Market Overview - On January 8, the Hang Seng Index fell by 1.17%, closing at 26,149.31 points, with a total net sell of HKD 4.901 billion through the southbound trading channel [1][3] - The total trading volume for the southbound trading was HKD 117.906 billion, with a net sell of HKD 4.901 billion [1] Trading Activity - In the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect, the trading volume was HKD 70.891 billion, with a net sell of HKD 3.968 billion; in the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect, the trading volume was HKD 47.015 billion, with a net sell of HKD 0.933 billion [1] - The most actively traded stock in the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect was Alibaba-W, with a trading volume of HKD 57.22 billion, followed by the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong and SMIC, with trading volumes of HKD 48.64 billion and HKD 33.52 billion, respectively [1] Net Buy/Sell Analysis - Tencent Holdings had the highest net buy amount of HKD 0.585 billion, despite a closing price drop of 1.36% [1] - The Tracker Fund of Hong Kong recorded the highest net sell amount of HKD 4.631 billion, closing down by 1.28% [1] - In the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect, Alibaba-W also led in trading volume with HKD 37.64 billion, while Xiaomi Group-W had the highest net buy of HKD 0.494 billion, closing down by 0.37% [2]

Market Overview - On January 8, the Hang Seng Index fell by 1.17%, with southbound capital totaling HKD 117.906 billion, comprising HKD 56.503 billion in buying and HKD 61.403 billion in selling, resulting in a net sell of HKD 4.901 billion [1] Southbound Trading Activity - The southbound trading through Stock Connect (Shenzhen) had a total turnover of HKD 47.015 billion, with buying at HKD 23.041 billion and selling at HKD 23.974 billion, leading to a net sell of HKD 0.933 billion [1] - The southbound trading through Stock Connect (Shanghai) recorded a total turnover of HKD 70.891 billion, with buying at HKD 33.461 billion and selling at HKD 37.429 billion, resulting in a net sell of HKD 3.968 billion [1] Active Stocks - Alibaba-W had the highest trading volume among southbound stocks, with a total turnover of HKD 94.86 billion, followed by the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong and SMIC, with turnovers of HKD 65.30 billion and HKD 55.70 billion respectively [1] - The top net buying stocks included Xiaomi Group-W with a net buy of HKD 10.72 billion, Tencent Holdings with HKD 8.64 billion, and SMIC with HKD 5.63 billion [1] - The stock with the highest net sell was the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong, with a net sell of HKD 62.84 billion, followed by Hang Seng China Enterprises and Southern Hang Seng Technology with net sells of HKD 28.78 billion and HKD 12.88 billion respectively [1] Continuous Net Buying and Selling - Xiaomi Group-W, Tencent Holdings, and SMIC were among the eight stocks that appeared on both the Shenzhen and Shanghai Stock Connect active lists, with Xiaomi Group-W having a total turnover of HKD 41.07 billion and a net buy of HKD 10.72 billion, while Tencent Holdings had a turnover of HKD 45.90 billion and a net buy of HKD 8.64 billion [2] - Over a continuous period, Xiaomi Group-W, Alibaba-W, and Goldwind Technology saw net buying for more than three days, with Xiaomi Group-W leading with a total net buy of HKD 46.84 billion [2] - Conversely, China Mobile and Hua Hong Semiconductor experienced continuous net selling, with net sells of HKD 31.39 billion and HKD 6.88 billion respectively [2]

Core Viewpoint - A significant block trade occurred for Huahong Company on January 8, with a transaction volume of 70,000 shares and a transaction value of 7.1085 million yuan, reflecting a discount of 19.60% compared to the closing price of the day [2] Group 1: Block Trade Details - The block trade price was 101.55 yuan, which is lower than the closing price of 126.30 yuan [2] - The buyer was Ping An Securities Co., Ltd. Shanghai Branch, and the seller was Ping An Securities Co., Ltd. Shanghai Minhang District Minhong Road Securities Branch [2] - In the last three months, Huahong Company has recorded a total of 2 block trades, with a cumulative transaction value of 9.7346 million yuan [2] Group 2: Stock Performance - On the day of the block trade, Huahong Company's stock closed at 126.30 yuan, up 0.74%, with a turnover rate of 6.42% and a total transaction amount of 3.369 billion yuan [2] - The net outflow of main funds for the day was 6.4139 million yuan, while the stock has increased by 14.92% over the past five days, with a total net inflow of funds amounting to 537 million yuan [2] Group 3: Margin Financing Data - The latest margin financing balance for Huahong Company is 2.475 billion yuan, which has increased by 531 million yuan over the past five days, representing a growth rate of 27.29% [2]

