Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a current price of HKD 15.97 and a fair value of HKD 19.99 [4]. Core Insights - The company is the world's largest sports shoe manufacturer, driven by both manufacturing and retail operations, with a potential performance turnaround expected [1][9]. - The manufacturing business is expected to see revenue and profitability improvements due to various factors, including a recovery in order placements from brand clients and a favorable market environment in 2026 [9]. - The retail business is actively pursuing multi-channel and refined operations, which are anticipated to lead to a performance rebound [9]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is the largest sports shoe manufacturer globally, with a market share based on annual production [14]. - It has a significant workforce of 285,500 employees, with 265,500 in manufacturing and 20,700 in retail [14]. - The company achieved a revenue of USD 8.182 billion in FY2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.7% [2][14]. Manufacturing Business - The manufacturing segment contributed 68.7% of total revenue and 85.2% of profit in FY2024, with revenues of USD 5.621 billion, up 11.1% year-on-year [17]. - The average selling price (ASP) for shoes was USD 20.25, down 5.1% year-on-year due to a higher concentration of high-end products in previous years [17]. - The company has a diversified production base across several countries, with significant output from Indonesia, Vietnam, and China [15][17]. Retail Business - The retail segment, operated through the subsidiary BaoSheng International, generated USD 2.561 billion in FY2024, a decrease of 9.5% year-on-year [24]. - The company is optimizing its store network, reducing the number of direct-operated stores to 3,448 while improving average store size [24]. - The retail business is expected to benefit from improved discount rates and effective inventory management [9]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts earnings per share (EPS) of USD 0.23, USD 0.26, and USD 0.28 for FY2025, FY2026, and FY2027, respectively [9]. - The report estimates a fair value of HKD 19.99 per share based on a sum-of-the-parts valuation method [9]. Market Performance - The company's stock price has shown significant volatility, with a historical increase of 2044.24% since its listing in 1992, although it has faced challenges in recent years due to external market conditions [46]. - The company’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio has fluctuated between 7 and 18 times, indicating a relatively low valuation compared to historical levels [46].

Core Viewpoint - CICC reports that Yue Yuen Industrial Holdings Limited (00551) is a global leader in athletic shoe manufacturing and is expanding its retail business in Greater China, with a diversified global production base. The initial coverage gives an "outperform" rating with a target price of HKD 19.46, corresponding to a P/E of 10.5x for 2026 [1]. Industry Overview - The athletic shoe industry has significant growth potential and is becoming increasingly concentrated. According to Euromonitor, the global athletic shoe market is projected to reach USD 167.7 billion in 2024, with a mid-single-digit growth rate expected over the next five years. The top 10 brands are anticipated to hold a market share of 57% by 2025, indicating a concentrated market structure [2]. - Yue Yuen is the largest athletic shoe manufacturer globally, with an estimated shipment share exceeding 10%. Its subsidiary, Pou Chen Corporation, is a leading athletic apparel retailer in Greater China. For 2024, Yue Yuen's revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders are projected to be USD 818 million and USD 39 million, respectively, with the manufacturing segment accounting for 69% of revenue and 89% of net profit [2]. Competitive Advantages - The company has strong development capabilities for mid-to-high-end footwear, allowing it to establish deep ties with major international brands such as Nike and Adidas, as well as long-term collaborations with other renowned brands like Asics and New Balance. The top five customers are estimated to account for 80-90% of the manufacturing segment's revenue [3]. - Yue Yuen is at the forefront of global capacity expansion, with a diversified layout of production bases [3]. Business Outlook - With overseas brand inventories at manageable levels and accelerated product innovation, the manufacturing segment's performance is expected to stabilize and grow. By 2026, tariff disruptions may lessen, and major brand clients, exemplified by Nike, are focusing on product innovation. This, combined with the growth of several premium brands, is expected to lead to stable revenue growth in the manufacturing segment [4]. - The company is anticipated to improve its performance due to the resolution of previous capacity ramp-up issues and uneven capacity utilization [4]. Market Differentiation - The company is expected to restart growth by actively optimizing its customer base and structure, leveraging its development capabilities and global capacity layout to ensure performance certainty. The forecasted dividend yield for 2026 is 8.2%, providing a margin of safety. Potential catalysts include the recovery of clients and orders exceeding expectations, as well as improvements in production efficiency [5]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to have EPS of USD 0.23 and USD 0.24 for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with a CAGR of -0.4% from 2024 to 2026. The current stock price corresponds to a P/E of 8.6x for 2026. Based on a P/E of 10.5x for 2026, the target price is set at HKD 19.46, indicating a 23% upside from the current price, with an initial coverage rating of "outperform" [6].

