Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" [3] Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in insurance holdings, with public fund holdings in the non-bank financial sector rising from 1.49% in Q3 2025 to 2.48% in Q4 2025, driven by market style rebalancing and marginal support from the sector's fundamentals [24][34] - The report notes that despite the ongoing pursuit of high-elasticity technology sectors, the non-bank financial sector is at a historical low valuation, with strong performance in the insurance sector and increased trading volumes in brokerage firms, indicating fundamental resilience [24][34] - The report suggests that the public fund holdings in the securities sector increased slightly from 0.63% in Q3 2025 to 0.71% in Q4 2025, reflecting improved performance trends and the appeal of low valuations [33] Summary by Sections New Public Fund Issuance - In Q4 2025, the number of newly issued funds remained stable at approximately 477, with a year-on-year increase of 81% compared to 264 in Q4 2024, while the issuance volume decreased by 15.19% year-on-year [12][19] - The share of newly issued equity funds decreased from 41% in the previous quarter to 32%, while mixed fund shares increased from 15% to 19% [12] Non-Bank Financial Fund Holdings - Public fund holdings in the non-bank financial sector increased, with the total market capitalization share rising to 2.48% in Q4 2025 [24] - The report attributes this increase to a shift in funds from crowded technology sectors to undervalued defensive sectors, alongside a recovery in northbound capital allocations [24] Major Non-Bank Companies' Holdings - The report indicates that major non-bank companies saw slight increases in public fund holdings, with China Ping An leading at 1.11% and China Pacific Insurance at 0.35% [41] - The report recommends focusing on key companies such as CITIC Securities, Huatai Securities, and China Ping An for potential investment opportunities [24][41]

Core Viewpoints - The spring market trend continues with small and mid-cap stocks outperforming while large-cap stocks experience volatility. The A-share market saw a weekly increase of 0.8% in the Shanghai Composite Index, while the CSI 500 and CSI 2000 rose by 4.3% and 4.0% respectively. In contrast, the CSI 300 and SSE 50 declined by 0.6% and 1.5% respectively. Key sectors leading the gains include construction materials, oil and petrochemicals, steel, and basic chemicals, with increases ranging from 7% to 10% [2][12][13]. Recent Dynamics - December economic data indicates a recovery in industrial production, while consumption and investment growth continue to decline. The industrial added value year-on-year growth rate rose to 5.2% in December, with high-tech and equipment manufacturing sectors maintaining high growth rates. However, retail sales growth fell to 0.9%, and fixed asset investment showed a cumulative year-on-year decline of 3.8% [3][4]. Policy Tracking - Recent policies aim to support consumption and private investment through a series of financial measures. The Ministry of Finance and other departments have introduced interest subsidy policies for small and micro enterprises, extending support to sectors such as new energy vehicles, high-end equipment, and artificial intelligence. The total guarantee plan for private investment is set at 500 billion yuan, focusing on enhancing the operational capacity of small and micro enterprises [5][6]. Market Performance - The A-share market has shown a mixed performance, with small and mid-cap indices outperforming large-cap indices. The CSI 500 and CSI 2000 indices recorded gains between 2% and 4.5%, while the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.8%. The average daily trading volume across the A-share market was approximately 2.8 trillion yuan, reflecting a 19.23% decrease from the previous week [12][13]. Sector Performance - Among the 31 primary sectors, 24 achieved positive returns, with construction materials, oil and petrochemicals, steel, and basic chemicals leading the way. Conversely, sectors such as banking, telecommunications, and non-bank financials experienced declines. Concept indices related to gold jewelry, photovoltaics, and advanced packaging saw significant gains, ranging from 10% to 13% [12][13][14].

