [1] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that the non-bank financial sector continues to benefit from a rebound in new account openings, with a year-on-year increase of 23% in May. The overall performance of the non-bank sector has outperformed the market, particularly in the insurance segment, driven by expectations of benchmark recovery and easing trade tensions [3][4] - The report anticipates that the brokerage sector will maintain good growth momentum in the upcoming interim reports, supported by low base effects and improving trading volumes. The insurance sector is expected to see a slight decline in growth rates due to elevated performance bases in the second quarter [3][4] - The report highlights specific investment opportunities in Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (HKEX) and Jiangsu Jinzhong Leasing, which are expected to benefit from the expansion of the Hong Kong market and high dividend yields [3] Summary by Sections Brokerage Sector - In May, the average daily trading volume for stock funds reached 14.2 trillion yuan, an increase of 8.4% month-on-month. The number of new A-share accounts opened in May was 1.5556 million, a year-on-year increase of 23%, with a cumulative total of 10.9514 million new accounts opened from January to May, reflecting a 30% year-on-year growth [3] - The report notes that the valuation and institutional holdings in the brokerage sector are currently low, and macroeconomic measures to stabilize the stock market are expected to continue, creating favorable conditions for growth [3] Insurance Sector - China Ping An announced plans to issue zero-coupon convertible bonds totaling 11.765 billion HKD, aimed at supporting its future business development and capital needs. The initial conversion price is set at 55.02 HKD per share, representing a premium of approximately 18.45% over the closing price [4] - The insurance sector is currently underrepresented in public fund allocations compared to the CSI 300 index, with favorable PB and ROE ratios. The report expects a rebound in new business value (NBV) growth in the second half of the year, although overall growth rates may decline compared to 2024 [4] Recommended and Beneficiary Stocks - Recommended stocks include Jiangsu Jinzhong Leasing, Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing, and China Pacific Insurance. Beneficiary stocks include Guosen Securities, Jiufang Zhitu Holdings, China Galaxy Securities, and others [5]

香港交易所信息显示， 贝莱德在 中国财险的持股比例于06月02日从6.10%降至5.83%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) shows strong upward momentum in technical analysis, with a recent price of HKD 405.2, reflecting a 0.5% increase and a stable influx of capital [1][4]. Technical Analysis - The stock has surpassed major moving averages, with MA10 at HKD 393.92, MA30 at HKD 372.25, and MA60 at HKD 358.2, indicating a bullish trend [1]. - The current support levels are at HKD 386 and HKD 361, while the short-term resistance is at HKD 410, with a potential upward challenge to HKD 423 if broken [4]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 70, indicating strong buying power, but caution is advised due to potential short-term pullback pressures [7]. - The technical model estimates a 52% probability of upward movement, aligning with current momentum trends [4]. Investor Sentiment - Investor sentiment is generally positive, with many expecting continued interest in IPOs and a long-term target of at least HKD 450 [1]. - There are 17 buy signals, 1 sell signal, and 6 neutral signals, suggesting a steady upward trend [1]. - Short-term resistance is closely aligned with investor expectations, indicating a consensus around HKD 409 as a critical level [1]. Derivative Products Performance - Derivative products linked to HKEX have shown significant leverage effects, with notable performances from bull certificates, such as Societe Generale's bull certificate 54739 and HSBC's bull certificate 53712, both achieving a 21% increase [2]. - Call options like HSBC's 29547 and Societe Generale's 27807 also reported gains of 18% and 15%, respectively [2]. Market Dynamics - The overall market atmosphere remains bullish, supported by strong technical indicators and high trading volumes, which reinforce the positive outlook for HKEX [11]. - The presence of various derivative products allows investors to align their strategies with market expectations, catering to different risk appetites [7][9].