Core Viewpoint - CICC's report highlights Yuanyuan Group (00551) as a global leader in athletic shoe manufacturing, with a strong presence in the Greater China athletic footwear and apparel retail market, and a diversified global production base. The report initiates coverage with an "outperform" rating and a target price of HKD 19.46, corresponding to a 10.5x P/E for 2026 [1]. Industry Overview - The athletic shoe industry has significant growth potential and is becoming increasingly concentrated. According to Euromonitor, the global athletic shoe market is projected to reach USD 167.7 billion in 2024, with a mid-single-digit growth rate expected over the next five years. The top 10 brands are anticipated to hold a 57% market share by 2025, indicating a concentrated market structure [2]. Company Positioning - Yuanyuan Group is the largest athletic shoe manufacturer globally, with an estimated shipment share exceeding 10%. Its subsidiary, Pou Sheng International, is a leading athletic footwear and apparel retailer in Greater China. In 2024, the company's revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders are projected to be USD 818 million and USD 39 million, respectively, with the manufacturing segment accounting for 69% of revenue and 89% of net profit [2]. Development Capabilities - The company has strong development capabilities for mid-to-high-end footwear, allowing it to establish deep partnerships with major international brands such as Nike and Adidas, as well as long-term collaborations with Asics, New Balance, Salomon, and Arc'teryx. The top five clients are expected to contribute 80-90% of manufacturing revenue [3]. Manufacturing Business Outlook - With overseas brand inventories at manageable levels and accelerated product innovation, the manufacturing business is expected to return to stable growth. The reduction of tariff disruptions by 2026 and the improvement of previously uneven capacity utilization are anticipated to enhance manufacturing performance [4]. Market Differentiation - The company is expected to benefit from actively optimizing its client base and structure, which could lead to renewed growth. The combination of development capabilities and global production layout is projected to provide earnings certainty. The forecasted dividend yield for 2026 is 8.2%, offering a margin of safety. Potential catalysts include the recovery of client orders and better-than-expected production efficiency [5]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to have EPS of USD 0.23 and USD 0.24 for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with a CAGR of -0.4% from 2024 to 2026. The current stock price corresponds to an 8.6x P/E for 2026. Based on a 10.5x P/E for 2026, the target price of HKD 19.46 indicates a 23% upside from the current level, with an "outperform" rating initiated [6].

Group 1 - The top three companies with the highest short positions are Vanke Enterprises (02202), COSCO Shipping Holdings (01919), and Heng Rui Medicine (01276), with short ratios of 18.48%, 16.79%, and 15.54% respectively [1][2] - The companies with the largest absolute increase in short positions are CATL (03750), Lens Technology (06613), and UBTECH Robotics (09880), which increased by 2.35%, 2.34%, and 1.29% respectively [1][2] - The companies with the largest absolute decrease in short positions are Changfei Optical Fiber (06869), Mao Ge Ping (01318), and Meilan Airport (00357), which decreased by -1.26%, -0.68%, and -0.67% respectively [1][2] Group 2 - The latest short ratio for Vanke Enterprises (02202) is 18.48%, down from 19.04% previously [3] - The latest short ratio for COSCO Shipping Holdings (01919) is 16.79%, down from 16.79% previously [2] - The latest short ratio for Heng Rui Medicine (01276) is 15.54%, up from 3919.30 million shares to 4011.67 million shares [2]

Group 1 - Hong Kong sportswear stocks experienced a decline in the afternoon, with Xtep International (01368.HK) falling over 5% [1] - Tmall (06110.HK) dropped more than 4.5%, while China Dongxiang (03818.HK), 361 Degrees (01361.HK), and Yue Yuen Industrial (00551.HK) all saw declines exceeding 3% [1]

