Financial Performance - For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024, the total revenue increased to $8,182,161 thousand, representing a growth of 3.7% compared to $7,890,168 thousand in 2023[2] - The recurring profit attributable to the company's owners rose significantly by 43.7% to $378,627 thousand from $263,399 thousand in the previous year[2] - The total profit attributable to the company's owners increased by 42.8% to $392,415 thousand, up from $274,710 thousand in 2023[2] - Basic earnings per share improved by 42.9% to 24.37 cents, compared to 17.05 cents in the prior year[2] - Total comprehensive income for the year reached $457,103 thousand, a significant increase from $255,111 thousand in 2023[5] - The company reported a total tax expense of $147,444 thousand for 2024, significantly higher than $80,992 thousand in 2023[20] - The company’s profit for the year 2024 was $392,415,000, an increase from $274,710,000 in 2023, representing a growth of approximately 43.0%[27] - Profit attributable to the company's owners was $392.4 million, representing a 42.8% increase from $274.7 million in the previous year[38] Dividends - The interim dividend was doubled to HKD 0.40 from HKD 0.20, while the proposed final dividend increased by 28.6% to HKD 0.90 from HKD 0.70[2] - The company declared a final dividend of HK$0.90 per share for the year ending December 31, 2024, up from HK$0.70 per share in 2023, which translates to a total of approximately $1,444,094,000[25][26] - The board declared a final dividend of HK$0.90 per share for 2025, up from HK$0.70 per share in 2023, resulting in a total annual dividend of HK$1.30 per share[71] Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from the manufacturing business reached $5,620,753 thousand, up 11.1% from $5,059,438 thousand in the previous year[12] - Retail business revenue decreased to $2,561,408 thousand, down 9.5% from $2,830,730 thousand in 2023[12] - Revenue from sports/outdoor shoes was $4,403,600 thousand, an increase of 8.9% compared to $4,041,081 thousand in 2023[14] - Revenue from the United States was $1,542,031 thousand, up 9.5% from $1,408,248 thousand in 2023[15] - Revenue from Europe increased to $1,429,624 thousand, a rise of 11.1% from $1,286,960 thousand in the previous year[15] - The footwear segment's revenue increased by 11.0% to $5,169.0 million, with a shipment volume rise of 16.9% to 255.3 million pairs[39] - The group’s manufacturing revenue from footwear, soles, accessories, and others totaled $5,620.8 million, an increase of 11.1%[39] - The group’s revenue from sports/outdoor shoes accounted for 53.8% of total revenue, while casual shoes and sports sandals contributed 9.4%[42] Assets and Liabilities - Non-current assets totaled $3,530,430 thousand, slightly down from $3,574,374 thousand in the previous year[6] - Current assets increased to $3,844,924 thousand from $3,783,858 thousand, driven by higher inventory and receivables[6] - The net asset value rose to $4,914,354 thousand, compared to $4,710,028 thousand in 2023, reflecting a solid financial position[8] - Accounts receivable increased to $938,499,000 in 2024 from $885,145,000 in 2023, marking a rise of about 6.0%[28] - The company’s accounts payable rose to $500,454,000 in 2024 from $475,505,000 in 2023, an increase of about 5.2%[29] Costs and Expenses - The company reported a decrease in financing costs to $63,339 thousand from $85,039 thousand, indicating improved financial management[4] - Employee benefits expenses totaled $2,025,704,000 in 2024, compared to $1,990,412,000 in 2023, reflecting an increase of about 1.8%[23] - The total cost of sales for the manufacturing business was $4,503.7 million, an increase of 10.2% from $4,087.3 million in 2023[48] - The gross profit for the group rose by 3.5% to $1,992.7 million, with an overall gross margin of 24.4%[47] - The manufacturing segment's gross profit increased by 14.9% to $1,117.0 million, with a gross margin of 19.9%, up 0.7 percentage points year-on-year[47] - Total selling and distribution expenses decreased by 6.3% to $838.2 million, accounting for approximately 10.2% of revenue[50] - Administrative expenses rose by 1.2% to $553.4 million, representing about 6.8% of revenue[50] Cash Flow and Capital Expenditure - The net cash flow from operating activities was $537.1 million, down from $944.7 million in 2023[56] - As of December 31, 2024, the group had cash and cash equivalents of $943.2 million, down from $1,142.1 million in 2023[57] - The group’s total capital expenditure for 2024 was $211.3 million, up from $200.6 million in 2023[61] - Capital expenditure for the manufacturing business was $159.8 million, an increase