Core Insights - The report highlights that the short-term changes in broad-based ETF shares are impacting weighted stocks, while long-term regulatory changes are constraining deviations in benchmarks [1][5]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of January 24, 2026, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.84%, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.11%. The CSI 300 Index fell by 0.62%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.34% [10]. - The average daily trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.80 trillion yuan, reflecting a 19% decrease compared to the previous period [5]. Group 2: Industry Dynamics and Weekly Commentary Insurance Sector - The performance of listed insurance companies is expected to continue high growth, with marginal improvements in long-term interest spreads. The 10-year government bond yield was 1.83%, down 1 basis point from the previous week, indicating a stable economic outlook [11][14]. - The insurance sector is benefiting from regulatory changes that enhance asset-liability management capabilities, which are expected to support high growth in 2026. Key stocks to watch include China Ping An, China Life, and New China Life [14][15]. Securities Sector - The report notes a significant decline in broad-based ETF shares, with the CSI 1000 dropping by 42%, the SSE 50 by 25%, and the CSI 300 by 23%. This decline is expected to have a direct impact on the trading volumes of associated leading stocks [15][19]. - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has introduced new guidelines for public fund performance benchmarks, effective March 1, 2026, aimed at enhancing stability and protecting investor interests [24][28]. Group 3: Key Company Valuations and Financial Analysis - China Ping An (601318.SH) has a current price of 68.40 CNY, with a target value of 85.17 CNY, indicating a buy rating. The expected EPS for 2025 is 8.91 CNY, with a PE ratio of 7.68x [6]. - New China Life (601336.SH) is rated as a buy with a target value of 94.21 CNY, and an expected EPS of 14.04 CNY for 2025, reflecting a PE ratio of 4.96x [6]. - China Pacific Insurance (601601.SH) is also rated as a buy, with a target value of 52.44 CNY and an expected EPS of 6.09 CNY for 2025, resulting in a PE ratio of 6.88x [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the non-bank financial sector, indicating a positive outlook compared to the market [2]. Core Insights - The implementation of new regulations for public fund performance benchmarks aims to reshape the industry towards long-term value creation, moving from a "scale-oriented" to a "capability-oriented" approach [14][16]. - The insurance sector shows high efficiency in claims processing, with claim acceptance rates generally above 99%, driven by technology such as AI and big data [43][44]. Summary by Sections 1. Securities Business Overview and Weekly Review - The new public fund performance benchmark regulations will take effect on March 1, 2026, addressing issues like benchmark ambiguity and style drift, thereby enhancing the accountability of fund managers [14][15]. - The report highlights a mixed performance among major indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index at 4,136.16 points, up 0.84% week-on-week, while the non-bank financial index fell by 1.70% [16][19]. 2. Insurance Business Overview and Weekly Review - Recent claims reports from various insurance companies indicate a high claim acceptance rate, with companies like Ping An Life achieving 99.2% [43]. - Despite high acceptance rates, consumer perceptions of "claim difficulties" persist, primarily due to misunderstandings regarding policy terms and inadequate preparation of claim materials [44]. - The average payout for critical illness insurance is around 100,000 CNY, while the average treatment cost for severe illnesses can reach 400,000 CNY, highlighting a significant coverage gap [44]. 3. Market Liquidity Tracking - The central bank's net injection in the open market was 9,795 billion CNY for the week of January 19-23, 2026, indicating ongoing liquidity management efforts [49].

