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香港交易所(00388):成长性可验证,有望迎来重估
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company is expected to experience verifiable growth, leading to a potential revaluation [1] - The current price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is 38 times, with an upward potential of 24% based on a target PE of 42 times, resulting in a reasonable market value of 692 billion HKD [6][7] - The company benefits from its monopoly status and integrated clearing platform, which allows it to earn commissions from Average Daily Turnover (ADT) [6][7] Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - Revenue projections (in million HKD) for the years 2023 to 2027 are as follows: - 2023: 20,516 (11% growth) - 2024: 22,374 (9% growth) - 2025E: 26,978 (21% growth) - 2026E: 29,020 (8% growth) - 2027E: 29,857 (3% growth) [4] - Net profit attributable to shareholders (in million HKD) is forecasted as: - 2023: 11,862 (18% growth) - 2024: 13,050 (10% growth) - 2025E: 16,477 (26% growth) - 2026E: 17,936 (9% growth) - 2027E: 18,775 (5% growth) [4] - Earnings per share (in HKD) are projected to be: - 2023: 9.36 - 2024: 10.29 - 2025E: 13.00 - 2026E: 14.15 - 2027E: 14.81 [4] Valuation Review - The valuation range for the company is estimated between 30 to 70 times PE, with fundamental and liquidity factors being the core drivers [6][19] - The report emphasizes that the company’s growth potential is supported by the increasing market capitalization of new economy sectors, which have risen from 17% in 2018 to 35% in 2025 YTD [6][59] - The report highlights that the ADT is a critical factor influencing the company's profitability, with expectations for ADT to remain robust due to increased connectivity between mainland China and Hong Kong [6][8]
美银证券:升香港交易所目标价至520港元 重申“买入”评级
news flash· 2025-07-24 04:30
金十数据7月24日讯,美银证券发布研报称,预期港交所(00388.HK)上半年纯利为80亿港元,较去年同 期上升31%。第二季日均成交额料维持在2,380亿港元的高水平(去年同期为1220亿港元),支持强劲的交 易费收入和结算费收入。美银证券维持港交所全年盈利不变,并对明年和后年盈利预测上调6%至7%。 目标价由440港元升至520港元,相当于预测合并2025至2026年市盈率40倍,重申"买入"评级。 美银证券:升香港交易所目标价至520港元 重申"买入"评级 ...
金十图示:2025年07月24日(周四)中国科技互联网公司市值排名TOP 50一览
news flash· 2025-07-24 03:01
Group 1 - The article presents the market capitalization rankings of the top 50 Chinese technology and internet companies as of July 24, 2025 [1] - The highest-ranked company is Alibaba, with a market capitalization of 1,000 billion [3] - Other notable companies in the top 10 include Tencent with 600 billion and Baidu with 320 billion [3][4] Group 2 - The rankings show significant market values, with companies like JD.com at 489.1 billion and Kuaishou at 431.56 billion [3] - The list includes various sectors such as e-commerce, automotive, and software, indicating a diverse technology landscape [4][5] - Companies like Xpeng Motors and NIO are also featured, with market caps of 179.5 billion and 111.42 billion respectively [3][4]
全球第一!港交所最新发布
证券时报· 2025-07-23 15:10
Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong's equity financing market achieved the highest new stock financing amount globally in the first half of 2025, driven by improved investor sentiment and a significant influx of quality companies seeking funds [3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - In the first half of 2025, Hong Kong's new stock financing reached $14.1 billion, a 695% increase compared to the same period in 2024, significantly outpacing the global new stock financing growth of 8% [4]. - The average daily trading volume in Hong Kong increased by 82% year-on-year to HKD 240 billion, with the Hang Seng Index rising over 20% [3]. Group 2: Major Listings - Notable large IPOs included CATL, which raised $5.3 billion, marking the largest IPO globally since 2023. Other significant listings included Heng Rui Pharmaceutical, Hai Tian Flavoring, and Sanhua Intelligent Control, each raising over $1 billion [9]. - Hong Kong secured four positions in the global top ten IPOs for the first half of 2025, with these companies averaging a 14% increase in stock price since their listings [9]. Group 3: A+H Listings and International Companies - Eight A-share companies raised a total of $10.1 billion by listing in Hong Kong, primarily to expand their international presence. The H-shares of these companies generally traded at a smaller discount compared to A-shares, indicating strong international investor demand [11]. - International companies like IFBH and Mi Rui Group successfully listed in Hong Kong, enhancing the city's appeal as an international financing hub [11]. Group 4: Investor Participation - The new stocks issued in the first half of 2025 saw active participation from international institutional investors, including long-term funds, private equity, strategic investors, hedge funds, and sovereign wealth funds from North America, Europe, and the Middle East [13]. - Retail investors also showed strong interest, leading to record-high demand for new stocks, with some experiencing oversubscription [14]. Group 5: Sector Performance - The healthcare sector saw a total equity financing of $5.8 billion, the highest for the first half of the year since 2021. The TMT sector, driven by AI innovations, raised $13.7 billion, while the consumer sector, particularly in new stock listings, saw an average stock price increase of 70% [16]. Group 6: Market Optimization Measures - Regulatory measures, such as the "Tech Company Fast Track" launched in May 2025, have expedited the listing process for tech and biotech companies. The momentum continued into July, with eight companies successfully listing in the first two weeks [20].
