Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the performance of the Commodity ETF (510170), which opened down 0.73% at 1.088 yuan on September 4 [1] - The major holdings of the Commodity ETF include Dongyangguang, which rose by 2.56%, and several other companies such as Luoyang Molybdenum, Zijin Mining, and Huayou Cobalt, which experienced slight declines [1] - The performance benchmark for the Commodity ETF is the Shanghai Commodity Stock Index, managed by Guolian An Fund Management Company, with a return of 36.36% since its inception on November 26, 2010, and a return of 12.14% over the past month [1]

FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年8月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國中煤能源股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年9月1日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | A | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 601898 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 9,152,000,400 | RMB | | 1 | RMB | | 9,152,000,400 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | RMB | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 9,152,000,400 | RMB | | 1 | RMB | | 9,152,000,400 | | 2 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the coal industry [11]. Core Insights - The coal price has been stabilizing after a downward trend, with significant declines in performance metrics observed in the first half of 2025. The coal sector reported a revenue of CNY 548.55 billion, down 19.5% year-on-year, and a net profit of CNY 52.76 billion, down 31.6% year-on-year [2][51]. - The report suggests that the bottom of coal enterprise profits is becoming apparent, indicating potential opportunities for recovery in the sector, especially as the market enters a phase of policy effect verification [9]. Summary by Sections Operating Conditions - In the first half of 2025, the coal sector's revenue was CNY 548.55 billion, a decrease of 19.5% year-on-year, with a net profit of CNY 52.76 billion, down 31.6% year-on-year. In Q2 2025, revenue was CNY 269.17 billion, down 19.6% year-on-year and 3.7% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of CNY 24.12 billion, down 35.5% year-on-year and 15.8% quarter-on-quarter [2][51]. Thermal Coal - The thermal coal segment saw a revenue of CNY 434.9 billion in the first half of 2025, a decline of 17% year-on-year. The average price for Q2 2025 was CNY 632 per ton, down 26% year-on-year and 12% quarter-on-quarter [7][6]. - The segment's net profit was CNY 51 billion, down 28% year-on-year, with a profit margin of 30.5% [7]. Coking Coal - The coking coal segment reported a revenue of CNY 831 billion in the first half of 2025, down 29% year-on-year. The average price for Q2 2025 was CNY 1,315 per ton, down 37% year-on-year and 9% quarter-on-quarter [8][6]. - The segment's net profit was CNY 31 billion, down 65% year-on-year [8]. Investment Recommendations - The report highlights potential recovery opportunities in the coal sector, recommending companies such as Yancoal Energy, Jinneng Holding, and China Shenhua Energy for their strong fundamentals and growth potential [9].

Core Viewpoint - The company's performance is under pressure due to falling coal prices, but it shows potential for high dividends and growth, maintaining a "buy" rating [1][3] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 74.44 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 19.9%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.71 billion yuan, down 21.3% [1] - For Q2 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 36.04 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter decline of 6.11%, and a net profit of 3.73 billion yuan, down 6.31% [1] - The company adjusted its profit forecast for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 16.37 billion, 18.13 billion, and 18.62 billion yuan respectively, with a year-on-year change of -15.3%, +10.8%, and +2.7% [1] Coal Business Performance - In H1 2025, the coal business generated operating revenue of 60.57 billion yuan, a decrease of 22.1%, with a gross profit of 14.35 billion yuan, down 27.7% [2] - The average selling price of self-produced coal was 470 yuan per ton, a year-on-year drop of 19.5%, while the cost was 263 yuan per ton, down 10.2% [2] - Coal production and sales volumes were 67.34 million tons and 67.11 million tons respectively, both showing a slight increase of 1.3% and 1.4% year-on-year [2] Non-Coal Business Performance - The company operates in coal chemical, coal mining equipment, financial services, and other sectors, with coal chemicals being the main business [2] - In H1 2025, coal chemical revenue was 9.36 billion yuan, down 13.6%, while the sales volumes of various products showed mixed results [2] Dividend Potential and Strategic Initiatives - The company has the potential to increase its dividend payout, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 45% as of June 30, 2025 [3] - A cash dividend of 0.166 yuan per share was announced, resulting in a dividend yield of 1.38% based on the stock price [3] - The company is enhancing its smart mining capabilities, with 18 mines passing smart mining assessments and several projects underway to strengthen the "coal-electric-chemical" integrated industry chain [3]

