Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities predicts that 2026 will be a "Red Horse Year" for the Chinese base metals market, driven by favorable conditions for electrification and AI power infrastructure in 2023 due to factors such as a weak dollar and the US interest rate cut cycle [1] Group 1: Market Drivers - The supply of copper and aluminum remains tight [1] - Demand drivers for this year include a 10% year-on-year increase in grid investment, a 27% growth in electric vehicle battery production, a 41% increase in energy storage systems, and rising AI power demand [1] - The anti-involution policy is becoming more balanced, although recent enforcement has been weak [1] Group 2: Stock Recommendations - Preferred stocks include aluminum companies as alternative investments for AI power supply, with a forecasted price-to-earnings ratio between 8 to 10 times [1] - Positive outlook on gold, copper, lithium (including battery materials), and cobalt stocks; neutral view on coal; bearish on solar energy and construction materials (like steel) due to weak demand and declining steel profit margins [1] Group 3: Specific Stock Picks - Key stock picks include China Aluminum (601600) (02600), Zijin Mining (601899) (02899), China Hongqiao (01378), Shandong Gold (600547) (01787), and Ganfeng Lithium (002460) (01772) [1] - Underperforming stocks identified include Tongwei Co. (600438) (600438.SH), Xinyi Solar (00968), Ansteel (000898) (00347), and China Resources Cement (01313) [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that 2026 is identified as the "Year of the Red Horse," which is favorable for the Chinese base metals market due to several key factors, including a weak US dollar and a US interest rate cut cycle benefiting metals [1] - Key demand drivers for this year include a 10% year-on-year increase in grid investment, a 27% growth in electric vehicle battery demand, a 41% increase in energy storage systems, and rising AI power demand [1] - Supply constraints for copper and aluminum are expected to continue, contributing to the overall market dynamics [1] Group 2 - The preferred investment stocks include aluminum companies, with a forecasted price-to-earnings ratio between 8 to 10 times, and a "buy" outlook on gold, copper, lithium (including battery materials), and cobalt stocks [1] - The company holds a neutral view on coal and a bearish outlook on solar energy and construction materials (such as steel) due to weak demand and declining steel profit margins [1] - Key stocks that are expected to underperform the market include Tongwei Co., Ltd. (600438.SH), Xinyi Solar (00968), Ansteel Group (00347), and China Resources Cement Technology (01313) [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates a decline in the stock prices of major lithium mining companies in Hong Kong, specifically Ganfeng Lithium and Tianqi Lithium [1] Group 2 - Ganfeng Lithium (01772.HK) has seen a decrease of 4.19%, currently trading at 64 HKD [1] - Tianqi Lithium (09696.HK) has experienced a drop of 3.5%, with its stock price at 55.1 HKD [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a decline in lithium mining stocks, specifically Ganfeng Lithium and Tianqi Lithium, due to a drop in lithium carbonate prices [1] - As of January 16, lithium carbonate prices hit a limit down, falling below 150,000 yuan, influenced by recent regulatory measures from the futures market and the fact that prices are at a two-year high [1] - Huatai Futures notes a significant divergence in market sentiment, with strong demand from downstream energy storage but poor transmission of lithium carbonate prices to the battery cell sector, indicating potential for continued price volatility and risk of further declines [1] Group 2 - Ganfeng Lithium's stock decreased by 4.19%, trading at 64 HKD, while Tianqi Lithium's stock fell by 3.5%, trading at 55.1 HKD [1] - The current market situation shows a certain level of destocking in the energy storage sector, but the overall consumption in downstream markets will be crucial for the transmission of value within the lithium carbonate supply chain [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights significant investments in the energy sector, particularly by the State Grid Corporation, which is expected to reach a historical high of 4 trillion yuan during the 14th Five-Year Plan, representing a 40% increase compared to the previous plan [1] - The investment focus will be on promoting green and low-carbon energy transition, constructing a new power system, and deepening technological innovation [1] - The expected fixed asset investments for the State Grid and Southern Grid during the 14th Five-Year Plan are approximately 4 trillion yuan and 1 trillion yuan, respectively, with a projected annual grid investment of 889 billion yuan in 2026, reflecting a year-on-year growth of over 7% [1] Group 2 - The meeting of the inter-ministerial joint conference on energy-saving and new energy vehicles noted that the market size of China's new energy vehicles increased by 3.6 times during the 14th Five-Year Plan, with battery costs reduced by 30%, lifespan increased by 40%, and charging speeds improved by over three times [2] - There is a pressing need to establish a power capacity market mechanism to ensure the recovery of installation costs for various power generation entities in the context of high renewable energy penetration [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI New Energy Index, which the New Energy ETF closely tracks, account for 43.23% of the index, including major companies like CATL, Sungrow Power, and Longi Green Energy [2]