from $152.0 million in 2023, focusing on strategic expansion and digital transformation[61] - Retail business capital expenditure slightly increased to $51.5 million from $48.6 million in 2023, continuing a refined retail strategy[63] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on digital smart manufacturing management to enhance overall profitability and efficiency[32] - The group aims to enhance operational resilience and maintain a healthy cash flow while pursuing digital transformation and automation technologies[79] - The group aims to fully launch its SAP ERP system and integrated operation platform (OCP) by 2025, focusing on decision-making and operational management applications[80] - The retail subsidiary, Bao Sheng, will continue to implement a refined retail strategy, dynamically expanding its physical and omnichannel retail presence, and enhancing product category offerings[80] - The company is committed to enhancing its operational capabilities and ESG-oriented management to adapt to rapidly changing market demands[80] Employee and Governance - The group employed approximately 285,500 employees as of December 31, 2024, a 7.9% increase from 264,700 employees in 2023[73] - The company has complied with all applicable corporate governance code provisions during the year[84] - The annual general meeting will be held on May 23, 2025, at the company's headquarters in Hong Kong[90] - The company expresses gratitude to customers, suppliers, and shareholders for their support and acknowledges the contributions of its directors and employees[95] Market Outlook - The global sports goods industry is expected to grow at a CAGR of 6% from 2024 to 2029, with a market size projected to reach $548 billion by 2029[77] - The company anticipates a lengthy appeal process regarding tax disputes in Indonesia, which may take one to two years[21] Share Repurchase - The company repurchased a total of 7,627,500 shares at a total cost of approximately HKD 116,856,528 (equivalent to about USD 15,009,000) during the year[82] - The share repurchase included transactions at prices ranging from HKD 12.94 to HKD 17.42 per share, with the highest repurchase price being HKD 17.40[82] - The company’s employee stock incentive plan trustee purchased a total of 1,350,000 shares at a total cost of approximately HKD 15,368,000 (equivalent to about USD 1,965,000)[82] Joint Ventures and Associates - The group recorded a profit of $78.4 million from joint ventures and associates in 2024, compared to $62.2 million in the previous year[70]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price set at 16.00 HKD [1][9]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 426-440 million USD in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 55-60%. This growth is driven by a significant increase in order demand for its manufacturing business, improved capacity utilization, and enhanced production efficiency [3][4]. - The manufacturing business is experiencing a steady increase in revenue, while the retail business continues to face challenges due to the consumer environment. The company anticipates a revenue increase of 9.7% year-on-year in Q4 2024, with a net profit margin projected to be between 4.5% and 5.1% [4][5]. - The company has a strong position in the global sports shoe manufacturing sector and is the second-largest sports goods retailer in China. Its vertical integration strategy allows it to effectively control the supply chain, with a diverse and loyal customer base [5][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company forecasts a revenue of 8,187 million USD for 2024, with a growth rate of 4%. The net profit is expected to be 432 million USD, reflecting a growth rate of 57% [6]. - For the years 2025 and 2026, the projected revenues are 8,919 million USD and 9,594 million USD, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 503 million USD and 556 million USD [6]. Market Position - The company is positioned to benefit from a recovery in the retail environment, which is expected to provide additional growth opportunities. The manufacturing segment is anticipated to see robust growth due to improved order conditions and capacity release [5][6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price set at 16.00 HKD [1][9]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 426-440 million USD in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 55-60%. This growth is driven by a significant increase in order demand for manufacturing, improved capacity utilization, and enhanced production efficiency [3][4]. - The manufacturing business is experiencing a steady increase in revenue, while the retail business continues