Group 1: Market Overview - The textile and apparel sector in 2025 saw a cumulative increase of 12.02%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 4.08 percentage points, ranking eighteenth among thirty-one Shenwan primary industries [3][17] - The sub-sectors of textile manufacturing, apparel and home textiles, and accessories recorded cumulative increases of 9.65%, 11.31%, and 17.43% respectively [3][17] - The PE-TTM for the textile and apparel sector stands at 20.32 times, which is at the 76.86% percentile of the past five years [3][17] Group 2: Domestic Consumption - In 2025, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 45.61 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 4.0% [4][30] - The consumer confidence index improved from 86.4 at the end of 2024 to 89.4 in October 2025 [4][30] - Retail sales of textiles and apparel, cosmetics, gold and silver jewelry, and sports/entertainment products grew by 3.5%, 4.8%, 13.5%, and 16.4% respectively from January to November 2025 [4][30] Group 3: International Consumption - U.S. apparel sales showed a year-on-year increase of 5.34% as of October 2025, with inventory levels at a low since 2022 [4][34] - European retail sales indices have turned positive since 2024, maintaining steady low single-digit growth in 2025 [4][34] - Vietnam's textile and footwear exports reached 35.91 billion USD in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 6.7% [4][44] Group 4: Textile Manufacturing - The textile manufacturing sector faced revenue growth challenges in 2025, with a year-on-year revenue increase of only 4.3% and a decline in net profit by 5.6% [5][46] - The sector's performance was impacted by U.S.-China tariff pressures, leading to cautious ordering from brands [5][46] - Recommendations include focusing on leading manufacturers like Yuanyuan Group, Shenzhou International, and Huali Group, which have lower exposure to U.S. markets and strong recovery potential [5][67] Group 5: Apparel and Home Textiles - The apparel sector is experiencing a weak recovery, with a focus on consumer performance and innovation in home textiles [8][4] - Companies like Ge Li Si and Jiangnan Buyi are highlighted for their stable performance, with Ge Li Si showing a 40.2% increase in net profit in Q3 2025 [8][4] - The home textiles sector is driven by major products, with companies like Luolai Life and Mercury Home Textiles showing significant revenue growth [8][4]

Market Overview - The US CPI annual rate decline has led to a rise in US stocks, boosting risk market sentiment [1] - The Hang Seng Index opened higher and closed up 0.75%, with the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index and Hang Seng Tech Index rising by 0.68% and 1.12% respectively [1][2] Sector Performance - Major technology stocks saw collective gains, with Tencent up 1.49%, Kuaishou up 1.45%, and Meituan up 1.28% [4] - Pharmaceutical stocks were active, with WuXi AppTec and other related stocks rising [2] - Gaming stocks continued to rise, with MGM China leading with a 6.6% increase [2][5] - AI-driven demand boosted optical fiber and cable stocks, with Yangtze Optical Fiber rising 12% [2] - Automotive, wind power, education, photovoltaic, insurance, and Apple-related stocks also experienced gains [2] Notable Stock Movements - Xpeng Motors rose 7.65%, Horizon Robotics up 7.04%, and Li Auto up 3.81% [4][10] - Electronic cigarette stocks saw significant increases, with China Tobacco Hong Kong up 6.68% [5] - Chinese brokerage stocks rose, with China International Capital Corporation up over 4% [7] - Intelligent driving concept stocks surged, with Youjia Innovation up 31.22% [8] Weak Performers - Heavy machinery stocks faced declines, with China National Heavy Duty Truck Group down over 6% [13] - Gold and precious metal stocks were weak, with several companies experiencing declines of over 2% [16] - Oil stocks also fell, with China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation down 1.52% [15] Capital Flows - Southbound funds recorded a net purchase of HKD 3.371 billion, with net selling from Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect and net buying from Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect [18] Market Outlook - CITIC Securities suggests that after a strong performance in September, Hong Kong stocks are undergoing a mid-term adjustment, with quality assets entering a high-value zone [18]