Core Viewpoint - The non-bank financial sector is underweight, with a total underweight of 3.08 percentage points, despite an increase in holdings in the fourth quarter, indicating potential investment opportunities as resident funds enter the market under a low interest rate environment [1][4]. Group 1: Brokerage Sector - The brokerage sector has received an increase in allocation, with public funds (excluding passive index funds) raising their holding ratio from 0.85% to 1.08%, still underweight by 2.30 percentage points [2]. - The Wind All A Index rose by 0.97% in the fourth quarter, with a quarterly stock fund transaction volume of 24.5 trillion, indicating active market trading that has led to increased fund allocation to the brokerage sector [2]. - Notable individual stock increases include Citic Securities' holding ratio rising from 0.1687% to 0.3132% and Huatai Securities' from 0.1579% to 0.1989% [2]. Group 2: Insurance Sector - The allocation ratio for the insurance sector significantly increased from 1.03% to 2.13%, with an underweight of 0.33%, and the insurance index rose by 23.42% in the fourth quarter [3]. - Individual stock increases include China Life's holding ratio rising from 0.019% to 0.020%, Ping An's from 0.68% to 1.449%, and China Pacific Insurance's from 0.22% to 0.422% [3]. - The expectation of continued capital inflow and a focus on undervalued targets supports the recommendation for insurance stocks [3]. Group 3: Multi-Financial and Fintech Sectors - The allocation ratio for the multi-financial and fintech sectors decreased from 0.204% to 0.145% [3]. - Individual stocks such as Lakala and Yuexiu Financial Holdings received increased allocations, with holding ratios rising from 0% to 0.0027% and 0% to 0.0025%, respectively [3]. - The outlook remains positive for financial information services, third-party payments, and equity investment opportunities due to ongoing policy support for capital inflow and advancements in digital currency and AI applications [3]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The non-bank sector remains underweight, with a total underweight of 3.08 percentage points, suggesting four key investment opportunities: 1) Wealth management opportunities in fintech and brokerage due to resident funds entering the market [4]. 2) Valuation recovery opportunities in the insurance sector as interest rates stabilize [4]. 3) Profit enhancement opportunities for third-party payment companies from the expansion of digital currency scenarios [4]. 4) Broader exit channels for equity investment institutions due to an increase in IPOs in the tech sector [4].

Group 1: Core Insights - The Chinese U23 men's football team has made a remarkable run in the Asian Cup, reaching the finals and reigniting hope among fans for Chinese football [1][10] - The team's strong performance includes three group stage matches without conceding a goal and a decisive victory over Vietnam in the semifinals [1][10] Group 2: Support from China Ping An - China Ping An has committed to supporting Chinese football through the "Inspiration Plan," which will provide financial assistance and insurance for youth players pursuing careers in European clubs [5][14] - The company has a long-standing relationship with Chinese football, having invested 1.7 billion yuan over ten years to sponsor the Chinese Super League [6][15] Group 3: Youth Development Initiatives - China Ping An has built 119 "Ping An Hope Schools" to promote football among children and has organized numerous training camps, engaging millions of young players [8][17] - The company's youth training initiatives have produced promising talents, evidenced by the success of the U23 team in the Asian Cup, highlighting the importance of youth development in the future of Chinese football [9][18]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Ping An Insurance, with a target price raised to HKD 90 based on a sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) valuation [1][4]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the fourth quarter earnings may see relief amid growth stock corrections, with expectations of a 12% year-on-year increase in group OPAT for 2025, reaching RMB 136 billion, and a 5.1% increase in net profit to RMB 133 billion [1][3]. - The insurance company is projected to achieve double-digit growth in NBV (New Business Value) in 2026, driven by strong first-year premium growth and stable profit margins [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For FY25, the net profit is expected to be RMB 162.5 billion, with EPS projected at RMB 7.52, reflecting a 5.1% year-on-year increase [5][13]. - The report provides a detailed financial summary, indicating a steady increase in net profit and EPS over the forecast period, with net profit reaching RMB 175.7 billion by FY27 [5][15]. Valuation Metrics - The target price of HKD 90 implies a valuation of 0.9 times the FY26E price-to-earnings ratio and 1.24 times the price-to-book ratio [4][14]. - The report employs a comprehensive valuation method, indicating a fair value for various segments, including life insurance and property & casualty insurance, contributing to the overall target price [4][14]. Business Growth Drivers - The report notes that the bank's insurance channel is expected to benefit from a shift in household deposits, with a projected 18% growth in NBV for FY26 [2][4]. - The strong performance in the insurance sector is supported by robust underwriting profits and improved investment service results, particularly in the context of a recovering capital market [1][3].