港交所:香港恒生指数上半年涨逾20% 领跑全球
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-07-23 14:25
Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index has outperformed globally in the first half of the year, rising over 20% due to strong investment interest from international and mainland Chinese investors [1][3] - The average daily trading volume of Hong Kong stocks increased by 82% year-on-year to HKD 240 billion [1] - The Hong Kong stock equity financing market saw significant growth, with new stock financing reaching USD 14.1 billion in the first half of 2025, a 695% increase compared to the same period in 2024 [3] Group 2 - The new stock financing amount in Hong Kong for the first half of 2025 surpassed the total financing amounts for the years 2022, 2023, and 2024 [3] - Eight A-share companies listed in Hong Kong in the first half of 2025, raising a total of USD 10.1 billion, primarily to expand their international presence [3] - The Hong Kong new stock market has maintained strong momentum in July, with eight companies successfully listing in the first two weeks [3]
7月23日电,香港交易所信息显示,贝莱德在快手-W的持股比例于07月18日从5.25%降至4.96%。
news flash· 2025-07-23 09:09
智通财经7月23日电,香港交易所信息显示,贝莱德在快手-W的持股比例于07月18日从5.25%降至 4.96%。 ...
中证香港300现代服务指数报1730.04点,前十大权重包含汇丰控股等
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-07-23 09:02
据了解,中证香港300主题指数系列从中证香港300指数样本中根据中证行业分类选取符合相应主题的证 券作为指数样本,反映了在香港交易所上市各主题证券的整体表现。该指数以2004年12月31日为基日, 以1000.0点为基点。 从指数持仓来看,中证香港300现代服务指数十大权重分别为:腾讯控股(17.58%)、阿里巴巴-W (11.7%)、汇丰控股(9.08%)、建设银行(5.16%)、美团-W(4.09%)、友邦保险(3.83%)、香 港交易所(2.85%)、中国移动(2.79%)、工商银行(2.74%)、网易-S(2.21%)。 金融界7月23日消息,A股三大指数收盘涨跌不一,中证香港300现代服务指数 (H300现代服务, H30107)报1730.04点。 从中证香港300现代服务指数持仓的市场板块来看,香港证券交易所占比100.00%。 数据统计显示,中证香港300现代服务指数近一个月上涨6.24%,近三个月上涨16.01%,年至今上涨 23.03%。 资料显示,指数样本每半年调整一次,样本调整实施时间分别为每年6月和12月的第二个星期五的下一 交易日。特殊情况下将对指数进行临时调整。当样本退市时,将其 ...
