Core Insights - The promotional efforts by car manufacturers during the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival have significantly decreased compared to previous years, indicating a shift in market dynamics and a reduction in "involution" competition [1][2][3] - There is a notable increase in demand for new energy vehicles (NEVs) in Cangzhou, a third-tier city, with sales of specific models like the Haobo HL showing strong performance despite the lack of cash discounts [1][3] Promotional Strategies - Car brands such as Huawei Hongmeng and Fangcheng Leopard are not offering cash discounts but instead providing limited-time benefits like vehicle upgrades and delivery gifts [2][3] - Several brands, including Li Auto and Xpeng, have announced National Day exclusive promotional policies, but actual consumer savings are minimal, often only 2000-3000 yuan compared to regular prices [2][3] Market Trends - The demand for NEVs is rising significantly, with more vehicles displaying green license plates observed in various locations [2][3] - Sales personnel are emphasizing the urgency of purchasing vehicles this year due to impending changes in tax policies and government subsidies, which could result in higher costs in the future [4][5] Policy Changes - The exemption of vehicle purchase tax for NEVs is set to continue until the end of 2027, with specific conditions for tax reductions outlined for purchases made in the coming years [5] - The process for applying for vehicle replacement subsidies has shifted to a "first come, first served" model through the Dongche Emperor app, with limited availability of qualification vouchers [6][7] Regional Developments - Various provinces, including Hebei, have adopted a "voucher" system for vehicle replacement subsidies, requiring consumers to act quickly to secure funding [6][7] - Some regions have paused their vehicle replacement subsidy policies earlier this year, but many have resumed with new funding and application processes [7]

Group 1: Industry Overview - The domestic new energy vehicle market experienced significant growth in September, with most brands achieving both year-on-year and month-on-month increases in delivery volumes [1][2][3] - The "Golden September and Silver October" period is traditionally a peak season for the automotive market, supported by government policies for vehicle scrappage and trade-in incentives [1][5] - The implementation of more targeted and precise scrappage policies is expected to positively impact market expectations [1][5] Group 2: Company Performance - Leap Motor achieved a record delivery of 66,657 vehicles in September, a 97% year-on-year increase, with a total of 395,500 vehicles delivered in the first nine months of the year [2] - Hongmeng Zhixing delivered 52,916 vehicles in September, becoming the second-largest seller, with strong performance from models like the AITO Wenjie [2] - Xiaopeng Motors delivered 41,581 vehicles in September, a 95% increase year-on-year, with plans to expand into the range-extended electric vehicle market [3] - NIO delivered 34,749 vehicles in September, a 64% year-on-year increase, with cumulative sales reaching 201,200 vehicles in the first nine months [3] - Ideal Auto reported a September delivery of 33,951 vehicles, a 36.8% year-on-year decline, but showed signs of recovery month-on-month [3] - Xiaomi Auto's delivery exceeded 40,000 vehicles in September, marking a historical high, with a backlog of orders indicating strong demand [4] Group 3: Policy Impact - As of September 10, 8.3 million applications for the vehicle trade-in program were submitted, indicating strong consumer interest [5] - The adjustment of trade-in policies reflects a shift from broad subsidies to more targeted support for specific groups, enhancing the efficiency of subsidy funds [5][6] - The retail market for narrow passenger vehicles in September is expected to reach approximately 2.15 million units, with a 6.5% month-on-month increase and a 2.0% year-on-year increase [6]

Core Insights - Huawei has appointed Yu Chengdong as the head of the Investment Review Board (IRB), a committee responsible for key strategic decisions regarding resource allocation, project initiation, and budget approval, with a focus on artificial intelligence (AI) [1] - The establishment of the IRB under Yu Chengdong signifies Huawei's commitment to prioritizing AI in its development strategy over the next decade, aiming to achieve global leadership in the AI sector [1] - Yu Chengdong's dual expertise in technology commercialization and strategic execution is expected to drive breakthroughs in AI chips, large models, and smart vehicles, positioning Huawei to compete effectively in the global tech landscape [1] Investment Strategy - The IRB will ensure that strategic resources are heavily directed towards AI, indicating a shift in Huawei's focus towards integrating AI into its core business operations [1] - Previous business groups within Huawei also had their own IRB committees, but the company-level IRB will manage broader capability investments that are not fully covered by individual business units [1] AI Infrastructure and Applications - Huawei's AI strategy encompasses the entire industry chain, from foundational infrastructure to upper-level applications [2] - The company has developed a computing power system based on Kunpeng for general computing and Ascend for intelligent computing, with plans for continuous evolution of Ascend chips [3] - Huawei's "Tian Gong Plan" has committed 1 billion yuan to support the HarmonyOS AI ecosystem, aiming to foster over 10,000 AI-native service components and 5,000+ intelligent agents, with over 20 million HarmonyOS 5 devices sold to date [3] Smart Automotive Sector - Smart vehicles represent a significant area of focus for Huawei's AI initiatives, with sales of HarmonyOS-powered vehicles reaching approximately 46,000 units in August and a cumulative total of about 296,000 units in the first eight months of the year [3] - Collaborations with various automotive manufacturers, including SAIC, Chery, and BAIC, have led to the launch of multiple vehicle brands, showcasing Huawei's commitment to integrating AI into the automotive industry [3]