Core Viewpoint - The report from Industrial Securities indicates a slight decline in the management scale of active equity funds in Q4 2025, primarily due to significant redemption pressure from existing funds, which has hindered the continuation of growth seen in Q3 2025 [1][2]. Group 1: Fund Management Scale - In Q4 2025, the management scale of three types of active equity funds (ordinary stock, mixed equity, and flexible allocation) decreased by 189.8 billion yuan, with new active equity fund issuance at 56.2 billion yuan and net redemptions from existing funds at 165.6 billion yuan, alongside a decline of 80.4 billion yuan due to market fluctuations [1][2]. - The equity position of active equity funds decreased by 0.83 percentage points to 86.62% in Q4 2025, remaining at the second-highest historical level, just behind Q3 2025 [2]. Group 2: Sector Allocation Changes - In terms of sector allocation, the proportion of investment in the ChiNext board increased to 24.98%, up by 1.24 percentage points from Q3 2025, while the allocation to the Sci-Tech Innovation board decreased to 16.55%, down by 0.90 percentage points [3]. - The allocation to the main board fell to 58.21%, down by 0.30 percentage points, indicating a further increase in underweight positions [3][4]. Group 3: Style and Sector Adjustments - Active equity funds increased their positions in cyclical and financial real estate sectors while reducing exposure to technology growth and pharmaceuticals. The allocation percentages for technology growth, financial real estate, consumption, pharmaceuticals, and cyclical sectors were 52.27%, 4.47%, 14.28%, 8.18%, and 20.67%, respectively, with notable changes from the previous quarter [5]. - The funds increased their positions in non-ferrous metals, communications, and non-bank financial sectors, with increases of 2.26 percentage points, 1.85 percentage points, and 0.87 percentage points, respectively, while reducing positions in electronics and pharmaceuticals [6][7]. Group 4: TMT Sector Adjustments - The allocation to the TMT sector slightly decreased in Q4 2025, with the overall allocation dropping to 38.05% from a peak of 40% in Q3 2025. The internal structure showed increased positions in communication devices and components while reducing holdings in consumer electronics and semiconductors [11]. Group 5: Dividend Sector Recovery - The allocation to dividend low-volatility indices and the CSI Dividend Index showed signs of stabilization and recovery, with the allocation to the former rising by 1.7 percentage points to 4.3% and the latter increasing by 1.5 percentage points to 4.4% [12]. Group 6: Top Holdings and Changes - The top five stocks with increased holdings in active equity funds in Q4 2025 included Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, Dongshan Precision, China Ping An, and Zijin Mining, with respective increases of 1.46 percentage points, 0.63 percentage points, 0.63 percentage points, 0.58 percentage points, and 0.40 percentage points [13]. - Conversely, the top five stocks with reduced holdings included Industrial Fulian, Yiwei Lithium Energy, Ningde Times, Luxshare Precision, and Focus Media, with respective decreases of 1.07 percentage points, 0.64 percentage points, 0.53 percentage points, 0.44 percentage points, and 0.33 percentage points [15].