预计年内有在港粤企A股上市?深交所“H+A”路径已明
Core Viewpoint - The establishment of a regular communication mechanism between relevant authorities and the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) aims to support the capital market in Shenzhen's comprehensive reform, with expectations for a series of reforms, including the return of companies listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to the Shenzhen Stock Exchange [1][2] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The Shenzhen authorities have enhanced communication with various ministries since the issuance of the "Opinions on Deepening the Reform and Innovation of Shenzhen's Comprehensive Reform Pilot" [2] - The market anticipates that the return of companies from the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area to the Shenzhen Stock Exchange will provide more investment opportunities for investors and contribute to the growth of the A-share market [2][3] Group 2: Eligible Companies - There are over 250 companies listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange that are registered in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, with 30 already listed on the A-share market and 220 yet to return [3] - Among the 220 companies, the top three by market capitalization are AIA Group (737.19 billion HKD), Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (548.47 billion HKD), and Bank of China (Hong Kong) (379.03 billion HKD) [3] Group 3: Regulatory Framework - The National Development and Reform Commission has indicated support for eligible Hong Kong-listed companies to issue depositary receipts on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, clarifying the path for different types of Hong Kong companies to return to A-shares [3][4] - The current rules require that red-chip companies seeking secondary listings on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange must have a market capitalization of at least 200 billion CNY and possess strong technological innovation capabilities [5][6] Group 4: Economic Implications - The return of Hong Kong-listed companies to the Shenzhen Stock Exchange is expected to enrich the industry matrix and enhance the valuation system of the A-share market, potentially attracting international capital [6][7] - The dual listing on both the Shenzhen and Hong Kong exchanges may facilitate the return of offshore RMB, thereby promoting the internationalization of the RMB and enhancing cross-border capital flow [7]
非银金融25Q2重仓持股分析及板块最新观点:保险持仓显著回升,券商持仓仍严重欠配-20250723
CMS· 2025-07-23 06:33
Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation for the securities and insurance sectors, indicating a positive outlook despite potential challenges from trade friction and economic pressures [6]. Core Insights - The non-bank financial sector saw a significant increase in holdings, with the insurance sector's holdings rising to 1.54%, up 0.63 percentage points from the previous quarter, while the brokerage sector's holdings reached 0.90%, up 0.36 percentage points [5][21]. - The total market value of public funds reached 6,285.3 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 10% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7% [2]. - The insurance sector is benefiting from a recovery in premium income, with a cumulative premium income of 30,602 billion from January to May, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.8% [20]. Summary by Sections Public Fund Market Size - In Q2 2025, the total net value of funds was 33.7 trillion, with a year-on-year increase of 10% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7% [10]. - The non-monetary fund scale was 19.5 trillion, up 11% year-on-year and 7% quarter-on-quarter [10]. High Dividend Stock Holdings Analysis - The holdings of banks, electric equipment, transportation, public utilities, oil and petrochemicals, and coal showed varied changes, with bank holdings increasing by 16% [16]. Non-Bank Sector Holdings Analysis Brokerage Sector - The brokerage sector's holdings increased to 0.90%, with a 58% rise in shareholding volume to 669 million shares [18][19]. - The average daily trading volume for equity funds reached 1.49 trillion, a year-on-year increase of 57% [18]. Insurance Sector - The insurance sector's holdings increased significantly, with a notable rise in individual stock holdings for major companies like China Ping An and China Taiping [21]. - The insurance sector's holdings are still below the standard allocation of 1.91%, indicating potential for further investment [21]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on key brokerage firms such as CITIC Securities and Guotai Junan, as well as insurance companies like China Taiping and China Ping An, due to their potential for growth in the current market environment [6].
港交所站穩 430 元,短線係突破定回調?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-22 19:06
Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX) has announced an optimization of the Stock Connect trading mechanism, which is expected to shorten the settlement cycle and enhance market liquidity. The number of new listings in the first half of the year has increased by 15% year-on-year, contributing to a positive market reaction regarding its revenue from transaction fees [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - HKEX's stock closed at HKD 431.2, with a daily increase of 0.28% and a trading volume of HKD 1.502 billion [1]. - Technical analysis indicates a "strong buy" signal with a strength of 16, while multiple moving averages also reflect a robust medium to long-term trend [2]. - The stock is currently approaching its first resistance level at HKD 439, with a 54% probability of breaking through this level [5]. Group 2: Support and Resistance Levels - The first support level for HKEX is at HKD 419, with a deeper support level at HKD 403. The first resistance level is at HKD 439, and a higher resistance level is at HKD 448 [5]. - The stock has experienced a 2.5% fluctuation over the past five days, indicating some short-term speculative opportunities [5]. Group 3: Derivative Products - For bullish investors, UBS call option (16698) has a leverage of 9.4 times with a strike price of HKD 484.08, while HSBC call option (13488) has a leverage of 7.5 times with a strike price of HKD 480.2, both featuring relatively low premiums [7]. - For bearish investors, UBS put option (53316) offers the lowest premium with a leverage of 13.1 times and a strike price of HKD 460, while Morgan Stanley put option (54605) has the highest leverage of 12.5 times with the same strike price [9].