Core Viewpoint - Guoao Technology (300551) announced that its former controlling shareholder and actual controller, Chen Chongjun, was sentenced to six years in prison for manipulating the securities market, along with a fine of 4 million RMB [1][2]. Company Impact - The company stated that the judgment against Chen Chongjun, who is no longer in any operational role, will not have a significant adverse impact on its production and operations, which are currently normal [2]. - Chen Chongjun was the founder of Guoao Technology and held key positions such as Chairman and General Manager until he resigned from the latter in October 2021 and was no longer a board member as of May 2023 [2]. Shareholder Changes - On December 12, 2023, Chen Chongjun transferred his voting rights for 67.69 million shares to Xu Yinghui, making Xu the new actual controller with a total voting rights percentage of 24.41% [4]. - The company plans to conduct a private placement of up to 40 million shares to Xu Yinghui at a price of 10.8 RMB per share, aiming to raise no more than 432 million RMB for working capital [4][5]. Financial Performance - Guoao Technology has reported losses for three consecutive years, with increasing loss margins. As of the end of 2024, the company recorded a total revenue of 297.8 million RMB, a 47.60% decrease year-on-year [8]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was -35.12 million RMB, reflecting a significant decline compared to previous years [9]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 109.44 million RMB, down 49.58% year-on-year, with a net profit of -164.26 million RMB [10].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Hong Kong sportswear stocks have been active recently, with Li Ning leading the gains, reflecting positive market sentiment driven by government policies aimed at boosting domestic consumption [1] - Li Ning's stock price increased by approximately 5%, with a cumulative rise of over 11% in the past four days, reaching a new high in over three months [1] - Other companies such as Anta Sports, Yue Yuen Industrial, and Xtep International also saw stock price increases of nearly 2%, 1.5%, and 1.4% respectively, indicating a broader positive trend in the sector [1] Group 2 - The Central Economic Work Conference held on December 11 emphasized the importance of domestic demand and building a strong domestic market as key tasks for economic work in 2026 [1] - Analysts believe that the consumption outlook for the apparel industry may continue to improve due to substantial policy support for end-consumer spending and expectations of rising household income [1] - The textile and apparel sector is experiencing a rebound in export performance, aided by recent improvements in US-China tariff policies, which is contributing to a recovery in the export chain's overall health [1]

Group 1: Brand Segment - High-End Leading, Mass Market Under Pressure - Luxury goods in China have shown sequential improvement in sales, driven by a low base in 2024 and the wealth effect from the capital market, leading to stable purchasing power among high-net-worth individuals [2][13] - High-end jewelry is experiencing rapid growth due to rising gold prices and the integration of traditional Chinese culture into high-end brand craftsmanship, with companies like Lao Pu and Chao Hong Ji achieving significant revenue increases [2][17] - High-end sportswear brands are meeting the demands of affluent consumers for running, outdoor activities, and casual wear, with brands like ON and Amer Sports reporting over 100% and 40% growth in the Greater China region, respectively [2][25] Group 2: Mass Market Pressure - Mass market apparel brands like Hailan and Semir are expected to see low single-digit growth, with discounting not significantly improving [3] - Traditional mass-market jewelry brands are facing revenue declines due to rising gold prices and a decrease in purchasing power among their consumer base, leading to a noticeable downward trend in income [3][61] Group 3: Manufacturing Segment - Weak Recovery Expected - The demand for apparel in the U.S. is showing steady growth, with retail inventory levels at a low point, suggesting a potential for inventory replenishment in 2026 [4][64] - Major OEM manufacturers are expected to see improved order growth and marginal profit recovery in 2026, despite cautious expansion due to previous tariff impacts [4][73] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The trend towards high-end jewelry is solidifying, with industry leaders shifting from channel expansion and product homogeneity to focusing on product differentiation and quality [5] - Recommended brands include Lao Pu for its unique gold craftsmanship, and Chow Tai Fook for its brand and channel upgrades [9] - In the sportswear sector, Li Ning is highlighted for its marketing upgrades and product innovations, with a focus on serving the Chinese Olympic Committee and launching new technologies [9][56]