Group 1 - Ganfeng Lithium's stock price decreased by 2.03% on January 16, trading at 70.54 CNY per share with a total transaction volume of 2.009 billion CNY and a market capitalization of 147.901 billion CNY [1] - The company has seen a year-to-date stock price increase of 12.16%, with a 7.88% rise over the last five trading days, 11.99% over the last 20 days, and 16.06% over the last 60 days [2] - Ganfeng Lithium's main business revenue composition includes lithium series products (56.78%), lithium battery series products (35.52%), and others (7.70%) [2] Group 2 - As of September 30, Ganfeng Lithium reported a total revenue of 14.625 billion CNY for the first nine months of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.02%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 25.52 million CNY, up 103.99% year-on-year [2] - The company has distributed a total of 6.162 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 3.933 billion CNY distributed over the last three years [3] - As of September 30, 2025, the number of Ganfeng Lithium shareholders increased to 372,500, a rise of 31.18%, while the average circulating shares per person decreased by 23.77% to 3,243 shares [2]

Group 1 - Donut Lab, a Finnish startup, has unveiled the world's first mass-producible all-solid-state battery with impressive specifications: 400Wh/kg energy density, operational temperature range of -30℃ to 100℃, 5-minute full charge, and a lifespan of 100,000 cycles [3][25] - The company plans to deliver electric motorcycles equipped with this battery in the first quarter of 2026, potentially making it the first player to mass-produce all-solid-state batteries for vehicles [3][25] Group 2 - The current focus in the industry remains on sulfide solid-state batteries, which are seen as the most viable path to commercialization, with lithium sulfide (Li₂S) being a critical precursor material [5][27] - The supply chain for sulfide solid-state batteries is clear: sulfide solid-state batteries → sulfide solid electrolytes → key precursor materials (Li₂S), indicating a single path dependency [6][27] Group 3 - The cost structure of sulfide solid electrolytes shows that lithium sulfide typically accounts for 70%-80% of the cost, making it a key variable in determining the overall cost of the electrolyte [8][28] - The demand for lithium sulfide is highly concentrated in the sulfide solid electrolyte sector, with limited applications in other areas, indicating a strong dependency between lithium sulfide and sulfide solid electrolytes [8][30] Group 4 - The potential downstream applications for sulfide solid-state batteries include power batteries, electrochemical energy storage, consumer electronics, and emerging fields like embodied intelligence and low-altitude economy [9][31] - In 2024, global lithium-ion battery shipments are expected to reach 1,545.1GWh, with power batteries accounting for 1,051.2GWh (68% of total shipments) [9][31] Group 5 - By 2030, the demand for power batteries is projected to exceed 3,000GWh, with estimates ranging from 3,300GWh to 3,910GWh, indicating a compound annual growth rate of approximately 22% [11][33] - The penetration rate of solid-state batteries in high-value vehicle segments is estimated to be around 6% by 2030, translating to a need for approximately 200GWh of solid-state batteries for electric vehicles [16][38] Group 6 - Current global production capacity for lithium sulfide is limited, with most projects in the pilot or small-scale production phase, indicating a significant gap between supply and the anticipated demand of tens of thousands of tons [19][41] - The effective supply of lithium sulfide is extremely scarce, with most production lines operating at low capacity, highlighting a constrained supply situation that could change rapidly if solid-state batteries gain traction [21][43] Group 7 - The expansion of lithium sulfide production capacity is expected to be slow and steady, requiring time to optimize production environments, purity, and safety management [44] - The solid-state battery market holds significant potential, and the story of lithium sulfide may evolve into a compelling narrative over the next decade [22][44]