Core Viewpoint - Chery Automobile has officially listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange after overcoming previous obstacles related to its complex shareholding structure, but it still faces multiple challenges that need to be addressed [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Chery's revenue is projected to grow from 92.618 billion to 269.897 billion from 2022 to 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 70.7%, while net profit is expected to rise from 5.806 billion to 14.334 billion [2] - The company's gross margin is forecasted to be 13.5% in 2024, declining to 12.4% in the first quarter of 2025 [2] - Chery's debt ratio remains high, with asset-liability ratios of 93%, 92%, and 89% from the end of 2022 to the third quarter of 2024, and reaching 87.7% in the first quarter of 2025 [2] - Prior to the IPO, Chery distributed a significant dividend of 3.993 billion, equivalent to 27.8% of its 2024 net profit, which may impact its financial flexibility [2] Group 2: Product and Market Position - Fuel vehicles continue to be Chery's primary revenue source, accounting for 69.7% of passenger vehicle revenue in the first quarter of 2025 [3] - In the first eight months of 2025, Chery's new energy vehicle sales reached 496,000 units, representing approximately 28.7% of total sales, which is still below the industry average retail penetration rate [3] - The high-end brand, Exeed, has seen disappointing results, with sales of 7,659 units in August 2023, down 32.45% year-on-year, and a cumulative decline of 3.84% in the first eight months [3] - Chery's new energy brands show uneven development, with iCAR selling 6,947 units in the first quarter of 2025, while the higher-priced ZhiJie sold only 4,461 units [3] Group 3: International Market and R&D - Chery's overseas market is heavily reliant on Russia, which accounted for 54% of its overseas revenue in 2023, posing significant risks due to potential tariff increases [4] - In the first quarter of 2025, Chery's revenue from the Russian market dropped to 27.8%, while growth in Europe, the Middle East, Latin America, and Southeast Asia is accelerating [4] - Despite a research and development expenditure exceeding 10.5 billion in 2024, Chery's R&D expense ratio is low at 3.3% in the first quarter of 2025 compared to industry leaders [4] - Chery's advanced driver-assistance systems are primarily at the L2+ level, while leading domestic competitors are advancing to L3 [4] - The funds raised from the IPO are intended for expanding the passenger vehicle product lineup, developing next-generation vehicles and advanced technologies, implementing global strategies, upgrading the Wuhu production base, and supplementing working capital [4]

Core Viewpoint - Chery Automobile has officially entered the capital market, experiencing a significant opening day surge but facing challenges in market valuation despite strong revenue growth [1][2] Group 1: Company Performance - Chery's revenue is projected to grow from 92.618 billion to 269.897 billion, with a compound annual growth rate of 70.7% from 2022 to 2024 [1] - Despite its high revenue, Chery's market capitalization is comparable to newer competitors like NIO, Li Auto, and Xpeng, indicating a disparity between revenue and market valuation [1][2] - Chery's IPO journey has been lengthy, spanning 21 years with seven applications and six failures, marking it as one of the longest IPO processes in China's automotive history [1][2] Group 2: Industry Context - Traditional automakers like BYD and Geely have successfully entered the capital market and leveraged capital for growth, while Chery has missed several opportunities [2] - The shift in the automotive market from fuel vehicles to new energy vehicles has created a challenging environment for Chery, which must now navigate intense competition in the new energy sector [2] Group 3: Strategic Challenges - Chery's early entry into the new energy vehicle market has not translated into significant market presence, with a low penetration rate compared to industry leaders [5][6] - The company faces high debt levels, with an asset-liability ratio exceeding 85%, raising concerns about its financial stability and ability to invest in new energy initiatives [7][8] - Chery's reliance on fuel vehicles for revenue hampers its ability to invest in new energy development, with R&D expenditure rates lower than many leading competitors [8][9] Group 4: Market Dynamics - The competitive landscape is intensifying, with price wars affecting profitability; Chery has responded with aggressive pricing strategies to maintain market share [10][11] - The company has launched a "100 billion factory subsidy" plan to reduce prices across multiple models, indicating a struggle to establish a strong market presence with flagship products [11][12] - Chery's transition to a public company will subject it to greater scrutiny from investors, necessitating a balance between growth and profitability in a rapidly changing market [10][12]