to face challenges due to the consumer environment. The company anticipates a revenue increase of 9.7% year-on-year in Q4 2024, with a net profit margin projected to be between 4.5% and 5.1% [4][5]. - The company has a strong position in the global sports shoe manufacturing sector and is the second-largest sports goods retailer in China. Its vertical integration allows for effective control over the supply chain, with a diverse and loyal customer base [5][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company forecasts revenues of 8,187 million USD in 2024, with a growth rate of 4%. The net profit is expected to be 432 million USD, reflecting a 57% increase year-on-year [6]. - The diluted earnings per share are projected to be 0.27 USD in 2024, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 7.7 [6]. Business Segments - Manufacturing revenue is expected to grow steadily, with monthly revenue growth rates of 10.2%, 10.9%, and 11.1% observed [4]. - Retail revenue growth has been negative but shows signs of improvement, with a narrowing decline in monthly revenue [4][5]. Market Position - The company is well-positioned for long-term growth, with strong manufacturing barriers and an increasing market share anticipated [5].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Buy" rating for the company, indicating strong potential for growth and recovery in profits driven by robust manufacturing demand and retail adjustments [4][7][66]. Core Insights - The company, Yu Yuan Group, is recognized as a leading global footwear manufacturer with a strong retail presence, benefiting from a diversified business model that includes both manufacturing and retail operations [6][18]. - The manufacturing segment is experiencing a recovery in profit margins due to increased demand from overseas sports brands, with capacity utilization reaching 92% in Q3 2024, leading to improved operational efficiency [6][41]. - The retail segment is expected to gradually recover as domestic demand improves, with the company diversifying its brand portfolio to include emerging high-growth sports brands [6][50]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - Yu Yuan Group was established in 1988 and listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in 1992, with manufacturing bases in multiple countries including Vietnam, Cambodia, and Indonesia [18]. - The company operates in both manufacturing and retail sectors, with a significant shareholding in Bao Sheng International for retail operations in Greater China [18]. 2. Manufacturing Business - The global demand for sports footwear is on the rise, with the company solidifying its position as a key supplier to major brands like Nike and Adidas [28]. - The manufacturing segment contributes approximately 68% of total revenue, with a year-on-year revenue growth of 9% in Q3 2024 [27][28]. - The company has improved its return on assets (ROA) and return on equity (ROE) to 6.5% and 10.8% respectively, marking the highest levels since 2018 [41]. 3. Retail Business - The retail segment is poised for recovery, supported by favorable national policies and increasing consumer spending, with the market for sports apparel expected to grow significantly [46][49]. - The company is actively diversifying its brand offerings, including partnerships with emerging brands, which is expected to enhance its market position [50]. - Inventory management has shown improvement, with a decrease in absolute inventory levels post-pandemic, indicating effective control measures [60]. 4. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve revenues of $8.18 billion, $8.83 billion, and $9.61 billion for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with corresponding net profits of $450 million, $498 million, and $556 million [66]. - The report employs a segmented valuation approach, with a weighted average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 16.8x for comparable companies, while the company's P/E for 2024 is estimated at 7.6x, indicating significant upside potential [7][66].