Core Viewpoint - As of January 15, a total of 105 stocks reached their 52-week highs, with notable performers including 德莱建业 (01546), 东曜药业－Ｂ (01875), and 大森控股 (01580) achieving high rates of 78.00%, 51.36%, and 37.61% respectively [1]. Summary by Category 52-Week Highs - 德莱建业 (01546) closed at 0.355, with a peak of 0.445, marking a high rate of 78.00% [1]. - 东曜药业－Ｂ (01875) closed at 4.190, reaching a high of 4.450, with a high rate of 51.36% [1]. - 大森控股 (01580) closed at 0.275, with a peak of 0.300, achieving a high rate of 37.61% [1]. - 顺兴集团控股 (01637) and 怡园酒业 (08146) also showed significant increases, with high rates of 36.36% and 24.74% respectively [1]. Additional Notable Stocks - JBB BUILDERS (01903) reached a high rate of 24.12% with a closing price of 2.830 [1]. - 天臣控股 (01201) and 江苏创新 (02116) had high rates of 15.38% and 15.00% respectively [1]. - 万国黄金集团 (03939) and 竣球控股 (01481) also performed well, with high rates of 12.95% and 12.44% respectively [1]. 52-Week Lows - The report also noted stocks reaching 52-week lows, with 天彩控股 (03882) showing a low rate of -14.42% [3]. - 中国智慧能源 (01004) and 基石控股 (01592) followed with low rates of -13.64% and -12.86% respectively [3]. - 弘毅文化集团－旧 (02990) and 中原建业 (09982) also reported significant declines of -9.09% and -6.06% respectively [3].

Industry Outlook - Morgan Stanley projects that the MSCI China Materials Index will outperform the MSCI China Index by 65 percentage points in 2025, driven by supply dynamics [1] - The firm expects continued outperformance in 2026 due to supply disruptions and further M&A activities [1] - The demand growth for basic metals in China is anticipated to slow and stabilize, with copper and aluminum demand growth rates expected to be 2.5% and 1.5% respectively [2] Company Ratings and Forecasts - China Hongqiao's rating is maintained at "Overweight," with the target price raised from HKD 34 to HKD 40, citing its integrated model as a cost advantage [1][3] - Zijin Mining is highlighted as a top pick for 2026 due to its exposure to copper and gold [3] - Jiangxi Copper's rating is upgraded to "Neutral," despite a recent stock price increase of over 40% [3] - Baosteel's rating is downgraded to "Neutral," while Angang Steel's rating is downgraded to "Underweight" due to expected declines in steel profit margins [3] Supply Chain Dynamics - Supply disruptions are ongoing, with South32 scheduled maintenance at the Mozal aluminum smelter in March 2026 and a strike at Capstone Copper's Mantoverde copper-gold mine expected to reduce copper supply by 77,000 tons [1][2] - Zijin Mining has issued a positive profit forecast, expecting a net profit of RMB 51-52 billion for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 59-62% [1] M&A Activities - Industry consolidation is advancing, with notable acquisitions such as Luoyang Molybdenum's purchase of Brazilian gold assets and Jiangxi Copper's acquisition of SolGold [1]

Core Viewpoint - The solid-state battery sector is experiencing significant growth, driven by favorable policies and technological advancements, positioning it as a key focus area in the market. Group 1: Market Performance - The battery and solid-state battery sectors are leading the market, with notable stock performances from companies like Xianhui Technology, which rose by 11.59%, and Huayou Cobalt, which increased by over 7% [1][2]. - Key companies in the industry, including CATL and Yiwei Lithium Energy, also saw upward movements, indicating a strong response across the supply chain [1]. Group 2: Policy Support - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology emphasizes accelerating breakthroughs in solid-state battery technology, highlighting a collaborative effort between national and local governments to enhance the supply chain's self-sufficiency [3]. - Local governments are integrating solid-state batteries into their industrial strategies, with regions like Jiangxi and Chongqing focusing on advancing core technologies in this field [3]. Group 3: Technological Advancements - Companies are rapidly advancing their solid-state battery technologies, with Weichai Power announcing successful laboratory research on sulfide solid-state batteries and plans for industrialization [4]. - Jinlongyu is investing 1.2 billion yuan to establish a production line for solid-state batteries, while Haopeng Technology aims for mass production of solid-state batteries by 2025 [4]. Group 4: Market Potential - Solid-state batteries are expected to penetrate various sectors, including electric vehicles, energy storage, aerospace, and consumer electronics, due to their performance advantages over traditional lithium-ion batteries [6]. - TrendForce forecasts that the global demand for solid-state batteries will exceed 206 GWh by 2030 and further expand to over 740 GWh by 2035, indicating a transition to large-scale applications [6]. Group 5: Industry Growth Outlook - Analysts are optimistic about the growth potential of the solid-state battery supply chain, with expectations of high demand driven by the increasing sales of electric vehicles [6][7]. - The period from 2027 to 2030 is identified as a critical window for the industrialization of solid-state battery technologies, with equipment manufacturers likely to benefit first from this growth [7].