21年上市路，奇瑞终于圆梦。 9月25日，奇瑞汽车股份有限公司（以下简称奇瑞，HK09973，股价31.920港元，市值1841亿港元）正 式登陆港交所。截至当日收盘，奇瑞股价上涨3.80%。 此次上市，奇瑞汽车以30.75港元/股的招股价上限定价，募资规模达到91.4亿港元，成为年内港股市场 规模最大的车企IPO（首次公开募股）。 据弗若斯特沙利文数据，全球新能源汽车渗透率将由2024年的23.0%提升至2030年的47.0%。同时，在 科技创新推动下，乘用车行业正加速向智能化转型。预计至2030年，随着辅助驾驶技术持续进步和市场 接受度提升，全球及中国辅助驾驶车辆的渗透率将显著增长。 为了在后续竞争中站稳脚跟，奇瑞近两年正在补齐新能源和智能化的短板，而这两大领域需要大量资 金。 "过去燃油车时代，技术更新很慢，车型升级换代主要是把外形改变一下，但现在汽车研发方向是电动 化、智能化，这些领域功能的研发费用非常高，且迭代速度快，车企无法按照传统模式组织研发，需要 大量资金。奇瑞要想持久发展的话，上市融资也是必然的。"北方工业大学汽车产业创新研究中心研究 员张翔认为。 在本次IPO中，奇瑞发行约2.97亿股H股 ...

Core Insights - The automotive industry is experiencing a significant divergence in performance among companies, with some achieving growth in both revenue and net profit, while others face declines or stagnant profits [1][4] Revenue and Profit Performance - In the first half of 2025, the automotive industry generated revenue of 50,917 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8%, while costs rose to 44,780 billion yuan, up 9% [4] - BYD leads the industry with revenue of 371.281 billion yuan, a 23.3% increase, and a net profit of 15.511 billion yuan, up 13.79% [3][4] - Traditional automakers like Geely, Great Wall, and SAIC Motor reported revenue growth but experienced declines in net profit, with declines around 10% [1][4][5] Company-Specific Insights - Geely's revenue grew by 27% to 150.285 billion yuan, but net profit fell by 13.9% to 9.29 billion yuan due to a previous asset sale [4][5] - Great Wall's revenue increased by 0.99% to 92.335 billion yuan, but net profit decreased by 10.21% to 6.337 billion yuan [5] - Changan Automobile reported a revenue decline of 5.25% to 72.691 billion yuan and a net profit drop of 19.09% to 2.291 billion yuan [6] New Energy Vehicle Collaborations - The collaboration with Huawei under the "Five Realms" initiative shows mixed results, with Seres (赛力斯) achieving significant profit growth, while others like BAIC Blue Valley and Jianghuai faced losses despite revenue increases [8][9] - Seres reported revenue of 62.402 billion yuan, down 4.06%, but net profit surged by 81.03% to 2.941 billion yuan, driven by high-end model sales [8] Emerging Players - Among the new energy vehicle startups, Li Auto continues to lead with revenue of 56.17 billion yuan, while NIO and Xpeng struggle with profitability [13][14] - Li Auto has maintained profitability for 11 consecutive quarters, with a net profit of 1.743 billion yuan, while Zero Run achieved its first half-year profit of 0.033 billion yuan [13][14] Market Trends and Future Outlook - The overall market is seeing a shift towards high-end electric vehicles, with companies like Chery and SAIC focusing on strategic partnerships with Huawei to enhance their product offerings [10][11] - The industry is expected to continue evolving, with companies adjusting their strategies to meet changing consumer demands and competitive pressures [1][4]