Summary of China Coal Energy Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: China Coal Energy - **Period**: First half of 2025 Key Financial Metrics - **Revenue**: 744.4 billion CNY [2][3] - **Total Profit**: 119.4 billion CNY [2][3] - **Net Profit Attributable to Shareholders**: 77 billion CNY [2][3] - **Earnings Per Share**: 0.58 CNY [2][3] - **Commodity Coal Production**: 67.34 million tons, up 1.3% YoY [2][3] - **Commodity Coal Sales**: 67.11 million tons, up 1.4% YoY [2][3] - **Main Chemical Products Production**: 2.988 million tons, up 2.1% YoY [2][3] - **Main Chemical Products Sales**: 3.166 million tons, up 2.7% YoY [2][3] Cost Management - **Unit Sales Cost of Self-produced Commodity Coal**: 262.97 CNY/ton, down 30 CNY/ton YoY [4][5] - **Average Selling Price of Self-produced Commodity Coal**: 470 CNY/ton, down 114 CNY/ton YoY [4][13] - **Coking Coal Selling Price**: 885 CNY/ton, down 486 CNY/ton YoY [4][13] - **Cost Reduction Measures**: Focus on optimizing production organization and controlling costs [4][14] Project Development - **Key Projects**: - Li Bi Coal Mine - Wei Zi Gou Coal Mine - Wu Shun Qi Coal-Electricity Integration Project - Yulin Olefin Project - Tu Ke Liquid Sunshine Demonstration Project - Several photovoltaic projects have been connected to the grid [6] Market Dynamics - **Power Coal Production and Sales**: Increased in Q2 2025, while coke production decreased due to the temporary shutdown of Wangjialing Coal Mine, which resumed in early July [9] - **Price Differential**: Coking coal prices significantly higher than power coal, positively impacting Q2 performance [10] Inventory and Sales - **Sales Growth**: Significant increase in sales attributed to unrecognized inventory [11] - **Annual Production Target**: 133 million tons, with nearly 70 million tons completed in H1 2025, indicating manageable pressure for H2 [11] Long-term Contracts and Pricing - **Long-term Contract Fulfillment Rate**: Expected to improve in Q3 due to rising spot prices [12] - **Spot Price Recovery**: Expected to reach around 700 CNY, more favorable than previous quarters [12] Cost Outlook - **Cost Stability**: Anticipated to remain stable and possibly lower than last year's levels, with a long-term target of around 300 CNY/ton [14] Financial Health - **Cash Flow**: Decrease in operating cash flow due to profit decline and increased working capital [18][19] - **Investment Cash Flow**: Net outflow increased by nearly 5.9 billion CNY due to higher capital expenditures [20] Strategic Planning - **"14th Five-Year Plan"**: Under development, focusing on coal-electricity integration and expanding into new energy sectors [16] - **Shareholder Returns**: Emphasis on balancing shareholder returns with overall company interests [18] Additional Insights - **Safety and Maintenance Costs**: Increased focus on safety and maintenance expenditures, with a current reserve of approximately 5.1 billion CNY [15] - **Future Cost Reduction Potential**: Limited due to safety requirements, but ongoing efforts to optimize costs across the supply chain [15]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company's performance is under pressure due to falling coal prices, but it has high dividend potential and growth prospects. The report maintains a "Buy" rating based on these factors [5][6] Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 744.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 19.9% - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 77.1 billion yuan, down 21.3% year-on-year - The adjusted net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 76.5 billion yuan, a decrease of 20.7% year-on-year - For Q2 2025, the operating revenue was 360.4 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter decline of 6.11% - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q2 was 37.3 billion yuan, down 6.31% quarter-on-quarter [5][6] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 163.7 billion yuan, 181.3 billion yuan, and 186.2 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year changes of -15.3%, +10.8%, and +2.7% - The expected EPS for the same period is 1.23 yuan, 1.37 yuan, and 1.40 yuan, corresponding to a PE ratio of 9.8, 8.8, and 8.6 times respectively [5][8] Coal Business Performance - In H1 2025, the coal business generated operating revenue of 605.7 billion yuan, down 22.1% year-on-year - The average selling price of self-produced coal was 470 yuan per ton, a decrease of 19.5% year-on-year, while the cost per ton was 263 yuan, down 10.2% year-on-year [6] Non-Coal Business Performance - The non-coal business, including coal chemical, mining equipment, and financial services, showed mixed results - The coal chemical business achieved operating revenue of 93.6 billion yuan, down 13.6% year-on-year, but benefited from lower raw material costs [6] Dividend Potential and Strategic Initiatives - The company has the potential to increase its dividend payout, with a current dividend of 0.166 yuan per share, resulting in a dividend yield of 1.38% - The company is enhancing its smart mining capabilities and developing a "coal-electric-chemical" integrated industrial chain, with significant investments in new projects [7]

