智通财经1月28日讯（编辑 童古） 以下为各家机构对港股的最新评级和目标价： 交银国际：维持安踏体育买入评级 目标价108.70港元 交银国际就安踏体育(02020.HK)发布研报称，公司Q4安踏主品牌流水低单位数下滑，FILA及多品牌矩 阵韧性突出，其他品牌高增35%-40%；虽短期受天气、春节错期影响，但折扣与库销比健康，品牌资产 持续夯实，长期"单聚焦、多品牌、全球化"逻辑未变。 招商证券(香港)：维持华润饮料买入评级 目标价11.87港元 招商证券(香港)就华润饮料(02460.HK)发布研报称，公司2025年为压力释放年，包装水市占率趋稳，新 董事长将推动销售端改革， frontline销售激励有望优化，分红比率或提升；产能扩张虽略慢于预期，但 渠道扁平化改革进展超预期，预计2026年起增长将明显改善。 交银国际就华润电力(00836.HK)发布研报称，公司2025年核心盈利增6.7%，火电燃料成本下降9.8%部 分对冲煤价反弹，风光售电量分别增16.4%/55.5%；2026年点火价差虽同比收窄10%，但容量电价上调 65%提供缓冲，再生能源经营利润预计增20%。 中信证券：维持极智嘉-W买入评级 ...

招银国际发表研报，预期华润饮料2025财年纯利减少35.5%至10.6亿元，下半年跌幅更大，是由于集中 签署大型营销合同和增加供应链投资的影响。不过，该行指出，华润饮料拥有多个利好因素，包括预计 新任主席将实施重大改革、前线销售人员可能获得更多积极激励、公司或考虑提高股息支付比率等。 该行预期华润饮料最快在2026年出现复苏，维持"买入"评级，但将目标价由12.85港元降至11.87港元， 以反映盈利修订。该行又建议投资者密切关注即将公布的业绩，预计或可提供良好的买入时机。 ...

27 Jan 2026 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update CR Beverage (2460 HK) CR Beverage (2460 HK) - Leave Leave the worst behind in 2025 We forecast CR Beverage's FY25E net profit to decline 35.5% to RMB1.06bn, with a steeper drop in 2H25E due to concentrated signing of large marketing contracts and increased supply chain investments. Capacity expansion is slightly slower than market expectations, while channel reform is progressing faster. Beyond the stabilization of packaged wate ...

Accessible version >> Employed by a non-US affiliate of BofAS and is not registered/qualified as a research analyst China Resources Beverage under the FINRA rules. Signs of bottoming-out, but competition & channel spending temper profit outlook Refer to "Other Important Disclosures" for information on certain BofA Securities entities that take responsibility for the information herein in particular jurisdictions. Reiterate Rating: NEUTRAL | PO: 11.00 HKD | Price: 10.24 HKD Inventory stabilizing, yet margin ...

西贝获新荣记创始人等多方投资 -融资动态- 1月21日，企查查信息显示，内蒙古西贝餐饮集团有限公司获A轮融资。投资方包括台州新荣泰投资有限公司、呼和浩特市集体共创企业管理中心（有限 合伙）、成都迅达光电有限公司、杭州舟轩股权投资管理合伙企业（有限合伙）等，融资金额未对外披露。 同步工商信息显示，西贝餐饮的注册资本从8990.2896万元增至10168.0175万元，增幅约13.1%；股东名单新增上述投资方，创始人贾国龙及部分原有股东 的持股比例出现相应下降。（新京报贝壳财经） 小编评： 可以看到，此次资金虽不算大，但却带来高端餐饮精细化运营与互联网流量两大稀缺资源，有望帮西贝重塑品控、加速数字化，缓解现金流压力。 值得注意的是，此次"纯投资"性质的入股有望为三得利带来国际资本背书，提升其在全球市场的估值透明度；同时，Pzena的长期价值投资风格可能推动 三得利进一步优化资本配置。 -收购动态- LVMH集团旗下私募机构收购Ex Nihilo少数股权 1月19日，美国投资基金Pzena Investment Management已持有三得利饮料食品国际5.09%的股份。Pzena于同日向日本关东财务局提交了大宗 ...