Core Insights - The public fund's top holdings have shifted, with Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Sheng replacing CATL and Tencent as the first and second largest holdings respectively, reflecting a significant change in investment focus within the technology sector [1][4]. Group 1: Fund Holdings Overview - As of the end of Q4 2025, the top ten holdings of actively managed equity funds included Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, CATL, Tencent, Zijin Mining, Alibaba-W, Cambricon, Luxshare Precision, Kweichow Moutai, and Dongshan Precision [1]. - Zhongji Xuchuang emerged as the largest holding with a total market value of 78.42 billion yuan, representing 11.63% of the circulating shares, and a quarterly increase of 51.26% [2][5]. - Xinyi Sheng followed with a market value of 65.70 billion yuan, accounting for 17.23% of circulating shares, and a quarterly increase of 17.8% [2][5]. Group 2: Changes in Holdings - The top five holdings experienced varying degrees of reduction in shares held by equity funds, with Zhongji Xuchuang seeing a decrease of 970.14 million shares, a 7.02% decline from the previous quarter [4]. - Despite the reduction in shares, the market value of Zhongji Xuchuang held by funds increased from 55.81 billion yuan to 78.42 billion yuan due to a significant rise in stock price [4]. - China Ping An was noted as a new entrant into the top twenty holdings, moving up from 41st to 15th place, indicating a growing interest in the insurance sector [4]. Group 3: Sector Focus - The information technology sector saw substantial increases in fund holdings, with four out of the top five increased holdings belonging to this sector, alongside significant investments in the insurance sector, particularly in China Ping An [1][4]. - The top stocks that received the most significant increases in holdings were primarily concentrated in the information technology, non-ferrous metals, and chemical sectors [4]. Group 4: Performance of Stocks - Several stocks that doubled in price during Q4 2025 received considerable increases in fund holdings, including Tianhua New Energy, which surged by 118.53%, leading to a rise in the number of funds holding the stock from 2 to 93 [7]. - Maiwei Co. also saw a significant increase in fund interest, with its stock price rising by 107.34% and the number of funds holding it increasing from 8 to 54 [7]. Group 5: Reduction in Holdings - Notable reductions in holdings were observed in several major stocks within the Hang Seng Technology Index, including Alibaba-W, Tencent, and SMIC, reflecting a broader trend of fund managers reducing exposure to these tech giants [8][9]. - The top ten stocks with the largest reductions in holdings included Alibaba-W, Industrial Fulian, CATL, and Tencent, indicating a strategic shift away from these previously favored stocks [9].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the stability and growth of the average productivity per employee in the property insurance sector, highlighting a compound annual growth rate of 8.9% since 2016, with a projected average productivity of 3.953 million yuan per employee for 2024, indicating a stabilization in workforce numbers at approximately 423,000 employees [1][11][12]. Group 1: Employee Productivity - The total number of employees in the property insurance sector for 2024 is approximately 423,000, showing signs of stabilization compared to the previous year [11]. - The average productivity per employee for 2024 is projected to be 3.953 million yuan, which represents a 98% increase since 2016, with an annual compound growth rate of 8.9% [12]. - The average productivity for the top three companies (China Life Property, Ping An Property, and Taiping Property) is 4.468 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.8% [3]. Group 2: Impact on Company Performance - An increase of 1% in average productivity leads to a decrease of 0.051 percentage points in the comprehensive expense ratio, ultimately improving the return on equity (ROE) by 0.017 percentage points [6][24]. - There are 7 companies with average productivity exceeding 10 million yuan, 5 companies between 5-10 million yuan, 26 companies between 3-5 million yuan, 42 companies between 1-3 million yuan, and 5 companies below 1 million yuan [6][30]. - The average productivity across 85 property insurance companies for 2024 is 4.084 million yuan, with a weighted average of 3.953 million yuan and a median of 2.851 million yuan [26]. Group 3: Empirical Analysis - The empirical model indicates a significant negative correlation between average productivity and the comprehensive expense ratio, confirming that higher productivity correlates with lower operational costs [20]. - The analysis of 640 sample points shows that average productivity significantly impacts the comprehensive expense ratio at a 1% confidence level [19]. - The relationship between average productivity and ROE is positively correlated, with a 1% increase in productivity resulting in a 0.017 percentage point increase in ROE [24][25]. Group 4: Company Rankings - The top ten property insurance companies by average productivity for 2024 include Zhonghui Mutual, Guotai Property, and Taikang Property, with Zhonghui Mutual leading at 36.724 million yuan [33]. - The rankings reveal that companies with internet attributes or self-insurance characteristics tend to have higher productivity levels [29]. - The detailed rankings of the top 30 companies are available for further analysis [32].