Core Viewpoint - China Coal Energy Co., Ltd. has experienced a decline in stock price and financial performance in 2025, with significant net outflows of capital and a decrease in shareholder numbers [1][2][3] Group 1: Stock Performance - As of August 27, the stock price of China Coal Energy fell by 2.04% to 11.55 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 260 million CNY and a turnover rate of 0.24%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 153.14 billion CNY [1] - Year-to-date, the stock price has decreased by 3.12%, with a 1.64% drop over the last five trading days and a 3.52% decline over the last 20 days, although it has increased by 13.32% over the last 60 days [2] Group 2: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, China Coal Energy reported operating revenue of 74.44 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 19.95%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.71 billion CNY, down 21.28% year-on-year [2] - The company has distributed a total of 42.87 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 19.19 billion CNY distributed over the past three years [3] Group 3: Shareholder and Institutional Holdings - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased by 12.08% to 95,000, with an average of 0 circulating shares per person [2] - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited holds 66.19 million shares, a decrease of 3.99 million shares from the previous period, while several ETFs have increased their holdings [3]

Group 1 - As of August 26, 2025, China Coal Energy's stock price is 12.05 yuan, down 0.20 yuan from the previous trading day, with a trading volume of 317,883 hands and a transaction amount of 384 million yuan [1] - China Coal Energy is a significant player in the coal industry, involved in coal production and trade, coal chemical industry, and coal mining equipment manufacturing, headquartered in Beijing as a large state-owned energy enterprise [1] - In the second quarter of 2025, China Coal Energy saw an increase in insurance fund holdings, aligning with the trend of insurance capital increasing allocations to cyclical industries [1] Group 2 - On August 26, 2025, the net outflow of main funds for China Coal Energy was 16.62 million yuan, with a cumulative net outflow of 49.81 million yuan over the past five trading days [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a favorable outlook compared to the market [8]. Core Views - The company reported a slight decline in performance for the first half of 2025, with revenue of 74.44 billion yuan, down 20% year-on-year, and a net profit of 7.71 billion yuan, down 21.3% year-on-year. The earnings slightly exceeded market expectations [8]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.166 yuan per share, totaling 2.198 billion yuan, with a dividend payout ratio of 28.5% [8]. - The company experienced a minor increase in self-produced coal sales, while the overall coal sales volume decreased by 3.6% year-on-year. The average selling price of self-produced coal fell by 19.5% [8]. - The company is optimizing its debt structure, resulting in reduced financial expenses and a decrease in total expenses by 8.8% year-on-year [8]. - The company is advancing its construction projects, including coal-electricity integration and renewable energy initiatives [8]. - Due to a decline in coal prices, the profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted downward, with the current market valuation reflecting a discount compared to comparable companies [8]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2025 is projected at 171.16 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decline of 9.6% [2]. - The net profit for 2025 is estimated at 16.35 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 15.4% [2]. - The earnings per share for 2025 is expected to be 1.23 yuan [2]. - The gross profit margin is projected to be 23.8% for 2025 [2]. - The return on equity (ROE) is forecasted at 10.7% for 2025 [2]. Market Data - As of August 25, 2025, the closing price of the company's stock was 12.25 yuan, with a market capitalization of 112.11 billion yuan [3]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for 2025 is projected at 10 [2][3]. - The company has a dividend yield of 1.80% based on the most recent dividend announcement [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for China Coal Energy (601898.SH) is "Recommended (Maintain)" with a stock price of 12.25 CNY [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the company is returning cash dividends to shareholders and anticipates a rebound in performance driven by recovering coal prices [1][5] - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with revenue at 744.36 billion CNY, down 19.9% year-on-year, and net profit at 77.05 billion CNY, down 21.3% year-on-year [4][7] - The report suggests that while coal prices have been under pressure, there are signs of recovery, with market coal prices rebounding since July 2025 [8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 744.36 billion CNY, a decrease of 19.9% year-on-year, and a net profit of 77.05 billion CNY, down 21.3% year-on-year [4] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.166 CNY per share, with a cash dividend rate of 30% [4] Coal Business - The total coal sales volume for H1 2025 was 12.868 million tons, a decrease of 3.6% year-on-year, with coal business revenue at 605.68 billion CNY, down 22.1% year-on-year [7] - The company's self-produced coal sales volume increased slightly by 1.4% year-on-year, but the selling price dropped by nearly 20% [7] Coal Chemical Business - The coal chemical business reported revenue of approximately 93.6 billion CNY, down 13.6% year-on-year, with a gross profit of 14.2 billion CNY, down 36.0% year-on-year [8] - The report indicates that the company is accelerating the progress of ongoing projects to build a "coal-electric-chemical-new" integrated industrial chain [8] Market Outlook - The report notes that coal prices have started to recover, with the Qinhuangdao port Q5500 thermal coal price rising from a low of 609 CNY/ton to 704 CNY/ton as of August 22, 2025 [8] - The company is expected to benefit from its rich coal resources and ongoing project developments, which may lead to improved performance as coal prices rise [8]