Core Viewpoint - Daiwa's report indicates a recent change in the chairman of China Resources Beverage, with the new chairman, Gao Li, having previously served as the group's CFO and playing a significant role during the company's rapid growth [1] Group 1: Company Management Changes - The new chairman, Gao Li, has a background as the group's CFO and was instrumental during the company's growth phase [1] Group 2: Market Performance and Predictions - The management of China Resources Beverage stated that the retail market share for bottled water has stabilized over the past few months [1] - Investors are awaiting a clear turning point, with market attention focused on the company's sales performance in the second quarter of this year [1] Group 3: Financial Forecast Adjustments - Daiwa has adopted a more conservative outlook for revenue growth and operating profit margin expansion, leading to a downward revision of the earnings per share forecast for 2025 to 2027 by 18% to 25% [1] - The target price for the company has been reduced from HKD 15.3 to HKD 12.5, while maintaining a "buy" rating, as the company’s channel adjustments are expected to yield significant results this year [1]

Core Viewpoint - The leadership change at China Resources Beverage, with Gao Li taking over as chairman, comes at a critical time as the company faces performance pressures and intensified industry competition [2][3]. Group 1: Leadership Change - Gao Li, a veteran of the China Resources Group, has been appointed as the new chairman, succeeding Zhang Weitong, who stepped down due to work adjustments [2]. - Gao Li has a strong financial background, having served as the financial director of China Resources Beverage from 2012 to 2020 and as the general manager of the finance department of China Resources Group since January 2025 [2]. Group 2: Performance Challenges - China Resources Beverage's revenue growth has stagnated, with a reported revenue of 13.52 billion yuan in the year of its IPO, reflecting only a 0.05% increase, while profit growth of 23.12% was primarily due to cost control [4]. - In the first half of 2025, the company experienced a decline in both revenue and profit, with revenue dropping to 6.206 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 18.52%, and net profit falling to 808 million yuan, down 28.63% [4]. Group 3: Market Competition - The bottled water market has seen significant changes, with competitors like Wahaha and Nongfu Spring impacting China Resources Beverage's sales, particularly in the small-sized bottled water segment [5]. - In the first half of 2025, Nongfu Spring's bottled water revenue grew by 10.7% to 9.443 billion yuan, while China Resources Beverage's revenue in the same segment fell by 23.1% to 5.251 billion yuan [6]. Group 4: Strategic Initiatives - To diversify its revenue streams, China Resources Beverage has been actively launching new products in tea, juice, and sports drinks, introducing 14 new SKUs in the first half of the previous year [7]. - Despite these efforts, non-water beverage revenue only accounted for approximately 15.4% of total revenue, indicating that the second growth curve has not yet materialized [7]. Group 5: Market Position and Valuation - China Resources Beverage's revenue has remained stagnant around 13.5 billion yuan in 2023 and 2024, with expectations that its total revenue for 2025 will likely be surpassed by competitors like Dongpeng Beverage and Yuanqi Forest [7]. - As of January 19, 2026, the company's stock price had dropped to 10.32 HKD, a decline of 29% from its one-year high and over 38% from its IPO closing price, resulting in a market capitalization of 24.749 billion HKD, down 36.8% from its IPO value [8].