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [5]. Core Views - The company has shown a steady growth in manufacturing revenue, with a year-on-year increase of 13.5% in December 2024 and an expected annual growth of 11.1% [1]. - The overall revenue for the listed company in December was USD 680 million, reflecting a 6.9% year-on-year increase, with an annual revenue of USD 8.182 billion, up 3.7% [1]. - The company is optimistic about the 2025 market performance, leveraging a multi-client strategy to mitigate retail and cyclical risks, benefiting from the industry’s "Matthew Effect" which favors leading supply chains [1][2]. - The company is focused on enhancing operational efficiency through cost and expense management, which is expected to support stable growth in overall profitability [2]. Summary by Sections Manufacturing Business - The manufacturing business is projected to see a significant increase in demand for footwear products in 2024, with steady growth in new production capacity [2]. - The company is committed to improving the efficiency of its operations and enhancing the sales conversion rate of its direct-operated stores [2]. Financial Projections - The revenue forecasts for FY24-26 are adjusted to USD 8.18 billion, USD 9.11 billion, and USD 10.33 billion respectively, with net profits projected at USD 430 million, USD 500 million, and USD 580 million [4]. - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates are revised to USD 0.27, USD 0.31, and USD 0.36 for FY24-26 [4]. Retail Strategy - The company is focusing on a multi-channel retail strategy and digital transformation to create a personalized and seamless shopping experience for customers [3]. - Collaboration with brand partners is emphasized to provide high-value products and innovative services [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a maintained rating over the next six months [1]. Core Views - The company has shown a positive growth trend in its manufacturing business, with a year-on-year revenue increase of 17% in November 2024 and a cumulative increase of 10.9% [1]. - The overall revenue for the listed companies in November 2024 reached 680 million USD, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.5% and a cumulative growth of 3.4% [1]. - The company is optimistic about the long-term prospects of the sports industry and aims to diversify its manufacturing capacity [1]. - The company maintains a strong focus on shareholder returns, with a dividend payout ratio of approximately 70% in 2023 and a mid-year dividend of 0.40 HKD in 2024 [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Projected revenues for FY24-26 are 8.65 billion USD, 9.65 billion USD, and 10.94 billion USD respectively, with corresponding net profits of 460 million USD, 540 million USD, and 620 million USD [2]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 0.28 USD, 0.33 USD, and 0.38 USD for FY24, FY25, and FY26 respectively, with price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 8x, 7x, and 6x [2]. Market Position - The company is positioned to capture excess growth opportunities in a relatively stable market, benefiting from a strong customer base and improved supply chain capabilities [1]. - The company’s strategy includes targeting labor supply and infrastructure in Indonesia and India to support sustainable growth [1].

证券时报网讯，里昂的研究报告指出，特朗普2.0关税政策的覆盖范围比2018年更广，全球市场将受到 影响。 品牌商可能通过提价来应对关税，但行业领导者将更关注市场份额与盈利能力的平衡，预计会通过优化 成本结构实现可持续发展。 里昂推荐安踏、普拉达、新秀丽和裕元集团为首选股票，认为它们具备良好的防守性，并给予"跑赢大 市"评级。 校对：姚远 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-B" rating to the company, indicating a potential upside of 48% compared to its current market value [6][131]. Core Insights - The company operates in both upstream manufacturing and downstream retail segments of the sports footwear industry, positioning itself as a leader in the market. It achieved a revenue of $7.89 billion in 2023, with manufacturing and retail contributing 64.1% and 35.9% respectively [1][25]. - The manufacturing segment is expected to see a recovery in orders, with a projected footwear shipment volume of 250 million pairs in 2024, reflecting a double-digit year-on-year growth [1][61]. - The retail segment, while currently facing challenges, is anticipated to benefit from a recovery in foot traffic and improved operational efficiency through digital initiatives [3][115]. Summary by Sections Manufacturing Business - The company is a leading global manufacturer of sports and casual footwear, with a strong focus on efficiency improvements that enhance profit margins. In 2023, it shipped 218 million pairs of footwear, generating $5.06 billion in revenue [1][29]. - The company has established production bases in Indonesia and Vietnam, which are crucial for its operational efficiency. As of the end of 2023, the workforce in manufacturing totaled 242,600 employees, with a significant portion based in these countries [40][41]. - The company has a diversified customer base, with major clients including Nike and Adidas, accounting for 40% and 20% of manufacturing revenue respectively. The company maintains a moderate level of customer concentration, reducing dependency on any single client [44][44]. Retail Business - The company is the second-largest sports goods distributor in China, with over 3,523 retail