Core Viewpoint - Chery Automobile has successfully completed its IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, raising HKD 9.14 billion, marking the largest IPO for a car company in the Hong Kong market this year [1][5]. Company Overview - Chery issued approximately 297 million H-shares, with 10% allocated for public sale in Hong Kong and 90% for international sale, including a 15% over-allotment option [5]. - The company plans to allocate 35% of the net proceeds for research and development of various passenger car models, 25% for next-generation vehicles and advanced technology, 20% for expanding overseas markets, and 10% each for enhancing production facilities and general corporate purposes [5]. Financial Performance - Chery's projected global sales for 2024 are over 2.295 million units, representing a year-on-year growth of 49.4% [6]. - The average selling price of Chery's passenger cars is expected to increase by 33.5% in 2024 compared to 2022, with domestic and international price growth rates of 37.0% and 19.4%, respectively [6]. - Chery's revenue and net profit have shown consistent growth, with revenues of CNY 926.18 billion, CNY 1,632.05 billion, CNY 2,698.97 billion, and CNY 682.23 billion for the years 2022, 2023, 2024, and Q1 2025, respectively [6]. Market Position and Strategy - Chery is focusing on enhancing its capabilities in the fields of new energy and intelligent vehicles, which require significant funding for development [8]. - The revenue share from Chery's new energy vehicles is gradually increasing, with projections showing a rise from 4.9% in 2023 to 21.9% in 2024 [8]. - The company has undergone structural adjustments, including the introduction of a new organizational framework to better align with strategic goals [11]. Investment and Partnerships - Chery has attracted 13 cornerstone investors, raising approximately USD 587 million (around HKD 4.573 billion), which includes various types of investment entities [10]. - The partnership with Huawei aims to invest over CNY 10 billion to establish a dedicated R&D team, enhancing Chery's technological capabilities [13]. Historical Context - Chery's journey to IPO has spanned 21 years, with various attempts and strategic shifts, including a significant restructuring in 2019 to facilitate its public offering [14][16]. - The current market conditions for electric vehicles are favorable, providing a timely opportunity for Chery to secure funding and enhance its market position [16].

Core Viewpoint - Chery Automobile has shown strong performance in the dark market trading, with a price increase of 9.14% compared to the offering price, indicating robust investor interest ahead of its listing [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Chery plans to issue nearly 300 million H-shares, aiming to raise up to HKD 9.14 billion, with a public offering accounting for 10% of the total shares [1] - From 2022 to 2024, Chery's total revenue is projected to grow from RMB 92.6 billion to RMB 269.9 billion, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 70.7% [1] - Net profit is expected to increase from RMB 5.8 billion to RMB 14.3 billion during the same period, with a CAGR of 57.1% [1] - In 2024, Chery's total vehicle sales are forecasted to reach 2.295 million units, representing a year-on-year growth of 49.4% [1] Group 2: Market Position and Strategy - Chery has established a brand matrix consisting of five brands: Chery, Jetour, Exeed, iCAR, and Zhijie, covering both mass-market and luxury segments [1] - The company is the only one among the top twenty global passenger car manufacturers to achieve high growth across all dimensions, including new energy vehicles, fuel vehicles, and both domestic and overseas markets [1] - As of March 31, 2025, Chery has a global network of 2,958 dealerships across Asia (excluding China), Europe, Africa, Oceania, and the Americas [2] - Chery's vehicles are sold in over 100 countries and regions, with cumulative global sales exceeding 13 million units [2] - In key overseas markets such as Europe, South America, and the Middle East and North Africa, Chery ranks first among Chinese independent brand passenger car companies in terms of sales [2] Group 3: Future Growth Potential - The increasing penetration of global electric vehicles and the continuous rollout of new technologies and models are expected to provide strong growth momentum for Chery [2] - The advancement of localized production in Europe will further enhance growth opportunities [2] - Chery aims to deepen its "Technology Chery" strategy, increase R&D investment, and enhance its global layout to become a trusted leader in intelligent mobility ecosystems [2]

Group 1 - Chery Automobile's dark market trading opened strongly, with a price of HKD 33.56, up 9.14% from the IPO price of HKD 30.75, allowing a profit of HKD 281 per lot of 100 shares [1] - The company plans to issue nearly 300 million H-shares, with a maximum fundraising target of HKD 9.14 billion, and the subscription was oversubscribed by over 238 times, with a total subscription amount close to HKD 220 billion [1] - Chery has maintained rapid growth, with total revenue projected to increase from RMB 92.6 billion in 2022 to RMB 269.9 billion in 2024, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 70.7%, and net profit expected to rise from RMB 5.8 billion to RMB 14.3 billion, with a CAGR of 57.1% [1] Group 2 - Chery has established a comprehensive global network with 2,958 overseas dealerships across various continents, and its vehicles are sold in over 100 countries, achieving cumulative global sales of over 13 million units [2] - The company ranks first among Chinese brands in key overseas markets such as Europe, South America, and the Middle East and North Africa for passenger vehicle sales [2] - Chery's future growth is supported by the increasing penetration of global electric vehicles and the advancement of local production in Europe, with a focus on the "Technology Chery" strategy and increased R&D investment [2]