Group 1 - The semiconductor industry is expected to experience significant growth, with the domestic semiconductor index outperforming the CSI 300 index, showing a cumulative increase of 54.51% as of October 28, 2025, driven by factors such as national subsidies, AI computing demand, and domestic substitution [16][21]. - The AI chip market in China is projected to grow from 142.54 billion yuan in 2024 to 1,336.79 billion yuan by 2029, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 53.7% from 2025 to 2029, indicating a critical development opportunity for domestic AI chip manufacturers [42][44]. - The global GPU market is expected to grow from $77.39 billion in 2024 to $472.45 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 35.19%, reflecting strong demand for AI computing [37][40]. Group 2 - The domestic AI chip industry is categorized into three stages: the first stage focuses on the self-sufficiency of computing, storage, and power chips; the second stage emphasizes the self-sufficiency of chip manufacturing processes; and the third stage targets the self-sufficiency of foundational hard technologies such as equipment materials and EDA [5][6]. - The demand for AI computing chips is driven by the rapid growth of generative AI applications, with NVIDIA's data center revenue increasing by 69% year-on-year to $44.1 billion in the first quarter of fiscal 2026, highlighting the accelerating demand for AI computing power [37][44]. - The semiconductor equipment sector is experiencing a significant increase in domestic production capacity, with the domestic semiconductor equipment localization rate expected to rise rapidly, particularly in dry etching and thin film deposition processes [6][15]. Group 3 - The report indicates that the advanced packaging technology, such as CoWoS, is expected to play a crucial role in the evolution of AI computing power, with domestic companies making significant advancements in this area [7][11]. - The semiconductor industry is witnessing a recovery in profitability, with the average gross margin and net profit margin for the semiconductor sector showing improvements in the first half of 2025 [36][34]. - The report highlights the importance of advanced wafer manufacturing as the physical foundation for AI chips, with a long-term demand for advanced foundry services expected to drive growth in this segment [7][11].

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights significant movements in the semiconductor industry, particularly acquisitions and investments by major players like SMIC, Huahong Semiconductor, and Jinghe Integrated [1][2][3] - SMIC announced plans to acquire 49% of the shares of its subsidiary, SMIC North, for 40.6 billion yuan, aiming to fully own the company and consolidate its operations [1][4][5] - Huahong Semiconductor plans to acquire 97.4988% of Huahong Micro for 8.268 billion yuan, enhancing its control over the company and addressing competition within its group [2][6][7] - Jinghe Integrated has initiated a new project with a total investment of 35.5 billion yuan, focusing on expanding its production capacity and technological capabilities in the semiconductor sector [2][8] Group 2 - SMIC North, established in 2013, has become a key production base for SMIC, with a monthly capacity of 70,000 wafers and advanced technology covering 40nm and 28nm processes [4][5] - The financial performance of SMIC North is strong, with projected revenues of 11.575 billion yuan and 12.98 billion yuan for 2023 and 2024, respectively, indicating significant profit contributions to SMIC [5] - Huahong Micro's core asset is a fully automated 12-inch wafer production line with a monthly capacity of 38,000 wafers, which will enhance Huahong Semiconductor's market position post-acquisition [7] - Jinghe Integrated's new project will add a 55,000 wafers/month production line, focusing on 40nm and 28nm processes, catering to various applications including AI and smart devices [8][9] Group 3 - The global wafer foundry market is expected to grow, with projections indicating an 18.3% increase in the semiconductor market size by 2026, reaching $880 billion [10] - The demand for mature process nodes (22-28nm) is anticipated to shift, with China's share in the global market expected to rise significantly by 2030 [10] - Major foundries, including SMIC and Huahong Semiconductor, are operating at high capacity utilization rates, indicating strong demand and potential for revenue growth [11][12] - Recent trends show a price increase in wafer foundry services, with SMIC and other companies raising prices by approximately 10% for certain processes, reflecting the industry's tightening supply and demand dynamics [12]