stores and a revenue of approximately $20.06 billion in 2023. The retail segment is currently focused on enhancing store quality and optimizing the sales network [3][85]. - The retail business has been impacted by external macroeconomic conditions, leading to a decline in same-store sales. However, the introduction of digital sales channels, such as micro-stores, has contributed positively to overall sales [3][99]. - The company is implementing a digital transformation strategy to improve operational efficiency and customer engagement, which includes upgrading its ERP systems and enhancing in-store technology [115][116]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve revenues of $8.13 billion, $8.82 billion, and $9.56 billion for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with corresponding net profits of $450 million, $517 million, and $575 million [6][131]. - The valuation approach includes a 12x multiple for the manufacturing business and a 7x multiple for the retail business, leading to a target market capitalization of HKD 41.8 billion [6][131].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, Yuanyuan Group, marking its first coverage [6][11]. Core Insights - Yuanyuan Group is the world's largest sports shoe manufacturer and has a deep layout in the global sports retail industry, with a low valuation and high dividend yield. The company is expected to experience a recovery in manufacturing business profitability and a gradual improvement in retail business performance [6][8][11]. - The company has shown a significant improvement in its operational performance in the first three quarters of 2024, with revenue and net profit growth [6][8][11]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Yuanyuan Group, established in 1988, has evolved from a sandal and slipper manufacturer to the largest sports and outdoor shoe manufacturer globally, collaborating with top brands like Nike and Adidas [65]. - The company has faced challenges due to external market fluctuations and the impact of the pandemic on retail operations, but strategic adjustments have begun to yield positive results [65][66]. Manufacturing and Retail Business - The manufacturing segment contributes over 60% of the company's revenue, with a focus on optimizing customer and order structures to enhance efficiency [71]. - The retail segment, operated through its subsidiary Baosheng International, has faced short-term pressures but is expected to recover as the domestic retail environment improves [6][8][11]. Financial Performance - The company has maintained a stable revenue growth rate of 0.4% from 2013 to 2023, although net profit has seen a compound annual decline of 4.5% during the same period [71][73]. - For the forecast period of 2024-2026, the company expects net profits of $444 million, $536 million, and $600 million, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 8, 6, and 6 times [6][11]. Market Demand and Competitive Landscape - The global demand for sports shoes is expected to grow, with a compound annual growth rate of 5.4% from 2009 to 2023, outpacing other footwear categories [92][94]. - The competitive landscape is intensifying, with major brands like Nike and Adidas maintaining significant market shares, while emerging brands are gradually increasing their presence [90][96].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 27.35 per share based on a 2024 PE valuation of 12X [5][17]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in net profit, with a 172.3% rise to USD 150 million in Q3 2024, driven by a 12.5% increase in total revenue to USD 2.06 billion [2][13]. - Manufacturing revenue grew by 23.1% year-on-year, while the gross profit margin (GPM) increased by 0.6 percentage points to 24.1% [2][14]. - The company achieved a 9M return on invested capital (ROIC) and return on assets (ROA) of 10.8% and 6.5%, respectively, marking a 7-year high [2][13]. Financial Performance - Q3 manufacturing capacity utilization reached 95%, the highest in nine quarters, with a 9M GPM at a 7-year high [3][14]. - The average selling price (ASP) for products decreased by 4.9% year-on-year to USD 20.73, but the decline in prices narrowed each quarter [4][15]. - The retail segment saw Baosheng revenue decline by 10.8% to RMB 4 billion, but the gross profit margin improved to 33.5% [5][16]. Revenue Forecast - The company expects net profits for 2024-2026 to be USD 470 million, USD 520 million, and USD 570 million, respectively, reflecting a positive growth outlook [5][17]. - The dividend payout ratio is projected to be around 70% in 2024, leading to an expected dividend yield of 10.0% based on the closing price on November 15 [5][17].