Core Viewpoint - The leadership change at China Resources Beverage comes at a critical time as the company faces declining performance and increased competition in the beverage industry [1][3]. Group 1: Leadership Change - Zhang Weitong has stepped down as Chairman of China Resources Beverage due to work adjustments, with Gao Li taking over for a three-year term [1]. - Gao Li has a strong financial background and has previously held key positions within the China Resources Group, including serving as the CFO of China Resources Beverage from 2012 to 2020 [1]. Group 2: Performance Challenges - In 2024, China Resources Beverage's revenue growth stagnated, with total revenue at 13.521 billion yuan, reflecting a mere 0.05% increase, while net profit grew by 23.12% mainly due to cost control [3]. - By the first half of 2025, the company experienced a decline in both revenue and profit, with operating income at 6.206 billion yuan, down 18.52% year-on-year, and net profit at 0.805 billion yuan, down 28.63% [3]. - The core packaged water business, which accounts for nearly 90% of revenue, has seen significant declines, particularly in the sales of its flagship product, Yibao [3][5]. Group 3: Market Competition - The competitive landscape in the packaged drinking water market has shifted, with Wahaha regaining market presence and Nongfu Spring launching a low-priced product that negatively impacted Yibao's sales [3]. - In the first half of 2025, Nongfu Spring's revenue from packaged drinking water reached 9.443 billion yuan, a 10.7% increase, while China Resources Beverage's water segment revenue fell to 5.251 billion yuan, a 23.1% decline [5]. Group 4: Growth Strategy - China Resources Beverage has been criticized for its reliance on a single product line and has attempted to diversify by launching new products in tea, juice, and sports drinks [6]. - In the first half of 2025, non-water beverage revenue was 0.955 billion yuan, a 21.3% increase, but still only accounted for about 15.4% of total revenue, indicating that a second growth curve has not yet materialized [6]. Group 5: Market Position and Valuation - Competitors like Dongpeng Beverage and Yuanqi Forest are expected to surpass China Resources Beverage in revenue, with Dongpeng projected to exceed 20 billion yuan and Yuanqi Forest anticipating a 26% growth [8]. - China Resources Beverage's stock price has declined significantly, with a closing price of 10.32 HKD on January 19, 2026, down 29% from its peak and over 38% from its IPO price, leading to a market capitalization decrease of 36.8% from its initial value [8].

Core Viewpoint - CICC's report indicates that China Resources Beverage (02460) is expected to achieve a revenue of 11 billion RMB and a net profit of 970 million RMB in 2025, aligning with market expectations. The target price is maintained at 12 HKD with an "outperform" rating [1] Group 1 - The company is anticipated to experience a deep adjustment period in 2025, with a potential recovery in revenue and profit margins expected in 2026 following channel adjustments [1] - The appointment of Gao Li as chairman, who has a deep understanding of the company's fundamentals from his previous role as CFO from 2012 to 2020, is seen as a positive development [1] - The report suggests that 2026 may mark a turning point for the company, with expectations of a rebound in performance [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2][9] Core Views - The management change, with Gao Li taking over as chairman, is expected to lead to a recovery and development for the company. Both Gao Li and Li Shuqing have extensive experience within the China Resources system, which is anticipated to enhance financial control and overall operations [9] - The company is focusing on a dual-engine strategy of water and beverage, continuously enriching its product matrix and launching new products to expand consumer demographics and scenarios [9] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 11.5 billion, 12.3 billion, and 13.1 billion RMB respectively, with corresponding net profits of 1.1 billion, 1.2 billion, and 1.3 billion RMB [9] Financial Summary - Revenue for 2023 is reported at 13,515 million RMB, with a growth rate of 7.07%. However, a decline of 14.74% is expected in 2025, followed by a recovery in subsequent years [8][11] - The net profit for 2023 is 1,329 million RMB, with a significant growth of 34.30%. A decline of 30.67% is projected for 2025, with a recovery in the following years [8][11] - Earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 is 0.66 RMB, with projections of 0.47 RMB in 2025 and a gradual increase to 0.56 RMB by 2027 [8][11] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is expected to decline from 19.26% in 2023 to around 9.31% by 2027 [8][11] Financial Ratios - The company’s gross margin is projected to be around 44.66% in 2023, with slight fluctuations in the following years [11] - The debt-to-asset ratio is expected to decrease from 43.29% in 2023 to 30.62% by 2027, indicating improved financial stability [11] - The current ratio is projected to improve from 1.07 in 2023 to 2.23 by 2027, reflecting better liquidity [11]