Group 1 - The total market capitalization of the Hong Kong securities market reached HKD 40.9 trillion by the end of May 2025, a 24% increase from HKD 32.9 trillion in the same period last year [1] - The average daily trading volume in May was HKD 210.3 billion, up 50% from HKD 139.8 billion year-on-year [1] - In the first five months of 2025, the average daily trading volume on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange was HKD 242.3 billion, a 120% increase from HKD 110.2 billion in the same period last year [1] Group 2 - There has been a significant increase in Chinese companies listing in Hong Kong, with notable examples including new consumer enterprises like Mixue Group, core manufacturing companies like CATL, and innovative pharmaceutical companies like Hansoh Pharmaceutical [1] - The number of new listings on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange from January to May was 29, a 38% increase compared to the same period last year [1] - The total fundraising amount for initial public offerings (IPOs) in the first five months was HKD 77.7 billion, a 709% increase year-on-year, while the total fundraising amount reached HKD 235.1 billion, up 383% from the previous year [1] Group 3 - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange is positioned with valuation safety margins, industrial upgrade momentum, and liquidity support, highlighting its mid-to-long-term investment value [2] - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange's strategic initiatives, including enhancing market connectivity and exploring innovative business opportunities, are expected to solidify its hub status and expand revenue and profit growth potential [3] - The recovery of the IPO market and the trend of Chinese concept stocks returning to Hong Kong are anticipated to provide more resources and trading opportunities for the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [3]

Group 1: Hong Kong Stock Market Performance - As of May 2025, the total market capitalization of the Hong Kong securities market reached HKD 40.9 trillion, representing a 5% increase month-on-month and a 24% increase year-on-year [1] - The average daily trading amount in May was HKD 210.3 billion, up 50% compared to the same period last year [1] - In the first five months of the year, there were 29 new listings on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, a 38% increase year-on-year, with IPO fundraising amounting to HKD 77.7 billion, a staggering 709% increase from the previous year [1] Group 2: Company Developments - Sanhua Intelligent Controls successfully passed the hearing for listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, marking a significant step in its internationalization strategy. The company's projected revenues for 2022, 2023, and 2024 are RMB 21.348 billion, RMB 24.558 billion, and RMB 27.947 billion, respectively, with net profits of RMB 2.608 billion, RMB 2.934 billion, and RMB 3.112 billion [2] - Jiangnan Buyi announced plans to acquire land use rights in Hangzhou for a modern park integrating digital R&D and intelligent warehousing, indicating a proactive approach to business expansion despite the uncertainty of the bidding outcome [3] - Jinjiang Hotels announced its intention to issue shares and list in Hong Kong to enhance its global strategy and improve governance. The funds raised will be used to expand overseas operations, repay bank loans, and supplement working capital, despite a decline in revenue and net profit in 2024 [4] Group 3: Market Indices - The Hang Seng Index closed at 23,906.97, with a daily increase of 1.07% [5] - The Hang Seng Tech Index reached 5,319.96, reflecting a 1.93% increase [5] - The National Enterprises Index stood at 8,684.73, up by 1.26% [5]

Group 1 - Kyrgyzstan successfully issued a 5-year USD benchmark international bond in Hong Kong, with an initial target of $500 million but ultimately raising $700 million due to strong market demand, with peak orders exceeding $2.1 billion from over 130 investors [1] - The bond has a coupon rate of 7.75% and is the first sovereign bond from Central Asia listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aimed at supporting the national budget, particularly in hydropower and infrastructure projects [1][2] - The issuance reflects high international market confidence in Kyrgyzstan's economic outlook and sovereign credit, as indicated by the oversubscription [2] Group 2 - Tianfeng International acted as the underwriter, leveraging its international investor resources and local service advantages to efficiently complete the issuance process [1][3] - The bond listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange is expected to enhance Kyrgyzstan's visibility among Chinese and Asian investors, diversifying its financing channels and optimizing its debt structure [2] - The issuance aligns with the broader goals of the Belt and Road Initiative, promoting financial connectivity and sustainable development in the region [3]

Group 1 - Morgan Stanley increased its stake in Meituan-W from 4.60% to 5.32% as of May 30 [1] - The average share price for this transaction was 137.7158 HKD [1]