Core Insights - On January 8, 2026, Alibaba-W (09988), the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (02800), and SMIC (00981) were the top three stocks by trading volume in the Southbound Stock Connect, with trading amounts of 57.22 billion, 48.64 billion, and 33.52 billion respectively [1] - In the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect, Alibaba-W (09988), Tencent Holdings (00700), and SMIC (00981) also ranked as the top three stocks, with trading amounts of 37.64 billion, 23.27 billion, and 22.18 billion respectively [1] Southbound Stock Connect Trading Activity - **Top Active Companies in Southbound Stock Connect**: - Alibaba-W (09988): Trading amount of 57.22 billion, net inflow of +3.11 billion [2] - Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (02800): Trading amount of 48.64 billion, net outflow of -46.31 billion [2] - SMIC (00981): Trading amount of 33.52 billion, net inflow of +3.40 billion [2] - Xiaomi Group-W (01810): Trading amount of 23.97 billion, net inflow of +5.78 billion [2] - Tencent Holdings (00700): Trading amount of 22.63 billion, net inflow of +5.85 billion [2] Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect Trading Activity - **Top Active Companies in Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect**: - Alibaba-W (09988): Trading amount of 37.64 billion, net inflow of +398.60 million [2] - Tencent Holdings (00700): Trading amount of 23.27 billion, net inflow of +2.79 billion [2] - SMIC (00981): Trading amount of 22.18 billion, net inflow of +2.24 billion [2] - Meituan-W (03690): Trading amount of 19.69 billion, net outflow of -3.20 billion [2] - Xiaomi Group-W (01810): Trading amount of 17.10 billion, net inflow of +4.94 billion [2]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a net sell-off of 49.01 billion HKD from northbound capital on January 8, with the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect contributing a net sell of 39.68 billion HKD and the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect a net sell of 9.33 billion HKD [1] - The stocks with the highest net buy from northbound capital included Xiaomi Group-W (01810), Tencent (00700), and SMIC (00981) [1] - The stocks with the highest net sell included the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (02800), Hang Seng China Enterprises (02828), and Southern Hang Seng Technology (03033) [1] Group 2 - Alibaba-W (09988) saw a net buy of 3.5 billion HKD, while China Mobile (00941) faced a net sell of 7.32 billion HKD [7] - Xiaomi Group-W (01810) received a net buy of 10.71 billion HKD, driven by expected revenue growth from its electric vehicle business and steady growth in its IoT segment [4] - Tencent (00700) had a net buy of 8.63 billion HKD, with optimistic outlooks from analysts regarding its role in the AI technology sector [5] Group 3 - The Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (02800) experienced a significant net sell of 46.31 billion HKD, indicating a strong outflow of capital [2] - SMIC (00981) had a net buy of 5.63 billion HKD, while Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347) faced a net sell of 4.13 billion HKD, reflecting a divergence in the semiconductor sector [5] - Goldwind Technology (02208) received a net buy of 1.3 billion HKD, with potential positive catalysts from its stake in Blue Arrow Aerospace [5]

1月8日，华虹公司大宗交易成交7万股，成交额710.85万元，占当日总成交额的0.21%，成交价101.55元，较市场收盘价126.3元折价19.6%。 | 交易日期 | 证券简称 | 证券代码 | 成交价(元) 成交金额(万元) 成交量( * ) 买入营业部 | | 卖出营业部 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | 平安证券股公有限 公司上海分公司 | | | 2026-01-08 | 华虹公司 | 688347 | 101.55 710.85 | | 平安证券股份有限 公司上海闵行区閔 | ...

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that Huahong Semiconductor's management expects robust demand across its technology platforms, which will support high capacity utilization and enhance product mix and average pricing [1] Group 1: Capacity and Production - Management plans to optimize the product mix and increase pricing, alongside ongoing cost control measures, maintaining a positive outlook on future profitability [1] - Fab 9B is expected to gradually increase its monthly capacity to 83,000 wafers by 2027, with expansions in 28/22nm capacity planned between 2027 and 2029 [1] Group 2: Supply Chain and Profitability - The company aims to increase the proportion of locally sourced equipment and materials, which is expected to have a positive impact on profit margins [1] Group 3: Investment Rating - Based on high capacity utilization, ongoing capacity expansion, and the transition to 28/22nm technology nodes, Goldman Sachs maintains a "Buy" rating for Huahong with a target price of HKD 117, reflecting a forecasted 2028 P/E ratio of 68.8 times, above the historical average of 22 times [1]

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs maintains a "Buy" rating on Huahong Semiconductor (01347) with a target price of HKD 117, reflecting a forecasted 2028 price-to-earnings ratio of 68.8 times, which is above the historical average of 22 times, indicating a positive outlook on the company's sustainable scale expansion and technological innovation [1] Group 1: Company Performance and Outlook - The company is expected to maintain high capacity utilization rates due to robust demand across its technology platforms, which will support product mix optimization and average price increases [1] - Management is focused on optimizing the product mix and enhancing pricing strategies, alongside ongoing cost control measures, leading to a positive outlook on future profitability [1] Group 2: Capacity Expansion Plans - Fab9B is projected to gradually increase its monthly production capacity to 83,000 wafers by 2027, with further expansion of 28/22nm capacity planned between 2027 and 2029 [1] - The company aims to increase the proportion of domestic supply chain equipment and materials used, which is expected to have a positive impact on profit margins [1]